ImportanceUnderstanding the interplay between diabetes risk factors and diabetes development is important to develop individual, practice, and population-level prevention strategies.ObjectiveTo evaluate the progression from normal and impaired fasting glucose levels to diabetes among adults.Design, Setting, and ParticipantsThis retrospective community-based cohort study used data from the Rochester Epidemiology Project, in Olmsted County, Minnesota, on 44 992 individuals with at least 2 fasting plasma glucose (FPG) measurements from January 1, 2005, to December 31, 2017. People who met criteria for diabetes on or before their first FPG measurement were excluded. Data were electronically retrieved in December 2019 with analyses finalized in November 2024.ExposuresThe exposure was baseline FPG level, with covariates including the following measures that are consistently recorded in the electronic health record: body mass index (BMI), age, and sex.Main Outcomes and MeasuresThe cumulative probability of freedom from diabetes was estimated and presented graphically using a Kaplan-Meier curve. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression modeling was used to estimate the partial hazard ratios (HRs) for variables of interest. Diabetes was defined as an FPG level greater than 125 mg/dL.ResultsA total of 44 992 individuals (mean [SD] age at baseline, 43.7 [11.8] years; 26 025 women [57.8%]) were included. The baseline mean (SD) BMI was 28.9 (6.6). Over a median follow-up of 6.8 years (IQR, 3.6-9.7 years), 3879 individuals (8.6%) developed diabetes. The Kaplan-Meier 10-year cumulative risk of incident diabetes was 12.8% (95% CI, 12.4%-13.2%). All initial FPG levels outside a range of 80 to 94 mg/dL were associated with increased risk for diabetes (ie, FPG <70 mg/dL: HR, 3.49 [95% CI, 2.19-5.57]; FPG 120-125 mg/dL: HR, 12.47 [10.84-14.34]). Other independent risk factors were male sex (HR, 1.31 [95% CI, 1.22-1.40]), older age (≥60 years: HR, 1.97 [95% CI, 1.71-2.28]), and any abnormal category of BMI, including underweight (BMI <18.5: HR, 2.42 [95% CI, 1.77-3.29]; BMI ≥40: HR, 4.03 [95% CI, 3.56-4.56]). There was a significant additive association of variables, particularly FPG level and BMI. For instance, a woman aged 55 to 59 years with a BMI of 18.5 to 24.9 and an FPG level of 95 to 99 mg/dL had an estimated 10-year diabetes risk of 7.0%. However, an almost doubling of risk to 13.0% was observed if the BMI was 30.0 to 34.9, and risk more than doubled again to 28.0% if FPG level also increased to 105 to 109 mg/dL. A nomogram was generated to facilitate individual classification into one of four 10-year risk categories.Conclusions and RelevanceThis retrospective cohort study of 44 992 individuals suggests that FPG level, age, BMI, and male sex were all associated with development of diabetes, with significant interaction between these variables. These data contribute to understanding the clinical course of diabetes and highlight the substantial individual variation in diabetes risk according to commonly measured clinical variables. The findings facilitate lifestyle and pharmacologic interventions to treat those at highest risk of diabetes to reduce future morbidity and mortality. Further work is needed to validate this risk categorization tool for different populations.
Concordance of Blood Glucose and CGM During a Pilot Trial of Automated Insulin Delivery in Type 1 Diabetes Pregnancies
Abstract Background Customized and standard automated insulin delivery (AID) systems for use in pregnancies of women with preexisting type 1 diabetes (T1D) are being developed and tested to achieve pregnancy appropriate continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) targets. Guidance on the use of CGM for treatment decisions during pregnancy in the United States is limited. Methods Ten pregnant women with preexisting T1D participated in a trial evaluating at-home use of a pregnancy-specific AID system. Seven-point self-monitoring of blood glucose (SMBG) was compared to the closest sensor glucose (Dexcom G6 CGM) value biweekly to assess safety and reliability based on the 20%/20 mg/dL criteria. Results All participants completed the study with 7 participants satisfying the safety and reliability criteria with a mean absolute relative difference of 10.3%. Three participants did not fulfill the criteria, mainly because the frequency of SMBG did not meet the requirements. Conclusion Dexcom G6 CGM is safe and accurate in the real-world setting for use in pregnant women with preexisting T1D with reduced SMBG testing as part of a pregnancy-specific AID system.
Coronary Heart Disease Risk Associated with Primary Isolated Hypertriglyceridemia; a Population‐Based Study
Background Hypertriglyceridemia is associated with increased risk of coronary heart disease but the association is often attributed to concomitant metabolic abnormalities. We investigated the epidemiology of primary isolated hypertriglyceridemia (PIH) and associated cardiovascular risk in a population‐based setting. Methods and Results We identified adults with at least one triglyceride level ≥500 mg/dL between 1998 and 2015 in Olmsted County, Minnesota. We also identified age‐ and sex‐matched controls with triglyceride levels <150 mg/dL. There were 3329 individuals with elevated triglyceride levels; after excluding those with concomitant hypercholesterolemia, a secondary cause of high triglycerides, age <18 years or an incomplete record, 517 patients (49.4±14.0 years, 72.0% men) had PIH (triglyceride 627.6±183.6 mg/dL). The age‐ and sex‐adjusted prevalence of PIH in adults was 0.80% (0.72–0.87); the diagnosis was recorded in 60%, 46% were on a lipid‐lowering medication for primary prevention and a triglyceride level <150 mg/dL was achieved in 24.1%. The association of PIH with coronary heart disease was attenuated but remained significant after adjustment for demographic, socioeconomic, and conventional cardiovascular risk factors (hazard ratio [HR], 1.53; 95% CI, 1.06‐2.20; P = 0.022). There was no statistically significant association between PIH and cerebrovascular disease (HR, 1.06; 95% CI, 0.65‐1.73, P = 0.813), peripheral artery disease (HR, 1.27; 95% CI, 0.43‐3.75; P = 0.668), or the composite end point of all 3 (HR, 1.28; 95% CI, 0.92‐1.80; P =0.148) in adjusted models. Conclusions PIH was associated with incident coronary heart disease events (although there was attenuation after adjustment for conventional risk factors), supporting a causal role for triglycerides in coronary heart disease. The condition is relatively prevalent but awareness and control are low.
Evaluation of a Unique Defibrillation Unit with Dual‐Vector Biphasic Waveform Capabilities: Towards a Miniaturized Defibrillator
BackgroundAutomated external defibrillators can provide life‐saving therapies to treat ventricular fibrillation. We developed a prototype unit that can deliver a unique shock waveform produced by four independent capacitors that is delivered through two shock vectors, with the rationale of providing more robust shock pathways during emergent defibrillation. We describe the initial testing and feasibility of this unique defibrillation unit, features of which may enable downsizing of current defibrillator devices.MethodsWe tested our defibrillation unit in four large animal models (two canine and two swine) under general anesthesia. Experimental defibrillation thresholds (DFT) were obtained by delivery of a unique waveform shock pulse via a dual‐vector pathway with four defibrillation pads (placed across the chest). DFTs were measured and compared with those of a commercially available biphasic defibrillator (Zoll M series, Zoll Medical, Chelmsford, MA, USA) tested in two different vectors. Shocks were delivered after 10 seconds of stable ventricular fibrillation and the output characteristics and shock outcome recorded. Each defibrillation series used a step‐down to failure protocol to define the defibrillation threshold.ResultsA total of 96 shocks were delivered during ventricular fibrillation in four large animals. In comparison to the Zoll M series, which delivered a single‐vector, biphasic shock, the energy required for successful defibrillation using the unique dual‐vector biphasic waveform did not differ significantly (P = 0.65).ConclusionsOur early findings support the feasibility of a unique external defibrillation unit using a dual‐vector biphasic waveform approach. This warrants further study to leverage this unique concept and work toward a miniaturized, portable shock delivery system.