Grothey, Axel

PURPOSE: In patients with stage III colon cancer (CC) whose tumors demonstrate microsatellite instability (MSI), the efficacy of adjuvant fluoropyrimidine (FP) with or without oxaliplatin has not been clearly demonstrated and the prognostic value of MSI remains uncertain. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Individual patient data from the ACCENT database were used to evaluate the effect of FP with or without oxaliplatin on disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) among patients with MSI stage III CC and the prognostic value of MSI in patients treated with FP plus oxaliplatin, by stratified Cox models adjusted for demographic and clinicopathological factors. RESULTS: MSI status was available for 5,457 patients (609 MSI, 11.2%; 4848 microsatellite stable [MSS], 88.8%) from 12 randomized clinical trials (RCTs). Oxaliplatin significantly improved OS of MSI patients from the two RCTs testing FP with or without oxaliplatin (n = 185; adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] = 0.52, 95% CI, 0.28 to 0.93). Among the 4,250 patients treated with FP plus oxaliplatin (461 MSI and 3789 MSS), MSI was associated with better OS in the N1 group compared with MSS (aHR = 0.66; 95% CI, 0.46 to 0.95) but similar survival in the N2 population (aHR = 1.13; 95% CI, 0.86 to 1.48; P interaction = .029). The main independent prognosticators of MSI patients treated with FP plus oxaliplatin were T stage (aHR = 2.09; 95% CI, 1.29 to 3.38) and N stage (aHR = 3.57; 95% CI, 2.32 to 5.48). Similar results were observed for DFS in all analyses. CONCLUSION: Adding oxaliplatin to FP improves OS and DFS in patients with MSI stage III CC. Compared with MSS, MSI patients experienced better outcomes in the N1 group but similar survival in the N2 group.

4044 Background: To aid in decisions regarding adjuvant therapy (AT) for resected high-risk CC, two prog models are in common use: the Mayo Clinic NUM calculator developed from a pooled data analysis of 7 randomized 5FU-based AT trials, and ADJ! developed using SEER data. This study examines the accuracy of NUM and ADJ! utilizing a cohort of patients (pts) referred to the BC Cancer Agency (BCCA). Methods: Demographic, disease and treatment data for pts with stage II/III CC referred to the BCCA from 1995–1996 + 1999–2003 were collected. Observed (obs) 5-year relapse free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) were compared to predicted estimates (pred) using NUM and ADJ!, both overall and for all prog subgroups with ≥ 10pts, as stratified by T stage, N stage, tumor grade and age. Data are presented in a descriptive manner and using confidence intervals. Results: Median follow-up was 5.6 yrs for 2,033 pts - 53% male, median age 68y, 40% N0. The mean percentages of 5 year pred outcomes for each of the two models and the actual Kaplan Meier mean survivals are presented in the table . The percentage correct predictions of 5 y status is also presented, with correctness deemed accurate if the pt was alive and predicted to be alive by ≥ 50% as determined by each model or dead while the respective tool predicted < 50% possibility of being alive. For surgery alone pts, ADJ!pred were more often closer to what was observed, as compared to NUMpred, in the prog subgroups (for RFS 56%, OS 88%). For surgery + 5-FU pts, within these subgroups, NUMpred were more often closer to what was observed, as compared to ADJ!pred, for RFS (62%) and for OS (55%). Conclusions: In this independent population-based validation, NUM and ADJ! have acceptable and similar reliability with modest over-estimations of 5y RFS and OS. Both models thus appear to be useful adjuvant decision-aids. [Table: see text] No significant financial relationships to disclose.

4025 Background: Cumulative sNT is the dose-limiting toxicity of oxaliplatin which commonly leads to early discontinuation of oxaliplatin-based therapy in the palliative and adjuvant setting. We recently demonstrated the protective effect of CaMg against oxaliplatin-induced sNT as assessed by NCI-CTC (Nikcevich ASCO 2008). It is unclear, though, if CaMg reduced acute and/or chronic, cumulative sNT. Methods: 104 pts with colon cancer undergoing adjuvant therapy with FOLFOX were randomized to IV CaMg (1g calcium gluconate plus 1g magnesium sulfate pre- and post-oxaliplatin) or placebo (PL) in a double-blinded manner. NCI-CTC, an oxaliplatin-specific sNT scale and patient-reported outcome (PRO) questionnaires were used to differentially assess the effect of CaMg on acute (effect on sNT on days 1–4 after oxaliplatin) and chronic sNT (area between curves over whole course of therapy). Results: A total of 102 pts (50 CaMg, 52 PL; 96 mFOLFOX6, 6 FOLFOX4) were available for analysis. Apart from a strong reduction in muscle cramps with CaMg (p=0.002), no difference was found between CaMg and PL in PRO with regard to items reflecting acute sNT (e.g. sensitivity to cold, swallowing of cold liquids, throat discomfort) on days 1–4 after oxaliplatin of any treatment cycle. In contrast, CaMg was able to significantly reduce cumulative sNT in form of numbness in fingers (p=0.02), impaired ability to button shirts (p=0.05), tingling in fingers (p=0.06), and muscle cramps over the course of therapy (p=0.01). Conclusions: In our phase III, placebo-controlled trial, CaMg was able to significantly reduce chronic, cumulative sNT related to oxaliplatin as evaluated by specific PRO questionnaires. No effect was noted on phenomena associated with acute sNT. CaMg can be recommended as neuroprotectant against oxaliplatin-related chronic sNT, oxaliplatin's dose-limiting toxicity. [Table: see text]

Abstract Background Adjuvant chemotherapy is a standard treatment option for patients with stage III and high-risk stage II colon cancer. Sex is one of several factors responsible for the wide inter-patient variability in drug responses. Amalgamated data on the effect of sex on the toxicity of current standard adjuvant treatment for colorectal cancer are missing. Methods The objective of our study was to compare incidence and severity of major toxicities of fluoropyrimidine- (5FU or capecitabine) based adjuvant chemotherapy, with or without oxaliplatin, between male and female patients after curative surgery for colon cancer. Adult patients enrolled in 27 relevant randomized trials included in the ACCENT (Adjuvant Colon Cancer End Points) database, a large, multi-group, international data repository containing individual patient data, were included. Comparisons were conducted using logistic regression models (stratified by study and treatment arm) within each type of adjuvant chemotherapy (5FU, FOLFOX, capecitabine, CAPOX, and FOLFIRI). The following major toxicities were compared (grade III or IV and grade I-IV, according to National Cancer Institute Common Terminology Criteria [NCI-CTC] criteria, regardless of attribution): nausea, vomiting, nausea or vomiting, stomatitis, diarrhea, leukopenia, neutropenia, thrombocytopenia, anemia, and neuropathy (in patients treated with oxaliplatin). Results Data from 34 640 patients were analyzed. Statistically significant and clinically relevant differences in the occurrence of grade III or IV nonhematological {especially nausea (5FU: odds ratio [OR] = 2.33, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.90 to 2.87, P &lt; .001; FOLFOX: OR = 2.34, 95% CI = 1.76 to 3.11, P &lt; .001), vomiting (5FU: OR = 2.38, 95% CI = 1.86 to 3.04, P &lt; .001; FOLFOX: OR = 2.00, 95% CI = 1.50 to 2.66, P &lt; .001; CAPOX: OR = 2.32, 95% CI = 1.55 to 3.46, P &lt; .001), and diarrhea (5FU: OR = 1.35, 95% CI = 1.21 to 1.51, P &lt; .001; FOLFOX: OR = 1.60, 95% CI = 1.35 to 1.90, P &lt; .001; FOLFIRI: OR = 1.57, 95% CI = 1.25 to 1.97, P &lt; .001)} as well as hematological toxicities (neutropenia [5FU: OR = 1.55, 95% CI = 1.37 to 1.76, P &lt; .001; FOLFOX: OR = 1.96, 95% CI = 1.71 to 2.25, P &lt; .001; FOLFIRI: OR = 2.01, 95% CI = 1.66 to 2.43, P &lt; .001; capecitabine: OR = 4.07, 95% CI = 1.84 to 8.99, P &lt; .001] and leukopenia [5FU: OR = 1.74, 95% CI = 1.40 to 2.17, P &lt; .001; FOLFIRI: OR = 1.75, 95% CI = 1.28 to 2.40, P &lt; .001]) were observed, with women being consistently at increased risk. Conclusions Our analysis confirms that women with colon cancer receiving adjuvant fluoropyrimidine-based chemotherapy are at increased risk of toxicity. Given the known sex differences in fluoropyrimidine pharmacokinetics, sex-specific dosing of fluoropyrimidines warrants further investigation.

4108 Background: Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) testing can be used for the assessment of molecular residual disease (MRD) in patients with early-stage or advanced colorectal cancer (CRC). Prospective evaluation of this methodology in clinical practice has been limited to-date. Methods: A personalized and tumor-informed multiplex PCR assay (Signatera 16-plex bespoke mPCR NGS assay) was used for the detection and quantification of ctDNA for MRD assessment. We analyze and present results from an ongoing early adopter program of ctDNA testing across the spectrum of CRC management. Results: Here we present a total of 250 patients with colon (n=200), rectal (n=40), and other lower gastrointestinal cancers (n =10; anal, appendiceal, small bowel). MRD positivity rates and ctDNA quantification (mean tumor molecules/mL) are shown in Table. ctDNA detection was significantly associated with stage of disease (p<0.0001 Chi-square: 70.33). Additionally, in patients with radiologically measurable active metastatic disease, ctDNA detection rate was 100%. On the contrary, patients with advanced/metastatic disease who had partial response to treatment or no evidence of disease (NED) showed 28.5% and 19.2% of ctDNA-positivity, respectively. Conclusions: This is the first large, real-world study reporting on the results from a clinically validated MRD assay. For the first time we delineate MRD rates and quantify ctDNA concentration in patients with early-stage and advanced CRC. Furthermore, we provide an initial readout that effective ongoing treatment in patients with CRC may be correlated with ctDNA clearance. Ongoing analysis expanded to a cohort of 1200 clinical cases including correlation with genomic and serial testing will be presented. [Table: see text]

4090 Background: EGFR mAbs have become incorporated into clinical practice for the management of mCRC over the last decade. KRAS and NRAS mutations are used as predictive biomarkers and BRAF V600E mutations are associated with an adverse prognosis. The observed TE within biomarker subpopulations has varied between studies. Methods: IPD from randomized trials with head-to-head comparison between EGFR mAb versus no EGFR mAb (chemotherapy alone or BSC) in mCRC, across all lines of therapy (first, second and later), were pooled. Biomarker subpopulations are defined in the table. Overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were compared between groups by Cox model, stratified by studies and adjusted by age, gender, and performance status. TEs were estimated by adjusted hazard ratio (HRadj) and 95% confidence interval (CI). Within each biomarker subgroup, EGFR mAb efficacy was explored according to multiple exploratory factors, including line of therapy, type of backbone chemo, gender, sidedness and site of metastasis. Interaction tests were performed. P-values < 0.01 were considered statistically significant to account for multiple comparisons. Results: 5729 pts from 8 studies with data available for ≥ 1 biomarker were analysed. PFS benefits (median 9.2 mos in EGFR mAbs, 8.0 mos in no EGFR mAbs) were confirmed in triple-WT pts, but not for OS (refer to table). No OS/PFS benefits were observed for pts with any of the MT tumors. Exploratory analyses showed a potential detrimental TE of EGFR mAbs in KRAS MT mCRC with liver metastasis (OS: HRadj 1.22, p = .003, pinteraction .0056; PFS: HRadj 1.24, p = .0009, pinteraction .0008). These results were confirmed within the subgroup of pts with all 3 biomarkers available. Conclusions: This is the largest IPD analysis to explore the predictive value of RAS/BRAF biomarkers in mCRC. Our findings demonstrate that there is no evidence of efficacy of EGFR mAbs in KRAS, BRAF and/or NRAS MT mCRC. EGFR mAbs might have a detrimental effect in KRAS MT mCRC with liver metastases. [Table: see text]

4029 Background: The clearance of 5-FU differs significantly between men (M) and women (W). Adjuvant chemotherapy (CT) for CRC has a higher toxicity in W. The impact of sex on efficacy and toxicity in first-line trials of metastatic CRC (mCRC) is unknown. Methods: We analyzed patient (pt) and tumor characteristics, toxicities (nausea (AE1), vomiting (AE2), diarrhea, neutropenia (AE3)) and efficacy (overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS)) according to sex in the following treatment groups: A: CT alone, B: CT + bevacizumab, C: CT + EGFR-antibodies, with subgroup analyses in the CT alone group for single-agent, doublets and triplets, as well as irinotecan- and oxaliplatin-based regimens. Pts from trials with treatments still used today and all relevant data available were eligible. OS and PFS were assessed using Kaplan-Meier and Cox models adjusted for primary tumor location and performance status (PS). Results: We included 28 trials with 18.399 pts (11.352 M and 7.047 W). W were younger (61 vs. 63 years), had more often a PS of 1 (49 vs 45%), BRAF mutations (10 vs. 7%), right-sided tumors (42 vs. 35%) and less often rectal tumors (26 vs. 32%). Significant differences in toxicity are reported in table. Rates of diarrhea were similar. There was no sex disparity in OS in the predefined subgroups except for pts receiving triplets where OS was better in M (HRadj=1.39 (1.05 - 1.85)). Median (interquartile range) OS in months for M and W was 16.7 (9.2-27.4) and 16.2 (8.9-27.2) in group 1, 21.9 (12.7-37.5) and 22.3 (12.9 – 39.0) in group 2, and 26.8 (14.6-45.3) and 24.8 (12.3-49.2) in group 3. HRsadj (W vs M) (95% CI), p values for OS were 1.02 (0.96-1.09), .557, 0.92 (0.83-1.03), .142, 0.99 (0.85-1.14), .866. Conclusions: M and W with mCRC differ significantly regarding patient and tumor characteristics. The significant higher toxicity in W does not translate in a higher treatment efficacy. Apart from known sex differences in pharmacokinetics of 5-FU, differences in pharmacodynamics must be postulated. [Table: see text]

4010 Background: Survival outcomes in patients with stage III colon cancer varies widely according to T-N sub-stages. The ability to estimate the benefit of each therapeutic option (surgery alone, fluoropyrimidines alone, oxaliplatin-based doublet for either 3 or 6 months) in each T-N subgroup within stage III, may provide more accurate information helping doctors and patients in the complex shared decision-making process surrounding adjuvant therapy. Methods: Theoutcomedata of 12,834 patients with stage III colon cancer enrolled in the IDEA trial served as our database. Patients were categorized in 16 sub-stages, based on the T-N categories. We created a meta-regression model to predict the expected 3-year DFS within each T-N sub-stage and hence the 5-year DFS rates were projected. We then evaluated the efficacy of each therapeutic option in every sub-stage, working backward by subtraction, using an average of the HRs reported in the pertinent trials publication as conversion factor. Results: Large differences in 3-year DFS rate were observed among the subgroups, ranging from 95% (T1N1a) to 29% (T4N2b) in the overall population. The contribution to outcome of each therapeutic option in this setting varied widely across sub-stages. According to our model, patients with T1N1a cancers have a projected 5-year DFS of 85% with surgery alone. Adjuvant fluoropyrimidine alone results in 4.2% absolute DFS gain; an additional 1.7% and 0.6% gain is seen with oxaliplatin for 3 and 6 months, respectively. Patients with T4N2b cancers show a 4.7% 5-year DFS with surgery alone, and a 7.1%, 5.0%, 2.1% increase with the aforementioned adjuvant options, respectively. Conclusions: The resulting overlay bar graph gives patients and doctors the projected relative benefit of each treatment option and may substantially help the shared decision-making process.

4004 Background: In overall population, IDEA pooled analysis did not demonstrate non-inferiority (NI) regarding 3y DFS in pts with stage III CC receiving 3m vs. 6m of adj FOLFOX/CAPOX. However, in pts treated with CAPOX (especially in low-risk pts), 3m of therapy was as effective as 6m. Results of OS and 5y DFS are reported. Methods: OS was defined as time from enrollment to death due to all causes. OS NI margin was conservatively set to be Hazard Ratio (HR) = 1.11, which is equivalent to: the maximum acceptable loss of OS efficacy, by shortening treatment to 3m, was half of the OS efficacy gained in MOSAIC trial (i.e., 2.26% absolute reduction in 5y OS rate). Pre-planned sub-group analyses included by regimen and risk group for both OS and 5y DFS. NI was to be declared if the one-sided false discovery rate adjusted (FDRa) NI p-value < 0.025. Results: With an overall median survival follow-up of 72 m (range per study, 62 to 84 m), 2584 deaths and 3777 DFS events among 12,835 pts from six trials were observed. Across 6 studies, 39.5% of pts received CAPOX (rate by study, 0% to 75.1%). Overall, the 5y OS rate was 82.4% (3m) and 82.8% (6m), with estimated OS HR of 1.02 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.95-1.11; FDRa NI p, 0.058) and absolute 5-y OS rate difference of -0.4% (95% CI, -2.1 to 1.3%). Overall, the 5y DFS rate was 69.1% (3m) and 70.8% (6m), with estimated DFS HR of 1.08 (95%CI, 1.01-1.15, FDRa NI p, 0.22). HRs (95% CI) within subgroups see table. Conclusions: 5y OS rate reported in IDEA trials was higher than historical rates, regardless of duration of therapy. While overall survival in IDEA did not meet prior statistical assumptions for NI in overall population, the 0.4% difference in 5y OS should be placed in clinical context. OS and 5y DFS results continue to support the use of 3m adjuvant CAPOX for the vast majority of stage III colon cancer pts. This conclusion is strengthened by the substantial reduction of toxicities, inconveniencies and cost associated with shorter treatment duration. Clinical trial information: NCT01150045; 2009-010384-16; NCT00749450; ISRCTN59757862; 2007-003957-10; UMIN000008543; 2007-000354 . [Table: see text]

4003 Background: Aspirin and cyclooxygenase-2 (COX-2) inhibitors have been associated with a reduced risk of colorectal polyps and cancer in observational and randomized studies. CALGB/SWOG 80702 tested the effect of celecoxib, a COX-2 inhibitor, on reducing the risk of recurrence in stage III CC. Methods: CALGB/SWOG 80702 is a 2x2 randomized controlled phase III trial of 3 v 6 months of adjuvant FOLFOX (data previously reported as part of the IDEA collaboration) with concurrent celecoxib (400 mg daily) v placebo x 3 yrs for patients (pts) with resected stage III CC. The primary endpoint of the trial is disease-free survival (DFS), defined as time from randomization to recurrence or death from any cause. The trial was designed to provide 91% power to detect a hazard ratio (HR) of 0.79 in favor of celecoxib with 2-sided alpha = 0.05 (775 events required); due to slowing accumulation of events 4 years after complete accrual, power was lowered to 85% with same HR and alpha assumptions (696 events required). The DSMB released data on February 24, 2020 at median f/u of 5.6 yrs with 689 DFS events. Results: Between June 2010 and November 2015, 2,526 pts were consented and randomized to the trial. Treatment arms were well balanced by patient and tumor prognostic features, as well as low-dose aspirin use. Baseline characteristics included 45% female, 18% non-White, 8% Hispanic, 15% T4, 26% N2. 3-yr DFS for celecoxib was 76.3% v 73.3% for placebo (HR 0.89 [95% CI 0.77-1.04]; P = 0.14). 5-yr overall survival (OS) was 83.9% for celecoxib v 81.7% for placebo (HR 0.87 [95% CI 0.72-1.05]; P = 0.14). When considering the 4 treatment arms separately, 3-yr DFS was 77.0% for 12 months FOLFOX + celecoxib, 74.9% for 12 months FOLFOX + placebo, 75.5% for 6 months FOLFOX + celecoxib, and 71.9% for 6 months FOLFOX + placebo (log rank P = 0.22; P interaction = 0.64). There were no significant differences in grade 3-4 toxicity with celecoxib v placebo. Compliance with protocol celecoxib treatment, defined as 3 yrs of therapy completion or recurrence/death while on treatment, was 58.1% pts on celecoxib and 60.2% pts on placebo. Conclusions: The addition of celecoxib to standard chemotherapy did not significantly improve DFS or OS. Clinical trial information: NCT01150045 .