deKemp, Robert A.

BACKGROUND: Although the prognostic utility of positron emission tomography (PET) myocardial flow reserve (MFR) is well established, emerging data suggest that reduced subendocardial flows also predict adverse outcomes. However, the incremental value of subendocardial MFR (MFR SE ) beyond transmural MFR (MFR TM ) remains unclear. METHODS: We studied patients in a multicenter PET registry with normal perfusion on stress/rest Rb-82 PET, excluding those with a previous history of coronary artery bypass surgery, heart transplantation, or left ventricular ejection fraction <40%. The optimal MFR SE cutoff for predicting major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs; death, myocardial infarction [MI], revascularization, or heart failure [HF] hospitalization) was determined using Youden’s index. Patients were stratified into 3 groups: concordant-normal (MFR TM ≥2.0; MFR SE ≥2.1), discordant (low-MFR SE , normal MFR TM ), and abnormal MFR TM . Clinical outcomes were compared by MFR groups. RESULTS: Among 6603 patients (normal N=4103; discordant N=885; abnormal N=1615) the mean age was 66.3±12.4 years, and 54% were women. Compared with the concordant-normal group, patients with discordant low-MFR SE were older and more likely to have hypertension, diabetes, peripheral artery disease, and previous percutaneous coronary intervention. The median MFR TM for normal, discordant, and abnormal groups were 2.86, 2.15, and 1.72, respectively. Over a median follow-up of 4.9 years, 1661 MACE events occurred. Discordant low-MFR SE patients had a higher risk of MACE (hazard ratio [HR], 1.41; 95% CI, 1.22–1.64) and all-cause mortality (HR, 1.36; 95% CI, 1.14–1.61) compared with concordant-normal patients. The discordant group had an intermediate absolute risk of MACE, with an adjusted annualized event rate of 5.79% (95% CI, 5.10–6.49) compared with 3.99% (95% CI, 3.67–4.30; P <0.001) in the concordant-normal group and 8.35% (95% CI, 7.71–9.00; P <0.001) in the abnormal MFR TM group. CONCLUSIONS: Subendocardial MFR reveals clinically meaningful risk heterogeneity among patients with preserved transmural flow reserve, helping refine risk stratification beyond traditional PET metrics.

ABSTRACT Background Anemia is an established marker of cardiovascular disease severity and risk which leads to elevations in resting myocardial blood flow (MBF) and impaired myocardial flow reserve (MFR) in patients without obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD). Anemia can potentially be detected opportunistically from blood pool density changes on computed tomography (CT) imaging. Objectives We evaluated relationships between chamber density measurements with hemoglobin, positron emission tomography (PET) findings, and cardiovascular events. Methods We included 33460 patients from 13 sites in the REFINE-PET who underwent PET and 24368 patients undergoing lung cancer screening chest CT. A deep learning model segmented cardiac chambers from CT images, then quantified chamber density. We evaluated the relationship between chamber density measures with resting MBF and MFR, as well as associations with death or myocardial infarction (MI). Results We included a total of 57,828 patients. A higher density in myocardium compared to left ventricle blood pool was associated with reduced MFR (adjusted odds ratio 3.02 per SD increase, 95% confidence interval[CI] 2.72 – 3.38) and an increased risk of death or MI in (adjusted hazard ratio[HR] 1.38 per SD increase, 95% CI 1.26-1.51). Having myocardial density higher than blood pool density was also associated with cardiovascular death in patients undergoing low-dose chest CT (adjusted HR 1.73, 95% CI 1.20-2.52). Conclusions In a large multimodality dataset, lower cardiac chamber density is associated with impaired MFR and independently associated with cardiovascular events. These biomarkers can be automatically extracted from CT to provide physiologic insights and potentially guide patient care. CONDENSED ABSTRACT Anemia is an important marker of cardiovascular disease severity and predictor of cardiovascular events. We utilized deep learning to measure cardiac chamber density on computed tomography imaging as a surrogate for anemia in 57,828 patients from two large multicenter studies. A higher density in myocardium compared to left ventricle blood pool was associated with reduced MFR and an increased risk of death or MI in patients undergoing positron emission tomography, and an increased risk of cardiovascular death in patients undergoing low-dose computed tomography. These biomarkers can provide additionally physiologic insights which could be used to guide patient care.

Abstract Purpose Spatial distribution of coronary artery calcium (CAC) may provide additional prognostic value in patients undergoing SPECT and PET myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI). We aimed to automatically identify CAC in proximal segments from attenuation correction CT (CTAC) scans using artificial intelligence (AI) and to evaluate prognostic significance in two large international multicenter registries. Methods From hybrid MPI/CT imaging (N=43,099) across 15 sites, we included 4,552 most relevant patients with 1) no prior coronary artery disease; 2) AI-derived mild CAC scores (1-99); and 3) normal perfusion (stress total perfusion deficit <5%). The independent associations between AI-identified proximal CAC and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and all-cause mortality (ACM) were evaluated using multivariable Cox regression, likelihood ratio test (LRT), and continuous net reclassification index (NRI). Results Among the patients with mild CAC and normal perfusion (mean age 65±12 years, 51% male), 1,730 (38%) had proximal CAC. Over 3.6 (inter-quartile interval 2.1, 5.2) years follow-up, 599 (13%) and 444 (10%) patients had MACE or ACM, respectively. Proximal CAC was associated with an increased risk of MACE (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 1.24, 95% CI 1.03–1.48, P=0.02) and ACM (adjusted HR 1.25, 95% CI 1.01–1.53, P=0.04) after the adjustment of CAC score and density, clinical risk factors, and perfusion deficit. Proximal CAC improved the risk stratification of MACE (LRT P=0.02; NRI 12%) and ACM (LRT P=0.04; NRI 12%). Conclusion In patients with mild CAC and normal perfusion, AI detection of proximal CAC identified a higher-risk group for adverse outcomes, highlighting its prognostic utility. Graphical Abstract From patients who underwent hybrid myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) from 15 sites, we analyzed those without prior coronary artery disease (CAD), mild coronary artery calcium (CAC) scores (1-99), and normal perfusion (stress total perfusion deficit <5%). A previously developed AI model was used to identify CAC lesions in proximal coronary segments on CT attenuation correction maps (CTAC). We evaluated associations with major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and all-cause mortality (ACM), showing risk stratification of proximal CAC and improvement by net reclassification index (NRI). CAC lesion color: green, left anterior descending artery (LAD) with left main artery; red, left circumflex artery (LCX); yellow, right coronary artery (RCA). Adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) are shown with 95% confidence intervals.

Abstract Background Quantitative myocardial blood flow (MBF) and myocardial flow reserve (MFR) provide incremental diagnostic and prognostic value in cardiac PET, but their widespread use is limited by the technical demands of dynamic imaging protocols. We evaluated the feasibility of using artificial intelligence (AI) to predict MBF and MFR from static and gated PET images, without the need for dynamic acquisition. Methods A machine learning (XGBoost) model was trained on 82Rb PET multi-center dataset using static perfusion imaging, injected dose, hemodynamic measures, clinical data and CT-derived features (including body composition) from the hybrid CT attenuation scan. Model performance was evaluated externally in an independent cohort. Results In total, 10,566 (derivation-cohort) and 7,842 (external-cohort) patients were included in this multi-center study. On the external-cohort, AI approach achieved an Area under the curve (AUC) of 0.92 (0.92–0.93) for abnormal stress MBF and 0.91 (0.90–0.92) for abnormal MFR; Intra-class correlation (ICC) 0.80 (0.78–0.82) and 0.78 (0.76–0.79), respectively. AI MFR closely mirrored the prognostic performance of measured MFR, showing nearly identical Kaplan–Meier risk stratification (both p<0.0001) and maintaining strong, and independently significant associations with all-cause mortality (HR 3.4 [2.8–4.2] vs. 4.6 [3.6–5.8]; both p<0.001), and demonstrated similar added value to perfusion for mortality prediction. Conclusion AI-predicted virtual stress MBF and MFR assessment using static and gated PET data is feasible and generalizable across cohorts. By removing the dependency on dynamic acquisitions, this approach has the potential to broaden the clinical adoption of flow quantification. STRUCTURED GRAPHICAL ABSTRACT PET: Positron Emission Tomography, CT: Computed Tomography, MFR: Myocardial Flow Reserve Key Question: Can machine learning models trained on dynamic PET datasets accurately predict regional stress myocardial blood flow (MBF) and myocardial flow reserve (MFR) from static image features, physiological parameters, and CT-based anatomical measures? Key Finding: Artificial intelligence can accurately estimate MBF and MFR from non-dynamic PET data, with strong agreement to reference standards. Take-home Message: By eliminating reliance on dynamic PET acquisitions, machine-learning has the potential to broaden clinical adoption of quantitative flow assessment.