Wickerham, D. Lawrence

Abstract Purpose: Tamoxifen and raloxifene, are primary prevention strategies for women at high risk of breast cancer (Visvanathan, 2013). Recent advances in genetic studies of breast cancer risk have identified common susceptibility loci that explain 14% of familial risk for breast cancer in the general population (Michailidou, 2013). However, it is not known if these loci are risk factors for breast cancer among high-risk women treated with SERMs for breast cancer prevention. We hypothesized that the large risk reduction associated with SERMs, coupled with the fact that several breast cancer loci correlate with family history, may limit the contribution of these common genetic loci to breast cancer in this high risk population. We present the first report to evaluate 75 established breast cancer susceptibility loci, in the context of a polygenic risk score (PRS), as a risk factor for breast cancer among high risk women taking raloxifene and tamoxifen for breast cancer prevention. Methods: We conducted a matched case-control study of 594 cases (i.e., participants who developed breast cancer while on SERM therapy) and 1,171 matched controls selected from the 33,000 participants enrolled in the NSABP P-1 and P-2 breast cancer prevention trials. Genotypes of 75 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) were available from a genome-wide association study conducted at the RIKEN Center for Genomic Medicine. We formed a quantitative PRS from reported per-SNP odds ratios (OR) for the 75 susceptibility loci. Conditional logistic regression was used to examine the PRS as a risk factor for breast cancer and to assess whether the PRS and breast cancer association differed by treatment type, family history, or other clinical characteristics. Analyses also examined associations of PRS with invasive vs. in situ cancer and ER-positive vs. ER-negative cancer. Results: The PRS ranged from 3.98 to 7.74, and a one unit change in PRS was associated with a 42% increase in breast cancer (OR=1.42; 95% CI: 1.18-1.70; P = 0.0002). There was evidence of a stronger association of PRS with breast cancer among women with no first-degree family history (OR=1.62, 95% CI: 1.18-2.21) compared to those with a positive family history (OR=1.32, 95% CI: 1.06-1.66) (Pintx<0.05). The PRS also appeared a stronger risk factor for ER-positive (OR=1.59, 95% CI: 1.25-2.02, P < 0.0002) vs. ER-negative (OR=1.05, 95% CI: 0.68-1.62, P=0.84) breast cancer, although differences did not reach statistical significance (Pintx=0.10). PRS and breast cancer associations were similar across tamoxifen and raloxifene treatments, age at trial entry, 5-year predicted Gail model risk, hysterectomy status, BMI, presence of atypical hyperplasia and invasive vs. in situ cancer. Conclusion: A polygenic risk score composed of 75 loci was a risk factor for ER-positive breast cancer, especially in the absence of a first-degree family history of breast cancer. Further, the PRS associations with breast cancer were similar for women taking tamoxifen or raloxifene for prevention. These data suggest that common genetic variation adds information on risk of ER-positive breast cancer in a high-risk population receiving SERMs. Citation Format: Celine M Vachon, Daniel J Schaid, James N Ingle, Matthew P Goetz, Donald L Wickerham, Michiaki Kubo, Erin E Carlson, Soonmyung Paik, Norman Wolmark, Yusuke Nakamura, Liewei Wang, Richard M Weinshilboum, Fergus J Couch. The contribution of common genetic variation to breast cancer risk among women receiving tamoxifen or raloxifene within the National Surgical Adjuvant Breast and Bowel Project (NSABP) P-1 and P-2 trials [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the Thirty-Seventh Annual CTRC-AACR San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium: 2014 Dec 9-13; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2015;75(9 Suppl):Abstract nr P6-10-03.

Abstract The selective estrogen receptor modulators (SERM) tamoxifen and raloxifene can reduce the occurrence of breast cancer in high-risk women by 50%, but this U.S. Food and Drug Administration-approved prevention therapy is not often used. We attempted to identify genetic factors that contribute to variation in SERM breast cancer prevention, using DNA from the NSABP P-1 and P-2 breast cancer prevention trials. An initial discovery genome-wide association study identified common single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNP) in or near the ZNF423 and CTSO genes that were associated with breast cancer risk during SERM therapy. We then showed that both ZNF423 and CTSO participated in the estrogen-dependent induction of BRCA1 expression, in both cases with SNP-dependent variation in induction. ZNF423 appeared to be an estrogen-inducible BRCA1 transcription factor. The OR for differences in breast cancer risk during SERM therapy for subjects homozygous for both protective or both risk alleles for ZNF423 and CTSO was 5.71. Significance: This study identified novel, functionally polymorphic genes involved in the estrogen-dependent regulation of BRCA1 expression, as well as a novel mechanism for genetic variation in SERM therapeutic effect. These observations, and definition of their underlying mechanisms, represent steps toward pharmacogenomically individualized SERM breast cancer prevention. Cancer Discov; 3(7); 812–25. ©2013 AACR. See related commentary by Machiela and Chanock, p. 728 This article is highlighted in the In This Issue feature, p. 705

Abstract Introduction: The NSABP P-1 and P-2 breast cancer prevention trials have demonstrated that the SERMs tamoxifen and raloxifene can reduce the risk of breast cancer in high risk women. Methods: We performed a nested matched case-control GWAS utilizing DNA from participants enrolled in P-1 and P-2. 592 participants developed invasive breast cancer or ductal carcinoma in situ, and were matched with 1171 controls who did not. Genome-wide genotyping with the Illumina 610-Quad chip and CYP2D6 genotyping for pertinent alleles were performed. Functional genomic studies involved the use of cultured cells, with siRNA knockdown, followed by qRT-PCR and Western blot analyses. Results: Eleven SNPs with p-values < 3E-05 were identified. Twenty one additional SNPs with p < 4E-05 were identified by imputation around the genotyped SNPs on chromosomes (Chrs) 4, 8, 9, 13, 16 and 22, which were then genotyped with the Invader platform. Initial functional genomic studies focused on 6 SNPs on Chr16 (p-values 1.81-9.55E-06), all of which were in ZNF423, a gene encoding a putative zinc-finger protein. The Chr16 minor variant SNP sequences had less risk than the common variant (OR=0.7). Our functional studies showed that incubation of Hs578T cells stably transfected with estrogen receptor (ER) α with 0.1 nM estradiol (E2) induced expression of ZNF423, BRCA1/2 for WT but not variant SNP sequences. There was also a striking difference between E2-induced ZNF423, BRCA1/2 expression for variant and WT SNPs in lymphoblastoid cell lines (LCLs) stably transfected with ERα, with only WT showing induction. ChIP assay showed that ZNF423 could bind to the 5’-flanking region of BRCA1, and reporter gene assays showed that ZNF423 could regulate BRCA1/2 transcription. In LCLs stably transfected with ERα and genotyped for ZNF423 SNPs, estrogen-dependent expression of all 3 genes occurred only in the presence of the WT, but not variant ZNF423 SNP sequences. Blockade of ERα with 4-OH tamoxifen prevented induction of expression in cells with WT sequences, but resulted in gene dose-dependent increases in BRCA1/2 expression in cells with variant SNP sequences-suggested that the minor variant has a “protective” effect during clinical SERM therapy and verified by ChIP assays. Conclusions: The SNPs in ZNF423 identified during GWAS were associated with differential E2-dependent induction of ZNF423, BRCA1 and BRCA2-implying that ZNF423 is “upstream” for the estrogen-dependent induction of BRCA1/2 expression. However, LCLs with variant SNP sequences showed greatly enhanced expression of ZNF423, BRCA1/2 during 4-OH tamoxifen exposure, while cells with WT sequences did not. These results may reveal a novel mechanism for SERM-dependent regulation of BRCA1/2 expression and may have implications for patient selection for SERM therapy. Funded by U10-CA37377, U10-CA69974 and U14-GM61388. Citation Format: {Authors}. {Abstract title} [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 102nd Annual Meeting of the American Association for Cancer Research; 2011 Apr 2-6; Orlando, FL. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2011;71(8 Suppl):Abstract nr 4727. doi:10.1158/1538-7445.AM2011-4727

AbstractGene‐set analyses have been widely used in gene expression studies, and some of the developed methods have been extended to genome wide association studies (GWAS). Yet, complications due to linkage disequilibrium (LD) among single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs), and variable numbers of SNPs per gene and genes per gene‐set, have plagued current approaches, often leading to ad hoc “fixes.” To overcome some of the current limitations, we developed a general approach to scan GWAS SNP data for both gene‐level and gene‐set analyses, building on score statistics for generalized linear models, and taking advantage of the directed acyclic graph structure of the gene ontology when creating gene‐sets. However, other types of gene‐set structures can be used, such as the popular Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG). Our approach combines SNPs into genes, and genes into gene‐sets, but assures that positive and negative effects of genes on a trait do not cancel. To control for multiple testing of many gene‐sets, we use an efficient computational strategy that accounts for LD and provides accurate step‐down adjustedP‐values for each gene‐set. Application of our methods to two different GWAS provide guidance on the potential strengths and weaknesses of our proposed gene‐set analyses.

Abstract Purpose: Assessing impact of poor accrual on premature trial closure requires a relevant metric. We propose defining accrual sufficiency on apparent ability to address primary endpoints (PE) rather than attaining accrual targets. Experimental Design: All phase III trials open January 1, 1993, to December 31, 2002, by five U.S. oncology Clinical Trials Cooperative Groups (CTCG) were evaluated for accrual sufficiency and scientific results. Sufficient accrual included meeting accrual target, CTCGs documentation attesting adequate accrual, or conclusive results at interim analysis; insufficient accrual included poor accrual as cited closure reason or other reasons rendering a trial unable to address its primary endpoints. Closure rates based on our accrual sufficiency definition are compared with rates of meeting accrual targets and addressing the primary endpoints. A percentage of target accrual above which trials commonly answer the intended scientific question was identified to serve as an alternative to meeting full target accrual in designating accrual success. Results: Of 238 eligible trials, 158 (66%) closed with sufficient accrual. Among 80 trials with insufficient accrual, 70 (29%) closed specifically because of poor accrual. Inadequate accrual rates are overemphasized when defining accrual success solely by meeting accrual targets. Nearly 75% of trials conclusively addressed the primary endpoints with positive results in 39% of trials. Exceeding 80% of target accrual serves as a reliable proxy for answering the intended scientific question. Conclusions: Approximately one third of phase III trials closed with insufficient accrual to address the primary endpoints, primarily due to poor accrual. Defining accrual sufficiency broader than meeting accrual targets represents a fairer account of trial closures. Clin Cancer Res; 18(1); 256–62. ©2011 AACR.

Abstract Background: Controversy exists regarding the association between CYP2D6 enzyme activity and tamoxifen effectiveness in the adjuvant treatment of invasive breast cancer; however, this association in the primary prevention of breast cancer is unknown. Methods: We conducted a nested case–control study in the context of the NSABP P1 and P2 prevention trials to determine the impact of CYP2D6 genotype, CYP2D6 inhibitor use, and metabolizer status (CYP2D6 genotype combined with CYP2D6 inhibitor use), on breast cancer events. Women who developed breast cancer (both noninvasive and invasive) while on 5 years of selective estrogen receptor modulators therapy (cases) were matched to controls free of breast cancer. Comprehensive CYP2D6 genotyping was conducted for alleles associated with absent (*3, *4, *5, and *6), reduced (*10, *17, and *41), and increased (*1XN and *2XN) enzyme activity. Information regarding the use of CYP2D6 inhibitors was recorded. Results: A total of 591 cases were matched to 1,126 controls and DNA was genotyped in more than 97%. In patients treated with tamoxifen, there was no association of CYP2D6 genotype [OR (extensive/poor metabolizer): 0.90; 95% CI: 0.46–1.74, P = 0.74), use of a potent CYP2D6 inhibitor (OR 0.92; 95% CI: 0.575–1.486), or CYP2D6 metabolizer status (OR 1.03; 95% CI: 0.669–1.607) with breast cancer occurrence. Likewise, there was no association between any CYP2D6 metabolism parameter with breast cancer events in raloxifene-treated patients. Conclusion: In the NSABP P1 and P2 clinical trials, alterations in CYP2D6 metabolism are not associated with either tamoxifen or raloxifene efficacy. Clin Cancer Res; 17(21); 6944–51. ©2011 AACR.

Background Research on barriers to accrual has typically emphasized factors influencing participation after trial activation. Purpose We sought to identify factors influencing trial design and accrual predictions prior to trial activation associated with sufficient accrual. Methods A 30-question web-based survey was sent to the study chair and lead statistician for all 248 phase III trials open in 1993–2002 by five Clinical Trials Cooperative Groups. Questions addressed prior trial experience, trial design elements, accrual predictions, and perceived accrual influences. Accrual sufficiency categorization was derived from Clinical Trials Cooperative Group records: sufficient accrual included trials closed with complete accrual or at interim analysis, insufficient accrual included trials closed with inadequate accrual. Responses were analyzed by respondent role (study chair/lead statistician) and accrual sufficiency. Results Three hundred and nine eligible responses were included (response rate, 63%; lead statisticians, 81%; and study chairs, 45%), representing trials with sufficient (63%) and insufficient accruals (37%). Study chair seniority or lead statistician experience was not linked to accrual sufficiency. Literature review, study chair's personal experience, and expert opinion within Clinical Trials Cooperative Group most commonly influenced control arm selection. Clinical Trials Cooperative Group experience most influenced accrual predictions. These influences were not associated with accrual sufficiency. Among respondents citing accrual difficulties (41%), factors negatively influencing accrual were not consistently identified. Respondents credited three factors with positively influencing accrual: clinical relevance of study, lack of competing trials, and protocol paralleling normal practice. Limitations Perceptions of lead statisticians and study chairs may not accurately reflect accrual barriers encountered by participating physicians or patients. Survey responses may be subject to recall bias. Conclusion Consistent factors explaining poor accrual were not identified, suggesting reasons for poor accrual are not well understood and warrant further study. Alternate strategies for accrual prediction are needed since Clinical Trials Cooperative Group experience is linked to successful and unsuccessful accrual.

Abstract Background: NSABP P1 and P2 are the largest prevention trials of tamoxifen and raloxifene in women at high risk of developing breast cancer. Both agents have been shown to decrease, but not eliminate breast cancer risk in these women. The goal of our study was to identify single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with development of breast cancer in high-risk women treated with tamoxifen or raloxifene. Methods: We performed a nested matched case-control genome-wide association study (GWAS) in subjects entered on the P2, which included only postmenopausal women, and subjects at least 50 years old entered on the P1 phase III prevention trials who were treated with tamoxifen or raloxifene. Cases were defined as subjects who developed invasive breast cancer or ductal carcinoma in situ and each was matched to two controls based on trial (P1, P2), age at trial entry, Gail risk score, history of lobular carcinoma in situ, and time on study. The study was restricted to the 94% of subjects self-identified as Caucasian. Genotyping was performed with the Illumina Human610-Quad chip. Eigenstrat analyses were performed to control for population stratification. SNPs were imputed within 200 Kb on either side of regions containing SNPs with p ≤ 3E-05. CYP2D6 genotyping was performed on all subjects. Results: The GWAS included 592 cases and 1171 controls. 547,356 SNPs were used in the analyses after removing 14,019 for call rates less than 98%, 30,560 for minor allele frequencies <1%, and 301 with Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium p-value <1E-06. Eigenvectors did not alter the results when used as covariates. Eleven genotyped SNPs with p-values ranging from 2.12E-06 to 9.98E-06 (conditional logistic regression with eigenvector adjustment) were identified; and 22 SNPs with p < 4E-05 were identified by imputation around these SNPs on chromosomes (Chr) 4, 8, 9, 13, 16 and 22, which were then genotyped with the Invader platform. Following imputation and genotyping, initial functional genomic studies have focused on 8 SNPs on Chr 16 (p-values 1.81E-06 to 9.55E-06, with the lowest p-value for an imputed and fine mapped SNP), all of which were in ZNF423, a gene known to encode a protein that associates with SMAD family members. In lymphoblastoid cell lines genotyped for the 2 top SNPs in ZNF423 (rs8060157 and rs11076499) and stably transfected with estrogen receptor-α, the variant and wild type SNPs displayed striking differences in estradiol-induced expression of ZNF423, SMAD3, BRCA1, and BRCA2. Conclusions: This GWAS revealed SNPs associated with the development of breast cancer in high-risk women treated with tamoxifen or raloxifene. Genome-wide significance was not achieved, but SNPs in ZNF423 identified on Chr 16 were associated with differential expression of ZNF423, SMAD3, BRCA1, and BRCA2 in response to estradiol in vitro, providing direction for future research. (Supported in part by NIH grants U01GM61388, U01GM63173, P50CA116201, U10CA77202, U10CA37377, U10CA69974, U24CA114732, and the Biobank Japan Project funded by the Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology, Japan) Citation Information: Cancer Res 2010;70(24 Suppl):Abstract nr PD05-02.

Background A major challenge for randomized phase III oncology trials is the frequent low rates of patient enrollment, resulting in high rates of premature closure due to insufficient accrual. Purpose We conducted a pilot study to determine the extent of trial closure due to poor accrual, feasibility of identifying trial factors associated with sufficient accrual, impact of redesign strategies on trial accrual, and accrual benchmarks designating high failure risk in the clinical trials cooperative group (CTCG) setting. Methods A subset of phase III trials opened by five CTCGs between August 1991 and March 2004 was evaluated. Design elements, experimental agents, redesign strategies, and pretrial accrual assessment supporting accrual predictions were abstracted from CTCG documents. Percent actual/predicted accrual rate averaged per month was calculated. Trials were categorized as having sufficient or insufficient accrual based on reason for trial termination. Analyses included univariate and bivariate summaries to identify potential trial factors associated with accrual sufficiency. Results Among 40 trials from one CTCG, 21 (52.5%) trials closed due to insufficient accrual. In 82 trials from five CTCGs, therapeutic trials accrued sufficiently more often than nontherapeutic trials (59% vs 27%, p = 0.05). Trials including pretrial accrual assessment more often achieved sufficient accrual than those without (67% vs 47%, p = 0.08). Fewer exclusion criteria, shorter consent forms, other CTCG participation, and trial design simplicity were not associated with achieving sufficient accrual. Trials accruing at a rate much lower than predicted (<35% actual/predicted accrual rate) were consistently closed due to insufficient accrual. Limitations This trial subset under-represents certain experimental modalities. Data sources do not allow accounting for all factors potentially related to accrual success. Conclusion Trial closure due to insufficient accrual is common. Certain trial design factors appear associated with attaining sufficient accrual. Defining accrual benchmarks for early trial termination or redesign is feasible, but better accrual prediction methods are critically needed. Future studies should focus on identifying trial factors that allow more accurate accrual predictions and strategies that can salvage open trials experiencing slow accrual. Clinical Trials 2010; 7: 312—321. http://ctj.sagepub.com

Purpose For nearly two decades, multiple retrospective reports, small prospective studies, and meta-analyses have arrived at conflicting results regarding the value of timing surgical intervention for breast cancer on the basis of menstrual cycle phase. We present the results of a multi–cooperative group, prospective, observational trial of menstrual cycle phase and outcome after breast cancer surgery, led by the North Central Cancer Treatment Group (NCCTG) in collaboration with the National Surgical Adjuvant Breast and Bowel Project (NSABP) and the International Breast Cancer Study Group (IBCSG). Patients and Methods Premenopausal women age 18 to 55 years, who were interviewed for menstrual history and who were surgically treated for stages I to II breast cancer, had serum drawn within 1 day of surgery for estradiol, progesterone, and luteinizing hormone levels. Menstrual history and hormone levels were used to determine menstrual phase: luteal, follicular, and other. Disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) rates were determined by Kaplan-Meier method and were compared by using the log-rank test and Cox proportional hazard modeling. Results Of 1,118 women initially enrolled, 834 women comprised the study cohort: 230 (28%) in luteal phase; 363 (44%) in follicular phase; and 241 grouped as other. During a median follow-up of 6.6 years, and in analysis that accounted for nodal disease, estrogen receptor status, adjuvant radiation therapy or chemotherapy, neither DFS nor OS differed with respect to menstrual phase. The 5-year DFS rates were 82.7%, 82.1%, and 79.2% for follicular, luteal, or other phases, respectively. Corresponding OS survival rates were 91.9%, 92.2%, and 91.8%, respectively. Conclusion When menstrual cycle phases were strictly defined, neither DFS nor OS differed between women who underwent surgery during the follicular phase versus the luteal phase. Nearly 30% of the patients did not meet criteria for either follicular- or luteal-phase categories.