Ortega-Aviles, L M

Abstract Introduction Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a major contributor to stroke risk, yet many cases remain undiagnosed due to its silent and paroxysmal nature. To address this, multiple risk scores have been developed to predict incident AF. This study aimed to evaluate the predictive accuracy of five widely used clinical AF prediction tools (i.e., CHARGE-AF, CHA2DS2-VASc, mC2HEST, HATCH, and HAVOC) among patients undergoing long-term continuous monitoring with implantable loop recorders (ILRs). Methods We conducted a retrospective cohort study across three major US academic medical centers, including patients with ILRs and no prior diagnosis or ECG evidence of AF. Clinical variables used to calculate each risk score were extracted from electronic health records. Discrimination was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and Cox proportional hazards models were used to evaluate the association between each score’s risk categories and incident AF (defined as any episode lasting ≥6 minutes). Calibration was assessed using calibration plots and Brier scores. Results A total of 3,895 patients were included (mean age 61 ± 17 yrs.; 51% male). Incident AF was detected in 879 patients (22%) over a median follow up of 17 months (IQR 8-35). Table 1 presents baseline characteristics and device detected AF event data during follow up. CHARGE-AF had the highest AUC (0.68) but also the highest Brier score (Fig. 1). Failure curves showed clear risk stratification across all tools (Fig. 2). Calibration plots (Fig. 3) demonstrated modest agreement between predicted and observed risk across all models. Using CHARGE-AF as the reference, pairwise comparisons of Brier scores via the Wilcoxon signed-rank test showed lower calibration accuracy than CHA2DS2-VASc (p = 0.03), mC2HEST (p = 0.001), and HAVOC (p = 0.001), with no significant difference compared to HATCH (p = 0.15). Conclusions In patients undergoing continuous rhythm monitoring with ILRs, commonly used AF prediction scores demonstrated modest discriminatory ability and similar calibration performance. These findings suggest that existing risk models, which were largely developed in cohorts with clinically diagnosed AF, may not optimally translate to continuously monitored populations. Future work is needed to develop and validate AF prediction models specifically in cohorts undergoing long-term continuous cardiac monitoring.Figure 1Figure 2-3

Abstract Background The implications of poor sleep for cardiovascular disease risk are increasingly recognised. Although previous research has focused on clinical sleep disorders, emerging evidence highlights the relevance of subclinical sleep aspects for cardiovascular health. Sleep midpoint, an index of sleep timing and a proxy of circadian phase, has been shown to be associated with markers of cardiometabolic risk, including obesity, in the general population. Purpose We aimed to assess whether sleep midpoint was related to body composition measures in patients with coronary heart disease enrolled in cardiac rehabilitation (CR). Methods Study participants were recruited from the patient population referred to our CR center for acute coronary syndrome or coronary revascularisation. Shift work was exclusionary. Participants underwent sleep testing prior to entering the CR program, including completion of one week of wrist actigraphy and sleep log. Using actigraphy-derived sleep metrics, sleep midpoint was calculated as the middle time (hh:mm) between bedtime and wake up time for each individual night, and averaged across the monitoring week. Based on the median sleep midpoint of the sample, participants were categorised as having early (before 2:42) or late (after 2:42) sleep midpoint. Body composition and regional fat distribution were determined by whole-body dual-energy absorptiometry (DEXA). Between-group characteristics were compared using independent t-test, Mann-Whitney U test and Chi-square statistics as appropriate. Linear regression was used to test the association between sleep midpoint and body fat measures. Results Thirty-one participants (26 males, 64.7±12.5 years) completed both actigraphy and DEXA assessments. Demographics, lifestyle, and clinical characteristics were similar between patients with early sleep midpoint (n=15; sleep midpoint, hh:mm: 2:00, range 0:57 to 2:41) and patients with late sleep midpoint (n=16; sleep midpoint 3:18, range 2:42 to 4:17). Despite comparable body mass index between groups (p=0.21), patients with late sleep midpoint had significantly higher total body fat percentage (p=0.017), android fat percentage (p=0.015), and gynoid fat percentage (p=0.045). Late sleep midpoint remained significantly associated with adiposity measures in age- and sex-adjusted analysis (total body fat percentage, beta = 0.371, 95% CI 0.063 to 0.68; android fat percentage, beta = 0.394, 95% CI 0.078 to 0.71; gynoid fat percentage, beta = 0.301, 95% CI 0.007 to 0.596). Conclusions Late sleep midpoint was associated with excess adiposity in patients with coronary heart disease enrolled in CR. These findings support the predictive value of sleep timing for cardiometabolic risk and emphasise the importance of objective sleep assessment for secondary prevention.

Abstract Introduction Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a major contributor to stroke risk, yet many cases remain undiagnosed due to its silent nature. Deep learning-based electrocardiogram (DL-ECG) analysis can streamline AF risk stratification, providing a more reliable and accessible method to stratify risk using only a standard resting ECG. However, this tool has been validated only on AF detected clinically or with short ECG event monitors. Purpose This study aimed to validate the predictive accuracy of a DL-ECG model for identifying AF in normal sinus rhythm (NSR) ECGs among patients undergoing continuous cardiac monitoring with implantable loop recorders (ILRs). Methods We conducted a historical cohort study across three major U.S. academic medical centers, enrolling patients with an ILR and no prior diagnosis or documented ECG evidence of AF. Pre-implantation 10-second, 12-lead ECGs in NSR were analyzed using the DL-ECG model. Performance was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and compared with the CHARGE-AF score. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and Cox proportional hazards models assessed the association between DL-ECG risk categories and incident AF, defined as any episode lasting ≥6 minutes. Results We included 2,523 patients (mean age 66 ± 17 years, 52% male). AF was detected in 658 (26%) over a median follow-up of 19 months (IQR 8-37), Table 1. The DL-ECG model classified 1,634 patients (65%) as at low-risk and 889 (35%) as at high-risk. AF developed in 242 (14.8%) of the low-risk group and 416 (46.8%) of the high-risk group, yielding an AUC of 0.73 (95% CI 0.70-0.75), surpassing the CHARGE-AF AUC of 0.69 (95% CI 0.66-0.71). A combined DL-ECG and CHARGE-AF model yielded an AUC of 0.74 (95% CI 0.72-0.76), Figure 1 presents the AUC, Net Reclassification Index, and DeLong test comparisons among the three models. High-risk patients had a significantly higher incidence of AF, which remained significant after adjusting for CHARGE-AF variables, Figure 2. AF incidence increased as DL-ECG quartiles increased, with 61% of patients at the top quartile developing AF during follow-up, Figure 3. False negatives (patients initially classified as low-risk but in whom later AF was detected) had a longer median time to AF detection (127 days [IQR 28-425] vs. 101 days [IQR 20-318] for true positives, p = 0.01), and where found to have at least one positive ECG during follow-up in 36%, compared to 32% of true negatives, indicating eventual risk reclassification. Conclusions Among patients undergoing ILR monitoring, the DL-ECG model demonstrated superior predictive performance compared to CHARGE-AF, offering a promising and accessible alternative for early detection of silent AF. This approach could aid early AF detection, particularly in resource-limited settings where access to specialized rhythm monitoring services is limited.Table 1 and Figure 1 Figure 2 and 3

Abstract Background Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) develops over a prolonged latent period, progressing from subclinical ASCVD to major cardiovascular events due to plaque accumulation. Subclinical ASCVD is a valid subrogate to assess potential risk factors or ASCVD. Dietary patterns are known to contribute to or prevent ASCVD. Dairy consumption has been associated with lower rates of obesity, hypertension, and diabetes, while saturated fats, present in most dairy products, have been associated with ASCVD. Studies assessing the association between subclinical ASCVD and dairy consumption have shown mixed results but have not been systematically analyzed Purpose This study aimed to systematically review and synthesize the existing evidence on the association between dairy product consumption and subclinical ASCVD Methods The study protocol was registered in the International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews and adhered to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses guidelines. We conducted a comprehensive search of PubMed, EMBASE, Scopus, Cochrane Central Register, Google Scholar, and Web of Science to identify experimental and observational studies that examined the association of dairy product consumption with measures of subclinical ASCVD assessed through coronary artery calcium (CAC) scanning, intima-media thickness (IMT), pulse pressure (PP) or pulse wave velocity (PWV), from inception to July 9, 2024. Titles and abstracts were screened in duplicate, followed by a full-text review and data abstraction from articles that met the study criteria. Dairy products were classified as: a) Dairy, according to the United States Department of Agriculture, encompassing milk, yogurt, cheese, lactose-free milk, and fortified soy milk/yogurt; and b) Dairy+, which further included higher fat content products such as cream cheese, sour cream, cream, and butter Results A total of 973 articles were identified; 22 met inclusion criteria representing 20 studies; being predominantly cross-sectional (55%) conducted in North America (50%); food frequency questionnaires were the most implemented tool for dietary assessment (86%), and 41% used PWV for subclinical ASCVD assessment; Fig. 1. Total Dairy and Dairy+ exhibited predominantly neutral effects with a trend toward a beneficial effect, similar to yogurt intake. Milk and cheese demonstrated contrasting effects, with studies reporting protective, neutral, and harmful associations, particularly for PWV and IMT. Limited data on CAC suggested no strong relationship with dairy consumption; Table 1 Conclusion Available evidence on the association between dairy consumption and subclinical ASCVD is complex with mixed effects across dairy products. No consistent evidence of harm or benefit was found; future research is needed to clarify the role of different dairy components in the development of subclinical ASCVD and incidence of cardiovascular eventsFig1.Summary of studies characteristics Table 1.Summary of effects

Background Patients with single-ventricle physiology are often palliated with the Fontan operation, which may involve the creation of a fenestration. We aimed to evaluate differences in cardiopulmonary exercise test (CPET) performance between patients with fenestrated and non-fenestrated Fontan circulation. Methods Patients with a Fontan circulation referred to CPET between 2006 and 2024 were included and were categorised based on their fenestration status at the time of CPET. Logistic regression analyses were performed to assess the impact of fenestration on peak oxygen consumption (VO 2 ), and Cox proportional hazard to evaluate the impact of fenestration on cardiovascular outcomes (death, heart transplant and Fontan-related hospitalisation). Results Of the 184 patients, 141 were classified as non-fenestrated and 43 as fenestrated. The minute ventilation-carbon dioxide production (V E /VCO 2 slope) was higher in the fenestrated (36.9±7.9) versus (33.2±6.2; p=0.009) in the non-fenestrated group. There was no significant difference in predicted VO 2 between groups (non-fenestrated 51.9%±14.4 vs 51.3%±15.6; p=0.7). Resting oxygen saturation was higher in the non-fenestrated group (93%±4.7 compared with fenestrated group 90.1%±5; p<0.001). Fontan fenestration was not significantly associated with the composite outcome; older patient age at the time of the CPET, cirrhosis and ventricular ejection fraction <40% were significantly associated with higher risk, while higher resting systolic blood pressure, left ventricular morphology and higher predicted peak VO 2 were protective. Conclusions The increased hypoxia and reduced ventilatory efficiency associated with Fontan fenestration offset any potential benefits, resulting in similar exercise performance between the groups. Fontan fenestration was not significantly associated with cardiovascular outcomes.

Abstract Background Cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPET) has emerged as an important tool for risk stratification and prognosis assessment in patients with cardiac diseases. The Weber and Ventilatory Functional Classification have been correlated with outcomes in patients with Heart Failure (HF). Weber classification is based on VO2: Weber class A, peak VO2 &gt;20 mL/kg per minute; class B, peak VO2 16–20 mL/kg per minute; class C, peak VO2 10–16 mL/kg per minute; and class D, peak VO2 ≤10 mL/kg per minute and Ventilatory classification on VE/VCO2 slope I-IV (Figure A). Although VO2 and VE/VCO2 variables have found altered in the amyloidosis population, the applicability of this classification in a cohort of amyloidosis patients and its correlation with all-cause mortality have not been explored. Purpose To evaluate if the Weber and Ventilatory Classification of HF predicts mortality amyloidosis patients. Methods 194 with diagnosis of amyloidosis who underwent CPET from February 2010 to February 2024 were included in this retrospective cohort study. Patients with at least one CPET complete data were included in the analysis. Data on the type of amyloidosis, comorbidities, and echocardiogram were retrieved from medical records. Cohort was divided into two groups according to the Weber Classification: Weber Class A/B and Weber Class C/D. Individuals with CPET studies after heart transplant were excluded from the analysis. Statistical analyses including Fisher’s exact test, chi-square, Tukey-Kramer (TK), Cox regression model analysis, proportional hazards model for time to event, and Kaplan–Meier curves were performed. A p-value &lt;0.05 was considered significant. Results Out of the 194 patients, 94 were classified as Weber A-B and 100 as Weber B-C. The age at stress test was similar between the groups: Weber A/B 62.9 ± 11.7 years and Weber C/D 62.3 ± 10.7 years (p=0.087). Ejection Fraction was similar between groups, 32% and 28.9% in A-B and C-D respectively (p =0.207). Higher levels of NT-proBNP were found in the Weber C/D group. The prevalence of comorbidities was balanced among the groups except chronic kidney disease, which was higher in Weber Class C/D (40%) vs (20.2%) in Weber Class A/B (Table 1). Cox analysis revealed a strong association between higher Weber class and the outcome HR 2.36 (1.18 – 4.71) p=0.014. For Higher Ventilatory Class (Group III-IV) similar results were found HR 2.95 (1.60 – 5.45) p=0.005(Table 2). Mortality was significantly higher during the follow-up in the Weber C/D group (25%) vs (10%) in the Weber A-B group p=0.007(Figure D). Conclusion Weber and ventilatory Classification based on CPET, besides predicting outcomes in patients with cardiac disease, are strong predictors of mortality in patients with amyloidosis. These findings suggest that this patient group benefits from earlier stratification to assess prognosis and the potential requirement for transplant independently from other factors.

Abstract Background Cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPET) is a widely used tool for risk stratification and prognosis in patients with chronic heart failure. In amyloid patients, cardiac amyloid deposits are associated with poor prognosis, increased risk for arrhythmias, sudden death, and subsequent exercise limitation due to restrictive cardiomyopathy. The type of amyloidosis and its affectation of the heart are different, and little is known about the CPET parameters according to the type of cardiac amyloidosis. Purpose In this study, we aim to compare CPET data in different types of amyloidosis to determine if CPET variables evaluated could have a significant difference that could impact the follow-up or prognosis of the patients based on the type of amyloidosis. Methods We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 194 patients with a diagnosis of cardiac amyloidosis referred for CPET from February 2010 to February 2024. Patients with at least one CPET data were included in our analysis. The type of amyloidosis, comorbidities, and echocardiogram data were retrieved from medical records. Patients were divided into 3 different groups according to the type of amyloidosis: AL Amyloidosis(AL), Variant TTR Amyloidosis (vTRR), and Wild Type TTR Amyloidosis (wtTTR). Individuals with CPET studies after heart transplant were excluded from the analysis. Fisher’s exact test or chi-square was used to compare categorical variables. ANOVA and Tukey-Kramer (TK) were used to compare continuous variables. Adjustment using General Linear Models (GLM) procedure was used to identify any confounder that could affect the results. A p-value &lt;0.05 was considered significant. Results Out of the 194 patients, 66 had AL Amyloidosis, 40 had vTTR Amyloidosis, and 88 had wtTTR Amyloidosis. Most of the patients were male, and the male predominance was higher in the wtTRR group. There were 41 (62.1%) males in the AL group, 35 (87.5%) in the vTRR group, and 83 (94.3%) in the wtTTR group (p&lt;0.0001). Comorbidities were balanced among the groups. Additional demographic and comorbidities data are shown in Table 1. From the evaluated CPET variables, VE/VCO2 nadir and slope were significantly higher in the wtTTR group when compared to the other groups, as well as Peak VE and Peak TV(Figure A). However, after adjusting for sex, BMI, and age, VE/VCO2 nadir was still significantly higher in the wtTRR group (p=0.003) compared to the other groups, as well as Peak VE, which was higher again in vTTR patients (p=0.001), and Peak TV (Table 2). Conclusion Ventilation variables evaluated in CPET showed alterations in the wtTTR group. These findings suggest that wtTRR amyloid patients could have a severe problem in ventilation that could be of significant relevance in future prognosis.