Abstract 12578: Development and Validation of a Scoring System For Predicting Technical Failure During Percutaneous Coronary Interventions of Chronic Total Occlusions: The Updated PROGRESS-CTO Score
Background: Predicting technical failure in chronic total occlusion (CTO) percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) can assist with decision making and planning of the procedure. Methods: We analyzed 6,946 CTO PCIs performed between 2016 and June 2022 at 36 international centers in the Prospective Global Registry for the Study of Chronic Total Occlusion Intervention (PROGRESS-CTO) and created a score for risk of technical failure. Logistic regression prediction modeling was used to identify independently associated variables with technical failure and model were internally validated with bootstrapping. Results: Mean patient age was 64.0±10 years, 82% were men and technical success was 86%. The following variables were independently associated with technical failure and were included in the final model: age (odds ratio [OR]: 1.08, 95% Confidence Intervals [CI]: [1.00-1.15], p=0.039; age≥ 65 years; 1 point), CTO length (OR: 1.13, 95% CI [1.10, 1.17]; length≥ 20 mm; 1 point), moderate/severe calcification (OR: 1.35, 95% CI [1.17, 1.56]; 1 point), proximal cap ambiguity (OR: 2.25, 95% CI [1.95, 2.59]; 2 points), lack of interventional collaterals (OR: 1.60, 95% CI [1.39, 1.84]; 1 point), and lack of good distal landing zone (OR: 1.51, 95% CI [1.31, 1.75]; 1 point). The resulting score showed acceptable performance on receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve, AUC: 0.68 (95% CI [0.67-0.71]). Internal validation with bootstrapping of 1000 samples demonstrated a good agreement with the model, observed AUC: 0.68, (95% bias corrected CI [0.67, 0.70]). PROGRESS-CTO technical failure score and corresponding risk percentage and the percentage of patients in the respective risk group within the PROGRESS-CTO registry are represented in Figure 1. Conclusion: The updated PROGRESS CTO score may be useful for assessing the likelihood of technical failure success in CTO PCI.
Abstract 11505: Predicting In-Hospital All-Cause Mortality in Chronic Total Occlusion Percutaneous Coronary Intervention: PROGRESS-CTO Mortality Score
Introduction: Chronic total occlusion (CTO) percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) is associated with increased risk of periprocedural complications. Estimating the risk of complications facilitates risk-benefit assessment and procedural planning. Methods: We analyzed the Prospective Global Registry for the Study of Chronic Total Occlusion Intervention (PROGRESS-CTO, NCT02061436) and created a risk score for in-hospital all-cause mortality. Logistic regression prediction modeling was used to identify independently associated variables and the model was internally validated with bootstrapping. Results: Of the 10,480 CTO PCI cases performed between 2012-2022 at 40 US and non-US centers, in-hospital mortality occurred in 47 (0.45%). The final prediction model identified 4 independent predictors of mortality: Age ≥65 years, Odds Ratio [OR]: 2.83 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.30-6.16), 1-point; Left ventricular ejection fraction ≤45%, OR: 2.13 (95% CI, 1.14-3.98), 1-point; Moderate-severe calcification, OR: 2.45 (95% CI, 1.18-5.08), 1-point; and Antegrade dissection re-entry, OR: 2.81 (95% CI, 1.06-7.43), 1-point; or Retrograde strategy, OR: 3.51 (95% CI, 1.67-7.37), 1-point; with a bootstrap corrected c-statistics of 0.71 (95% confidence interval: 0.63-0.81). The calculated risk percentages for mortality based on the PROGRESS-CTO mortality score ranged from 0.05-2.42% for mortality, and 63% of patients in the PROGRESS-CTO cohort had PROGRESS-CTO mortality score of 1 or 2, corresponding to a mortality risk of 0.1-0.5% (Figure 1). Conclusions: The PROGRESS-CTO in-hospital mortality risk score can facilitate risk-benefit assessment and procedural planning in patients undergoing CTO PCI.
Impact of Active and Historical Cancers on the Management and Outcomes of Acute Myocardial Infarction Complicating Cardiogenic Shock
Background There are limited data on the outcomes of acute myocardial infarction–cardiogenic shock (AMI-CS) in patients with concomitant cancer. Methods A retrospective cohort of adult AMI-CS admissions was identified from the National Inpatient Sample (2000–2017) and stratified by active cancer, historical cancer, and no cancer. Outcomes of interest included in-hospital mortality, use of coronary angiography, use of percutaneous coronary intervention, do-not-resuscitate status, palliative care use, hospitalization costs, and hospital length of stay. Results Of the 557,974 AMI-CS admissions during this 18-year period, active and historical cancers were noted in 14,826 (2.6%) and 27,073 (4.8%), respectively. From 2000 to 2017, there was a decline in active cancers (adjusted odds ratio, 0.70 [95% CI, 0.63–0.79]; P < .001) and an increase in historical cancer (adjusted odds ratio, 2.06 [95% CI, 1.89–2.25]; P < .001). Compared with patients with no cancer, patients with active and historical cancer received less-frequent coronary angiography (57%, 67%, and 70%, respectively) and percutaneous coronary intervention (40%, 47%, and 49%%, respectively) and had higher do-not-resuscitate status (13%, 15%, 7%%, respectively) and palliative care use (12%, 10%, 6%%, respectively) (P < .001). Compared with those without cancer, higher in-hospital mortality was found in admissions with active cancer (45.9% vs 37.0%; adjusted odds ratio, 1.29 [95% CI, 1.24–1.34]; P < .001) but not historical cancer (40.1% vs 37.0%; adjusted odds ratio, 1.01 [95% CI, 0.98–1.04]; P = .39). AMI-CS admissions with cancer had a shorter hospitalization duration and lower costs (all P < .001). Conclusion Concomitant cancer was associated with less use of guideline-directed procedures. Active, but not historical, cancer was associated with higher mortality in patients with AMI-CS.
Intravascular lithotripsy in chronic total occlusion percutaneous coronary intervention: Insights from the PROGRESS‐CTO registry
AbstractBackgroundThe use of intravascular lithotripsy (IVL) in chronic total occlusion (CTO) percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) has received limited study.MethodsWe analyzed the baseline clinical and angiographic characteristics and procedural outcomes of 82 CTO PCIs that required IVL at 14 centers between 2020 and 2022.ResultsDuring the study period, IVL was used in 82 of 3301 (2.5%) CTO PCI procedures (0.4% in 2020 and 7% in 2022; p for trend < 0.001). Mean patient age was 69 ± 11 years and 79% were men. The prevalence of hypertension (95%), diabetes mellitus (62%), and prior PCI (61%) was high. The most common target vessel was the right coronary artery (54%), followed by the left circumflex (23%). The mean J‐CTO and PROGRESS‐CTO scores were 2.8 ± 1.1 and 1.3 ± 1.0, respectively. Antegrade wiring was the final successful crossing strategy in 65% and the retrograde approach was used in 22%. IVL was used in 10% of all heavily calcified lesions and 11% of all balloon undilatable lesions. The 3.5 mm lithotripsy balloon was the most commonly used balloon (28%). The mean number of pulses per lithotripsy run was 33 ± 32 and the median duration of lithotripsy was 80 (interquartile range: 40−103) seconds. Technical and procedural success was achieved in 77 (94%) and 74 (90%) cases, respectively. Two (2.4%) Ellis Class 2 perforations occurred after IVL use and were managed conservatively.ConclusionIVL is increasingly being used in CTO PCI with encouraging outcomes.
A Comprehensive Appraisal of Risk Prediction Models for Cardiogenic Shock
ABSTRACT Despite advances in early revascularization, percutaneous hemodynamic support platforms, and systems of care, cardiogenic shock (CS) remains associated with a mortality rate higher than 50%. Several risk stratification models have been derived since the 1990 s to identify patients at high risk of adverse outcomes. Still, limited information is available on the differences between scoring systems and their relative applicability to both acute myocardial infarction and advanced decompensated heart failure CS. Thus, we reviewed the similarities, differences, and limitations of published CS risk prediction models and herein discuss their suitability to the contemporary management of CS care.
Abstract 1756: Determination of the Mechanism of Elevated Left Ventricular Filling Pressures with Exercise: A Simultaneous Echocardiographic-Catheterization Study
Background: Exercise normally enhances LV relaxation with minimal change in filling pressure (P). We hypothesize that exercise in hypertensive (HTN) patients increases LV diastolic P through a direct effect on relaxation and ventricular-vascular coupling. Methods: Patients (n=21) with HTN, normal EF, and no coronary disease underwent simultaneous micromanometer LV P and echo-Doppler measurements at rest and with low level supine exercise (12 bicycle; 9 arm weight). Continuous volume (V) was obtained from mitral Doppler inflow and end-diastolic (ED) and end-systolic (ES) V from 2-D echo. Relaxation-corrected LV diastolic P was used for PV relationship P = α.e β*V ; to account for covariance in α and β, LV capacitance (EDV 20 = Ln[20mmHg/α]/β) was reported. Single beat method was used for LV ES elastance (Ees). Group 1 did not increase mean LV diastolic P (mDP) with exercise, Group 2 increased mDP >6mmHg. Results: LV diastolic P and arterial and LV ES elastance increased with exercise; EDV was stable; EDV 20 decreased. Compared to Group 1, Group 2 had a greater exercise-induced increase in afterload, associated with increase in LV minimal P and impaired augmentation of relaxation rate (Table & Figure ). Conclusions: In patients with HTN, impairment of ventricular relaxation plays a major role in causing LV filling P increase with exercise, which is related to ventricular-vascular coupling.
Titin Isoforms, Extracellular Matrix, and Global Chamber Remodeling in Experimental Dilated Cardiomyopathy
Background— Altered titin isoforms may modify cardiac function in heart failure (HF), but the nature of isoform switches and associated functional implications are not well defined. Limited studies have reported an increased compliant isoform (N2BA) expression in human systolic HF. Titin may also modulate stretch-regulated responses such as myocardial natriuretic peptide production. Methods and Results— We characterized titin isoform expression and extracellular matrix in all 4 cardiac chambers and the left ventricular (LV) epicardium and endocardium in normal dogs (n=6) and those with HF (n=6) due to tachypacing and characterized functional implications at the LV myofiber and chamber level. Recognizing the potential for uncoupling of the extracellular matrix and cardiomyocyte in tachypacing, myocardial natriuretic peptide production, a molecular marker of stretch-regulated responses, was also assessed. All chambers were dilated in HF, but the extracellular matrix was not increased. HF dogs had markedly lower N2BA in the atria and right ventricle. In failing LVs, N2BA was decreased only in the epicardium, where myofiber passive stiffness was increased. However, LV chamber mechanics were driven by the marked LV dilatation, with no increase in LV diastolic stiffness. Natriuretic peptide concentrations increased markedly in the endocardium in relation to increases in LV wall stress. Conclusions— Tachypacing HF is characterized by decreases in compliant titin isoform expression in the atria, right ventricle, and LV epicardium. However, LV chamber mechanics are principally determined by geometric and extracellular matrix changes rather than titin-based myofiber stiffness in this model. Stretch-regulated myocardial responses (natriuretic peptide production) appeared intact, suggesting that the mechanotransduction role of titin was not impaired in HF.