Digital biomarkers in cardiovascular medicine: a scientific statement of the ESC Working Group on e-Cardiology, the ESC Working Group on Cardiovascular Pharmacotherapy, the European Heart Rhythm Association (EHRA) of the ESC, the Association for Acute Card
Abstract Cardiovascular disease is the leading cause of morbidity and mortality globally, imposing a substantial patient burden. Digital biomarkers derived from digital health technologies enable quantifiable, near-continuous, real-world capture of pathophysiological signals and are increasingly used across cardiovascular medicine. Their growth is often supported by big data analytics, artificial intelligence and connected sensors within the Internet of Things. This scientific statement systematically reviews digital biomarkers, their clinical utility across the cardiovascular care continuum, and summarizes major methodological and implementation challenges. We searched PubMed/MEDLINE, Embase and Scopus for phase III–IV cardiovascular trials published between 1 January 2019 and 1 August 2024 that collected digital biomarkers. We identified 541 records and included 32 trials (40 reports) enrolling 32 246 participants (44.71% women; mean age 66.2 ± 11.0 years). Heart failure was the most frequent target condition (16 trials, 50%), followed by cardiac implantable electronic devices trials (12 trials, 38%). Digital biomarkers included cardiac rhythm and heart rate, blood pressure, body weight, impedance-based measures, haemodynamic pressures, and physical activity and sleep patterns captured using diverse sensor technologies. Methodological quality was good (modal quality score 5; range 3–7), although most trials were unblinded. Current studies suggest potential clinical utility in selected cardiovascular conditions. Implementation remains challenging because of measurement variability, privacy and regulatory requirements, affordability and reimbursement barriers and inequities in access. Robust validation and outcome- and cost-effectiveness evidence are still needed. Registration number: CRD42024573879.
Smarter FoCUS: AI-guided focused cardiac ultrasound enables novice detection of left ventricular dysfunction
Abstract Aims Heart failure is prevalent; however, there is no cost-effective screening option. Against formal echocardiography, we assessed the diagnostic performance of focused cardiac ultrasound (FoCUS), performed by novice users guided and interpreted by artificial intelligence (AI) for the assessment of left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). Methods and results We prospectively enrolled 496 adults referred for diagnostic echocardiography. Novice operators (without clinical or imaging experience) underwent a 4-h imaging workshop, then performed FoCUS using a point-of-care device (Philips Lumify) utilizing real-time AI-image guidance (UltraSight). Images were assessed by AI-image interpretation software (Mayo Clinic), and two expert blinded echocardiologists. Median age was 67, 39% female, and body mass index range 17–56 kg/m2. Forty-one subjects (8.3%) exhibited moderate or greater LV dilatation and 28 (5.6%) had LVEF <40%. The median scan time was 4 min (IQR 3–5). Adequate views were achieved in 95.0% and 97.4% of subjects for AI interpretation and expert analysis, respectively. A two-step diagnostic screening process for low EF in which only abnormal AI reads or uninterpretable scans were reviewed by experts (15.1%) had a sensitivity 96.2%, specificity 95.4%, PPV 54.3%, and NPV 99.8%. A subsequent prospective validation study of 344 subjects demonstrated similar results (sensitivity 100%, specificity 99.4%). Conclusion In this early feasibility investigation, AI-guidance technology embedded on a handheld device, enabled novice users without clinical or imaging experience to acquire sufficient quality images to accurately assess LVEF with minimal training. The technology evaluated in this study may hold promise for AI-guidance and interpretation to facilitate low-cost screening for cardiac dysfunction.
Performance of a deep learning ECG model in predicting atrial fibrillation among patients with implantable loop recorders
Abstract Introduction Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a major contributor to stroke risk, yet many cases remain undiagnosed due to its silent nature. Deep learning-based electrocardiogram (DL-ECG) analysis can streamline AF risk stratification, providing a more reliable and accessible method to stratify risk using only a standard resting ECG. However, this tool has been validated only on AF detected clinically or with short ECG event monitors. Purpose This study aimed to validate the predictive accuracy of a DL-ECG model for identifying AF in normal sinus rhythm (NSR) ECGs among patients undergoing continuous cardiac monitoring with implantable loop recorders (ILRs). Methods We conducted a historical cohort study across three major U.S. academic medical centers, enrolling patients with an ILR and no prior diagnosis or documented ECG evidence of AF. Pre-implantation 10-second, 12-lead ECGs in NSR were analyzed using the DL-ECG model. Performance was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and compared with the CHARGE-AF score. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and Cox proportional hazards models assessed the association between DL-ECG risk categories and incident AF, defined as any episode lasting ≥6 minutes. Results We included 2,523 patients (mean age 66 ± 17 years, 52% male). AF was detected in 658 (26%) over a median follow-up of 19 months (IQR 8-37), Table 1. The DL-ECG model classified 1,634 patients (65%) as at low-risk and 889 (35%) as at high-risk. AF developed in 242 (14.8%) of the low-risk group and 416 (46.8%) of the high-risk group, yielding an AUC of 0.73 (95% CI 0.70-0.75), surpassing the CHARGE-AF AUC of 0.69 (95% CI 0.66-0.71). A combined DL-ECG and CHARGE-AF model yielded an AUC of 0.74 (95% CI 0.72-0.76), Figure 1 presents the AUC, Net Reclassification Index, and DeLong test comparisons among the three models. High-risk patients had a significantly higher incidence of AF, which remained significant after adjusting for CHARGE-AF variables, Figure 2. AF incidence increased as DL-ECG quartiles increased, with 61% of patients at the top quartile developing AF during follow-up, Figure 3. False negatives (patients initially classified as low-risk but in whom later AF was detected) had a longer median time to AF detection (127 days [IQR 28-425] vs. 101 days [IQR 20-318] for true positives, p = 0.01), and where found to have at least one positive ECG during follow-up in 36%, compared to 32% of true negatives, indicating eventual risk reclassification. Conclusions Among patients undergoing ILR monitoring, the DL-ECG model demonstrated superior predictive performance compared to CHARGE-AF, offering a promising and accessible alternative for early detection of silent AF. This approach could aid early AF detection, particularly in resource-limited settings where access to specialized rhythm monitoring services is limited.Table 1 and Figure 1 Figure 2 and 3
Assessment of diastolic function using AI-enhanced electrocardiogram and prognosis in patients with left bundle branch block
Abstract Background Left ventricular diastolic function (LVDF) and left bundle branch block (LBBB) are both linked with increased risk of LV systolic dysfunction, heart failure, and mortality. Assessing LVDF, which is typically done through echocardiography, becomes challenging in the presence of LBBB due to the intraventricular conduction delay that disrupts the reliability of tissue Doppler imaging. Recently, we validated an artificial intelligence-enabled electrocardiogram (AI-ECG) model to assess LVDF and filling pressures. Methods We performed a retrospective study among patients with ECG-confirmed LBBB who also underwent comprehensive echocardiography within 14 days of the index ECG between September 2001 and June 2022. Using multivariable survival models, we assessed the risk of all-cause mortality across AI-ECG-derived LVDF grades. Results Of 2,554 patients with LBBB (mean age 72.0+12.6, 54.6% women), 252 (9.8%), 656 (25.7%), and 1,436 (56.2%), and 210 (8.2%) had normal LVDF, G1 LVDF, G2 LVDF, and G3 LVDF, respectively. The median LV ejection fraction (LVEF) was 54% and 49.3% of the patients had heart failure. Worse LVDF was associated with older age, lower LVEF, and higher rates of diabetes, hypertension, chronic pulmonary disease, renal failure, cardiovascular disease, and heart failure (p-of-trend<0.001 for all). During a median follow-up of 2.6 years (interquartile range 0.5-4.0 years), 847 (33.2%) patients died. In multivariable survival analysis, adjusted to multiple risk factors including baseline LVEF and heart failure, worse LVDF was independently associated with a higher risk of death [G1 LVDF: adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 2.15 (95% confidence interval (95%CI) 0.75-1.77), G2 LVDF: aHR 2.25 (95%CI 1.50-3.38) G3 LVDF: aHR 2.96 (95%CI 1.88-4.65); p<0.001 for both)]. These findings were consistent also in a subgroup of patients with baseline LVEF > 50%. Conclusion Among patients with LBBB, worse LVDF, as derived by a dedicated AI-ECG algorithm is independently associated with all-cause mortality beyond baseline LVEF and clinical heart failure.survival across AI-ECG LVDF grades
Adapting AI for 24/7 ECG monitoring: Holter-based detection of LV dysfunction
Abstract Background Artificial intelligence (AI) models trained on 12-lead ECGs effectively detect left ventricular systolic dysfunction (LVSD; left ventricular ejection fraction [LVEF] <=40%). Continuous ECG monitoring via Holter recordings provides an opportunity for opportunistic screening for structural heart disease beyond rhythm disorders. We hypothesized that a lead-invariant version of the 12-lead AI model would enable a Holter monitor to screen for both arrhythmias and ventricular dysfunction. Methods We retrospectively analyzed continuous Holter ECGs from 17,665 patients who underwent a Holter and transthoracic echocardiogram (TTE) within 30 days of each other at Mayo Clinic. From each Holter, a random 20-minute of valid (non-flatline/lead disconnect) ECG segment was extracted and analyzed for LVSD detection using the adapted lead-invariant AI model. To evaluate stability, we examined model performance across different time points of the day, presenting results as area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) over time. Moreover, we illustrated the model’s robustness to noisy data by comparing its performance on raw ECG signals with that on bandpass-filtered inputs. Results Among 17,665 patients (mean age 59 years, 48.57% female), 4.96% had an LVEF <=40%. The AI model demonstrated strong predictive performance (20-minute segment AUC 0.90, mean prediction of 24-hour AUC 0.92). Analysis of results over time (Figure) revealed temporal patterns in predictive accuracy, with specific time periods showing greater stability. Despite modest variability, model performance remained consistently high throughout the day, confirming robustness across different physiological states. The predictions remained robust with noisy input. We did not observe performance improvement when the baseline wander and high frequency noise are removed by the bandpass filter. Conclusion Applying a 12-lead AI ECG model with a lead-invariant framework to a continuous Holter ECG enables effective screening for left ventricular dysfunction. This suggests that AI-based analysis of Holter-monitors can facilitate opportunistic screening of ventricular dysfunction and may enable assessment of an arrhythmia’s impact on LVEF, as well as the relationship between arrhythmia burden and LVEF.Figure 1.Mean prediction AUC of the day Figure 2.AUC for different time point