Citations

Abstract Great heterogeneity in survival exists for patients newly diagnosed with diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL). Three scoring systems incorporating simple clinical parameters (age, lactate dehydrogenase, number/sites of involvement, stage, performance status) are widely used: the International Prognostic Index (IPI), revised IPI (R-IPI), and National Comprehensive Cancer Network IPI (NCCN-IPI). We evaluated 2124 DLBCL patients treated from 1998 to 2009 with frontline rituximab plus cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, vincristine, and prednisone (R-CHOP; or variant) across 7 multicenter randomized clinical trials to determine which scoring system best discriminates overall survival (OS). Median age was 63 years, and 56% of patients were male. Five-year OS estimates ranged from 54% to 88%, from 61% to 93%, and from 49% to 92% using the IPI, R-IPI, and NCCN-IPI, respectively. The NCCN-IPI had the greatest absolute difference in OS estimates between the highest- and lowest-risk groups and best discriminated OS (concordance index = 0.632 vs 0.626 [IPI] vs 0.590 [R-IPI]). For each given IPI risk category, NCCN-IPI risk categories were significantly associated with OS (P ≤ .01); the reverse was not true, and the IPI did not provide additional significant prognostic information within all NCCN-IPI risk categories. Collectively, the NCCN-IPI outperformed the IPI and R-IPI. Patients with low-risk NCCN-IPI had favorable survival outcomes with little room for further improvement. In the rituximab era, none of the clinical risk scores identified a patient subgroup with long-term survival clearly <50%. Integrating molecular features of the tumor and microenvironment into the NCCN-IPI or IPI might better characterize a high-risk group for which novel treatment approaches are most needed.

Abstract Background The American Joint Committee on Cancer staging and other prognostic tools fail to account for stage-independent variability in outcome. We developed a prognostic classifier adding Immunoscore to clinicopathological and molecular features in patients with stage III colon cancer. Methods Patient (n = 559) data from the FOLFOX arm of adjuvant trial NCCTG N0147 were used to construct Cox models for predicting disease-free survival (DFS). Variables included age, sex, T stage, positive lymph nodes (+LNs), N stage, performance status, histologic grade, sidedness, KRAS/BRAF, mismatch repair, and Immunoscore (CD3+, CD8+ T-cell densities). After determining optimal functional form (continuous or categorical) and within Cox models, backward selection was performed to analyze all variables as candidate predictors. All statistical tests were two-sided. Results Poorer DFS was found for tumors that were T4 vs T3 (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.76, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.19 to 2.60; P = .004), right- vs left-sided (HR = 1.52, 95% CI = 1.14 to 2.04; P = .005), BRAF V600E (HR = 1.74, 95% CI = 1.26 to 2.40; P < .001), mutant KRAS (HR = 1.66, 95% CI = 1.08 to 2.55; P = .02), and low vs high Immunoscore (HR = 1.69, 95% CI = 1.22 to 2.33; P = .001) (all P < .02). Increasing numbers of +LNs and lower continuous Immunoscore were associated with poorer DFS that achieved significance (both Ps< .0001). After number of +LNs, T stage, and BRAF/KRAS, Immunoscore was the most informative predictor of DFS shown multivariately. Among T1–3 N1 tumors, Immunoscore was the only variable associated with DFS that achieved statistical significance. A nomogram was generated to determine the likelihood of being recurrence-free at 3 years. Conclusions The Immunoscore can enhance the accuracy of survival prediction among patients with stage III colon cancer.

Abstract Background Carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels are used in conjunction with imaging to monitor response to systemic therapy in metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). We sought to identify a threshold for CEA change from baseline to predict progressive disease (PD) in mCRC patients receiving first-line therapy. Methods Patients from trials collected in the ARCAD database were included if baseline CEA was at least 10 ng/mL and repeat CEA was available within 14 days of first restaging scan. Optimal cutoffs for CEA change were identified by receiver operating characteristic analysis. Prediction performance of cutoffs was evaluated by sensitivity, specificity, and negative predictive value. Analyses were conducted by treatment class: chemotherapy alone, chemotherapy with anti-VEGF antibody, and chemotherapy with anti-EGFR antibody. Results A total of 2643 mCRC patients treated with systemic therapy were included. Median percent change of CEA from baseline to first restaging for patients with complete response, partial response, or stable disease (non-PD) and PD was −53.1% and +23.6% for chemotherapy alone (n = 957) and −71.7% and −45.3% for chemotherapy with anti-VEGF antibody (n = 1355). The optimal area under the curve cutoff for differentiating PD from non-PD on first restaging was −7.5% for chemotherapy alone and −62.0% for chemotherapy with anti-VEGF antibody; chemotherapy alone, adjusted odds ratio = 6.51 (95% CI = 3.31 to 12.83, P < .001), chemotherapy with anti-VEGF antibody, adjusted odds ratio = 3.45 (95% CI = 1.93 to 6.18, P < .001). A 99% negative predictive value clinical cutoff for prediction of non-PD would avoid CT scan at first restaging in 21.0% of chemotherapy alone and 16.2% of chemotherapy with anti-VEGF antibody–treated patients. Among patients with stable disease on first restaging, those with decreased CEA from baseline had statistically significantly improved progression-free and overall survival. Conclusions Change in CEA from baseline to first restaging can accurately predict non-progression and correlates with long-term outcomes in patients receiving systemic chemotherapy.

7544 Background: Great heterogeneity in survival exists for patients (pts) newly diagnosed with aggressive BCL. Three scoring systems based on simple clinical parameters (age, lactate dehydrogenase, number/sites of involvement, stage, performance status) are widely used: the international prognostic index (IPI), revised-IPI (R-IPI), and National Comprehensive Cancer Network IPI (NCCN-IPI). We studied BCL pts treated with R-CHOP to determine which scoring systems best identifies subgroups with poor outcomes that might benefit from new approaches. Methods: Individual pt data from 7 multicenter trials (1998-2009) of pts with BCL (86% DLBCL) treated front-line with R-CHOP (or variant) were analyzed to determine whether IPI, R-IPI, or NCCN-IPI best discriminated overall survival (OS). The concordance index (c-index) from a proportional hazards model, stratifying on trial and induction therapy, quantified predictive accuracy of each scoring system. Results: 2561 pts (median age 63 yrs, 56% male) were classified into IPI, R-IPI, and NCCN-IPI risk groups (Table). With a median follow-up of 5 yrs, NCCN-IPI had the greatest absolute difference in OS estimates between the highest and lowest risk groups at 1, 3, and 5 yrs, and best discriminated OS (c-index = 0.631, Table). Conclusions: In an independent and large cohort of pts, NCCN-IPI performs best in risk-stratifying pts with aggressive BCL, readily distinguishing pts at high and low risk for treatment failure using clinical parameters (5-yr OS between 48 and 92%). Improvement over the simpler IPI appears incremental, and IPI may remain a valuable alternative. Work integrating molecular features of the tumor into the (NCCN-) IPI is in progress to define high risk groups where targeted novel approaches are needed most. [Table: see text]

e17017 Background: Epigenetic up-regulation of EBV and cellular genes via demethylation and histone deacetylase inhibition can induce EBV lytic replication enhancing immune mediated tumor killing and up-regulation of tumor suppressor genes resulting in tumor apoptosis. Methods: Patients (Pt) with relapsed or refractory NPC and NK-T cell lymphomas were enrolled to determine safety, tolerability, pharmacokinetics (PK), pharmacodynamics and preliminary anti-tumor activity using a dose escalation design. 5AC was administered on days 1 to 10 sub-cutaneously while SAHA was administered on days 1 to 14 orally. PK for SAHA, EBV viral load, characterization of circulating EBV, Immunohistochemistry (IHC) and EBV promoter methylation analysis in tumor tissue were performed. Results: 11 pt have been treated (M:F 8:3, median age 48, R: 35-71) at 3 dose levels – 5AC 50 mg/m2 and SAHA 200 mg b.i.d. (dose level 1), 5AC 37.5 mg/m2 and SAHA 200 mg q. am and 100 mg q. pm (dose level 2), and 5AC 25 mg/m2 and SAHA 100 mg b.i.d (dose level 3). Median number of previous treatment regimens was 3 (R:1-6). Dose limiting toxicities (DLT) were seen in 2/2 pts at dose level 1: grade 4 thrombocytopenia (1 pt), grade 3 nausea, vomiting and fatigue (2 pts), and grade 5 hepatic failure (1 pt). Two of six patients at dose level 2 experienced DLT: grade 3 fatigue (1 pt) and worsening of pre-existing Sweet’s Syndrome (1 pt). Common AEs (G1/2) included fatigue (73%), cough (64%), anorexia (55%), and injection site reaction (45%). One minor response was seen and 5 pt had prolonged stable disease (>16 weeks), including one patient for 88 weeks. Analysis of post-treatment tumor biopsies showed demethylation of EBV lytic cycle gene promoters after treatment. SAHA PK, IHC results for EBV gene expression in tumor tissue, EBV viral load and characterization of circulating EBV will be presented. Conclusions: 5AC/SAHA appears to be tolerable at dose level 3 with suggestion of clinical benefit. Analysis of post-treatment tumor and blood samples suggests that modulation of EBV gene expression may play a role in the mechanism underlying clinical benefit. Continued accrual at dose level 3 is ongoing. Clinical trial information: NCT00336063.

4071 Background: Selection of patients for HER2-targeted therapy is based on HER2 analysis in primary EACs. Since EACs metastasize via regional lymph nodes, concordance of HER2 gene amplification results between primary tumors and their metastatic lymph nodes (MLN) is a clinically important issue. Methods: Resected EACs (N = 103) having at least three distinct regional MLNs (total 508 MLNs; median 4 [range 3-11]) were sectioned using routine procedures and tested for HER2 amplification by fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH). Primary tumors were also evaluated for HER2 protein expression by immunohistochemistry (IHC) and by FISH. Amplification was defined as HER2/CEP17 ≥ 2. IHC was scored as 0, 1+, 2+, or 3+. Primaries whose HER2 status was positive by both FISH and IHC (ie, amplified and IHC3+), or negative by both (ie, nonamplified and IHC0-1+), were selected. HER2 status was compared between primaries and their MLNs (kappa). Results: Concordant HER2 results between primaries and their MLNs were found in 92% (95/103) of EACs (Table; κ = .76 [95% CI .60 - .92]). However, among patients with HER2-positive primaries, 19% (4/21) had HER2-nonamplified MLNs; among these cases, either all MLNs were HER2-nonamplified (n = 2), or both HER2-nonamplified and –amplified MLNs were present (n = 2). Among HER2-negative primary EACs, 5% (4/82) of cases had MLNs that were all HER2-amplified (n = 3) or both HER2-nonamplified and -amplified (n = 1). Conclusions: A patient subset whose primary EACs were HER2-positive (by both FISH and IHC) were unexpectedly found to lack HER2 amplification in corresponding MLNs. Conversely, a subgroup with HER2-negative primaries had HER2-amplified MLNs, and would have been deemed ineligible for HER2-targeted therapy. These preliminary data suggest that evaluating MLNs in resected EACs has the potential to better identify patients who benefit from HER2-targeted therapy. [Table: see text]

4026 Background: Patients (pts) with locally advanced esophageal or gastroesophageal junction (GEJ) adenocarcinoma commonly receive neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (chemo-RT). Despite this approach the rate of recurrence remains high. Given the difficulties of postoperative therapy, the efficacy of extended neoadjuvant therapy was assessed. Methods: Eligibility criteria included T3-4,N0 – Tany,N(+) disease amenable to radiation and surgery. Pts were randomized to either arm A (docetaxel 60 mg/m2 day 1 , oxaliplatin [Oxal] 85 mg/m2 day 1, and capecitabine 1250 mg/m2/day days 1-14 x 2 cycles [DOC] followed by 5-FU 180 mg/m2/day continuous IV through radiation + Oxal 85 mg/m2 days 1,15,29 + 50.4 Gy radiation (chemo-RT)) or arm B (chemo-RT alone). Randomization was stratified by ECOG PS (0/1 vs 2) and stage (II vs III/IVA). Primary endpoint was pathologic complete response (PCR) rate, defined as no gross or microscopic tumor identified in the surgical specimen. Interim analysis assessed efficacy and futility of the experimental intervention. Wilcoxon rank sum and Fisher’s exact tests were used to compare clinical/pathologic factors between arms. Results: Baseline and stratification factors were well balanced between arms. Of 42 pts included in the interim analysis (86% male; age [median 63, range 38-88], 100% PS 0/1; 71% stage III; 55% esophagus, 40% GEJ; 36% measurable disease), 4 and 1 pts in arms A and B, respectively, did not have surgery due to death (A, 2), progressive disease (A, 1), alternative treatment (A, 1) or adverse event (B, 1). Among 21 arm A pts, 21, 20, and 19 pts started 1st cycle of DOC, 2nd cycle of DOC and chemo-RT, respectively. All arm B pts received chemo-RT. 33% (7/21) of arm A and 48% (10/21) of arm B pts achieved PCR (p=0.53). Among pts undergoing surgery, 94% (16/17) and 100% (20/20) of arm A and B pts had complete resection (p=0.46). 38% and 24% of arm A and B pts experienced at least one grade 4+ adverse event at least possibly related to treatment (p=0.51). Conclusions: Extended neoadjuvant therapy in pts with locally advanced esophageal or GEJ adenocarcinoma failed to improve the PCR rate. Follow-up in regard to survival and rate of recurrence is ongoing. Clinical trial information: NCT00938470.

3533 Background: PFS has previously been established as a surrogate for OS based on IPD from first-line mCRC trials conducted before 1999. As mCRC treatment (trt) has advanced in the last decade and OS has increased from 1 to 2 years, this surrogacy required re-examination. Methods: IPD from 16,762 pts, median age 62, 62% male, 53% ECOG PS 0 were available from 22 1st line mCRC studies conducted from 1997-2006; 12 tested targeted (anti-angiogenic and/or anti-EGFR) regimens. The relationship between PFS (first event of progression or death) and OS was evaluated at patient-, trt-arm-, and trial-levels using correlation (corr.) coefficients and R2 (closer to 1 the better) from weighted least square (WLS) regression of arm-specific survival rates and trial-specific hazard ratios (HRs), estimated using Cox and Copula bivariate models. The concordance of significance (CoS) of the treatment effects (TEs) on both endpoints was calculated. Results: 44% pts received a targeted regimen. Median PFS was 8 and OS was18 months. The corr. between PFS and OS was modest at all three levels with low CoS in TE comparisons (see Table). Analyses limited to trials testing targeted trts, non-strategy trials, or superiority trials did not improve surrogacy. Conclusions: In modern mCRC trials, where survival post-first progression exceeds time to first progression, PFS TEs do not reliably predict TEs on OS. Nonetheless, until alternative endpoints of clinical benefit can be validated, PFS remains a relevant primary endpoint for 1st line mCRC trials, as our data demonstrate that the ability for any agent to produce an OS benefit from a single line of therapy is challenging. [Table: see text]

3617 Background: In metastatic colorectal cancer (CRC), previous studies suggested potential relationships between certain drug metabolizing (DM) genes (DPYD, ERCC2, GSTP1 and TYMS) and QOL prior to receipt of chemotherapy (Sloan, Plenary Session ASCO 2004). The current study is the first to examine relationships between similar DM genes and QOL in stage III CC pts. Methods: 1,583 CC pts on a randomized adjuvant stage III, phase III trial received FOLFOX, FOLFIRI, or either +/- Cetuximab. Genomic DNA and baseline QOL data via linear analogue self assessment (LASA) scales with 4 QOL variables were obtained. 53 DM SNPs were selected for known functional effect within potential regulatory sites. Two-sample t-tests assessed differences in QOL between pts with variants and wild-type status. Differences of at least 10 points on a 0-100 point QOL score were considered clinically significant. Results: 14 relationships between DM genes and QOL were detected at the nominal p < 0.05 level; six of these were related to DPYD, ERCC2, GSTP1 and TYMS. Relationships were also observed at the 0.05 level with polymorphisms of genes DPYS, ERCC1, MGMT, MTHFR, OPRT and UGT1A1 based on unadjusted and adjusted association tests. GSTP1 I105V and OPRT 5’UTR 28 A>G markers differed on fatigue scores (p=0.04, 0.005, respectively). Variants on MTHFR R594Q were associated with higher mental acuity scores (p=0.02). These relationships remained after adjusting for age, gender, race, T stage, PS, disease site, lymph nodes involved, and grade. The robustness of the observed associations varied with the multiple comparison adjustment method. Conclusions: Similar to the earlier study of stage IV CRC, we observed a possible relationship in pts with Stage III CC with regard to DM genes and QOL, although these relationships were more modest than observed in Stage IV pts. These DM genes may be in linkage disequilibrium with other genetic variants that more directly affect behavior and QOL. Further genome wide association studies are needed to clarify these relationships.

3576 Background: Identification of a marker with strong prognostic impact on clinical outcomes would aid in the management of pts with primary, curatively resected CRC. We conducted a pooled individual pt data analysis to confirm the prognostic value of pTIMP-1 for overall survival (OS) in stage II and III CRC. Methods: pTIMP-1 was determined in plasma using immunoassays. Samples and clinical data were included from 5 studies with a total of 1,042 stage II/III pts resected between 1991 – 2006 (Holten-Andersen (HA), 2000 [n=378], HA, 2004 [n=226], Waas, 2005 [52], Birgisson, 2010 [225], Nielsen, 2011[n=161]). To provide comparable measures across studies, pTIMP-1 values were rescaled using fractional ranks (FR, based on ranks and sample size). Pts were grouped by the median of the pTIMP-1 FR score. Stratified log-rank tests and multivariate Cox models assessed the association between OS and pTIMP-1 FR. Results: Overall, 59% were male; median age 69 years; 56% had stage II disease and 50% had colon cancer. The median follow-up was 5.5 years with 457 deaths. Continuous pTIMP-1 FR as a linear effect was significantly associated with OS (p < .0001, HR=1.38 for a 0.3 unit increase in FR score, 95% CI 1.25 to 1.52).Pts with pTIMP-1 FR above vs below the median had significantly shorter OS (HR, 1.72; 95% confidence interval[CI], 1.42 to 2.08, p <0.0001), which remained significant after adjusting for age, gender, stage, disease location, and serological CEA (HR, 1.31; 95%CI, 1.07 to 1.60; p = 0.009). Results by stage are shown in the table. No evidence of an interaction between pTIMP-1 and stage or disease location (colon vs. rectal) was observed (all p > 0.6). Conclusions: pTIMP-1 is a strong prognostic marker for predicting OS independent of age, gender, CEA, stage and site of disease in curatively resected stage II and III CRC. [Table: see text]