Tie, Jeanne

Abstract Background Synthetic control arms (SCAs) derived from historical trial data can complement randomized controlled trials (RCTs), particularly in oncology where feasibility, ethical, and cost constraints may limit conventional trial designs. However, their validity for overall survival (OS) remains uncertain. We evaluated the feasibility and limitations of constructing SCAs from the ARCAD metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) database across multiple treatment lines. Methods Seven landmark RCTs representing first-, second-, and third-line settings were selected. External control arms were constructed from ARCAD individual patient-level data using propensity score matching based on key clinical and biological variables from a validated ARCAD prognostic score, with adjustment for geographic region and time era when needed. A prespecified two-step benchmarking framework assessed: (1) control-arm OS reproducibility and (2) virtual trial comparisons between matched synthetic controls and original RCT experimental arms. Agreement was evaluated using hazard ratios (HRs) and Z-tests. Results A total of 28,022 patients met the inclusion criteria. ARCAD-derived SCAs were successfully constructed for all selected RCTs and closely reproduced control-arm OS. After matching, baseline characteristics were well balanced, with minimal differences between included and excluded patients. Virtual trials showed concordant treatment-effect estimates with the original RCTs, with a median absolute HR deviation of 0.05 and no significant differences by Z-tests (P>.05). Survival outcomes were consistently reproduced across treatment lines. Conclusion ARCAD-derived SCAs reliably reproduced control-arm OS and benchmark treatment-effect estimates from landmark RCTs in mCRC. Despite limitations related to residual confounding and missing data, this framework supports benchmarking, trial design, and exploratory analyses when conventional control arms are impractical.

TPS3675 Background: Multi-agent chemotherapy regimens (eg, mFOLFOX6) ± anti-vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) or anti-epidermal growth factor regimens are currently the standard of care for patients (pts) with mCRC without targetable mutations. However, the 5-year survival rate remains low at approximately 16% (SEER, 2025). The addition of biological therapies (eg, bevacizumab [bev], an anti-VEGF monoclonal antibody) to immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) has demonstrated a synergistic antitumor effect in solid tumors. However, ICI monotherapy has limited activity in mismatch repair proficient (pMMR)/microsatellite stable (MSS) mCRC. Simultaneous bispecific targeting of programmed death 1 (PD-1) and VEGF in conjunction with cytotoxic chemotherapy has the potential to enhance antitumor activity. PF-08634404 is a fully human immunoglobulin G4 (IgG4) bispecific antibody targeting PD-1 and VEGF. A phase 2 study of PF-08634404 with XELOX or mFOLFOX6 demonstrated promising antitumor activity with a manageable safety profile in first-line (1L) mCRC (Xu X, ESMO 2025; Abstract 796P). Methods: Symbiotic-GI-03 (NCT07222800) is an ongoing, double-blind, randomized, phase 3 study evaluating the efficacy and safety of 1L PF-08634404 + mFOLFOX6 vs bev + mFOLFOX6. Inclusion criteria are age ≥18 y; mCRC with measurable disease per RECIST 1.1; no prior systemic therapy for metastatic disease; ECOG PS 0 or 1; and adequate hematologic, hepatic, and renal function. Pts with BRAF V600E-mutant or mismatch repair deficient (dMMR)/microsatellite instability-high (MSI-H) CRC, active central nervous system metastases, or clinically significant risk of hemorrhage/fistula will be excluded. Approximately 800 pts will be randomized 1:1 to receive PF-08634404 + mFOLFOX6 or bev + mFOLFOX6 until disease progression, unacceptable toxicity, withdrawal of consent, or death. Randomization will be stratified by region (North America, Europe, or rest of world), RAS status (mutant or wildtype), and presence of liver metastasis (yes or no). The dual primary endpoints are progression-free survival (PFS) by blinded independent central review and overall survival; for each, a stratified log-rank test will be used to compare arms. Hazard ratios with corresponding 2-sided 95% CIs will be estimated using a stratified Cox proportional hazards model, and medians will be estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method with corresponding 2-sided 95% CIs calculated using the log(-log) method. Secondary endpoints include PFS by investigator, objective response rate, duration of response, PFS after next-line therapy, safety/tolerability, pharmacokinetics, immunogenicity, and patient-reported outcomes. Enrollment began in December 2025. Clinical trial information: NCT07222800 .

Abstract Purpose: Routine testing for mismatch repair deficiency (dMMR)/microsatellite instability (MSI) in colorectal cancers is recommended for Lynch syndrome screening, prognosis, and treatment guidance. In the metastatic setting, RAS/BRAF mutations guide treatment decisions. The impact of these mutations on the tumor immune microenvironment (TiME) in MSI/dMMR colorectal cancer is not known. Experimental Design: The study involved retrospective analysis of 448 patients with stage I to IV MSI/dMMR colorectal cancer profiled using next-generation sequencing (Tempus xT DNA sequencing of 595–648 genes at 500x coverage and Tempus xR whole-exome capture RNA sequencing). MSI status was determined by assessing 44 or 239 loci using next-generation sequencing. dMMR was determined using IHC. Tumor mutational burden, tumor neoantigen burden (NTB), PD-L1, immune infiltration, and canonical immune pathways (76 gene set signatures) were analyzed. Results: The median age at diagnosis was 67 years (range, 21–86); 59% of patients were female, and 70% were stage III to IV. Among the 448 patients, 100 (22%) harbored RAS mutations (RASmut), 119 (27%) a BRAFV600E mutation, and 229 (51%) were double wild type. RASmut exhibited lower NTB (median, 12 vs. 15 vs. 16; P = 0.003) and PD-L1 (3.6% vs. 13% vs. 24%; P < 0.001) than BRAFV600E and wild-type tumors, respectively. The RASmut TiME had lower overall inflammation and fewer infiltrating CD8+ T cells than wild-type or BRAFV600E tumors. In contrast, BRAFV600E tumors exhibited hyperproliferative characteristics associated with broad metabolic reprogramming but a similarly inflamed TiME compared with wild-type tumors. Conclusions: Our data suggest that MSI/dMMR colorectal cancers harboring RASmut are less immunogenic, and the TiME contains a lower inflammatory profile than wild-type or BRAFV600E tumors. Further analysis and validation are required to confirm these findings.

3520 Background: Recent analyses highlight nonhierarchical outcomes using the 8 th Edition AJCC staging system for CC. For instance, the 5-year survival rate for stages I and IIIa patients (pts) closely align. Additionally, tumor deposits (TDs) have been established as significant prognostic indicators. The AJCCCCEP commissioned this study to develop an updated pathological staging system for CC focused specifically on pts without distant metastasis (M0), while retaining the existing stage IV classification. Methods: Individual patient data (IPD) from pts diagnosed with cc (2010- 2017) in the NCDB were divided into training (70%) and internal validation (30%) datasets. External validation used IPD from clinical trials. The primary endpoint was overall survival (OS). Risk classification development for M0 pts incorporated ungrouped data on pathologic T categories, the number of involved regional lymph nodes (LN+), and TD counts. Recursive partitioning and regression tree analyses were applied to construct hierarchical staging levels. Pre-specified criteria required survival probabilities to be consecutive and show clear separations using Kaplan-Meier (KM) estimates with pairwise log-rank test P of < 0.005 for the training and < 0.05 for validation analyses. Results: Data from 281,997 pts (median age 67 years, 50% male, 81% white, 55% T3, 19% T4, 44% N+, 26% M+, and 11% with ≥1 TD) were analyzed, with a median follow-up of 7.3 years. The updated staging system (Table) met pre-specified criteria, with all observed pairwise P < 0.0001 in the development and internal validation sets. KM OS curves displayed a hierarchical separation across all sub-levels after the 1 st year of diagnosis. Consistent results were seen in pts treated with adjuvant chemotherapy in 4 trials (all pair-wise P < 0.0001). Conclusions: The proposed pathological staging system for M0 pts fulfills pre-specified criteria for hierarchical risk stratification, validated both internally and externally, and provides an evidence-based update. Pending review process, the AJCCCCEP will recommend that these changes be made to the Version 9 staging protocol for colon cancer to improve prognostication for CC pts. Stage T, # of LN+, # of TD M % of pts 1y OS (CI), % 3y OS (CI), % 5y OS (CI), % I T1, 0, 0 0 5 96 (95-97) 91 (90-92) 84 (83-86) IIa T2, 0, 0 0 10 95 (94-95) 88 (88-89) 80 (79-81) IIb T1, 0, 1+T1, 1+, 0T2, 0, 1+T2, 1-4, 0T3, 0, 0 0 27 93 (92-93) 84 (84-85) 75 (75-76) IIIa T1, 1+, 1+T2, 1-4, 1+T2, 5+, 0T3, 0, 1+T3, 1-4, 0 0 14 92 (91-92) 80 (80-81) 71 (70-72) IIIb T2, 5+, 1+T3, 1-4, 1+T3, 5+, 0T4a, 0-4, 0T4b, 0-2, 0 0 13 86 (86-87) 69 (68-70) 58 (57-59) IIIc T3, 5+, 1+T4a, 0-4, 1+T4a, 5+, anyT4b, 0-2, 1+T4b, 3+, any 0 5 78 (77-80) 53 (51-54) 40 (38-41) IVa Any 1a 19 59 (58-60) 28 (28-29) 17 (16-18) IVb Any 1b 7 43 (42-44) 14 (13-14) 6 (6-7) CI: 95% confidence internal; Peritoneum involvement data were not available before 2018 in NCDB. Thus, IVa/b were based on 7 th Edition.

231 Background: The recent development of KRAS G12C inhibitors underscores the potential to target KRAS mutations. Right-sided and left-sided colon tumors (RT and LT) exhibit different molecular features. We characterize the prevalence of KRAS-variants, interrelation with primary tumor location, and association with immune biomarkers in CRC. Methods: We retrospectively reviewed CRC tumors of all stages (with known sidedness) that underwent NGS with the Tempus xT assay (DNA-seq of 648 genes at 500x coverage, full transcriptome RNA-seq). Bivariate analyses were performed to compare KRAS alterations, immune biomarkers, and co-mutations by tumor location. P-values comparing individual co-mutations between groups were adjusted for false discovery (FDR). Results: A total of 3,391 CRC were analyzed (RT: n = 442 [13%], transverse: n = 116 [3%], LT; n = 2,833 [84%]) of which 1486 (44%) tumors harbored KRAS mutations. Overall, KRAS mutations were more frequent in RT compared to transverse tumors and LT (52% vs 41% vs 43%, p<0.001, respectively). The most frequent KRAS mutation variants observed were G12D (29 %), G12V (22%), G13D (16%), and G12C (5.7%). There was no significant difference in the prevalence of KRAS variant types between LT and RT (p=0.5). Significant differences in genomic co-mutations with various KRAS variants were observed in the following genes: TP53, FBXW7, and NF1 (FDR- P<0.05). RT and transverse tumors were more likely have MSI-H and TMB-H (>10 mut/mb) status than LT (MSI-H: 18% vs 22% vs 2.2% and TMB-H (20% vs 22% vs 3%, P<0.001), respectively. CRC tumors harboring G13D variants were more likely to be associated with and MSI-H and TMB-H status (and 7.7% and 8.5%) compared to G12D (2.8 % and 3.9 %), G12V (1.8 % and 2.1%), and G12C (0% and 2.4%); P = 0.003 and 0.001. Conclusions: The most frequent KRAS mutation variants observed in CRC tumors were G12D, G12V, G13D, and G12C. There was no significant difference in the prevalence of KRAS variant types between tumors of the left vs right colon. CRC tumors that harbored G13D variants were significantly more likely to be associated with MSI-H and TMB-H status. [Table: see text]

3067 Background: The KEYNOTE-177 trial demonstrated pembrolizumab’s superiority over first-line chemotherapy in patients with MSI-H/dMMR mCRC. However, in a subgroup analysis, patients with KRAS or NRAS mutations did not show the same favorable PFS benefit with PD-1 blockade therapy (HR 1,19; CI 0.68-2,07). The impact of RAS mutations on the immunologic characteristics of the TME of MSI-H/dMMR CRC has not been well characterized. Methods: A retrospective review of deidentified records of patients with MSI-H/dMMR CRC tumors was conducted using next-generation sequencing data (Tempus |xT assay, DNA-seq of 595-648 genes at 500x coverage, and full transcriptome RNA-seq). MSI-H determined by assessment of 239 loci by NGS. Several immune markers were assessed, including tumor mutational burden (TMB), neoantigen tumor burden (NTB, ScanNeo), PD-L1 expression, immune infiltration, and canonical immune pathways (82 geneset signatures). Results: A total of 463 MSI-H/dMMR CRCs were analyzed, of which 110 (24%) tumors harbored RAS mutations ( RASmut) [ KRAS: 93%, NRAS 6% and HRAS 1%}, while 353 were RAS-wild-type ( RASWT). Compared to MSI-H/dMMR RASWT, MSI-H/dMMR RASmut tumors were more frequently identified in males (53% vs. 38%; P= 0.005), and younger patients (median age: 57 yrs vs. 71 yrs, P< 0.001). Although there were no significant differences in median TMB (40 mut/MB for both, p = 0.9) or frequency of TMB-high status (≥10 mut/MB) between the two groups, RASmuttumors tended to have a lower tumor NTB (16 vs. 12 neoAg/Mb, P <0.001) and lower % CD8 T cell but higher % CD4 T cell infiltration (P < 0.05). Significant differences were observed in genomic alterations co-occurring with RASmut compared to RASWT (e.g., MLH1 (23% vs. 8.8%, P < 0.001), MSH6 (36% vs. 24%, P = 0.017), APC (60% vs. 20%, P< 0.001), ARID1A (54% vs 30%, P< 0.001), PIK3CA (36% vs 19%, P< 0.001), and TP53 (32% vs. 19%, P = 0.014). Pathway enrichment analysis identified 14 differentially expressed pathways among RASmut tumors. Four pathways showed significant upregulation, including Hedgehog, Wnt, TGFβ, and cancer stem cell pathways. Ten pathways of interest showed significant downregulation among RASmut tumors. The majority (9/10) were immune-related, including cytokine signaling [ JAK-STAT, TGFβ, TH1], innate immune [ NK cells], and adaptive immune events (CD8 T cell, Tregs)]. Conclusions: MSI-H/dMMR CRCs harboring RASmut exhibited overall upregulated WNT/SHH pathway activity, coupled with reduced NTB, cytokine signaling, and innate and adaptive immune events. TGFβ is pleiotropic, and different members were associated with variable modulation. These data suggest that MSI-H/dMMR CRCs harboring RAS mutations are less immunogenic and appeared to contain a TME that is less sensitive to immune checkpoint blockade than MSI-H/dMMR RAS wt CRCs.

3066 Background: The BRAFV600E mutation is associated with the hypermethylator phenotype CIMP, which can also lead to the MSI-H phenotype. BRAFV600E mutation and MSI-H/dMMR status seem to be biologically intertwined; however, the impact of coexisting BRAFV600E mutations on the TME and immunometabolomic features of MSI-H/dMMR CRC tumors is not well characterized. Methods: A retrospective review of deidentified records of patients with MSI-H/dMMR CRC tumors was conducted using next-generation sequencing data (Tempus |xT assay: DNA-seq of 595-648 genes at 500x coverage, and full transcriptome RNA-seq). Several immune markers of tumor immunogenicity in BRAF wild-type ( BRAFwt) vs. V600E-mutated (BRAFV600E) tumors were assessed, including tumor mutational burden (TMB), neoantigen tumor burden (NTB, ScanNeo), PD-L1 expression, immune infiltration, and canonical immuno-metabolomic pathways (82 geneset signatures). Results: A total of 459 MSI-H/dMMR CRC tumors were analyzed, of which 123 (27%) tumors harbored BRAFV600Emutations, and 336 (73%) were BRAFwt. MSI-H/dMMR BRAFV600E tumors were more frequently identified in females (69% vs. 55%; P= 0.01), non-Hispanic or non-Latino (100% vs. 73%; P =0.001), and older patients (median age: 76 yrs vs. 62 yrs; P< 0.001). Compared to BRAFWT, BRAFV600E tumors exhibited significantly higher TMB (Median: 49 mut/MB vs. 36 mut/MB; P < 0.001) and were more frequently associated with TMB-High status (> 10 mut/MB; 100% vs. 95%; P = 0.008); however, no significant differences were observed with tumor NTB, immune score, or T cell infiltration (CD4 or CD8). NK cell infiltration was higher in the BRAFV600Ecohort (< 0.001). When compared to BRAFWT tumors , BRAFV600E tumors harbored a greater frequency of mutations in MSH6(42% vs. 20%), B2M (33% vs. 16%), BRCA2 (31% vs. 12%), ATM (23% vs. 12%), and TP53 (30% vs. 19%) but a lower frequency of MSH2 (3.3% vs. 11%), all P< 0.05. Pathway enrichment analysis identified 10 significantly altered signaling pathways, most of which related to stromal/immune cell signaling and metabolism. Five were upregulated among BRAFV600E tumors: glycerophospholipid, galactose, cyclin-dependent cell signaling; Nucleotide, and TH1 inflammation. Five pathways were downregulated (Wnt, Notch, TH17 inflammation, amino sugar, and cancer stem cell signaling). Conclusions: MSI-H/dMMR BRAFV600E CRCs undergo broad metabolic reprogramming (e.g., glycerophospholipidgalactose, nucleotide). A rise in lipid metabolism, particularly with NK inflammation, suggests that BRAFV600Emutated tumors may be associated with a non-classical immune component. BRAFV600E and BRAFwt CRCs exhibited similar NTB and T cell infiltration, suggesting that both are likely to benefit from immune checkpoint inhibitors.

SEEK and you may find cancer earlier Many cancers can be cured by surgery and/or systemic therapies when detected before they have metastasized. This clinical reality, coupled with the growing appreciation that cancer's rapid genetic evolution limits its response to drugs, have fueled interest in methodologies for earlier detection of the disease. Cohen et al. developed a noninvasive blood test, called CancerSEEK that can detect eight common human cancer types (see the Perspective by Kalinich and Haber). The test assesses eight circulating protein biomarkers and tumor-specific mutations in circulating DNA. In a study of 1000 patients previously diagnosed with cancer and 850 healthy control individuals, CancerSEEK detected cancer with a sensitivity of 69 to 98% (depending on cancer type) and 99% specificity. Science , this issue p. 926 ; see also p. 866

Significance Few patients with pancreatic cancer survive longer than 5 y, in part because most patients are identified only after their disease has progressed to an advanced stage. In this study, we show how combining mutations in circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) with protein markers can result in a screening test with improved sensitivity while retaining specificity. The combination of the ctDNA and protein markers was superior to any single marker. Moreover, the combination detected nearly two-thirds of pancreatic cancers that had no evidence of distant metastasis at the time of surgical resection. The strategy may represent an approach to detect cancers of many types at an earlier stage.