Tissue and blood-based predictive biomarkers in hepatocellular carcinoma immunotherapy: synthesis of 2023–2026 evidence and a proposed clinical integration framework
Atezolizumab-bevacizumab and durvalumab-tremelimumab have established immunotherapy as a first-line standard of care in advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Yet, objective response rates (ORRs) remain confined to approximately 15-20%, and no validated predictive biomarker exists for patient selection. Unlike melanoma and lung cancer, conventional markers, including programmed death-ligand 1, microsatellite instability-high status, and tumor mutational burden, have not demonstrated reliable predictive value in HCC. Prior narrative reviews comprehensively catalogued the biomarker landscape through 2022 but predate a wave of clinically significant publications. This narrative review synthesizes evidence published between 2020 and 2026, with particular emphasis on 2023–2026 data, within a unified clinical framework not provided by prior reviews. We critically evaluate tissue-based biomarkers, including the AI-derived Atezolizumab-Bevacizumab Response Signature-Pathology model, spatial multiplex immunohistochemistry, and β-catenin mutational profiling; blood-based biomarkers encompassing circulating tumor DNA for minimal residual disease detection and peripheral immune phenotyping; and serum indices including the CRAFITY score and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio. Hepatitis B virus etiology and non-alcoholic steatohepatitis are discussed as biological modifiers of biomarker performance. We propose an original biomarker-guided clinical algorithm, a comparative clinical readiness table, and a disease-continuum biomarker timeline as practical tools for clinicians and trialists. Prospective biomarker-enrichment trials represent the most critical next step toward clinical translation.
Circulating tumor DNA in colorectal cancer: assay selection, clinical applications, and practical integration for gastroenterologists
Background Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) has rapidly evolved from a research tool to a clinically applicable biomarker in colorectal cancer (CRC), transforming the assessment of minimal residual disease (MRD) and recurrence risk. The growing availability of commercial assays has complicated test selection and interpretation, particularly for gastroenterologists who increasingly encounter ctDNA data in postoperative and surveillance settings. Methods We conducted a narrative review of the literature using PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane databases from January 2015 through March 2026, prioritizing randomized controlled trials, prospective cohort studies, and clinical practice guidelines relevant to ctDNA applications in CRC. The search employed predefined keyword combinations applied independently to each database. Two authors (A.S. and S.M.) independently screened titles and abstracts against the prespecified inclusion criteria, with disagreements resolved by discussion. Results Tumor-informed assays that analyze patient-specific mutations exhibit high specificity for MRD detection, with serial sampling sensitivity reaching 88% compared to 59% for tumor-agnostic approaches, based on a 2026 systematic review and diagnostic accuracy meta-analysis that pooled data across multiple platforms and settings; the authors note substantial study-level heterogeneity in platform design and patient populations, and results should be interpreted accordingly, but require tissue access and extended processing times. Tumor-agnostic tests are more rapid and accessible, incorporating genomic and epigenomic signals, though they exhibit site-specific sensitivity variations ranging from 100% for liver metastases to 40% for peritoneal recurrence and remain vulnerable to biological confounders such as clonal hematopoiesis (CH). Importantly, ctDNA interpretation is subject to additional biological limitations including tumor shedding variability by anatomical site and disease burden, the timing of sample collection relative to surgery or chemotherapy, platform-specific detection thresholds, and pre-analytical variables such as hemolysis and delayed plasma processing. Randomized evidence supports ctDNA-guided de-escalation of adjuvant therapy in stage II colon cancer, with 5-year follow-up from the DYNAMIC trial demonstrating comparable recurrence-free survival (88% vs. 87%) and overall survival (93.8% vs. 93.3%) despite reduced chemotherapy use. In stage III disease, ctDNA is strongly prognostic, but chemotherapy intensification based solely on molecular positivity has not improved outcomes. This review additionally addresses underexplored areas including ctDNA in rectal cancer and neoadjuvant therapy, the influence of microsatellite instability (MSI) status on assay performance, and disparities in ctDNA access across racial, socioeconomic, and geographic populations. Conclusions For gastroenterologists encountering ctDNA results in postoperative and surveillance settings, three principles should guide practice (i): match assay selection to clinical intent - tumor-informed platforms for MRD-directed adjuvant decisions, tumor-agnostic platforms when tissue is unavailable (ii); interpret results within biological and technical context, accounting for platform-specific sensitivity limitations, biological confounders, and quantitative VAF trajectory rather than binary thresholds; and (iii) integrate ctDNA findings into multidisciplinary pathways - de-escalation is supported by high-quality randomized evidence in stage II disease (Grade A; Level I), while chemotherapy escalation based solely on ctDNA positivity in stage III disease is not supported outside clinical trials (Grade C; Level I). Standardization of assay performance benchmarks and equitable access to testing remain critical unmet needs.
Importance Elevated low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) is a modifiable risk factor for cardiovascular disease, the leading cause of premature death worldwide. Assessing the LDL-C–related burden is critical for guiding prevention and treatment strategies. Objectives To estimate the global, regional, and national burden of ischemic heart disease and ischemic stroke attributable to elevated LDL-C (relative to 35-54 mg/dL) from 1990 to 2023 and to quantify the contributions of population growth, aging, risk-deleted burden, and exposure changes to burden trends. Design, Setting, and Population This comparative risk assessment, part of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2023, estimated population-level LDL-C exposure and associated health loss in 204 countries and territories. Mean LDL-C levels were estimated using spatiotemporal gaussian process regression based on 806 studies across 161 countries. Relative risks were derived from meta-analyses of 38 randomized clinical trials. Population-attributable fractions for deaths and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) were estimated by age and sex for adults aged 25 years or older from 1990 to 2023, with 95% uncertainty intervals. Exposure Population-level LDL-C concentrations. Main Outcomes and Measures Population-attributable fractions, counts, and rates (all ages and age standardized per 100 000) of LDL-C–attributable deaths and DALYs from ischemic heart disease and ischemic stroke, with uncertainty intervals. Results In 2023, elevated LDL-C accounted for 3.6 million deaths (95% uncertainty interval, 2.2-5.4 million; 6.0% of global mortality) and 90.7 million DALYs (95% uncertainty interval, 58.9-123.3 million; 3.2% of DALYs). Although global all-ages rates remained stable, age-standardized death and DALY rates decreased by 45.6% and 39.5%, respectively, since 1990. In 2023, age-standardized LDL-C–attributable DALY rates were highest in Eastern Europe and lowest in high-income Asia-Pacific. One-third of the global LDL-C burden occurred in India and China. Population growth and aging drove the increasing burden, with notable regional disparities in LDL-C exposure and risk-deleted DALY rates shifting toward middle-sociodemographic settings. Conclusions and Relevance Despite declining age-standardized rates, the absolute LDL-C burden has increased since 1990 due to demographic changes and has shifted toward middle-sociodemographic countries. Measurement and surveillance gaps persist. Strengthened prevention, diagnosis, and treatment access strategies are essential to mitigate the health burden of LDL-C.
Comparative Post-Transplant Outcomes in Alcohol-Related Liver Disease and Non-Alcohol Steatohepatitis: A Multicenter Propensity-Matched Study
Background: Liver transplantation (LT) remains the definitive treatment for end-stage liver disease; however, post-LT outcomes may differ depending on underlying disease etiology. Our study aimed to compare post-LT outcomes between alcoholic and non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH)-related liver transplant recipients in the United States. Methods: A retrospective cohort study was conducted using the TriNetX Research Network. Adult liver transplant recipients (≥18 years) were categorized into two mutually exclusive cohorts: alcoholic liver disease and NASH-related liver disease. Propensity score matching (1:1) was performed to balance baseline characteristics. Clinical outcomes were assessed. Comparative analyses included risk ratios, risk differences, odds ratios, Kaplan–Meier survival analysis, and hazard ratios with log-rank testing. Results: Compared with NASH recipients, alcoholic LT recipients had a significantly higher risk of rejection (14.5% vs. 12.1%; RR 1.195, 95% CI 1.076–1.327; p = 0.001) and hepatic encephalopathy (14.3% vs. 8.3%; RR 1.720, 95% CI 1.526–1.938; p < 0.001). Acute kidney injury was also more frequent in the alcoholic cohort (47.3% vs. 43.6%; RR 1.084, 95% CI 1.036–1.133; p < 0.001). In contrast, sepsis (15.6% vs. 18.0%; RR 0.869, 95% CI 0.794–0.952; p = 0.003) and CKD (46.1% vs. 51.1%; RR 0.901, 95% CI 0.863–0.939; p < 0.001) occurred less frequently in alcoholic LT patients. No significant differences were observed for liver transplant failure or ascites. Kaplan–Meier analyses demonstrated significantly lower rejection-free survival (HR 1.241, p < 0.001), higher hepatic encephalopathy (HR 1.808, p < 0.001), increased AKI risk (HR 1.150, p < 0.001) and higher all-cause mortality in the alcoholic cohort (HR 1.106, p = 0.031). Conclusions: In this large real-world matched cohort study, alcoholic LT recipients demonstrated higher risks of complications and all-cause mortality compared with NASH LT recipients.
Demographics and mortality trends of hypertensive heart failure in the United States, 2006–2020: Insights from the CDC WONDER database
Objective To comprehensively examine hypertension- and heart failure–related mortality rates in the United States to develop a targeted approach to health policy development. Methods We analyzed death certificates from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Wide-Ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research database, focusing on mortality caused by hypertensive heart failure in adults aged ≥25 years from 2006 to 2020. Age-adjusted mortality rates per 1,000,000 and annual percent changes were calculated and categorized by year, sex, race, urban status, age group, and census region. Results A total of 268,545 deaths occurred due to hypertensive heart failure between 2006 and 2020. The overall age-adjusted mortality rates increased from 60.5 in 2006 to 134.9 in 2020. Males had higher age-adjusted mortality rates than women (76.6 vs. 73.8). Older-aged people exhibited significantly higher age-adjusted mortality rates than young and middle-aged adults. Age-adjusted mortality rates were highest in non-Hispanic Blacks/African Americans and lowest in non-Hispanic Asians/Pacific Islanders (126.8–43.6). Furthermore, age-adjusted mortality rates were highest in individuals from nonmetropolitan areas and the Western region. Conclusion Following a period of decline, the age-adjusted mortality rates increased until 2020. The highest age-adjusted mortality rates were observed in non-Hispanic Blacks and nonmetropolitan areas. An urgent restructuring of healthcare policy is needed to reduce heart failure-associated mortality.
Demographic Trends in Mortality Related to Gastric Cancer in the United States, 1999 to 2022
Background: Gastric cancer remains one of the leading causes of death globally and a major health concern. This study aims to analyze gastric cancer-related mortality trends over 2 decades. Methods: The CDC WONDER database was used to analyze and stratify de-identified death certificates from 1999 to 2022 across the United States. Trends in age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMR) were assessed using the Joinpoint Regression Program to determine annual percentage changes. Results: Overall, AAMR decreased from 79.26 in 1999 to 44.81 in 2022. Men and older adults had the highest AAMRs. Non-Hispanic (NH) Black or African Americans had the highest AAMR, while NH Whites had the lowest. Geographically, the Northeast had the highest AAMR, and metropolitan areas had higher AAMRs than nonmetropolitan areas. Conclusion: Gastric carcinoma has a poor prognosis, and although the general trend is decreasing across all sociodemographic areas, further research is required for targeted interventions and health policies for high-risk populations.