Abstract Aims Current non-invasive screening methods for cardiac allograft rejection have shown limited discrimination and are yet to be broadly integrated into heart transplant care. Given electrocardiogram (ECG) changes have been reported with severe cardiac allograft rejection, this study aimed to develop a deep-learning model, a form of artificial intelligence, to detect allograft rejection using the 12-lead ECG (AI-ECG). Methods and results Heart transplant recipients were identified across three Mayo Clinic sites between 1998 and 2021. Twelve-lead digital ECG data and endomyocardial biopsy results were extracted from medical records. Allograft rejection was defined as moderate or severe acute cellular rejection (ACR) based on International Society for Heart and Lung Transplantation guidelines. The extracted data (7590 unique ECG-biopsy pairs, belonging to 1427 patients) was partitioned into training (80%), validation (10%), and test sets (10%) such that each patient was included in only one partition. Model performance metrics were based on the test set (n = 140 patients; 758 ECG-biopsy pairs). The AI-ECG detected ACR with an area under the receiver operating curve (AUC) of 0.84 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.78–0.90] and 95% (19/20; 95% CI: 75–100%) sensitivity. A prospective proof-of-concept screening study (n = 56; 97 ECG-biopsy pairs) showed the AI-ECG detected ACR with AUC = 0.78 (95% CI: 0.61–0.96) and 100% (2/2; 95% CI: 16–100%) sensitivity. Conclusion An AI-ECG model is effective for detection of moderate-to-severe ACR in heart transplant recipients. Our findings could improve transplant care by providing a rapid, non-invasive, and potentially remote screening option for cardiac allograft function.
Artificial intelligence-based risk stratification of atrial fibrillation among women with peripartum cardiomyopathy compared to other cardiomyopathies
Abstract Background Atrial fibrillation (AF) is diagnosed in up to 50% of patients with heart failure. However, the prevalence of AF among patients with peripartum cardiomyopathy (PPCM) ranges from only 2–10%, with the lowest rates in Black women. An artificial intelligence enhanced electrocardiogram (AI-ECG) has previously been shown to be effective in detecting AF while in sinus rhythm, and for AF risk prediction in a population-based study. Purpose Our objective was to evaluate the use of an AI-ECG for AF risk stratification among women of reproductive age (18 to 49 years) with PPCM compared to other forms of cardiomyopathy. Methods We identified 59 reproductive age women with a diagnosis of PPCM between January 2007, and October 2018 and included matched controls in a 3:1 fashion. Matching was performed based on sex, age, race, and left ventricular ejection fraction. We excluded patients with a diagnosis of AF prior to cardiomyopathy diagnosis date. AI-ECG prediction probabilities were generated for ECGs performed within a 30-day window prior to the patient's first cardiomyopathy diagnosis date for the entire study cohort. Results A total of 236 patients were included in the final analysis (59 cases, 177 controls). Overall, the median age at cardiomyopathy diagnosis was 31.7 years (IQR: 18.5, 49.4), 76.3% were White, 8.5% were Black, and 15.3% represented other or unknown race. Over the period studied, 3.4% of women with PPCM developed AF compared to 5.6% of women with other cardiomyopathies. The frequency of positive AI-ECG predictions for AF was more common among women with other cardiomyopathies (40.7%) compared to women with PPCM (20.3%). The predicted odds ratio for AF development following a cardiomyopathy diagnosis based on AI-ECG results was 0.37 (95% CI: 0.18, 0.73) for PPCM compared to other cardiomyopathies (p=0.006). Conclusion We demonstrated that an AI-ECG model for AF prediction may play a potential role in arrhythmia risk stratification/prediction among young women with PPCM who have a demonstrable lower risk for AF compared to women with other cardiomyopathies. Mechanisms for lower AF risk among patients with PPCM remain unknown. Further studies evaluating mechanistic pathways will be essential. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: None.
Clinical Characteristics of Patients with Myocarditis following COVID-19 mRNA Vaccination: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis
COVID-19 mRNA vaccinations have recently been implicated in causing myocarditis. Therefore, the primary aim of this systematic review and meta-analysis was to investigate the clinical characteristics of patients with myocarditis following mRNA vaccination. The secondary aims were to report common imaging and laboratory findings, as well as treatment regimes, in these patients. A literature search was performed from December 2019 to June 2022. Eligible studies reported patients older than 18 years vaccinated with mRNA, a diagnosis of myocarditis, and subsequent outcomes. Pooled mean or proportion were analyzed using a random-effects model. Seventy-five unique studies (patient n = 188, 89.4% male, mean age 18–67 years) were included. Eighty-six patients had Moderna vaccines while one hundred and two patients had Pfizer-BioNTech vaccines. The most common presenting symptoms were chest pain (34.5%), fever (17.1%), myalgia (12.4%), and chills (12.1%). The most common radiologic findings were ST-related changes on an electrocardiogram (58.7%) and hypokinesia on cardiac magnetic resonance imaging or echocardiography (50.7%). Laboratory findings included elevated Troponin I levels (81.7%) and elevated C-reactive protein (71.5%). Seven patients were admitted to the intensive care unit. The most common treatment modality was non-steroid anti-inflammatory drugs (36.6%) followed by colchicine (28.5%). This meta-analysis presents novel evidence to suggest possible myocarditis post mRNA vaccination in certain individuals, especially young male patients. Clinical practice must therefore take appropriate pre-cautionary measures when administrating COVID-19 mRNA vaccinations.
Sex Differences in the Impact of Aortic Valve Calcium Score on Mortality After Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement
Background: Transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) is now an approved alternative to surgical aortic valve replacement for the treatment of severe aortic stenosis. As the clinical adoption of TAVR expands, it remains important to identify predictors of mortality after TAVR. We aimed to evaluate the impact of sex differences in aortic valve calcium score (AVCS) on long-term mortality following TAVR in a large patient sample. Methods: We included consecutive patients who successfully underwent TAVR for treatment of severe native aortic valve stenosis from June 2010 to May 2021 across all US Mayo Clinic sites with follow-up through July 2021. AVCS values were obtained from preoperative computed tomography of the chest. Additional clinical data were abstracted from medical records. Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox-proportional hazard regression models were employed to evaluate the effect of AVCS on long-term mortality. Results: A total of 2543 patients were evaluated in the final analysis. Forty-one percent were women, median age was 82 years (Q1: 76, Q3: 86), 18.4% received a permanent pacemaker following TAVR, and 88.5% received a balloon expandable valve. We demonstrate an increase in mortality risk with higher AVCS after multivariable adjustment ( P <0.001). When stratified by sex, every 500-unit increase in AVCS was associated with a 7% increase in mortality risk among women (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.07 [95% CI, 1.02–1.12]) but not in men. Conclusions: We demonstrate a notable sex difference in the association between AVCS and long-term mortality in a large TAVR patient sample. This study highlights the potential value of AVCS in preprocedural risk stratification, specifically among women undergoing TAVR. Additional studies are needed to validate this finding.
Upregulation of Endothelin-1 May Predict Chemotherapy-Induced Cardiotoxicity in Women with Breast Cancer
As survival in breast cancer patients from newer therapies increases, concerns for chemotherapy-induced cardiotoxicity (CIC) have offset some of these benefits, manifesting as a decline in left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). Patients receiving anthracycline-based chemotherapy followed by trastuzumab are at risk for CIC. Previous research evaluating whether clinical biomarkers predict cardiotoxicity has been inconsistent. Recently, angiotensin II type 1 receptor (ATR1) and endothelin 1 (ET1) have been shown to play a role in breast tumor growth. We evaluated ATR1 and ET1 expression in breast cancer tissue and its association with CIC. A total of 33 paraffin-embedded breast tissue specimens from women with breast cancer treated with anthracycline-based chemotherapy and trastuzumab were analyzed by immunohistochemistry (IHC) and qRT-PCR. We found that ET1 expression was increased in patients with an LVEF ≤ 50% (p = 0.032) with a lower LVEF correlating with higher ET1 expression (r = 0.377, p = 0.031). In patients with a change in LVEF of greater than 10%, greater ET1 expression was noted compared to those without a change in LVEF (p = 0.017). Increased ET1 expression in breast tumor tissue is associated with reduced LVEF. Future studies need to examine whether ET1 may be a tissue biomarker that helps predict the risk of developing CIC in women with breast cancer.
Abstract 11691: Deep Learning Predicts Need for Permanent Pacemaker Following Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement
Introduction: Conduction disturbance after transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) remains a common complication. Predictive tools to identify conduction disturbance requiring pacing are limited. Our main objective was to develop a deep learning model to predict the need for a permanent pacemaker. Hypothesis: An electrocardiogram (ECG) based deep learning algorithm can predict the need for permanent pacemaker post TAVR. Methods: We evaluated patients who had TAVR at Mayo Clinic between June 2010 and May 2021. Digital ECGs done on the TAVR date or within 24 hours post procedure were partitioned into training, validation, and testing datasets. We trained a deep learning algorithm on the training data and optimized hyperparameters against the validation data. All model performance metrics are based on the reserved test data that were estimated once model architecture was optimized. Need for permanent pacemaker, defined as pacemaker placement due to development of conduction disturbance post TAVR and at least 1% ventricular pacing on device interrogation done at least 2 weeks post pacemaker implantation, was the training target. Results: A total of 3021 patients were evaluated for inclusion and 2,407 cases were available for modeling (exclusions: prior pacemaker (n=419), unsuccessful TAVR (n=27) and no ECG within the pre-specified period (n=168)). Overall, the median age was 82 (Q1: 76, Q3: 86) and 41% were female. In the withheld test data, 15% had a permanent pacemaker with at least 1% ventricular pacing. The algorithm detected the need for pacemaker in the test set with an AUC of 0.83 (95% CI: 0.73 to 0.92). Accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive were 80%, 72%, 81%, 41% and 94%, respectively. Conclusions: This study demonstrates the ability of a deep learning model based on ECG data to assist in making the decision to implant a pacemaker following TAVR with a high negative predictive value. Larger validation studies are warranted.
Abstract 11009: Aortic Valve Calcium Score and Mortality Risk Following Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement
Background: Transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) is an approved alternative to surgical aortic valve replacement. However, as the clinical indication and adoption of TAVR expands, it remains important to identify predictors of mortality after TAVR. We aimed to study the impact of aortic valve calcium score on long term mortality following TAVR in a large patient population. Methods: We included consecutive patients who successfully underwent TAVR from June 2010 – June 2019 across all Mayo Clinic sites. Patients were followed through February 2021. Aortic valve calcium scores were obtained from preoperative computed tomography angiography of the chest. Additional data was abstracted from medical records. Cox-proportional hazard regression models were employed to evaluate the independent effect of aortic valve calcium score on mortality. Results: A total of 1988 patients were evaluated in the final analysis. Forty-two percent were women, median age was 83 years (Q1: 77, Q3: 87), 16% received a permanent pacemaker following TAVR and 83% received an Edwards Sapien valve. We demonstrate an incremental increase in mortality risk as aortic valve calcium score values increased after adjusting for age, gender, pacemaker implantation, left bundle branch block, and Charlson Comorbidity Index. Selected calcium score cut-points with adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) are displayed: 1200 AU (aHR: 1.13, 95% CI 1.06, 1.20); 2000 AU (aHR: 1.22, 95% CI 1.09, 1.35); 3000 AU (aHR: 1.34, 95% CI: 1.14, 1.58). Conclusion: This study demonstrates an association between aortic valve calcium score and long-term mortality in a large patient population. This highlights the potential predictive value of the calcium score in preoperative planning and may provide clinicians with an additional measure for risk stratification prior to TAVR.
Detecting cardiomyopathies in pregnancy and the postpartum period using ECG
Abstract Background Cardiovascular disease (CVD) has been identified as a major threat to maternal health in the US and UK with cardiomyopathy being one of the most common acquired CVD in the pregnant and postpartum period. Diagnosing cardiomyopathy in pregnancy is challenging due to an overlap of cardiovascular symptoms with normal pregnancy symptoms. Purpose The purpose of this study was to evaluate the effectiveness of an ECG based deep learning model in identifying cardiomyopathy among pregnant and postpartum women. Methods We utilized an ECG based deep learning model to detect cardiomyopathy in a cohort of pregnant or postpartum women seen at multiple hospital sites. Model performance was evaluated using area under the curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity. We compared the diagnostic probabilities of the deep learning model with natriuretic peptides and a multivariable model consisting of demographic and clinical parameters. Results 1,807 women were included. 7%, 10% and 13% had LVEF ≤35%, <45% and <50% respectively. The ECG based deep learning model identified cardiomyopathy with an AUC of 0.92 for left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) ≤35%, 0.89 for LVEF <45% and 0.87 for LVEF <50%. For LVEF ≤35%, AUC was higher in Black (0.95) and Hispanic (0.98) women compared to white (0.91). Natriuretic peptides and the multivariable model had AUCs of 0.85 and 0.72 respectively. Conclusions A deep learning model effectively identifies cardiomyopathy in pregnant or postpartum women, outperforms natriuretic peptides and traditional clinical parameters with the potential to become a powerful initial screening tool for cardiomyopathy in the obstetric care setting. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: Other. Main funding source(s): This study was made possible using resources supported by the Mayo Clinic Women's Health Research Center and the Mayo Clinic Building Interdisciplinary Research Careers in Women's Health (BIRCWH) Program funded by the National Institutes of Health (NIH), grant number K12 HD065987. The content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily represent the official views of the National Institutes of Health.
Detecting cardiomyopathies in pregnancy and the postpartum period using ECG
Abstract Background Cardiovascular disease (CVD) has been identified as a major threat to maternal health in the US and UK with cardiomyopathy being one of the most common acquired CVD in the pregnant and postpartum period. Diagnosing cardiomyopathy in pregnancy is challenging due to an overlap of cardiovascular symptoms with normal pregnancy symptoms. Purpose The purpose of this study was to evaluate the effectiveness of an ECG based deep learning model in identifying cardiomyopathy among pregnant and postpartum women. Methods We utilized an ECG based deep learning model to detect cardiomyopathy in a cohort of pregnant or postpartum women seen at multiple hospital sites. Model performance was evaluated using area under the curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity. We compared the diagnostic probabilities of the deep learning model with natriuretic peptides and a multivariable model consisting of demographic and clinical parameters. Results 1,807 women were included. 7%, 10% and 13% had LVEF ≤35%, <45% and <50% respectively. The ECG based deep learning model identified cardiomyopathy with an AUC of 0.92 for left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) ≤35%, 0.89 for LVEF <45% and 0.87 for LVEF <50%. For LVEF ≤35%, AUC was higher in Black (0.95) and Hispanic (0.98) women compared to white (0.91). Natriuretic peptides and the multivariable model had AUCs of 0.85 and 0.72 respectively. Conclusions A deep learning model effectively identifies cardiomyopathy in pregnant or postpartum women, outperforms natriuretic peptides and traditional clinical parameters with the potential to become a powerful initial screening tool for cardiomyopathy in the obstetric care setting. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: Other. Main funding source(s): This study was made possible using resources supported by the Mayo Clinic Women's Health Research Center and the Mayo Clinic Building Interdisciplinary Research Careers in Women's Health (BIRCWH) Program funded by the National Institutes of Health (NIH), grant number K12 HD065987. The content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily represent the official views of the National Institutes of Health.