Sinicrope, Frank A.

Abstract Deep learning may detect biologically important signals embedded in tumor morphologic features that confer distinct prognoses. Tumor morphologic features were quantified to enhance patient risk stratification within DNA mismatch repair (MMR) groups using deep learning. Using a quantitative segmentation algorithm (QuantCRC) that identifies 15 distinct morphologic features, we analyzed 402 resected stage III colon carcinomas [191 deficient (d)-MMR; 189 proficient (p)-MMR] from participants in a phase III trial of FOLFOX-based adjuvant chemotherapy. Results were validated in an independent cohort (176 d-MMR; 1,094 p-MMR). Association of morphologic features with clinicopathologic variables, MMR, KRAS, BRAFV600E, and time-to-recurrence (TTR) was determined. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were developed to predict TTR. Tumor morphologic features differed significantly by MMR status. Cancers with p-MMR had more immature desmoplastic stroma. Tumors with d-MMR had increased inflammatory stroma, epithelial tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TIL), high-grade histology, mucin, and signet ring cells. Stromal subtype did not differ by BRAFV600E or KRAS status. In p-MMR tumors, multivariable analysis identified tumor-stroma ratio (TSR) as the strongest feature associated with TTR [HRadj 2.02; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.14–3.57; P = 0.018; 3-year recurrence: 40.2% vs. 20.4%; Q1 vs. Q2–4]. Among d-MMR tumors, extent of inflammatory stroma (continuous HRadj 0.98; 95% CI, 0.96–0.99; P = 0.028; 3-year recurrence: 13.3% vs. 33.4%, Q4 vs. Q1) and N stage were the most robust prognostically. Association of TSR with TTR was independently validated. In conclusion, QuantCRC can quantify morphologic differences within MMR groups in routine tumor sections to determine their relative contributions to patient prognosis, and may elucidate relevant pathophysiologic mechanisms driving prognosis. Significance: A deep learning algorithm can quantify tumor morphologic features that may reflect underlying mechanisms driving prognosis within MMR groups. TSR was the most robust morphologic feature associated with TTR in p-MMR colon cancers. Extent of inflammatory stroma and N stage were the strongest prognostic features in d-MMR tumors. TIL density was not independently prognostic in either MMR group.

PURPOSE A number of studies suggest that older patients may have reduced or no benefit from the addition of oxaliplatin to fluoropyrimidines as adjuvant chemotherapy for stage III colon cancer (CC). MATERIALS AND METHODS We studied the prognostic impact of age, as well as treatment adherence/toxicity patterns according to age, in patients with stage III CC who received 3 or 6 months of infusional fluorouracil, leucovorin, and oxaliplatin/capecitabine and oxaliplatin (CAPOX) on the basis of data collected from trials from the ACCENT and IDEA databases. Associations between age and time to recurrence (TTR), disease-free survival (DFS), overall survival (OS), survival after recurrence (SAR), and cancer-specific survival (CSS) were assessed by a Cox model or a competing risk model, stratified by studies and adjusted for sex, performance status, T and N stage, and year of enrollment. RESULTS A total of 17,909 patients were included; 24% of patients were age older than 70 years (n = 4,340). Patients age ≥70 years had higher rates of early treatment discontinuation. Rates of grade ≥3 adverse events were similar between those older and younger than 70 years, except for diarrhea and neutropenia that were more frequent in older patients treated with CAPOX (14.2% v 11.2%; P = .01 and 12.1% v 9.6%; P = .04, respectively). In multivariable analysis, TTR was not significantly different between patients <70 years and those ≥70 years, but DFS, OS, SAR, and CSS were significantly shorter in those patients ≥70 years. CONCLUSION In patients ≥70 years with stage III CC fit enough to be enrolled in clinical trials, oxaliplatin-based adjuvant chemotherapy was well tolerated and led to similar TTR compared with younger patients, suggesting similar efficacy. TTR may be a more appropriate end point for efficacy in this patient population.

Abstract Background: Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have revolutionized the treatment of patients with deficient DNA mismatch repair (d-MMR) cancers, yet less than half of patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) receive clinical benefit. We analyzed heterogeneity within d-MMR tumors using a multi-omics approach inclusive of percent unstable microsatellite loci (MS). Methods: We studied consecutive patients with d-MMR mCRC with available primary tumors (N=32) that were treated with an anti-PD-1 antibody at Mayo Clinic (2015-2022). Tumors were profiled using a whole exome and transcriptome platform (ImmunoID NeXT®). MSIsensor was used to calculate percent unstable microsatellite loci from whole exome sequencing data. CIBERSORT and ssGSEA were used to analyze immune gene expression in relationship to percent unstable microsatellite loci. An immune checkpoint gene expression signature was calculated as the mean expression of CD274, CTLA-4, HAVCR2, LAG-3, PDCD1, PDCD1LG2, TIGIT. Aforementioned variables were analyzed in relationship to objective tumor response (RECIST version 1.1). A Cox proportional hazards model was fit to predict progression-free survival (PFS). Results: Among 32 patients with d-MMR mCRC treated with PD-1 blockade, 16 (50%) received first-line anti-PD-1 therapy; others had &gt; 1 prior chemotherapy regimen. Eighteen (56.3%) tumors harbored BRAFV600E, 4 (12.5%) had mutant KRAS, and median PFS was 24.6 months (95% CI: 8.4, NR) with 18 events. Neither tumor mutation burden (TMB) nor PD-L1 mRNA expression predicted PFS. Median percent unstable MS loci was 14.38 (IQR: 2.6-23.2). Patients whose tumors had higher percent unstable MS loci had significantly better PFS (Q2-4 vs Q1; HR: 0.22, 95%CI: 0.06, 0.62; P=0.003), and were associated with increased objective response (P=0.049). Tumors with higher unstable loci also had higher neoantigen clonality (R= 0.64; P= 0.0003) and increased M0 (resting) macrophages (P=0.02). Nonresponders (vs responders) to PD-1 blockade had an increased immune checkpoint expression signature (P= 0.005). Conclusion: A higher percentage of unstable microsatellite loci, associated with higher neoantigen clonality and resting macrophages, was predictive of anti-PD-1 efficacy. Furthermore, an immune checkpoint gene expression signature was associated with objective response. Citation Format: Bahar Saberzadeh-Ardestani, Oluwadunni E. Emiloju, Rondell P. Graham, Jason T. Lewis, Charles W. Abbott, Sean M. Boyle, Frank A. Sinicrope. Prediction of PD-1 treatment outcome in mismatch repair deficient metastatic colorectal cancer using a multi-omic approach [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2024; Part 1 (Regular Abstracts); 2024 Apr 5-10; San Diego, CA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2024;84(6_Suppl):Abstract nr 578.

Abstract Purpose: There is a need to improve current risk stratification of stage II colorectal cancer to better inform risk of recurrence and guide adjuvant chemotherapy. We sought to examine whether integration of QuantCRC, a digital pathology biomarker utilizing hematoxylin and eosin–stained slides, provides improved risk stratification over current American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO) guidelines. Experimental Design: ASCO and QuantCRC-integrated schemes were applied to a cohort of 398 mismatch-repair proficient (MMRP) stage II colorectal cancers from three large academic medical centers. The ASCO stage II scheme was taken from recent guidelines. The QuantCRC-integrated scheme utilized pT3 versus pT4 and a QuantCRC-derived risk classification. Evaluation of recurrence-free survival (RFS) according to these risk schemes was compared using the log-rank test and HR. Results: Integration of QuantCRC provides improved risk stratification compared with the ASCO scheme for stage II MMRP colorectal cancers. The QuantCRC-integrated scheme placed more stage II tumors in the low-risk group compared with the ASCO scheme (62.5% vs. 42.2%) without compromising excellent 3-year RFS. The QuantCRC-integrated scheme provided larger HR for both intermediate-risk (2.27; 95% CI, 1.32–3.91; P = 0.003) and high-risk (3.27; 95% CI, 1.42–7.55; P = 0.006) groups compared with ASCO intermediate-risk (1.58; 95% CI, 0.87–2.87; P = 0.1) and high-risk (2.24; 95% CI, 1.09–4.62; P = 0.03) groups. The QuantCRC-integrated risk groups remained prognostic in the subgroup of patients that did not receive any adjuvant chemotherapy. Conclusions: Incorporation of QuantCRC into risk stratification provides a powerful predictor of RFS that has potential to guide subsequent treatment and surveillance for stage II MMRP colorectal cancers.

55 Background: Nearly one-half of deficient mismatch repair (d-MMR) metastatic colorectal cancers (mCRC) demonstrate durable responses to immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs). Given preclinical data indicating that liver metastases sequester activated CD8+ T cells from systemic circulation, we examined clinical outcome by metastatic site. Methods: In a retrospective cohort of patients with d-MMR mCRCs treated at multiple centers in France (n=66), we sought to validate data from a U.S. cohort, and then performed pooled analysis (n=104). All patients received first-line ICI monotherapy. Metastatic site was analyzed in relationship to tumor response (RECIST version 1.1), and progression-free survival (PFS) by multivariable stratified Cox regression after adjustment for covariates. Results: Objective responses were achieved in 38/66 (58%) patients in the validation cohort. Best tumor response included 13 (20%) complete responses (CR), 25 (38%) partial responses (PR), 16 (25%) stable disease, and 11 (17%) progressive disease (PD). One-year and 5-year PFS rates were 73% and 67%, respectively; 18 (27%) patients progressed during immunotherapy. Best tumor response was attenuated in patients with liver metastasis ( P=0.03). Presence of liver metastasis, but not other sites, was associated with significantly poorer PFS after adjustment for covariates (HRadj 2.82; 95%CI, 1.08-7.39; Padj=0.03). In a pooled analysis, liver metastasis remained significantly and independently associated with poorer PFS (HRadj 3.18; 95%CI, 1.52-6.67; Padj=0.002) and with attenuated tumor best response (P=0.01). Conclusions: Metastasis to the liver, but not other sites, was validated as an independent factor associated with poorer response and survival after ICI treatment in d-MMR mCRCs. These data underscore the need for novel therapeutic strategies in these patients. [Table: see text]

162 Background: There is a need to improve current risk stratification of stage II and III colorectal cancer (CRC) to better inform risk of recurrence and guide adjuvant chemotherapy. The purpose of this study is to examine whether integration of QuantCRC, an AI-based digital pathology biomarker utilizing hematoxylin and eosin-stained slides, provides improved risk stratification over current American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO) guidelines. Methods: ASCO and QuantCRC-integrated risk schemes were applied to an observational cohort of 1,068 stage II and III CRCs. The stage II integrated scheme utilizes pT3 vs. pT4 and QuantCRC-derived risk groups. The stage III integrated scheme utilizes pT1-3 vs. pT4, pN1 vs. pN2, and QuantCRC-derived risk groups. Performance metrics included log-rank test, hazard ratios and Somers’ Dxy rank correlation. Results: Integration of QuantCRC provides improved risk stratification compared to the ASCO scheme for stage II and III CRC. The QuantCRC-integrated scheme placed more stage II tumors in the low-risk group compared to the ASCO scheme (69.3% vs. 60.4%) without decreased 3-year RFS. The QuantCRC-integrated scheme provided larger hazard ratios (HR) for both intermediate-risk (3.04, 95%CI 1.81-5.10, P=2.8x10-5) and high-risk (4.62, 95%CI 2.02-10.61, P=0.0003) groups compared to ASCO intermediate-risk (2.09, 95%CI 1.21-3.63, P=0.008) and high-risk (3.08, 95%CI 1.57-6.01, P=0.001) groups. The QuantCRC-integrated scheme for stage III tumors identified a small group of 80/518 (15.4%) CRCs at very high risk of recurrence with HR of 4.08 (95%CI 2.68-6.23, P=6.5x10-11) compared to a HR of 2.42 (95%CI 1.72-3.38, P=3.1x10-7) for 228/518 (44.0%) high-risk CRCs in the ASCO scheme. QuantCRC-integrated risk groups remained prognostic in stage III CRCs when stratified by presence or absence of any adjuvant chemotherapy. No difference in RFS were seen in QuantCRC-integrated low-risk and intermediate-risk stage III CRCs stratified by 3 vs. 6-months of oxaliplatin-based adjuvant chemotherapy suggesting that these two groups can be treated with 3-months of adjuvant therapy. Conclusions: Incorporation of QuantCRC into risk stratification provides a powerful predictor of RFS that has potential to guide subsequent treatment and surveillance.

PURPOSE Recurrence after curative-intent treatment occurs in 20%-50% of patients with stage II-IV colorectal cancer (CRC), underscoring the need for early detection of minimal residual disease (MRD) using circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA). Here, we examined the pattern of use of a tumor-informed ctDNA assay in CRC MRD monitoring in routine clinical practice at Mayo Clinic, Rochester. METHODS We conducted a retrospective analysis of health records of patients with CRC who had at least one tumor-informed ctDNA assay from May 2019 through July 1, 2022. Recurrence was defined as radiographic evidence of disease. Descriptive characteristics of the cohort, ctDNA results, and subsequent interventions were recorded. RESULTS Of the 120 patients included, the median age at diagnosis was 67 years, 46% were female, and 94% were White. At diagnosis, 10 patients had stage I, 23 stage II, 60 stage III, and 25 stage IV disease. Of 476 ctDNA assays performed, 70% were performed in patients who had recurrent disease most commonly to monitor the effectiveness of therapeutic interventions and 16% resulted in a change in clinical decision making. There were 110 recurrences identified in 62 patients, as some patients experienced more than one recurrence over time. Compared with serum carcinoembryonic antigen levels, ctDNA results correlated better with radiologic imaging. CONCLUSION Routine ctDNA monitoring for MRD detection has been adopted in clinical practice; however, 84% of ctDNA assays performed did not result in a change in clinical management. This suggests the need for further clinical research data to guide routine clinical use of ctDNA MRD testing in CRC.

Importance Colorectal cancers (CRCs) with deficient DNA mismatch repair (dMMR) account for 15% of all CRCs. Deficient MMR is a predictive biomarker associated with responsiveness to immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) in solid tumors, including CRC. The remarkable effectiveness of ICIs in metastatic CRC has led to their evaluation in the neoadjuvant and adjuvant treatment of localized disease. Observations Multiple prospective phase 2 studies in limited numbers of patients with localized dMMR CRC demonstrate high complete clinical and pathological response rates (60%-100%) to neoadjuvant ICIs, with low rates of grade 3 or higher ICI-related toxic effects. Given the median follow-up of 12 to 25 months in these studies, longer-term monitoring is needed to determine the durability of response and to ensure that oncologic outcomes are not compromised in patients undergoing nonoperative management. Neoadjuvant ICI therapy is especially attractive for patients with rectal cancer given the significant morbidity that accompanies pelvic irradiation and total mesorectal excision. Ongoing and planned prospective phase 2 trials will provide further data on important issues, including optimal neoadjuvant treatment duration, ICI monotherapy vs combination, and the need for adjuvant ICI therapy. Conclusions and Relevance While this review found that early results of neoadjuvant immunotherapy for localized dMMR CRC show high rates of major and complete pathological response, longer-term follow-up data are needed to ensure that oncologic outcomes are not compromised and are ideally improved. Neoadjuvant ICI therapy in localized dMMR CRC represents a potential paradigm shift with implications for organ preservation.

Abstract Purpose: Targeting the programmed cell death protein 1 (PD-1)/programmed cell death ligand 1 (PD-L1) interaction has led to durable responses in fewer than half of patients with mismatch repair–deficient (MMR-d) advanced colorectal cancers. Immune contexture, including spatial distribution of immune cells in the tumor microenvironment (TME), may predict immunotherapy outcome. Experimental Design: Immune contexture and spatial distribution, including cell-to-cell distance measurements, were analyzed by multiplex immunofluorescence (mIF) in primary colorectal cancers with d-MMR (N = 33) from patients treated with anti–PD-1 antibodies. By digital image analysis, density, ratio, intensity, and spatial distribution of PD-L1, PD-1, CD8, CD3, CD68, LAG3, TGFβR2, MHC-I, CD14, B2M, and pan-cytokeratin were computed. Feature selection was performed by regularized Cox regression with LASSO, and a proportional hazards model was fitted to predict progression-free survival (PFS). Results: For predicting survival among patients with MMR-d advanced colorectal cancer receiving PD-1 blockade, cell-to-cell distance measurements, but not cell densities or ratios, achieved statistical significance univariately. By multivariable feature selection, only mean number of PD-1+ cells within 10 μm of a PD-L1+ cell was significantly predictive of PFS. Dichotomization of this variable revealed that those with high versus low values had significantly prolonged PFS [median not reached (&gt;83 months) vs. 8.5 months (95% confidence interval (95% CI), 4.7–NR)] with a median PFS of 28.4 months for all patients [adjusted HR (HRadj) = 0.14; 95% CI, 0.04–0.56; P = 0.005]. Expression of PD-1 was observed on CD8+ T cells; PD-L1 on CD3+ and CD8+ T lymphocytes, macrophages (CD68+), and tumor cells. Conclusions: In d-MMR colorectal cancers, PD-1+ to PD-L1+ receptor to ligand proximity is a potential predictive biomarker for the effectiveness of PD-1 blockade.

ImportanceThe incidence of early-onset colorectal cancer (CRC) (age, &amp;lt;50 years) continues to increase globally within high-income countries.ObjectiveTo examine and compare rates of synchronous neoplasia found in patients at colonoscopic diagnosis of early-onset CRC with rates found at diagnosis of average-onset CRC.Design, Setting, and ParticipantsIn this multisite retrospective and cross-sectional study conducted at Mayo Clinic sites and in the Mayo Clinic Health System from January 1, 2012, to December 31, 2022, 150 randomly selected patients with early-onset CRC were identified from the electronic health record and matched with 150 patients with average-onset CRC based on sex and colonoscopic indication. Patients with known hereditary syndromes, past history of CRC, or inflammatory bowel disease were excluded.Main Outcomes and MeasuresColonoscopic findings (polyp size, number, site) and related histopathologic findings (adenoma, advanced adenoma, sessile serrated polyp) were analyzed in association with cancer clinicopathologic features and molecular data (mismatch repair status, KRAS, and BRAFV600E).ResultsAmong 300 patients (156 men [52%]), the median age at diagnosis was 43 years (IQR, 39-47 years) for those with early-onset CRC and 67 years (IQR, 57-76) for those with average-onset CRC. Overall, 85% of patients were symptomatic at CRC diagnosis. Cancer stage, grade, molecular features, body mass index, and family history did not differ significantly between these groups. Among patients with colon cancer, the overall prevalence of synchronous neoplasia was similar, yet advanced adenomas were 3 times more frequent in those with early-onset vs average-onset cancers (31 of 75 [41%] vs 10 of 75 [13%]; P &amp;lt; .001). This difference was not associated with cancer stage or primary location. Among patients with rectal cancer, nonadvanced adenomas were less frequent among the early-onset group than the average-onset group (21 of 75 [28%] vs 36 of 75 [48%]), and although the prevalence of advanced adenomas was similar (11 of 75 [15%] vs 14 of 75 [19%]), they were more commonly located in the rectum (early onset, 5 of 11 [45%] vs average onset, 1 of 14 [7%]). Patients with early-onset cancer of the colon were significantly more likely than those with early-onset cancer of the rectum to have a synchronous advanced adenoma (31 of 75 [41%] vs 11 of 75 [15%]; P &amp;lt; .001).Conclusions and RelevanceIn this cross-sectional study, synchronous advanced adenomas were more commonly found in patients with early-onset colon cancer compared with average-onset colon cancer, and they were distributed throughout the colon. In contrast, advanced adenomas were not increased in patients with rectal cancer and, when detected, were predominantly located in the rectum.