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Qadeer, Abdul

https://orcid.org/0009-0008-2211-200X

Mayo Clinic

Mayo Clinic Hospital

Citations 37

Trends in gastric cancer mortality in the US: A population-based analysis, 1999-2023.
Qadeer, Abdul , Khan, Saba , Khawar, Muneeb , Waqas, Muhammad , Shahid, Hafsa , Saif, I., Rehan, Aiman, Haider, Mobeen Z. , Laghari, Aamir, Zafar, Maha , Fatima, Noor E , Saif, Ikramah, Kirchoff, Robert W.

Journal of Clinical Oncology | May 28, 2025 | Volume: 43 | Issue: 16_suppl | Pages: No page available

10.1200/jco.2025.43.16_suppl.e16072 Get It

e16072 Background: Gastric cancer is a leading cause of mortality worldwide, with pronounced variations in outcomes across populations. This study investigates U.S. trends in age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) for gastric cancer from 1999 to 2023, examining differences by gender, race, region, and urbanization to uncover critical patterns and inequities. Methods: Data were extracted from the CDC WONDER database using ICD-10 code C16 to identify gastric cancer-related deaths in adults aged 25 and older. AAMRs per 1,000,000 population were calculated and stratified by year, gender, race/ethnicity, geographic region, and urban-rural classification. Trends were analyzed using Joinpoint regression to determine annual percentage changes (APC) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). Statistical significance was set at p < 0.05. Results: From 1999 to 2023, there were 312,300 gastric cancer deaths (185,391 men, 126,909 women). Overall, AAMRs declined consistently, with APCs of -3.4 for the period 1999 to 2007, -2.2 for 2007 to 2018, and -1.2 for 2018 to 2023. Men showed a more pronounced decline, with APCs of -3.6 for 1999 to 2009 and -2.2 for 2009 to 2023, compared to women, who had APCs of -3.1 for 1999 to 2008, -1.9 for 2008 to 2018, and -0.8 for 2018 to 2023. Non-Hispanic Black populations experienced a decline in AAMR with an APC of -3.3 for 1999 to 2020, while Hispanic/Latino and Asian/Pacific Islander populations showed declines with APCs of -2.8 for 1999 to 2011 and -3.8 for 1999 to 2020, respectively. Metropolitan areas saw AAMR reductions with APCs of -3.3 for 1999 to 2008 and -2.2 for 2008 to 2020, while non-metropolitan areas had larger initial declines with an APC of -3.6 for 1999 to 2006 but slower decreases with an APC of -2.0 for 2006 to 2020. Geographically, the Northeast had the highest AAMR (62.9), followed by the West (61.7), South (57.4), and Midwest (50.9). Hawaii recorded the highest state-level AAMR (96.5), while Wyoming had the lowest (36.6). States in the top 90th percentile included Alaska, California, and New York, whereas Utah, Idaho, and Iowa were among the lowest. Conclusions: Gastric cancer mortality in the U.S. has declined over the past two decades, but the pace of reduction has slowed in recent years. Significant disparities persist across gender, racial, and geographic groups, underscoring the need for targeted interventions to address these inequities and improve outcomes in vulnerable populations.
Comparison of intensity-modulated radiotherapy and 3D conformal radiotherapy in the treatment of esophageal carcinoma: A systematic review and meta-analysis.
Khawar, Muneeb , Rath, Shree , Saeed, Maythem , Aisha, Azka, Qadeer, Abdul , Hasnain, Haider, Rath, Shree , Zafar, Maha , Saeed, Muhammad Ramish, Mehmood, Qasim , Mareddy, Naga Sai Rasagna , Kirchoff, Robert W.

Journal of Clinical Oncology | May 28, 2025 | Volume: 43 | Issue: 16_suppl | Pages: No page available

10.1200/jco.2025.43.16_suppl.e16001 Get It

e16001 Background: Esophageal carcinoma ranks among the top 10 malignancies in the world, contributing to high morbidity and mortality. With radiotherapy being one of the most administered treatment options, different variations of administration have evolved. Two such variations include intensity-modulated radiotherapy and 3D conformational radiotherapy. These modalities have been investigated for their efficacy and rate of adverse events. However, conclusions from the trials conducted have been variable. In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we aim to collate these findings to assess the exposure of cancerous cells and rates of adverse events following IMRT or 3D-CRT. Methods: A comprehensive literature search was conducted across three databases for all articles published from inception till September 2024. All primary studies evaluating the comparative efficacy of IMRT vs 3D-CRT were included. Outcomes assessed include dose volume histograms (DVHs) at heart and lung, Dmax at the spinal cord, and irradiation toxicity. Data analysis was conducted in RevMan 5.4 using a random-effects model. Results: A total of twenty records were included in the study, with a sample size of 3090 patients. Radiation dosage, estimated as DVHs, was equal across both regimens at heart (MD: 2.67; 95%CI: –0.15 to 5.48; P = 0.06), except at 40 Gy of radiation, where a lower DVH was noted among patients being administered IMRT (MD: 6.64; 95%CI: 0.25 to 13.03; P = 0.04). At the lung, a higher DVH was noted, especially for doses of 20 Gy or above, on using IMRT. Similarly, a lower dosage in the spinal cord was noted in the IMRT group (MD: 2.87; 95%CI: 1.04 to 4.70; P = .002). Consequently, a lower risk of esophagitis was noted among the IMRT group (OR: 1.54; 95%CI: 1.14 to 2.07; p = 0.009]). While considering patient outcomes, the odds of survival were higher in the IMRT group at 3 years post-treatment (OR: 0.53; 95%CI: 0.31 to 0.92; P = 0.02). Conclusions: IMRT was superior to 3D-CRT in terms of volume of tissue irradiated and lower spinal toxicity. A higher chance of survival was noted in the IMRT group. Further trials are needed to strengthen these findings. Outcome Mean Difference (MD) 95% confidence interval (CI) P value Mean dosage at lung 1.14 0.6, 1.68 <0.0001 Mean dosage at heart 2.67 -0.15, 5.48 0.06 Radiation esophagitis Odds ratio, OR: 1.38 1.09, 1.76 0.009 Radiation pneumonitis OR:1.37 0.62, 3.01 0.43 3-year OS OR: 0.69 0.56, 0.84 0.0003 5-year OS OR: 0.53 0.31, 0.92 0.02 Maximum dosage at spinal cord 2.87 1.04, 4.7 0.0002
Trends and disparities in liver cell carcinoma and hepatic failure–related mortality in the US: A retrospective analysis.
Warraich, Kainat , Qadeer, Abdul , Khan, Saba , Khawar, Muneeb , Waqas, Muhammad , Fatima, Ayesha , Bungish, Musa Khan, Khan, Muhammad Haris , Jajja, Salman Ayub, Haider, Mobeen Z. , Laghari, Aamir, Waqas, Muhammad , Kirchoff, Robert W. , Fatima, Ayesha

Journal of Clinical Oncology | May 28, 2025 | Volume: 43 | Issue: 16_suppl | Pages: No page available

10.1200/jco.2025.43.16_suppl.e23101 Get It

e23101 Background: Liver cell carcinoma (LCC) and hepatic failure (HF) are major contributors to global adult mortality. Identifying trends and disparities in LCC and HF-related deaths is critical for addressing public health challenges and guiding prevention strategies. This study examines national trends in LCC and HF-related mortality from 1999 to 2023, with an emphasis on demographic, geographic, and temporal disparities in age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs). Methods: Using the CDC WONDER database (1999–2023), this descriptive study identified deaths attributed to LCC (ICD-10 code C22.0) and HF (ICD-10 code K72.9) among adults aged 25 and older. Mortality data were stratified by gender, race/ethnicity, census region, urban-rural classification, and state. Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) per 1,000,000 individuals were calculated, and trends were analyzed using Joinpoint regression to determine annual percent changes (APCs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Statistical significance was set at p < 0.05, and the study followed STROBE guidelines. Results: From 1999 to 2023, there were 22,963 deaths attributed to LCC and HF (Men: 17,822; Women: 5,141). Overall, AAMRs declined from 1999 to 2007 (APC: -2.4), stabilized between 2007 and 2017 (APC: 0.2), and declined again from 2017 to 2023 (APC: -3.5). Men experienced a steady AAMR decline from 1999 to 2010 (APC: -2.1), followed by stabilization (2010–2017, APC: 0.7), and further decline (2017–2023, APC: -4.4). Women showed a sharp AAMR decrease from 1999 to 2006 (APC: -3.8) and a relatively stable trend thereafter (APC: -0.1). Non-Hispanic Blacks people experienced an overall AAMR decline from 1999 to 2020 (APC: -0.9). Among Non-Hispanic Whites people, AAMRs decreased initially (1999–2006, APC: -2.6), rose slightly (2006–2018, APC: 0.5), and declined further (2018–2020, APC: -7.3). Regional AAMRs varied, with the West having the highest overall AAMR (5.6; 95% CI: 5.4–5.7) and the Midwest the lowest (3.2; 95% CI: 3.1–3.3). Hawaii reported the highest state AAMR (10.3; 95% CI: 8.9–11.6), while Arkansas had the lowest (2.4; 95% CI: 2.0–2.9). Urban-rural disparities revealed a sharper AAMR decline in metropolitan areas (1999–2005, APC: -3.9) and the non-metropolitan areas showed a slight increase (1999–2020, APC: 1.3). Conclusions: LCC and HF-related mortality rates have shown significant declines over the past two decades, with variations across gender, race, and geographic locations. Men and urban populations experienced steeper reductions in AAMRs, while rural populations exhibited slower improvements or slight increases in mortality. These findings highlight the need for targeted public health interventions to address disparities and further reduce LCC and HF-related mortality in vulnerable populations.
Trends and disparities in alcohol use and liver cell carcinoma–related mortality in the US: A 24-year retrospective study.
Aisha, Azka, Qadeer, Abdul , Khan, Saba , Khawar, Muneeb , Waqas, Muhammad , Komel, Aqsa, Khadim, Shaista , Naseer, Faisal, Asif, Hamza, Haider, Mobeen Z. , Kakakhel, Mian Zahid Jan , Laghari, Aamir, Haider, Ali , Kirchoff, Robert W.

Journal of Clinical Oncology | May 28, 2025 | Volume: 43 | Issue: 16_suppl | Pages: No page available

10.1200/jco.2025.43.16_suppl.e16237 Get It

e16237 Background: Alcohol use (AU) and Liver cell carcinoma (LCC) are significant contributors to adult mortality worldwide. Examining trends and disparities in AU and LCC-related deaths is essential for understanding public health challenges and formulating targeted interventions. This study investigates national mortality patterns related to AU and LCC in the United States from 1999 to 2023, emphasizing demographic, geographic, and temporal disparities. Methods: This descriptive analysis used the CDC WONDER database (1999–2023) to identify AU-related deaths (ICD-10 codes E24.4, F10, G32.2, G62.1, G72.1, I42.6, K70, K85.2, K86.0, R78.0, T51, X65, Y15) and LCC (ICD-10 code C22.0) in adults aged 25 and older. Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) per 1,000,000 individuals were calculated, stratified by gender, race/ethnicity, census region, urban-rural classification, and state. Trends were analyzed using Joinpoint regression to compute annual percent changes (APCs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Statistical significance was set at p < 0.05, and analyses adhered to STROBE guidelines. Results: From 1999 to 2023, a total of 21,007 deaths were attributed to LCC and AU (Men: 18,836 Women: 2,171). AAMRs showed a stable trend from 1999 to 2003 (APC: 0.0; 95% CI: -8.7 to 4.9) but increased significantly from 2003 to 2019 (APC: 6.1; 95% CI: 5.7 to 7.4), stabilizing from 2019 to 2023 (APC: -0.6; 95% CI: -3.2 to 1.3). Men's AAMRs decreased from 1999 to 2003 (APC: -1.1; 95% CI: -10.4 to 3.4), then rose sharply from 2003 to 2019 (APC: 6.1; 95% CI: 5.6 to 7.1). For women, AAMRs increased significantly, particularly between 2013 and 2017 (APC: 12.4; 95% CI: -9.5 to 25.1). Non-Hispanic Black and White populations experienced notable increases in AAMRs, while Hispanic people showed an initial decline followed by an increase post-2004 (APC: 4.7; 95% CI: 3.7 to 7.9). The West had the highest regional AAMR (5.3; 95% CI: 5.2 to 5.5), while the Northeast recorded the lowest (2.1; 95% CI: 2.0 to 2.2). New Mexico had the highest state AAMR (8.4; 95% CI: 7.4 to 9.4), and Mississippi the lowest (1.2; 95% CI: 0.9 to 1.5). AAMRs rose more sharply in non-metropolitan areas from 1999-2020 (APC: 6.6; 95% CI: 5.9 to 7.8) compared to metropolitan regions from 2004 to 2020 (APC: 5.4; 95% CI: 4.9 to 6.5). Conclusions: AU and LCC-related mortality rates have increased significantly since 2003, with distinct gender, racial, and geographic disparities. Men and rural populations faced higher mortality increases, with notable variations across states and regions. These findings underscore the need for focused public health efforts to mitigate these disparities and address the growing burden of LCC and AU-related mortality.
Gender-specific trends in disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and mortality rates of pancreatic cancer in adults aged 70 and older: A Global Burden of Disease analysis (1990-2021).
Iqbal, Rabia , Ahmad, Husnain , Kakakhel, Mian Zahid Jan , Ali, Muhammad Faizan , Qadeer, Abdul , Khawar, Muneeb , Zafar, Maha , Kirchoff, Robert W.

Journal of Clinical Oncology | May 28, 2025 | Volume: 43 | Issue: 16_suppl | Pages: No page available

10.1200/jco.2025.43.16_suppl.e16423 Get It

e16423 Background: Pancreatic cancer (PC) is one of the most aggressive malignancies, disproportionately affecting older adults. Leveraging data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD), this study investigates gender-specific trends in disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and mortality rates for PC among adults aged 70 and older from 1990 to 2021. Methods: DALYs and mortality rates associated with PC were extracted for both genders from the GBD-2021 study from 1990 to 2021. The Annual Percentage Change (APC) and the Average Annual Percentage Change (AAPC) were calculated, along with 95% confidence intervals (CI), to assess the statistical significance of the trends using the p-value. Results: In 1990, DALY rates were 837.25 for men and 711.95 for women, increasing to 950.68 and 768.31, respectively, by 2021. Mortality rates followed a similar pattern: men’s rates rose from 52.05 in 1990 to 61.37 in 2021, while women’s increased from 47.31 to 53.40. Men consistently experienced higher burdens than women. The AAPC analysis revealed that men exhibited a steeper rise in both DALYs and mortality rates associated with PC compared to women over the past three decades. Notably, the gender disparity was more evident in DALYs (+0.1929%) than in mortality rates (+0.1358%), with all AAPC values demonstrating statistical significance (p < 0.000001). Following the APC analysis, additional significant trends were identified. Among males, DALY rates demonstrated the most pronounced increase between 1997 and 2021 (APC: 0.5397, 95% CI: 0.5118, 0.5645), whereas in females, the most significant rise occurred from 1990 to 1993 (APC: 0.6593, 95% CI: 0.3608, 1.1016). Conversely, the slowest increase in DALY rates among females was observed between 1993 and 2003 (APC: 0.0925, 95% CI: -0.2053, 0.1641). For mortality rates, the most notable rise in males was observed between 2007 and 2010 (APC: 1.2314, 95% CI: 1.0292, 1.3195), while females experienced their sharpest escalation from 1990 to 1994 (APC: 0.6891, 95% CI: 0.4322, 1.0720). In contrast, the slowest rate of progression in mortality among females occurred between 1993 and 2002 (APC: 0.1736, 95% CI: 0.0180, 0.2368). Conclusions: Over the past three decades, men have experienced a significantly more pronounced rise in DALYs and mortality rates related to PC compared to women.These findings highlight the urgent need for gender-specific interventions to address the growing burden of PC in aging populations. Trends in DALY and mortality rates per 100,000 by gender (1990-2021). Metrics Gender 1990 2021 APC (1990-2021) Daly Rates per 100,000 Male 837.25 950.68 0.4422 Female 711.9 768.31 0.2493 Mortality Rates per 100,000 Male 52.05 61.37 0.5366 Female 47.31 53.40 0.4008
Regional trends in incidence and prevalence of pancreatic cancer among older adults (70+): A 30-year global burden of disease analysis (1990–2021).
Kakakhel, Mian Zahid Jan , Ahmad, Husnain , Mannan, Muhammad Shaheer, Ali, Muhammad Faizan , Ibrahim, Arwa M, Jawad, Hamna , Idrees, Usama , Khan, Iqra , Qadeer, Abdul , Khawar, Muneeb , Ikram, Jibran, KHAN, A. A. , Rashid, Muhammad, Ibrahim, Arwa M, Ahmed, Faizan , Kirchoff, Robert W.

Journal of Clinical Oncology | May 28, 2025 | Volume: 43 | Issue: 16_suppl | Pages: No page available

10.1200/jco.2025.43.16_suppl.e16419 Get It

e16419 Background: Pancreatic cancer remains one of the most lethal malignancies worldwide. While high-income regions have long faced higher rates, recent trends show that lower-income regions are also beginning to see an increase. This study explores how pancreatic cancer incidence and prevalence have changed over the past 30 years among adults aged 70 and older assessing regional differences. Methods: We analyzed data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) spanning three decades (1990–2021) to assess pancreatic cancer incidence and prevalence rates among adults aged 70+. Data focused on different regions worldwide, grouping them by income levels using the Socio-demographic Index (SDI) and annual changes in incidence and prevalence rates were calculated. Results: In 2021, High-income Asia Pacific had the highest incidence rate at 119.52 per 100,000, whereas Low SDI regions had the lowest at 12.01 per 100,000. High-income regions accounted for the majority of cases, with over 140,000 reported, compared to fewer than 3,000 in the lowest-income areas. Andean Latin America experienced significant APC fluctuations, with a sharp rise from 2015 to 2019 followed by a decline, while High-income North America saw a recent decrease in incidence. Overall, most regions exhibit a steady increase in pancreatic cancer prevalence, with higher AAPCs in Sub-Saharan Africa, North Africa, and parts of Asia, while high-income regions show more moderate increases. Trend analysis reveals significant trends in pancreatic cancer incidence and prevalence among individuals aged 70+. Western Sub-Saharan Africa has the highest Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) at 2.3248%, indicating the most substantial increase in prevalence from 1990 to 2021, followed by North Africa and the Middle East at 1.9906%. Low-middle SDI regions also show a steady rise with an AAPC of 1.718%, while high-income regions like High-income Asia Pacific report a notable AAPC of 1.595%. Conclusions: Our findings show a concerning rise in pancreatic cancer among older adults, with the most dramatic increases in regions like Western Sub-Saharan Africa and North Africa. To tackle this growing challenge, we need focused efforts on prevention, early detection, and accessible care, especially in lower-resource settings. Incidence percent changes. Metric Region 1990 2021 AAPC (1990-2021) Highest incidence percent change Western Sub-Saharan Africa 7.62 15.38 2.31 North Africa and Middle East 20.97 37.23 1.91 Lowest incidence percent change Caribbean 41.51 41.36 -0.016 Southern Latin America 74.05 73.89 0.006 Highest prevalence percent change Western Sub-Saharan Africa 4.54 9.21 2.32 North Africa and Middle East 12.49 22.77 1.99 Lowest prevalence rate percent change Caribbean 25.02 25.38 0.02 Southern Latin America 44.78 45.45 0.06
National trends in prevalence of pancreatic cancer in adults aged 70 and older: A global burden of disease analysis (1990–2021).
Jajja, Salman Ayub, Mannan, Muhammad Shaheer, Mahmood, Manzoor , Kakakhel, Mian Zahid Jan , Qadeer, Abdul , Khawar, Muneeb , Ahmad, Husnain , Ali, Muhammad Faizan , Ikram, Jibran, Talpur, Abdul Subhan , Mahmood, Muhammad Jasim All, Ali, Muhammad Faizan , Ahmed, Faizan , Kirchoff, Robert W.

Journal of Clinical Oncology | May 28, 2025 | Volume: 43 | Issue: 16_suppl | Pages: No page available

10.1200/jco.2025.43.16_suppl.e16418 Get It

e16418 Background: Pancreatic cancer remains one of the most fatal malignancies globally, posing a significant burden on older populations. Despite numerous reports on its prevalence, a detailed comparative analysis of national trends among adults aged 70 and older from 1990 to 2021 is scarce. This study seeks to bridge this gap by evaluating prevalence rates using data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study. Methods: Prevalence data for pancreatic cancer in individuals aged 70 years and older were obtained from the GBD-2021 dataset, encompassing 204 countries and territories for the years 1990 and 2021. The Estimated Annual Percent Change (EAPC) and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated to assess trends over the period from 1990 to 2021. Results: The prevalence of pancreatic cancer has shown a significant increase since 1990, reaching its highest levels in 2021. In 1990, the United States of America (USA) reported the highest prevalence, followed by Japan and China. However, by 2021, Japan ranked first in prevalence, followed by China and the USA. The analysis revealed that in 1990, the highest prevalence rates of pancreatic cancer were observed in Greenland (91.04 per 100,000), followed by Finland (82.57 per 100,000) and Japan (76.30 per 100,000). By 2021, Japan reported the highest prevalence (126.73 per 100,000), followed by Finland (119.20 per 100,000) and Canada (109.22 per 100,000). Despite the observed prevalence rates from 1990 to 2021, Turkmenistan exhibited the most significant increase (EAPC: 15.41, 95% CI: 10.91, 21.41), followed by the Republic of Cabo Verde (EAPC: 13.61, 95% CI: 8.67, 19.59) and Mongolia (EAPC: 4.81, 95% CI: 3.11, 7.20). In contrast, the most significant declines were recorded in the Republic of San Marino (EAPC: -0.308, 95% CI: -0.51, -0.03), followed by Guam (EAPC: -0.24, 95% CI: -0.37, -0.08) and Cuba (EAPC: -0.21, 95% CI: -0.33, -0.09). Conclusions: The prevalence of pancreatic cancer among adults aged 70 and older has increased significantly over the past three decades, with distinct regional patterns. Countries like Japan, China, and the USA continue to report the highest prevalence rates. These findings highlight the urgent need for targeted prevention, screening, and treatment strategies, particularly in high-burden regions, to mitigate the growing impact of pancreatic cancer in aging populations. Prevalence percent changes. Metric Region 1990 2021 EAPC with 95% CI (1990-2021) Highest prevalence percent change Turkmenistan 0.62 10.16 15.41 (10.91, 21.41) Republic of Cabo Verde 3.23 47.18 13.61 (8.67, 19.59) Mongolia 5.25 30.53 4.81 (3.11, 7.20) Lowest prevalence percent change Republic of San Marino 52.61 36.36 -0.308 (-0.51, -0.03) Guam 16.96 12.87 -0.24 (-0.37, -0.08) Cuba 32.65 25.52 -0.21 (-0.33, -0.09)
Regional trends in incidence and prevalence of gastric cancer among older adults (70+) from 1990 to 2021: A global burden of disease study.
Mannan, Muhammad Shaheer, Kakakhel, Mian Zahid Jan , Ahmad, Husnain , Khan, Iqra , Nawaz, Ayeza, Javaid, Hammad , Hemida, Mohamed Fawzi , Jawad, Hamna , Riaz, Sania , Qadeer, Abdul , Khawar, Muneeb , Khan, Abdul basit, Nawaz, Ayeza, Akhtar, Riaz, Khan, Abdul basit, Kirchoff, Robert W.

Journal of Clinical Oncology | May 28, 2025 | Volume: 43 | Issue: 16_suppl | Pages: No page available

10.1200/jco.2025.43.16_suppl.e16481 Get It

e16481 Background: Gastric cancer is a malignant disease characterized by the uncontrolled growth of cells in the stomach lining. It is a global health concern with regional variation in incidence and prevalence. This study investigates the regional incidence and prevalence of gastric cancer among adults aged 70 and older from 1990 to 2021, utilizing data from 26 global regions. Methods: Global Burden of Disease (GBD) data for 2021 were analyzed to assess regional incidence and prevalence of gastric cancer among adults aged ≥ 70. The Annual Average Percentage Change (AAPC) was calculated to evaluate trends from 1990 to 2021, with statistical significance determined using p-values. Results: In 2021, East Asia has the highest incidence (273403) followed by Middle SDI (189383) and High-middle SDI (176691). Highest Prevalence numbers were recorded for East Asia (398,000) followed by High SDI (337,000) and High-middle SDI (250,000). With regards to rates per 100,000, Oceania has the lowest incidence (257) as well as prevalence (252) followed by Central Sub-Saharan Africa (I:1142 , P: 1081) and Southern Sub-Saharan Africa (I:1295, P: 1227). The largest increase in AAPC of incidence was exhibited by Western Sub Saharan Africa (-0.24, CI: -0.27 to -0.23), Southern Sub Saharan Africa (-0.29, CI: 0.37 to -0.22), and South Asia (-0.306, CI: -0.422 to -0.158) regions, while South Asia (-0.087, CI: -0.1748 to 0.0308), East Asia (-0.0952, CI: 0.0284 to 0.1606), and Andean Latin America (-0.1696, CI: -0.3498 to -0.0381) showed largest increase in AAPC of prevalence. Western Europe region had the greatest decline in AAPC of incidence (-2.3995, CI: -2.4374 to -2.3691) followed by Central Europe (-2.2010, CI: -2.3007 to -2.1445) and Eastern Europe (-2.1554, CI: -2.212 to -2.0925 ) regions while Central Asia had the greatest decline in AAPC of prevalence (-1.9281, CI: -2.0109 to -1.8522) followed by High Income Asia Pacific (-1.8268, CI: -1.8926 to -1.7913) and Eastern Europe (-1.8103, CI: -1.8631 to -1.7623). All AAPC values were statistically significant (p < 0.000001). Conclusions: The East Asia region exhibited the highest incidence and prevalence, highlighting the vulnerability of these populations, while Central Sub-Saharan Africa bore the least burden. Notably, several regions, particularly in Asia, experienced substantial increases in both incidence and prevalence, emphasizing the need for targeted interventions. Conversely, some regions, such as Europe, showed encouraging declines in prevalence, suggesting that effective prevention and control strategies can be implemented. These findings underscore the importance of tailored approaches to address the evolving burden of Gastric Cancer.
National trends in disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of pancreatic cancer among individuals aged 70 and older across 204 countries (1990-2021): A global burden of disease study.
Khan, Saba , Qadeer, Abdul , Khawar, Muneeb , Jajja, Salman Ayub, Ahmad, Husnain , Khan, Iqra , Kakakhel, Mian Zahid Jan , Ali, Muhammad Faizan , Ibrahim, Arwa M, Ikram, Jibran, Ahmed, Faizan , Ibrahim, Arwa M, Kirchoff, Robert W.

Journal of Clinical Oncology | May 28, 2025 | Volume: 43 | Issue: 16_suppl | Pages: No page available

10.1200/jco.2025.43.16_suppl.e22572 Get It

e22572 Background: Pancreatic cancer is a highly lethal malignancy that disproportionately impacts older populations, contributing significantly to global disease burden. Disability-adjusted life years (DALY) serve as a comprehensive metric to quantify the combined impact of mortality and morbidity. This analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study-2021 (GBD-2021) aims to characterize trends in DALY rates attributable to pancreatic cancer among individuals aged 70 years and older across 204 nations. Methods: Data on DALY associated with pancreatic cancer for individuals aged 70+ were extracted for 204 nations from the GBD-2021 study for the years 1990 and 2021. Estimated annual percent change (EAPC) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated from 1990 to 2021. Results: The DALY rates were accessed among individuals aged 75 and older diagnosed with pancreatic cancer. In 1990, Greenland exhibited the highest DALY rate globally (2825.65), but by 2021, this position was surpassed by the United Arab Emirates (2775.52), with Greenland declining to the second-highest rate (2082.43). On the other hand, Turkmenistan had the lowest DALY rates in 1990, but by 2021, Mozambique had taken this position, with Turkmenistan ranking 170th. Despite the observed DALY rates from 1990 to 2021, Turkmenistan experienced the highest change (EAPC: 15.23, 95% CI: 10.88–21.18), followed by the Republic of Cabo Verde (EAPC: 12.88, 95% CI: 8.14–18.75) and Mongolia (EAPC: 4.53, 95% CI: 2.90–6.88). A decrease in DALY was observed in over 24 nations, with the Republic of San Marino recording the largest decline (EAPC: -0.37, 95% CI: -0.55, -0.12), followed by Bermuda (EAPC: -0.26, 95% CI: -0.43, 0.03) and Greenland (EAPC: -0.26, 95% CI: -0.45, -0.009). Conclusions: From 1990 to 2021, DALY rates related to pancreatic cancer among individuals aged 70 and older rose worldwide, particularly in Turkmenistan, the Republic of Cabo Verde, and Mongolia. There is a pressing need for global adoption of screening programs to enable early detection and treatment of these cases. Metric Region 1990 2021 EAPC with 95% CI (1990-2021) HIGHEST DISABILITY-ADJUSTED LIFE YEARS (DALYS) PERCENT CHANGE Turkmenistan 19.66 319.09 15.22 (10.88–21.18) Republic of Cabo Verde 98.12 1361.76 12.88 (8.14–18.75) Mongolia 172.14 952.05 4.53 (2.90–6.88) LOWEST DISABILITY-ADJUSTED LIFE YEARS (DALYS) PERCENT CHANGE Republic of San Marino 1323.96 834.01 -0.37 (-0.55, -0.12) Bermuda 1696.97 1249.11 -0.26 (-0.43, 0.03) Greenland 2825.66 2082.43 -0.26 (-0.45, -0.009)
Global trends in prevalence and incidence of pancreatic cancer among adults aged 70 and older: A comprehensive analysis of the Global Burden of Disease study (1990–2021).
Khan, Saba , Qadeer, Abdul , Khawar, Muneeb , Kanwal, Kainat, Kakakhel, Mian Zahid Jan , Ahmad, Husnain , Ali, Muhammad Faizan , Zafar, Maha , Kirchoff, Robert W.

Journal of Clinical Oncology | May 28, 2025 | Volume: 43 | Issue: 16_suppl | Pages: No page available

10.1200/jco.2025.43.16_suppl.e22570 Get It

e22570 Background: Aging into the seventh decade of life marks a pivotal shift in cancer susceptibility, with pancreatic cancer (PC) emerging as one of the most relentless threats to global health. This study utilizes three decades of Global Burden of Disease (GBD) data to unravel unprecedented insights into the prevalence and incidence of PC among adults aged 70 and older. Methods: We analyzed data from the GBD study to assess the temporal trends in the incidence and prevalence of PC from 1990 to 2021. The Annual Percentage Change (APC) and Average Annual Percentage Change (AAPC), along with 95% confidence intervals (CI), were utilized to assess the overall trends, with statistical significance evaluated using p-values. Results: Over the past three decades, the global burden of PC has surged significantly. In 1990, the global incidence of PC stood at 45.12 per 100,000, escalating to 54.47 per 100,000 by 2021. Likewise, global prevalence increased from 30.33 per 100,000 in 1990 to 40.60 per 100,000 in 2021, with incidence rates consistently exceeding prevalence, suggesting an accelerating number of new cases of PC worldwide. The AAPC analysis revealed a significant upward trajectory in both global incidence (AAPC: 0.6085, 95% CI: 0.5801, 0.6273 p < 0.000001) and prevalence (AAPC: 0.9467, 95% CI: 0.9188, 0.9659 p < 0.000001) of PC. Following the APC analysis, several notable trends emerged. The global incidence of PC experienced its most substantial increase between 2003 and 2010 (APC: 1.0806, 95% CI: 0.9817, 1.3206 p < 0.000001), while the slowest growth in incidence occurred from 1990 to 2003 (APC: 95% CI: 0.9817, 1.3206 p = 0.000400). Conversely, the global prevalence of pancreatic cancer saw its most pronounced rise between 1998 and 2001 (APC: 2.0389, 95% CI: 1.2005, 2.1962 p < 0.000001), with the slowest increase occurring from 1994 to 1998 (APC: 0.4632, 95% CI: 0.2544, 1.9767 p = 0.001200). Conclusions: The persistent rise in both incidence and prevalence of PC over the past three decades underscores a critical global health challenge, with a marked acceleration in recent years. These findings highlight the urgent need for targeted interventions and a deeper understanding of the factors driving this expanding burden, particularly as the incidence consistently outpaces prevalence. Metric Overall 1990 2021 AAPC with 95% CI (1990-2021) INCIDENCE RATES PER 100,000 Global Incidence 45.12 54.47 0.61 (0.58, 0.63) PREVALENCE RATES PER 100,000 Global Prevalence 30.33 40.60 0.95 (0.92, 0.97)