Puccini, Alberto

198 Background: The Hedgehog (Hh) signaling pathway regulates tissue patterning, growth and differentiation, including within gastrointestinal tract. Mammalian homologs include Sonic (SHH), Indian (IHH) and Desert (DHH) Hedgehog, which signal through PTCH and SMO and the GLI transcription factors. In the digestive tract, both SHH and IHH are expressed, but the functional role of Hh signaling in mCRC remains incompletely defined. Methods: We analyzed 433 mCRC patients treated with either bevacizumab (bev = 226) or cetuximab (cet = 207) plus first line chemotherapy in CALGB/SWOG 80405 (NCT00265850). RNA expression (Illumina HiSeq 2500) of 9 Hh pathway genes (SHH, IHH, DHH, PTCH1, PTCH2, SMO, GLI1, GLI2, GLI3) was evaluated. Median overall survival (mOS) and progression free survival (mPFS) in months (mo) were compared across expression tertiles (low [L], medium [M], high [H]). Likelihood ratio tests, hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals were computed from multivariable Cox proportional hazards models, adjusting for age, sex, ethnicity, ECOG PS, tumor location, number of metastatic sites, KRAS , microsatellites instability status and treatment. Prognostic effects were modeled as marginal terms; predictive effects were modeled as multiplicative interactions. Results: Overall, IHH and GLI2 demonstrated prognostic value for OS after adjusting for multiple testing (Benjamini-Hochberg False Discovery Rate (FDR) < 0.05). High IHH expression (H group, n = 143) correlated with improved mOS (H: 36.0 mo vs M: 32.8 mo vs L: 23.5 mo; p= 0.031), whereas low GLI2 expression (L group, n = 145) was associated with longer mOS (H: 25.6 mo vs M: 33.9 mo vs L: 33.7 mo; p= 0.0016). Moreover, IHH showed predictive value for cet benefit in both OS (mOS H: 38.1 mo vs M: 34.0 mo vs L: 18.4 mo; p= 0.0032) and PFS (mPFS H: 12.6 mo vs M: 12.9 mo vs L: 8.8 mo; p= 0.0025) with significant treatment interaction for OS and PFS (p= 0.0046 and p= 0.0049, respectively; FDR< 0.05). No significant associations were found in bev treated pts. No other Hh genes showed significant prognostic or predictive effects after FDR correction. Conclusions: These results highlight a dual role of Hh pathway in mCRC. Consistent with prior preclinical evidence, reduced IHH expression appears to mark poor prognosis, likely reflecting the loss of IHH-mediated restraint on Wnt signaling, which drives proliferation and dedifferentiation. Conversely, low GLI2, a downstream transcription factor, was linked with favorable outcomes, underscoring context-specific effects of Hh signaling. The strong predictive association of IHH with cet efficacy supports its potential as a biomarker in RAS wild type mCRC. These results suggest that Hh pathway modulation, particularly IHH signaling, may influence disease biology and treatment response. Validation in independent cohorts and mechanistic studies is warranted to clarify implications.

Abstract Purpose: Routine testing for mismatch repair deficiency (dMMR)/microsatellite instability (MSI) in colorectal cancers is recommended for Lynch syndrome screening, prognosis, and treatment guidance. In the metastatic setting, RAS/BRAF mutations guide treatment decisions. The impact of these mutations on the tumor immune microenvironment (TiME) in MSI/dMMR colorectal cancer is not known. Experimental Design: The study involved retrospective analysis of 448 patients with stage I to IV MSI/dMMR colorectal cancer profiled using next-generation sequencing (Tempus xT DNA sequencing of 595–648 genes at 500x coverage and Tempus xR whole-exome capture RNA sequencing). MSI status was determined by assessing 44 or 239 loci using next-generation sequencing. dMMR was determined using IHC. Tumor mutational burden, tumor neoantigen burden (NTB), PD-L1, immune infiltration, and canonical immune pathways (76 gene set signatures) were analyzed. Results: The median age at diagnosis was 67 years (range, 21–86); 59% of patients were female, and 70% were stage III to IV. Among the 448 patients, 100 (22%) harbored RAS mutations (RASmut), 119 (27%) a BRAFV600E mutation, and 229 (51%) were double wild type. RASmut exhibited lower NTB (median, 12 vs. 15 vs. 16; P = 0.003) and PD-L1 (3.6% vs. 13% vs. 24%; P &lt; 0.001) than BRAFV600E and wild-type tumors, respectively. The RASmut TiME had lower overall inflammation and fewer infiltrating CD8+ T cells than wild-type or BRAFV600E tumors. In contrast, BRAFV600E tumors exhibited hyperproliferative characteristics associated with broad metabolic reprogramming but a similarly inflamed TiME compared with wild-type tumors. Conclusions: Our data suggest that MSI/dMMR colorectal cancers harboring RASmut are less immunogenic, and the TiME contains a lower inflammatory profile than wild-type or BRAFV600E tumors. Further analysis and validation are required to confirm these findings.

Importance The definition of cure in stage II to III colon cancer (CC) remains unclear due to limitations in conventional end points, which include deaths and second primary tumors as events. These can complicate communication with patients regarding long-term outcomes. Objective To distinguish relapses from competing health-related events to classify long-term outcomes years after surgery and explore when the incidence of true relapses of the initial CC approaches 0% to define cure in this disease. Design, Setting, and Participants This pooled analysis of individual patient–level data from 15 phase 3 randomized clinical trials assessed time to CC-related relapse using Kaplan-Meier and Aalen-Johansen methods, with death and second primary tumors treated as competing risks. Cox regression models evaluated prognostic associations, stratified by sex, stage, and tumor. Patients with stage II to III CC who underwent adjuvant chemotherapy were included. All patients had undergone radical surgery for CC and received adjuvant chemotherapy with a median follow-up of at least 6 years. The Adjuvant Colon Cancer Endpoints (ACCENT) and the International Duration Evaluation of Adjuvant Chemotherapy (IDEA) databases included adjuvant studies conducted between 1996 and 2015. Data were analyzed from February 2022 to June 2025. Exposures Adjuvant chemotherapy regimens varied across trials, including fluoropyrimidines alone or in combination with oxaliplatin or biologic agents. Main Outcomes and Measures The primary outcome was time to CC-related recurrence. The predefined threshold for cure was a recurrence risk below 0.5%. Results Of 35 213 included patients, 19 346 (54.9%) were male, and the mean (SD) age was 60.2 (10.8) years. The incidence rate of recurrence peaked at 6.4% (1993 of 31 373) between month 6 and month 12 and decreased continuously until year 10 of follow-up never exceeding 0.5%. Recurrence rate appeared to increase again after year 10 and peaked at 2.0% during year 12.5 to year 13, a pattern observed exclusively in the MOSAIC trial. Competing-event analysis revealed that death and second primary tumors inflated the apparent recurrence rate, especially for older patients. The overall cumulative incidence of relapse with death as competing risk was lower among female patients (hazard ratio, 0.58; 95% CI, 0.45-0.76; P &amp;lt; .001). Conclusions and Relevance In this pooled analysis of phase 3 randomized clinical trials, a recurrence rate less than 0.5% occurred after 6 years from surgery, supporting a practical definition of cure. Recognizing this milestone may improve patient communication, guide follow-up duration, and reduce unnecessary long-term surveillance.

3128 Background: LncRNAs have emerged as key regulators of cancer progression and therapeutic responses. In CRC, several lncRNAs have been implicated in modulating tumor growth, metastasis and treatment resistance by interacting with critical tumorigenic pathways. Here, we investigate the potential prognostic and predictive value of lncRNA expression in patients (pts) with mCRC enrolled in CALGB/SWOG 80405 (NCT00265850) trial. Methods: We analyzed 433 mCRC pts treated with either bevacizumab (bev, n = 226) or cetuximab (cet, n = 207) plus first-line chemotherapy. Tumor RNA expression (Illumina HiSeq 2500) of 13 candidate lncRNAs (SNHG11, HOTAIR, FGF14-AS2, H19, YWHAE, NEAT1, MIR100HG, UCA1, LINC00973, SLCO4A1-AS1, POU5F1P4, MALAT1, HCG18) was explored. Median overall survival (mOS) and progression-free survival (mPFS) in months (mo) were compared between pts grouped by tertiles (low [L] vs medium [M] vs high [H]) of gene expression. Likelihood ratio tests, hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals were computed from multivariable Cox proportional hazards models, adjusting for age, sex, ECOG PS, tumor location, number of metastatic sites, KRAS , Consensus Molecular Subtypes (CMS), and treatment. Results: Overall, SNHG11 was strongly associated with OS and PFS after adjusting for multiple tests (Benjamini-Hochberg False Discovery Rate < 0.05). High SNHG11 expression (H group, n = 144) was associated with improved mPFS (H: 14.3 vs M: 11.2 vs L: 8.3 mo; p = 0.038) and mOS (H: 39.6 vs M: 31.1 vs L: 20.5 mo; p = 0.033) in the combined treatment analysis. Among cet-treated pts, SNHG11-H showed a numerically longer mPFS (H: 14.2 vs M: 11.1 vs L: 7.6 mo; p = 0.19) and significantly longer mOS (H: 41.1 vs M: 32.4 vs L: 14.3 mo; p = 0.012). In contrast, no statistically significant OS or PFS differences were observed in bev-treated pts. SNHG11-H tumors had a significant OS benefit from cet compared to bev (mOS 41.1 vs 36.5 mo, respectively; p = 0.016), with a nominally significant treatment interaction observed for OS (p = 0.030). No significant differences were observed in the L or M expression groups. Additional analyses showed that SNHG11 expression was high in the CMS2 (canonical) subtype and substantially lower in CMS1 (immune). Conclusions: LncRNA SNHG11 plays a significant role in CRC progression and metastasis via tumorigenic pathways, including c-Myc and HIF-1α. Moreover, elevated circulating SNHG11 levels show promise as a non-invasive biomarker for early CRC detection. In CALGB/SWOG 80405, high SNHG11 expression correlated with improved PFS and OS, particularly in cet-treated pts, supporting its role as a prognostic and predictive biomarker. Its strong association with CMS2 aligns with its reported involvement in c-Myc-driven pathways. Further validation is needed to confirm the clinical utility of this biomarker and elucidate underlying mechanisms.

4010 Background: Survival outcomes in patients with stage III colon cancer varies widely according to T-N sub-stages. The ability to estimate the benefit of each therapeutic option (surgery alone, fluoropyrimidines alone, oxaliplatin-based doublet for either 3 or 6 months) in each T-N subgroup within stage III, may provide more accurate information helping doctors and patients in the complex shared decision-making process surrounding adjuvant therapy. Methods: Theoutcomedata of 12,834 patients with stage III colon cancer enrolled in the IDEA trial served as our database. Patients were categorized in 16 sub-stages, based on the T-N categories. We created a meta-regression model to predict the expected 3-year DFS within each T-N sub-stage and hence the 5-year DFS rates were projected. We then evaluated the efficacy of each therapeutic option in every sub-stage, working backward by subtraction, using an average of the HRs reported in the pertinent trials publication as conversion factor. Results: Large differences in 3-year DFS rate were observed among the subgroups, ranging from 95% (T1N1a) to 29% (T4N2b) in the overall population. The contribution to outcome of each therapeutic option in this setting varied widely across sub-stages. According to our model, patients with T1N1a cancers have a projected 5-year DFS of 85% with surgery alone. Adjuvant fluoropyrimidine alone results in 4.2% absolute DFS gain; an additional 1.7% and 0.6% gain is seen with oxaliplatin for 3 and 6 months, respectively. Patients with T4N2b cancers show a 4.7% 5-year DFS with surgery alone, and a 7.1%, 5.0%, 2.1% increase with the aforementioned adjuvant options, respectively. Conclusions: The resulting overlay bar graph gives patients and doctors the projected relative benefit of each treatment option and may substantially help the shared decision-making process.

606 Background: Between 3-5% of CRC patients have BRCA1/2 pathogenic mutations. This study aims to identify associations between BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutations and clinical characteristics in CRC. Methods: A total of 6396 CRC tumor samples were tested with Next-Generation Sequencing (NGS) on a 592-gene panel, pathogenic or presumed pathogenic variants were counted as mutations (mt). Microsatellite instability (MSI) and tumor mutational burden (TMB) were tested by NGS. Statistical correlations were investigated using ANOVA, Chi-square and t-test. Results: Among tumors sampled, 53% derived from male patients and median age was 60 years. BRCA1 mt were detected in 1.1% (n = 72) of tumors, while BRCA2 in 2.8% (n = 179). BRCA1 mt were more frequent in women (W;65%) than men (M;35%) (p = 0.0019) while no relationship with sex was seen for BRCA2 mt (42% F vs. 58% M). No significant associations with age were noticed. Majority of pathogenic mt in BRCA1 (52%; n = 34) and BRCA2 (62%; n = 103) occurred in MSI-High (MSI-H) cases. MSI-H pts had more frameshift mt in both BRCA1/2 than MSS pts. MSS cases had lower rates of BRCA1 and 2 pathogenic mt (44% and 37%, respectively). Right-sided tumors were significantly associated with BRCA1 (p = 0.0056) and BRCA2 (p < 0.0001) mt in MSI-H cases only. BRCA1/2 mt were associated with higher TMB in all CRCs, including MSI-H and MSS cases (p < 0.001). POLE mt (n = 31) were associated with higher BRCA1/2 mt rates (9.6%, 55% respectively). Among MSS cases with POLE wild-type status, BRCA1 (p = 0.0269) and BRCA2 (p = 0.0151) mt were associated with high TMB and combining both BRCA1/2 mutations led to an even higher TMB (3.6%; p = 0.001). Conclusions: This is the first study to show that BRCA1/2 mutations are more frequent in MSI-H, and independently associated with higher TMB, pathogenic POLE mutations, and right-sided tumors in MSI-H CRCs. Given their relationship with TMB, the presence of BRCA1/2 mutations may be potential predictive biomarkers for checkpoint or PARP inhibitors in CRC, a finding that should be prospectively evaluated.

Abstract The efficacy of immunotherapy varies widely among different gastrointestinal cancers. Response to immune checkpoint inhibitors is shown to correlate with tumor mutation load (TML), mismatch repair deficiency (dMMR) status, and programmed cell death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) expression. Herein, we quantify TML, dMMR, and PD-L1 expression and determine their interrelationship in gastrointestinal cancers. Here, a total of 4,125 tumors from 14 different gastrointestinal cancer sites were studied using validated assays. Next-generation sequencing was performed on genomic DNA isolated from formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded tumor specimens using the NextSeq platform. TML was calculated using only somatic nonsynonymous missense mutations sequenced with a 592-gene panel. Microsatellite instability (MSI) was assessed using direct analysis of altered known MSI loci in the target regions of the sequenced genes. PD-L1 expression was analyzed by IHC. Interestingly, right-sided colon and small-bowel adenocarcinomas had the highest prevalence of TML-high tumors (14.6% and 10.2%, respectively). Pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors and gastrointestinal stromal tumors had the lowest rates of TML-high (1.3% and 0%, respectively). TML-high was strongly associated with MSI-H (P &lt; 0.0001). However, all TML-high anal cancers (8.3%) were microsatellite stable (MSS). Higher PD-L1 expression was more likely to be seen in MSI compared with MSS tumors (20.6% vs. 7.8%, P &lt; 0.0001). Implications: TML-high rate varied widely among gastrointestinal cancers. Although MSI is conceivably the main driver for TML-high, other factors may be involved. Future clinical trials are needed to evaluate whether the integration of TML, MSI, and PD-L1 could better identify potential responders to immunotherapy. Mol Cancer Res; 16(5); 805–12. ©2018 AACR.