Abstract Background The American Joint Committee on Cancer staging and other prognostic tools fail to account for stage-independent variability in outcome. We developed a prognostic classifier adding Immunoscore to clinicopathological and molecular features in patients with stage III colon cancer. Methods Patient (n = 559) data from the FOLFOX arm of adjuvant trial NCCTG N0147 were used to construct Cox models for predicting disease-free survival (DFS). Variables included age, sex, T stage, positive lymph nodes (+LNs), N stage, performance status, histologic grade, sidedness, KRAS/BRAF, mismatch repair, and Immunoscore (CD3+, CD8+ T-cell densities). After determining optimal functional form (continuous or categorical) and within Cox models, backward selection was performed to analyze all variables as candidate predictors. All statistical tests were two-sided. Results Poorer DFS was found for tumors that were T4 vs T3 (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.76, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.19 to 2.60; P = .004), right- vs left-sided (HR = 1.52, 95% CI = 1.14 to 2.04; P = .005), BRAF V600E (HR = 1.74, 95% CI = 1.26 to 2.40; P < .001), mutant KRAS (HR = 1.66, 95% CI = 1.08 to 2.55; P = .02), and low vs high Immunoscore (HR = 1.69, 95% CI = 1.22 to 2.33; P = .001) (all P < .02). Increasing numbers of +LNs and lower continuous Immunoscore were associated with poorer DFS that achieved significance (both Ps< .0001). After number of +LNs, T stage, and BRAF/KRAS, Immunoscore was the most informative predictor of DFS shown multivariately. Among T1–3 N1 tumors, Immunoscore was the only variable associated with DFS that achieved statistical significance. A nomogram was generated to determine the likelihood of being recurrence-free at 3 years. Conclusions The Immunoscore can enhance the accuracy of survival prediction among patients with stage III colon cancer.
Immunoscore to provide prognostic information in low- (T1-3N1) and high-risk (T4 or N2) subsets of stage III colon carcinoma patients treated with adjuvant FOLFOX in a phase III trial (NCCTG N0147; Alliance).
614 Background: A consensus interpretation of the IDEA colon cancer study results suggested that risk categories based on T/N stage grouping be used to guide decision-making for duration (3 vs 6 months) of adjuvant FOLFOX or CapeOX chemotherapy. Given the prognostic potential of immune biomarkers, we examined the immunoscore and individual T and B lymphocyte markers in low and high risk T/N subsets of stage III colon carcinoma patients (N=600) treated with adjuvant FOLFOX. Methods: Immunoscore (CD3+, CD8+) and individual T-cell and CD20+ B-cell immunostain densities in central tumor (CT) and invasive margin (IM) of FFPE sections were quantified by image analysis. A predetermined immunoscore categorization was used [high (2-4) vs low (0-1)]. Individual markers were analyzed by backwards selection wherein CD3+ IM was most robust for prognosis and an optimized cutoff was then determined. Associations with disease-free survival (DFS) were analyzed by multivariable Cox regression adjusting for age, T/N stage, sidedness, KRAS/BRAF, and DNA mismatch repair. Results: In low and high risk T/N patient subsets, the immunoscore and CD3+ IM were each significantly discriminant for prognosis. Among low risk (T1-3N1) patients, a high vs low immunoscore was associated with a 91% vs 77% 3-year DFS [HR 0.57, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.34-0.95, adjusted (adj) P= 0.026]. Among high risk (T4 or N2) patients, a high vs low immunoscore was associated with a 68% vs 54% 3-year DFS (HR 0.64, 95% CI 0.42-0.98, Padj= 0.034]. Similarly, a high vs low intratumoral CD3+ density at the invasive margin (IM) was significantly associated with prognosis in low risk [HR 0.37, 95% CI 0.21- 0.66), Padj< 0.0003] and in high risk [HR 0.47, 95% CI, 0.27- 0.80), Padj< 0.0028] patient subsets. Conclusions: Immunoscore and CD3+ IM were shown to prognostically stratify FOLFOX-treated patients within both low and high risk T/N subsets. These data underscore limitations of the T/N risk classification for adjuvant treatment decisions in stage III patients, and demonstrate the ability of T-cell markers to enhance prognostication to guide clinical decision-making.
Association of immune markers and Immunoscore with survival of stage III colon carcinoma (CC) patients (pts) treated with adjuvant FOLFOX: NCCTG N0147 (Alliance).
3579 Background: Tumor infiltrating lymphocytes (TIL) indicate a host immune response that may influence survival. Immunoscore was developed using CD3+ and CD8+density and location in primary CC pts with pooled stages, varying treatment and follow-up. We determined if individual immune markers and/or Immunoscore are prognostic in resected stage III CC pts (N=600). Methods: CD3+ and CD8+ T-cell or CD20+ B lymphocyte density in central tumor (CT) and invasive margin (IM) was evaluated by immunostaining and quantified by image analysis. Immunoscore was calculated on a scale of I0 to I4 with high densities of CD3+ and CD8+in both CT and IM scored as I4; low densities scored as I0. Associations with disease-free survival (DFS) were evaluated by multivariable Cox regression adjusting for covariates. Results: Data for CD3+, CD8+ and CD20+ were generated (N=595). Higher density of CD3+ CT, CD3+ IM and CD8+ IM were associated with longer DFS adjusting for covariates (Table). CD3+ IM had the strongest association with DFS, and was stronger in left-sided (HRadj.=0.81, 95% CI, 0.70-0.94, padj.= 0.0049) vs right-sided (HRadj.=0.93, 95% CI, 0.85-1.0 padj.=0.52) tumors (pinteraction=0.039). Higher density of CD3+ IM was associated with older age (p=0.034), T1/2 (p<.0001), N1 (p=0.017), right-sided (p=0.013), high TILs (p=0.0008), and deficient MMR (p=0.0003). Using a prior Immunoscore risk stratification, higher scores were associated with better DFS (HR.=0.62, CI, 0.44-0.87, p=0.006) (Table). Conclusions: Densities of CD3+ and CD8+, especially at IM, are individually prognostic in FOLFOX-treated pts. Association of CD3+IM with prognosis differed by primary CC site. Immunoscore was strongly prognostic, and this result provides validation in a clinical trial cohort. [Table: see text]