Citations

Background: As machine learning becomes increasingly utilized in orthopaedic clinical research, the application of machine learning methodology to cohort data from the Multicenter ACL Revision Study (MARS) presents a valuable opportunity to translate data into patient-specific insights. Purpose: To apply novel machine learning methodology to MARS cohort data to determine a predictive model of revision anterior cruciate ligament reconstruction (rACLR) graft failure and features most predictive of failure. Study Design: Cohort study; Level of evidence, 3. Methods: The authors prospectively recruited patients undergoing rACLR from the MARS cohort and obtained preoperative radiographs, surgeon-reported intraoperative findings, and 2- and 6-year follow-up data on patient-reported outcomes, additional surgeries, and graft failure. Machine learning models including logistic regression (LR), XGBoost, gradient boosting (GB), random forest (RF), and a validated ensemble algorithm (AutoPrognosis) were built to predict graft failure by 6 years postoperatively. Validated performance metrics and feature importance measures were used to evaluate model performance. Results: The cohort included 960 patients who completed 6-year follow-up, with 5.7% (n = 55) experiencing graft failure. AutoPrognosis demonstrated the highest discriminative power (model area under the receiver operating characteristic curve: AutoPrognosis, 0.703; RF, 0.618; GB, 0.660; XGBoost, 0.680; LR, 0.592), with well-calibrated scores (model Brier score: AutoPrognosis, 0.053; RF, 0.054; GB, 0.057; XGBoost, 0.058; LR, 0.111). The most important features for AutoPrognosis model performance were prior compromised femoral and tibial tunnels (placement and size) and allograft graft type used in current rACLR. Conclusion: The present study demonstrated the ability of the novel AutoPrognosis machine learning model to best predict the risk of graft failure in patients undergoing rACLR at 6 years postoperatively with moderate predictive ability. Femoral and tibial tunnel size and position in prior ACLR and allograft use in current rACLR were all risk factors for rACLR failure in the context of the AutoPrognosis model. This study describes a unique model that can be externally validated with larger data sets and contribute toward the creation of a robust rACLR bedside risk calculator in future studies. Registration: NCT00625885 (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier).

Abstract BACKGROUND Patients with meningiomas that have progressed after surgery and/or radiation have limited treatments. Loss of NF2 and CDKN2A/B are common in higher-grade meningiomas and promote meningioma progression. We evaluated the efficacy of abemaciclib, a cyclin-dependent kinase (CDK) 4/6 inhibitor, as part of Alliance A071401, a genomically-driven phase II trial in recurrent or progressive meningiomas. METHODS Eligible patients (pts) with grade 2/3 tumors and NF2 mutations or CDK pathway alterations were treated with abemaciclib 200 mg orally twice daily. Two co-primary endpoints were used: progression-free survival at 6 months (PFS6) and response rate (RR); the trial would be declared positive if either endpoint was met. Twenty-four evaluable pts provided ≥85% power to detect a PFS6 ≥41.5% (vs. null 15%; alpha=0.02), and ≥89% power to detect RR ≥20% (vs. null 2.5%; alpha=0.021). RESULTS Of 83 pts screened while the abemaciclib arm was open between September 15, 2021 and October 3, 2022, 36 eligible pts received abemaciclib. The observed PFS6 rate in the first 24 evaluable pts was 54% (95% CI 33-75%), thus the study met PFS6 endpoint. Of all 35 evaluable pts, median PFS was 7.6 months (95% CI 3.6-17.1 months), estimated 6-month PFS was 55% (95% CI 40-75%) and estimated 6-month OS was 88% (95% CI 77-100%). No objective responses were observed. Of the 36 pts who started treatment, two had a grade 4 adverse event at least possibly related to treatment which included ALT elevation(1), AST elevation(1) and vomiting(1). Patients with NF2 alterations (n=24) had favorable PFS6 outcomes (58%, 95% CI 37-78%) compared to those with CDK (n=4, 25%, 95% CI 1-81%) and CDK+NF2 alterations (n=7, 29% 95% CI 4-71%), (Fisher’s Exact p=0.036). CONCLUSIONS Abemaciclib was well-tolerated and resulted in improved PFS6, meeting the trial’s co-primary endpoint. Abemaciclib warrants further investigation for the treatment of patients with progressive meningiomas.

Background: Revision anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) reconstruction has been documented to have inferior outcomes compared with primary ACL reconstruction. The reasons why remain unknown. Purpose: To determine whether surgical factors performed at the time of revision ACL reconstruction can influence a patient’s outcome at 6-year follow-up. Study Design: Cohort study; Level of evidence, 2. Methods: Patients who underwent revision ACL reconstruction were identified and prospectively enrolled between 2006 and 2011. Data collected included baseline patient characteristics, surgical technique and pathology, and a series of validated patient-reported outcome instruments: Knee injury and Osteoarthritis Outcome Score (KOOS), International Knee Documentation Committee (IKDC) subjective form, Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index (WOMAC), and Marx activity rating score. Patients were followed up for 6 years and asked to complete the identical set of outcome instruments. Regression analysis was used to control for baseline patient characteristics and surgical variables to assess the surgical risk factors for clinical outcomes 6 years after surgery. Results: A total of 1234 patients were enrolled (716 men, 58%; median age, 26 years), and 6-year follow-up was obtained on 79% of patients (980/1234). Using an interference screw for femoral fixation compared with a cross-pin resulted in significantly better outcomes in 6-year IKDC scores (odds ratio [OR], 2.2; 95% CI, 1.2-3.9; P = .008) and KOOS sports/recreation and quality of life subscale scores (OR range, 2.2-2.7; 95% CI, 1.2-4.8; P < .01). Use of an interference screw compared with a cross-pin resulted in a 2.6 times less likely chance of having a subsequent surgery within 6 years. Use of an interference screw for tibial fixation compared with any combination of tibial fixation techniques resulted in significantly improved scores for IKDC (OR, 1.96; 95% CI, 1.3-2.9; P = .001); KOOS pain, activities of daily living, and sports/recreation subscales (OR range, 1.5-1.6; 95% CI, 1.0-2.4; P < .05); and WOMAC pain and activities of daily living subscales (OR range, 1.5-1.8; 95% CI, 1.0-2.7; P < .05). Use of a transtibial surgical approach compared with an anteromedial portal approach resulted in significantly improved KOOS pain and quality of life subscale scores at 6 years (OR, 1.5; 95% CI, 1.02-2.2; P≤ .04). Conclusion: There are surgical variables at the time of ACL revision that can modify clinical outcomes at 6 years. Opting for a transtibial surgical approach and choosing an interference screw for femoral and tibial fixation improved patients’ odds of having a significantly better 6-year clinical outcome in this cohort.

Abstract Background Thromboembolic stroke risk remains a clinical challenge in cardiac amyloidosis (CA) patients with atrial fibrillation because of the increased prevalence of left atrial appendage thrombi irrespective of CHA2DS2-VASc score and a higher prevalence of factors that increase the risk of bleeding with anticoagulation. Left atrial appendage closure (LAAC) is an effective option in patients with atrial fibrillation and high bleeding risk; however, data describing a LAAC strategy for stroke prevention in patients with CA is limited. Among non-CA patients, procedural success and serious complication rates are around 98% and 3% respectively. Purpose In this multicenter retrospective study, we aimed to investigate whether left atrial appendage closure (LAAC) could reduce the risk of bleeding complications and ischemic cerebrovascular events in patients with CA. Methods In an international multi-center retrospective study, patients with CA that underwent LAAC were included. The diagnosis of CA was established on the basis of histologic confirmation or advanced multimodality cardiac imaging as per current consensus statements. Results A total of 28 patients (93% male; 87% ATTR-CA; 13% AL-CA; mean age 80 years) met inclusion criteria. At baseline, mean CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED scores were 4 and 3 respectively, mean left ventricular ejection fraction was 50%, and mean indexed left atrial volume was 58 mL/m2. 21% of patients had a prior history of ischemic stroke, 14% prior history of hemorrhagic stroke, 7% prior transient ischemic attack, and 54% had a prior history of major or minor bleeding. Procedural success was achieved in 26 patients (93%) with procedural complications occurring in 2 patients (vascular access site bleeding and cardiac tamponade). Regarding in-hospital and follow-up complications, 0% ischemic stroke, 0% hemorrhagic stroke, and major or minor bleeding in 4% of patients. During follow up, device thrombosis occurred in only 1 patient. Conclusion LAAC is a feasible and effective alternative to anticoagulation in patients with CA and excessive bleeding risk, with procedural success and complication rates similar to reported studies of non-CA patients.

Abstract BACKGROUND Liquid biopsy in glioblastoma (GBM) is hindered by a lack of requisite circulating tumor (ct) and cell-free (cf) DNA levels in blood due to the blood-brain barrier (BBB). This limits the identification of blood-based tumor biomarkers along with the development and use of biomarker-driven systemic therapies. Real-time image-guided low intensity focused ultrasound (LIFU) combined with intravenously administered microbubble oscillators, leads to non-invasive disruption of the BBB. This trial aims to evaluate the utility of LIFU for boosting blood ctDNA and cfDNA for enhanced liquid biopsy in GBM patients. MATERIAL AND METHODS LIBERATE is an ongoing, prospective, multi-center, self-controlled, pivotal trial evaluating safety and technical efficacy of LIFU-based BBB disruption for increasing blood ctDNA and cfDNA levels in adults, aged 18-80 years with GBM. Patients with suspected GBM planned for tumor biopsy or resection at ten centers in the US are being enrolled. Patients with multifocal tumors or tumors arising from deep midline, thalamus, cerebellum, or brainstem are excluded. Patients are administered IV microbubbles for enhanced sonication effects, after which MR-guided BBB disruption using a 220 kHz LIFU device is performed with real-time acoustic feedback control for effective microbubble activation. Before and after procedure, phlebotomy and MRI brain are performed to evaluate outcomes. Primary study endpoint is defined, per subject, as ratio between their cfDNA level in blood 1-hour post-LIFU procedure compared to cfDNA level in blood pre-procedure. Primary study hypothesis is that BBB disruption with LIFU leads to a ≥2-fold rise in blood cfDNA. The secondary hypothesis is that there exists ≥75% agreement between biomarker pattern in blood cfDNA sample obtained 1-hour post-LIFU and the biomarker pattern in tumor tissue obtained later. The trial has been powered to evaluate both primary and secondary hypotheses. Based on an assumed true agreement rate of 91% and a one-sided alpha of 0.025, an exact test for binomial proportions provides a sample of N = 50 with 84% power for the secondary hypothesis. Exploratory endpoints include (1) sensitivity of detection of known specific somatic mutations in ctDNA from blood samples collected before and after LIFU, (2) estimation of ctDNA levels post-LIFU in samples collected at 30 minutes, 1 hour, 2 hour, and 3 hour to determine the time of greatest yield, (3) correlation of MRI parameters related to grading of BBB disruption and ctDNA-based biomarkers from post-LIFU blood samples. RESULTS Patient enrollment commenced in 2022, and 22 patients have been recruited by 05/2024. CONCLUSION Findings from this trial will be critical to liquid biopsy in GBM (Clinical trial information: NCT05383872).

Abstract Ciltacabtagene autoleucel (cilta-cel) was approved in 2022 for patients with relapsed/refractory multiple myeloma (RRMM). We report outcomes with cilta-cel in the standard-of-care setting. Patients with RRMM who underwent leukapheresis for cilta-cel manufacturing between 1 March 2022 and 31 December 2022 at 16 US academic medical centers were included. Overall, 255 patients underwent leukapheresis and 236 (92.5%) received cilta-cel, of which 54% would not have met CARTITUDE-1 eligibility criteria. In treated patients (N = 236), cytokine release syndrome was seen in 75% (grade ≥3, 5%), immune effector cell–associated neurotoxicity syndrome in 14% (grade ≥3, 4%), and delayed neurotoxicity in 10%. Overall and complete response rates were as follows: all patients who received cilta-cel (N = 236), 89% and 70%; patients receiving conforming cilta-cel (n = 191), 94% and 74%; and conforming cilta-cel with fludarabine/cyclophosphamide lymphodepletion (n = 152), 95% and 76%, respectively. Nonrelapse mortality was 10%, most commonly from infection. After a median follow-up of 13 months from cilta-cel, the median progression-free survival (PFS) was not reached, with 12-month estimate being 68% (95% confidence interval, 62-74). High ferritin levels, high-risk cytogenetics, and extramedullary disease were independently associated with inferior PFS, with a signal for prior B-cell maturation antigen–targeted therapy (P = .08). Second primary malignancies excluding nonmelanoma skin cancers were seen in 5.5% and myeloid malignancies/acute leukemia in 1.7%. We observed a favorable efficacy profile of standard-of-care cilta-cel in RRMM, despite more than half the patients not meeting the CARTITUDE-1 eligibility criteria.

Since 1988 the demand for the pancreas transplantation has continued to increase. This has been accompanied by a growth in the number of centers offering the procedure, and an increase in the number of transplants performed. The National Cooperative Transplantation Study was undertaken to document the costs of all transplants, including pancreas transplantation. Data on transplantation procedure charges, from date of transplant to discharge, were obtained from 66.7% of all pancreas transplantation programs active in 1988. These programs accounted for 72% of all transplants performed that year. Valid sample survey data (no more than 25 transplants per center) were obtained for 133 randomly selected patients. This constituted 54% of all procedures done in the United States in 1988. Detailed data were also collected on sources of payment and amount reimbursed. Due to outlier data, we report statistical medians, rather than means, as our measure of central tendency. The median charge for a pancreas transplant with or without a kidney was $66 917, with a hospital length of stay of 21 days, compared with a kidney transplant alone at $39 625 and a hospital length of stay of 14 days. Total pancreas transplant charges fell between $45 260 and $105 375 for 50% of the cases studied. Half of the patients had a hospital length of stay between 16 and 33 days. Due to the small number of cases available for analysis, it was not meaningful to cross‐classify the data according to various prognostic variables. Fifty percent of the transplants studied were paid for by private insurers, and reimbursement exceeded 80% of billed charges for 50.6% of the cases analyzed. Insurance reimbursement for pancreas transplantation is not uniform, but is favorable for those covered. While the number of procedures performed annually has increased since 1980, with the largest increases occurring since 1988, sustained growth may well be a function of insurance coverage. Many transplant centers are unable to bear the expense of pancreas transplants insurers fail to cover. As a result, access will be a problem for some patients.

BACKGROUND: Long QT syndrome is a lethal arrhythmia syndrome, frequently caused by rare loss-of-function variants in the potassium channel encoded by KCNH2 . Variant classification is difficult, often because of lack of functional data. Moreover, variant-based risk stratification is also complicated by heterogenous clinical data and incomplete penetrance. Here we sought to test whether variant-specific information, primarily from high-throughput functional assays, could improve both classification and cardiac event risk stratification in a large, harmonized cohort of KCNH2 missense variant heterozygotes. METHODS: We quantified cell-surface trafficking of 18 796 variants in KCNH2 using a multiplexed assay of variant effect (MAVE). We recorded KCNH2 current density for 533 variants by automated patch clamping. We calibrated the strength of evidence of MAVE data according to ClinGen guidelines. We deeply phenotyped 1458 patients with KCNH2 missense variants, including QTc, cardiac event history, and mortality. We correlated variant functional data and Bayesian long QT syndrome penetrance estimates with cohort phenotypes and assessed hazard ratios for cardiac events. RESULTS: Variant MAVE trafficking scores and automated patch clamping peak tail currents were highly correlated (Spearman rank-order ρ=0.69; n=433). The MAVE data were found to provide up to pathogenic very strong evidence for severe loss-of-function variants. In the cohort, both functional assays and Bayesian long QT syndrome penetrance estimates were significantly predictive of cardiac events when independently modeled with patient sex and corrected QT interval (QTc); however, MAVE data became nonsignificant when peak tail current and penetrance estimates were also available. The area under the receiver operator characteristic curve for 20-year event outcomes based on patient-specific sex and QTc (area under the curve, 0.80 [0.76–0.83]) was improved with prospectively available penetrance scores conditioned on MAVE (area under the curve, 0.86 [0.83–0.89]) or attainable automated patch clamping peak tail current data (area under the curve, 0.84 [0.81–0.88]). CONCLUSIONS: High-throughput KCNH2 variant MAVE data meaningfully contribute to variant classification at scale, whereas long QT syndrome penetrance estimates and automated patch clamping peak tail current measurements meaningfully contribute to risk stratification of cardiac events in patients with heterozygous KCNH2 missense variants.