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Shields, Anthony F

0000-0002-9122-1014

Mayo Clinic

Karmanos Cancer Institute, Wayne State University, MI, USA.

Citations 9

Inflammation, physical activity, and disease-free survival in stage III colon cancer: Cancer and Leukemia Group B–Southwest Oncology Group 80702 (Alliance)
Brown, Justin C. , Shi, Qian , Couture, Félix , Kuebler, Philip , Kumar, Pankaj , Tan, Benjamin , Krishnamurthi, Smitha , Chang, Victor T. , Goldberg, Richard M. , Shields, Anthony F. , Meyerhardt, Jeffrey A. , Brown, Justin C. , Kuebler, J. Philip , Shi, Qian , Chang, Victor T-S , Shields, Anthony F , Brown, Justin C , Meyerhardt, Jeffrey A , Ma, Chao , Goldberg, Richard M. , O’Reilly, Eileen M.

JNCI: Journal of the National Cancer Institute | August 24, 2024 | Volume: 116 | Issue: 12 | Pages: 2032-2039

10.1093/jnci/djae203 Get It

Abstract Background Inflammation and insufficient physical inactivity contribute to individual-level risk of disease recurrence and death in stage III colon cancer. The extent to which increased inflammatory risk can be offset by sufficient physical activity remains unknown. Methods This cohort study was nested within the Cancer and Leukemia Group B (now part of the Alliance for Clinical Trials in Oncology) and Southwest Oncology Group randomized trial. Inflammatory burden was quantified by high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, interleukin-6, and soluble tumor necrosis factor-α receptor 2 after recovery from tumor resection. Physical activity was measured during and after postoperative chemotherapy. The primary endpoint was disease-free survival. Results The 3-year disease-free survival rate was 88.4% among patients with low inflammation and sufficient physical activity (referent group for all comparisons), 84.9% with low inflammation and insufficient physical activity (absolute risk difference = −3.5 percentage points, 95% confidence interval [CI] = −11.3 to 4.3; P = .38), 78.0% with intermediate inflammation and insufficient physical activity (absolute risk difference = −10.4 percentage points, 95% CI = −17.4 to −3.3; P = .007), and 79.7% with high inflammation and insufficient physical activity (absolute risk difference = −8.7 percentage points, 95% CI = −15.7 to −1.6; P = .022). In contrast, the 3-year disease-free survival rate was 87.3% among patients with intermediate inflammation and sufficient physical activity (absolute risk difference = −1.1 percentage points, 95% CI = −7.5 to 5.3; P = .74) and 84.4% with high inflammation and sufficient physical activity (absolute risk difference = −4.0 percentage points, 95% CI = −12.3 to 4.3; P = .34). Conclusion In this observational study of stage III colon cancer patients, physical activity was associated with improved disease-free survival despite high inflammation. Patients with intermediate or high inflammation who were physically active had disease-free survival rates that were not statistically significantly different from those with low inflammation.
Improved Survival With Adjuvant Cyclooxygenase 2 Inhibition in PIK3CA-Activated Stage III Colon Cancer: CALGB/SWOG 80702 (Alliance)
Nowak, Jonathan A. , Twombly, Tyler S., Ma, Chao , Shi, Qian , Haruki, Koichiro , Fujiyoshi, Kenji , Väyrynen, Juha P. , Zhao, Melissa , Knight, James , Mane, Shrikant , Shergill, Ardaman , Kumar, Pankaj , Couture, Félix , Kuebler, Philip , Krishnamurthi, Smitha , Tan, Benjamin , Shields, Anthony F. , Fuchs, Charles S. , Meyerhardt, Jeffrey A. , Kuebler, J. Philip , Väyrynen, Juha , Philip, Philip , O'Reilly, Eileen M , Shields, Anthony F , Ogino, Shuji , Fuchs, Charles S , Meyerhardt, Jeffrey A , Shi, Qian , Nowak, Jonathan A , Philip, Philip A. , O’Reilly, Eileen M.

Journal of Clinical Oncology | June 18, 2024 | Volume: 42 | Issue: 24 | Pages: 2853-2859

10.1200/jco.23.01680 Get It

Clinical trials frequently include multiple end points that mature at different times. The initial report, typically based on the primary end point, may be published when key planned co-primary or secondary analyses are not yet available. Clinical Trial Updates provide an opportunity to disseminate additional results from studies, published in JCO or elsewhere, for which the primary end point has already been reported. Observational studies have associated aspirin or cyclooxygenase 2 (COX-2) inhibitor usage either before or after colorectal cancer diagnosis with lower risk of recurrence and suggest that PIK3CA mutational status is predictive of better response to COX-2 inhibition. To prospectively test whether adding the COX-2 inhibitor celecoxib to standard adjuvant chemotherapy reduces the risk of recurrence and improves survival, the National Cancer Institute sponsored the CALGB/SWOG 80702 trial (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT01150045 ) for patients with stage III resected colon cancer. Although the primary hypothesis for all patients did not show a statistically significant improvement in disease-free survival (DFS) with celecoxib, subgroup analysis by PIK3CA mutational status was a preplanned study. PIK3CA gain-of-function mutations were detected in 259 of 1,197 tumors with available whole-exome sequencing data. When stratified by PIK3CA status, patients with PIK3CA gain-of-function mutations treated with celecoxib exhibited improved DFS (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 0.56 [95% CI, 0.33 to 0.96]) compared with PIK3CA wildtype patients (adjusted HR, 0.89 [95% CI, 0.70 to 1.14]), although the interaction test was nonsignificant ( Pinteraction = .13). Overall survival was similarly improved for patients with PIK3CA gain-of-function mutations (adjusted HR, 0.44 [95% CI, 0.22 to 0.85]) compared with PIK3CA wildtype patients (adjusted HR, 0.94 [95% CI, 0.68 to 1.30]; Pinteraction = .04). Although the test for heterogeneity in DFS did not reach statistical significance, the results suggest potential utility of PIK3CA to consider selective usage of COX-2 inhibitors in addition to standard treatment for stage III colon cancer.
Oxaliplatin-Based Adjuvant Chemotherapy in Older Patients With Stage III Colon Cancer: An ACCENT/IDEA Pooled Analysis of 12 Trials
Gallois, Claire , Shi, Qian , Pederson, Levi , André, Thierry , Sobrero, Alberto F. , Alberts, Steven R. , Gramont, Aimery de , Meyerhardt, Jeffrey A. , George, Thomas J. , Souglakos, Ioannis , Harkin, Andrea , Shields, Anthony F. , Boukovinas, Ioannis , Goldberg, Richard M. , Papamichael, Demetris , Pederson, Levi D , Iveson, Timothy J , Sobrero, Alberto , Alberts, Steven R , De Gramont, Aimery , Meyerhardt, Jeffrey A , George, Thomas J , Schmoll, Hans-Joachim , Harkin, Andrea , Sinicrope, Frank A , Oki, Eiji , Shields, Anthony F , Boukovinas, Ioannis , Lonardi, Sara , Yothers, Greg , Yoshino, Takayuki , Goldberg, Richard M , Taieb, Julien , Papamichael, Demetris , André, Thierry , Shi, Qian , Iveson, Timothy , Schmoll, Hans‐Joachim , Labianca, Roberto , Sinicrope, Frank A. , Oki, Eiji , Kerr, Rachel , Lonardi, Sara , Yothers, Greg , Yoshino, Takayuki , Taı̈eb, Julien

Journal of Clinical Oncology | March 28, 2024 | Volume: 42 | Issue: 19 | Pages: 2295-2305

10.1200/jco.23.01326 Get It

PURPOSE A number of studies suggest that older patients may have reduced or no benefit from the addition of oxaliplatin to fluoropyrimidines as adjuvant chemotherapy for stage III colon cancer (CC). MATERIALS AND METHODS We studied the prognostic impact of age, as well as treatment adherence/toxicity patterns according to age, in patients with stage III CC who received 3 or 6 months of infusional fluorouracil, leucovorin, and oxaliplatin/capecitabine and oxaliplatin (CAPOX) on the basis of data collected from trials from the ACCENT and IDEA databases. Associations between age and time to recurrence (TTR), disease-free survival (DFS), overall survival (OS), survival after recurrence (SAR), and cancer-specific survival (CSS) were assessed by a Cox model or a competing risk model, stratified by studies and adjusted for sex, performance status, T and N stage, and year of enrollment. RESULTS A total of 17,909 patients were included; 24% of patients were age older than 70 years (n = 4,340). Patients age ≥70 years had higher rates of early treatment discontinuation. Rates of grade ≥3 adverse events were similar between those older and younger than 70 years, except for diarrhea and neutropenia that were more frequent in older patients treated with CAPOX (14.2% v 11.2%; P = .01 and 12.1% v 9.6%; P = .04, respectively). In multivariable analysis, TTR was not significantly different between patients <70 years and those ≥70 years, but DFS, OS, SAR, and CSS were significantly shorter in those patients ≥70 years. CONCLUSION In patients ≥70 years with stage III CC fit enough to be enrolled in clinical trials, oxaliplatin-based adjuvant chemotherapy was well tolerated and led to similar TTR compared with younger patients, suggesting similar efficacy. TTR may be a more appropriate end point for efficacy in this patient population.
Plasma 25-Hydroxyvitamin D Levels and Survival in Stage III Colon Cancer: Findings from CALGB/SWOG 80702 (Alliance)
Wang, Qiao-Li , Ma, Chao , Yuan, Chen , Shi, Qian , Wolpin, Brian M. , Zhang, Yin , Fuchs, Charles S. , Meyer, Jeffrey , Zemla, Tyler , Cheng, En , Kumthekar, Priya , Guthrie, Katherine A. , Couture, Félix , Kuebler, Philip , Kumar, Pankaj , Tan, Benjamin , Krishnamurthi, Smitha , Goldberg, Richard M. , Blanke, Charles D. , Shields, Anthony F. , Meyerhardt, Jeffrey A. , Ng, Kimmie , Kuebler, J. Philip , Venook, Alan P , Shields, Anthony F , O'Reilly, Eileen M , Meyerhardt, Jeffrey A , Ng, Kimmie , Shi, Qian , Zemla, Tyler J , Yuan, Chen , Venook, Alan P. , O’Reilly, Eileen M. , Cheng, En

Clinical Cancer Research | May 11, 2023 | Volume: 29 | Issue: 14 | Pages: 2621-2630

10.1158/1078-0432.ccr-23-0447 Get It

Abstract Purpose: To assess whether higher plasma 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D] is associated with improved outcomes in colon cancer and whether circulating inflammatory cytokines mediate such association. Experimental Design: Plasma samples were collected from 1,437 patients with stage III colon cancer enrolled in a phase III randomized clinical trial (CALGB/SWOG 80702) from 2010 to 2015, who were followed until 2020. Cox regressions were used to examine associations between plasma 25(OH)D and disease-free survival (DFS), overall survival (OS), and time to recurrence (TTR). Mediation analysis was performed for circulating inflammatory biomarkers of C-reactive protein (CRP), IL6, and soluble TNF receptor 2 (sTNF-R2). Results: Vitamin D deficiency [25(OH)D &lt;12 ng/mL] was present in 13% of total patients at baseline and in 32% of Black patients. Compared with deficiency, nondeficient vitamin D status (≥12 ng/mL) was significantly associated with improved DFS, OS, and TTR (all Plog-rank&lt;0.05), with multivariable-adjusted HRs of 0.68 (95% confidence interval, 0.51–0.92) for DFS, 0.57 (0.40–0.80) for OS, and 0.71 (0.52–0.98) for TTR. A U-shaped dose–response pattern was observed for DFS and OS (both Pnonlinearity&lt;0.05). The proportion of the association with survival that was mediated by sTNF-R2 was 10.6% (Pmediation = 0.04) for DFS and 11.8% (Pmediation = 0.05) for OS, whereas CRP and IL6 were not shown to be mediators. Plasma 25(OH)D was not associated with the occurrence of ≥ grade 2 adverse events. Conclusions: Nondeficient vitamin D is associated with improved outcomes in patients with stage III colon cancer, largely independent of circulation inflammations. A randomized trial is warranted to elucidate whether adjuvant vitamin D supplementation improves patient outcomes.
Potential Mediators of Oxaliplatin-Induced Peripheral Neuropathy From Adjuvant Therapy in Stage III Colon Cancer: Findings From CALGB (Alliance)/SWOG 80702
Lee, Seohyuk , Ma, Chao , Shi, Qian , Kumar, Pankaj , Couture, Félix , Kuebler, Philip , Krishnamurthi, Smitha , Lewis, DeQuincy Andrew, Goldberg, Richard M. , Blanke, Charles D. , Shields, Anthony F. , Meyerhardt, Jeffrey A. , Kuebler, J. Philip , Goldberg, Richard M , Venook, Alan P , O'Reilly, Eileen M , Shields, Anthony F , Meyerhardt, Jeffrey A , Shi, Qian , Kumar, Pankaj , Tan, Benjamin, Venook, Alan P. , O’Reilly, Eileen M.

Journal of Clinical Oncology | November 11, 2022 | Volume: 41 | Issue: 5 | Pages: 1079-1091

10.1200/jco.22.01637 Get It

PURPOSE We sought to evaluate the independent and interactive associations of planned treatment duration, celecoxib use, physical activity, body mass index (BMI), diabetes mellitus, and vitamin B6 with oxaliplatin-induced peripheral neuropathy (OIPN) among patients with stage III colon cancer enrolled in a clinical trial. METHODS We conducted a prospective, observational study of 2,450 patients with stage III colon cancer enrolled in the CALGB/SWOG 80702 trial, randomly assigned to 6 versus 12 cycles of adjuvant fluorouracil, leucovorin, and oxaliplatin chemotherapy with or without 3 years of celecoxib. OIPN was reported using the Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events (CTCAE) during and following completion of chemotherapy and the FACT/GOG-NTX-13 15-17 months after random assignment. Multivariate analyses were adjusted for baseline sociodemographic and clinical factors. RESULTS Patients assigned to 12 treatment cycles, relative to 6, were significantly more likely to experience higher-grade CTCAE- and FACT/GOG-NTX-13-reported neuropathy and longer times to resolution, while neither celecoxib nor vitamin B6 intake attenuated OIPN. Exercising ≥ 9 MET-hours per week after treatment relative to < 9 was associated with improvements in FACT/GOG-NTX-13-reported OIPN (adjusted difference in means, 1.47; 95% CI, 0.49 to 2.45; P = .003). Compared with patients with baseline BMIs < 25, those with BMIs ≥ 25 were at significantly greater risk of developing higher-grade CTCAE-reported OIPN during (adjusted odds ratio, 1.18; 95% CI, 1.00 to 1.40; P = .05) and following completion (adjusted odds ratio, 1.23; 95% CI, 1.01 to 1.50; P = .04) of oxaliplatin treatment. Patients with diabetes were significantly more likely to experience worse FACT/GOG-NTX-13-reported neuropathy relative to those without (adjusted difference in means, –2.0; 95% CI, –3.3 to –0.73; P = .002). There were no significant interactions between oxaliplatin treatment duration and any of these potentially modifiable exposures. CONCLUSION Lower physical activity, higher BMI, diabetes, and longer planned treatment duration, but not celecoxib use or vitamin B6 intake, may be associated with significantly increased OIPN severity.
Prognostic Impact of Early Treatment and Oxaliplatin Discontinuation in Patients With Stage III Colon Cancer: An ACCENT/IDEA Pooled Analysis of 11 Adjuvant Trials
Gallois, Claire , Shi, Qian , Meyers, Jeffrey P., Alberts, Steven R. , Gramont, Aimery de , Sobrero, Alberto F. , Haller, Daniel G. , Oki, Eiji , Shields, Anthony F. , Goldberg, Richard M. , Lonardi, Sara , Yothers, Greg , Kelly, Caroline , Boukovinas, Ioannis , Souglakos, Ioannis , Meyerhardt, Jeffrey A. , Papamichael, Demetris , Taı̈eb, Julien , Iveson, Timothy J , Alberts, Steven R , De Gramont, Aimery , Sobrero, Alberto , Haller, Daniel , Oki, Eiji , Shields, Anthony F , Goldberg, Richard M , Lonardi, Sara , Yothers, Greg , Boukovinas, Ioannis , Sinicrope, Frank A , Yoshino, Takayuki , Meyerhardt, Jeffrey A , André, Thierry , Taieb, Julien , Shi, Qian , Iveson, Timothy , Kerr, Rachel , Labianca, Roberto , Sinicrope, Frank A. , Yoshino, Takayuki , André, Thierry

Journal of Clinical Oncology | November 4, 2022 | Volume: 41 | Issue: 4 | Pages: 803-815

10.1200/jco.21.02726 Get It

PURPOSE Oxaliplatin-based adjuvant chemotherapy in patients with stage III colon cancer (CC) for 6 months remains a standard in high-risk stage III patients. Data are lacking as to whether early discontinuation of all treatment (ETD) or early discontinuation of oxaliplatin (EOD) could worsen the prognosis. MATERIALS AND METHODS We studied the prognostic impact of ETD and EOD in patients with stage III CC from the ACCENT/IDEA databases, where patients were planned to receive 6 months of infusional fluorouracil, leucovorin, and oxaliplatin or capecitabine plus oxaliplatin. ETD was defined as discontinuation of treatment and EOD as discontinuation of oxaliplatin only before patients had received a maximum of 75% of planned cycles. Association between ETD/EOD and overall survival and disease-free survival (DFS) were assessed by Cox models adjusted for established prognostic factors. RESULTS Analysis of ETD and EOD included 10,447 (20.9% with ETD) and 7,243 (18.8% with EOD) patients, respectively. Compared with patients without ETD or EOD, patients with ETD or EOD were statistically more likely to be women, with Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status ≥ 1, and for ETD, older with a lower body mass index. In multivariable analyses, ETD was associated with a decrease in disease-free survival and overall survival (hazard ratio [HR], 1.61, P < .001 and HR, 1.73, P < .001), which was not the case for EOD (HR, 1.07, P = .3 and HR, 1.13, P = .1). However, patients who received < 50% of the planned cycles of oxaliplatin had poorer outcomes. CONCLUSION In patients treated with 6 months of oxaliplatin-based chemotherapy for stage III CC, ETD was associated with poorer oncologic outcomes. However, this was not the case for EOD. These data favor discontinuing oxaliplatin while continuing fluoropyrimidine in individuals with significant neurotoxicity having received > 50% of the planned 6-month chemotherapy.
Immunoscore Is Prognostic in Low-Risk and High-Risk Stage III Colon Carcinomas Treated With Adjuvant Infusional Fluorouracil, Leucovorin, and Oxaliplatin in a Phase III Trial
Sinicrope, Frank A. , Shi, Qian , Catteau, Aurélie , Poage, Graham M. , Mlecnik, Bernhard , Benson, Al B. , Gill, Sharlene , Goldberg, Richard M. , Kahlenberg, Morton S., Nair, Suresh , Shields, Anthony F. , Smyrk, Thomas C. , Mlecnik, Bernhard , Benson, Al , Gill, Sharlene , Goldberg, Richard M , Nair, Suresh , Shields, Anthony F , Galon, Jerome , Alberts, Steven R , Sinicrope, Frank A , Shi, Qian , Zemla, Tyler , Galon, Jérôme , Alberts, Steven R.

JCO Precision Oncology | August 11, 2022 | Volume: No volume available | Issue: 6 | Pages: No page available

10.1200/po.22.00010 Get It

PURPOSE The recommended duration of adjuvant fluoropyrimidine and oxaliplatin chemotherapy for patients with stage III colon cancer is based on tumor classification into clinically low-risk (T1-3 N1) and high-risk (T4 or N2) groups. We determined whether Immunoscore can enhance prognostication within these risk groups. MATERIALS AND METHODS Patients with stage III colon carcinomas (N = 600) were randomly selected from the infusional fluorouracil, leucovorin, and oxaliplatin arm of adjuvant trial NCCTG N0147 (Alliance for Clinical Trials in Oncology). Tumors were evaluated for Immunoscore that quantifies CD3+ and CD8+ T-cell densities in the tumor center and invasive margin by digital image analysis. Disease-free survival (DFS) by Immunoscore was analyzed using a multivariable Cox regression model in each risk group with adjustment for covariates including KRAS, BRAF V600E, and mismatch repair status. RESULTS Of 559 cancers with Immunoscore data, 299 (53.5%) were classified as clinically low-risk (T1-3 N1) and 260 (46.5%) as clinically high-risk (T4 and/or N2). Among patients with low-risk tumors, those with Immunoscore-Low versus Immunoscore-High tumors had significantly worse 5-year DFS rates (77.5% v 91.8%; hazard ratio, 1.70; 95% CI, 1.03 to 2.79; P = .037). Among patients with high-risk tumors, those with Immunoscore-Low versus Immunoscore-High tumors also had significantly worse DFS (55.3% v 70.3%; hazard ratio, 1.65; 95% CI, 1.11 to 2.47; P = .013). Tumors that were low-risk/Immunoscore-Low had similar outcomes as did tumors that were high-risk/Immunoscore-High ( P = .174). Prognostication was significantly improved in multivariable models where Immunoscore was added to clinical risk parameters and limited biomarkers (likelihood ratio test P = .0003). CONCLUSION Immunoscore can refine patient prognosis beyond clinical risk group classification, suggesting its potential utility for adjuvant decision making.
Physical Activity in Stage III Colon Cancer: CALGB/SWOG 80702 (Alliance)
Brown, Justin C. , Ma, Chao , Shi, Qian , Fuchs, Charles S. , Niedzwiecki, Donna , Couture, Félix , Kuebler, Philip , Kumar, Pankaj , Lewis, DeQuincy Andrew, Krishnamurthi, Smitha , Shields, Anthony F. , Meyerhardt, Jeffrey A. , Brown, Justin C. , Kuebler, J. Philip , Niedzwiecki, Donna , Kumar, Pankaj , Krishnamurthi, Smitha , O'Reilly, Eileen M , Shields, Anthony F , Meyerhardt, Jeffrey A , Brown, Justin C , Shi, Qian , Meyer, Jeffrey , Zemla, Tyler , Tan, Benjamin, O’Reilly, Eileen M.

Journal of Clinical Oncology | August 9, 2022 | Volume: 41 | Issue: 2 | Pages: 243-254

10.1200/jco.22.00171 Get It

PURPOSE To determine the specific types, durations, and intensities of recreational physical activity associated with the greatest improvements in disease-free survival (DFS) of patients with colon cancer. METHODS We conducted a prospective cohort study nested within a randomized multicenter trial of stage III colon cancer that compared 3 versus 6 months of fluorouracil, leucovorin, and oxaliplatin with or without celecoxib. We measured recreational physical activity in the first 3 months of chemotherapy and again 6 months after completion of chemotherapy. The primary end point was DFS. RESULTS During a median follow-up of 5.9 years, 457 of 1,696 patients experienced disease recurrence or death. For total recreational physical activity volume, the 3-year DFS was 76.5% with < 3.0 metabolic equivalent task hours per week (MET-h/wk) and 87.1% with ≥ 18.0 MET-h/wk (risk difference [RD], 10.6%; 95% CI, 4.7 to 19.4; P < .001). For light-intensity to moderate-intensity activities, the 3-year DFS was 65.7% with 0.0 h/wk and 87.1% with ≥ 1.5 h/wk (RD, 21.4%; 95% CI, 9.2 to 37.1; P < .001). For vigorous-intensity activity, the 3-year DFS was 76.0% with 0.0 h/wk and 86.0% with ≥ 1.0 h/wk (RD, 10.0%; 95% CI, 4.5 to 18.9; P < .001). For brisk walking, the 3-year DFS was 81.7% with < 1.0 h/wk and 88.4% with ≥ 3.0 h/wk (RD, 6.7%; 95% CI, 3.0 to 13.8; P < .001). For muscle strengthening activity, the 3-year DFS was 81.8% with 0.0 h/wk and 88.8% for ≥ 0.5 h/wk (RD, 7.0%; 95% CI, 3.1 to 14.2; P = .003). CONCLUSION Among patients with stage III colon cancer enrolled in a trial of postoperative treatment, larger volumes of recreational physical activity, longer durations of light- to moderate-intensity aerobic physical activity, or any vigorous-intensity aerobic physical activity were associated with the greatest improvements in DFS.
Contribution of Immunoscore and Molecular Features to Survival Prediction in Stage III Colon Cancer
Sinicrope, Frank A. , Shi, Qian , Hermitte, Fabienne , Mlecnik, Bernhard , Benson, Al B. , Goldberg, Richard M. , Kahlenberg, Morton S., Nair, Suresh , Shields, Anthony F. , Smyrk, Thomas C. , Mlecnik, Bernhard , Goldberg, Richard M , Shields, Anthony F , Alberts, Steven R , Sinicrope, Frank A , Shi, Qian , Zemla, Tyler , Gill, Sharlene , Galon, Jérôme , Alberts, Steven R.

JNCI Cancer Spectrum | March 24, 2020 | Volume: 4 | Issue: 3 | Pages: No page available

10.1093/jncics/pkaa023 Get It

Abstract Background The American Joint Committee on Cancer staging and other prognostic tools fail to account for stage-independent variability in outcome. We developed a prognostic classifier adding Immunoscore to clinicopathological and molecular features in patients with stage III colon cancer. Methods Patient (n = 559) data from the FOLFOX arm of adjuvant trial NCCTG N0147 were used to construct Cox models for predicting disease-free survival (DFS). Variables included age, sex, T stage, positive lymph nodes (+LNs), N stage, performance status, histologic grade, sidedness, KRAS/BRAF, mismatch repair, and Immunoscore (CD3+, CD8+ T-cell densities). After determining optimal functional form (continuous or categorical) and within Cox models, backward selection was performed to analyze all variables as candidate predictors. All statistical tests were two-sided. Results Poorer DFS was found for tumors that were T4 vs T3 (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.76, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.19 to 2.60; P = .004), right- vs left-sided (HR = 1.52, 95% CI = 1.14 to 2.04; P = .005), BRAF V600E (HR = 1.74, 95% CI = 1.26 to 2.40; P &lt; .001), mutant KRAS (HR = 1.66, 95% CI = 1.08 to 2.55; P = .02), and low vs high Immunoscore (HR = 1.69, 95% CI = 1.22 to 2.33; P = .001) (all P &lt; .02). Increasing numbers of +LNs and lower continuous Immunoscore were associated with poorer DFS that achieved significance (both Ps&lt; .0001). After number of +LNs, T stage, and BRAF/KRAS, Immunoscore was the most informative predictor of DFS shown multivariately. Among T1–3 N1 tumors, Immunoscore was the only variable associated with DFS that achieved statistical significance. A nomogram was generated to determine the likelihood of being recurrence-free at 3 years. Conclusions The Immunoscore can enhance the accuracy of survival prediction among patients with stage III colon cancer.