INTRODUCTION: Chronic Pancreatitis Prognosis Score (COPPS) was developed to discriminate disease severity and predict risk for future hospitalizations. In this cohort study, we evaluated if COPPS predicts the likelihood of hospitalization(s) in an American cohort. METHODS: The Chronic Pancreatitis, Diabetes, and Pancreatic Cancer consortium provided data and serum from subjects with chronic pancreatitis (N = 279). COPPS was calculated with baseline data and stratified by severity (low, moderate, and high). Primary endpoints included number and duration of hospitalizations during 12-month follow-up. RESULTS: The mean ± SD COPPS was 8.4 ± 1.6. COPPS correlated with all primary outcomes: hospitalizations for any reason (number: r = 0.15, P = 0.01; duration: r = 0.16, P = 0.01) and pancreas-related hospitalizations (number: r = 0.15, P = 0.02; duration: r = 0.13, P = 0.04). The severity distribution was 13.3% low, 66.0% moderate, and 20.8% high. 37.6% of subjects had ≥1 hospitalization(s) for any reason; 32.2% had ≥1 pancreas-related hospitalizations. All primary outcomes were significantly different between severity groups: hospitalizations for any reason (number, P = 0.004; duration, P = 0.007) and pancreas-related hospitalizations (number, P = 0.02; duration, P = 0.04). The prevalence of continued drinking at follow-up ( P = 0.04) was higher in the low and moderate groups. The prevalence of anxiety at enrollment ( P = 0.02) and follow-up ( P < 0.05) was higher in the moderate and high groups. DISCUSSION: Statistically, COPPS significantly correlated with hospitalization outcomes, but the correlations were weaker than in previous studies, which may be related to the outpatient nature of the PROspective Evaluation of Chronic Pancreatitis for EpidEmiologic and Translational StuDies cohort and lower prevalence of high severity disease. Studies in other prospective cohorts are needed to understand the full utility of COPPS as a potential tool for clinical risk assessment and intervention.
Systemic Neutrophil Gelatinase-Associated Lipocalin Alterations in Chronic Pancreatitis: A Multicenter, Cross-Sectional Study
INTRODUCTION: Chronic pancreatitis (CP) is a progressive fibroinflammatory disorder lacking therapies and biomarkers. Neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL) is a proinflammatory cytokine elevated during inflammation that binds fatty acids (FAs) such as linoleic acid. We hypothesized that systemic NGAL could serve as a biomarker for CP and, with FAs, provide insights into inflammatory and metabolic alterations. METHODS: NGAL was measured by immunoassay, and FA composition was measured by gas chromatography in plasma (n = 171) from a multicenter study, including controls (n = 50), acute and recurrent acute pancreatitis (AP/RAP) (n = 71), and CP (n = 50). Peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs) from controls (n = 16), AP/RAP (n = 17), and CP (n = 15) were measured by cytometry by time-of-flight. RESULTS: Plasma NGAL was elevated in subjects with CP compared with controls (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.777) or AP/RAP (AUC = 0.754) in univariate and multivariate analyses with sex, age, body mass index, and smoking (control AUC = 0.874; AP/RAP AUC = 0.819). NGAL was elevated in CP and diabetes compared with CP without diabetes ( P < 0.001). NGAL + PBMC populations distinguished CP from controls (AUC = 0.950) or AP/RAP (AUC = 0.941). Linoleic acid was lower, whereas dihomo-γ-linolenic and adrenic acids were elevated in CP ( P < 0.05). Linoleic acid was elevated in CP with diabetes compared with CP subjects without diabetes ( P = 0.0471). DISCUSSION: Elevated plasma NGAL and differences in NGAL + PBMCs indicate an immune response shift that may serve as biomarkers of CP. The potential interaction of FAs and NGAL levels provide insights into the metabolic pathophysiology and improve diagnostic classification of CP.
Circulating immune signatures across clinical stages of chronic pancreatitis: a pilot study
Objective This pilot study seeks to identify serum immune signatures across clinical stages of patients with chronic pancreatitis (CP). Methods We performed a cross-sectional analysis of prospectively collected serum samples from the PROspective Evaluation of Chronic Pancreatitis for EpidEmiologic and Translation StuDies-study. CP subjects were categorised into three clinical stages based on the presence/absence of metabolic complications: (1) CP with no diabetes and exocrine pancreatic dysfunction (EPD), (2) CP with either diabetes or EPD, and (3) CP with diabetes and EPD. Blinded samples were analysed using an 80-plex Luminex assay of cytokines/chemokines/adhesion molecules. Group and pairwise comparisons were performed to characterise immune signatures across CP subgroups. Results A total of 135 CP subjects (evenly distributed between clinical stages) and 50 controls were studied. Interleukin-6 (IL-6), interleukin-8 (IL-8), and soluble intercellular adhesion molecule 1 (sICAM-1) were significantly elevated in CP subjects compared to controls. The levels of IL-6 and IL-8 increased with advancing disease stages, with the highest levels observed in CP with diabetes and EPD (clinical stage 3). Furthermore, hepatocyte growth factor and macrophage-derived chemokine were significantly increased in clinical stage 3 compared to controls. Conclusion Our study reveals a progressive elevation in pro-inflammatory cytokines and chemokines with advancing clinical stages of CP. These findings indicate potential targets for the development of disease-modifying interventions.
Development of a Clinical Prediction Model for Diabetes in Chronic Pancreatitis: The PREDICT3c Study
OBJECTIVE Diabetes that arises from chronic pancreatitis (CP) is associated with increased morbidity and mortality. Methods to predict which patients with CP are at greatest risk for diabetes are urgently needed. We aimed to examine independent risk factors for diabetes in a large cohort of patients with CP. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS This cross-sectional study comprised 645 individuals with CP enrolled in the PROCEED study, of whom 276 had diabetes. We conducted univariable and multivariable regression analyses of potential risk factors for diabetes. Model performance was assessed by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) analysis, and accuracy was evaluated by cross validation. Exploratory analyses were stratified according to the timing of development of diabetes relative to the diagnosis of pancreatitis. RESULTS Independent correlates of diabetes in CP included risk factors for type 2 diabetes (older age, overweight/obese status, male sex, non-White race, tobacco use) as well as pancreatic disease–related factors (history of acute pancreatitis complications, nonalcoholic etiology of CP, exocrine pancreatic dysfunction, pancreatic calcification, pancreatic atrophy) (AUROC 0.745). Type 2 diabetes risk factors were predominant for diabetes occurring before pancreatitis, and pancreatic disease–related factors were predominant for diabetes occurring after pancreatitis. CONCLUSIONS Multiple factors are associated with diabetes in CP, including canonical risk factors for type 2 diabetes and features associated with pancreatitis severity. This study lays the groundwork for the future development of models integrating clinical and nonclinical data to identify patients with CP at risk for diabetes and identifies modifiable risk factors (obesity, smoking) on which to focus for diabetes prevention.
Rationale and Design for the Diabetes RElated to Acute Pancreatitis and Its Mechanisms Study
Abstract Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a disease characterized by an acute inflammatory phase followed by a convalescent phase. Diabetes mellitus (DM) was historically felt to be a transient phenomenon related to acute inflammation; however, it is increasingly recognized as an important late and chronic complication. There are several challenges that have prevented precisely determining the incidence rate of DM after AP and understanding the underlying mechanisms. The DREAM (Diabetes RElated to Acute Pancreatitis and its Mechanisms) Study is a prospective cohort study designed to address these and other knowledge gaps to provide the evidence needed to screen for, prevent, and treat DM after AP. In the following article, we summarize literature regarding the epidemiology of DM after AP and provide the rationale and an overview of the DREAM study.
Characterizing mechanism-based pain phenotypes in patients with chronic pancreatitis: a cross-sectional analysis of the PROspective Evaluation of Chronic Pancreatitis for EpidEmiologic and Translational StuDies
Abstract Pain is common in chronic pancreatitis (CP) and profoundly reduces quality of life (QoL). Multiple underlying mechanisms contribute to a heterogenous pain experience and reduce efficacy of pain management. This study was designed to characterize the distribution of mechanism-based pain phenotypes in painful CP. The data analyzed were collected as part of the PROspective Evaluation of Chronic Pancreatitis for EpidEmiologic and Translational StuDies, an NCI/NIDDK-funded longitudinal study of the natural history of CP. The PROspective Evaluation of Chronic pancreatitis for EpidEmiologic and translational stuDies includes patient-reported outcome (PRO) measures of pain, medication use, global health, and QoL. Of subjects (N = 681) with CP, 80% experienced abdominal pain within the year before enrollment. Subjects who experienced pain in the week before enrollment (N = 391) completed PROMIS Neuropathic and Nociceptive Pain Quality instruments which were then used to classify them by pain type: 40% had nociceptive, 5% had neuropathic-like, and 32% had both types of pain. The prevalence of having both types of pain was higher among women and subjects with diabetes mellitus, whereas nociceptive-only pain was more prevalent among men and those with pancreatic duct stricture. Other factors, including pain medication use and healthcare utilization, did not differ between groups based on pain type. Subjects in the Both group had significantly worse health and QoL scores relative to those with nociceptive-only pain, suggesting that using psychosocial pain surveys may be useful for understanding pain subtypes in patients with CP. Additional research is needed to identify biochemical and biophysical signatures that may associate with and predict responses to mechanism-specific interventions.
Internet Cognitive-Behavioral Therapy for Painful Chronic Pancreatitis: A Pilot Feasibility Randomized Controlled Trial
INTRODUCTION: Severe abdominal pain is a cardinal symptom of chronic pancreatitis (CP) associated with a high economic and societal burden. In other chronic pain conditions, cognitive-behavioral therapy (CBT) has demonstrated efficacy in improving patient outcomes (e.g., pain-related disability and depression). However, CBT has not yet been evaluated in adult patients with painful CP. We aimed to (i) evaluate the feasibility and acceptability of an adapted Internet CBT program for CP and (ii) generate pilot data regarding the effects of treatment on patient pain outcomes. METHODS: Thirty adults (mean age = 49.8 years, SD = 12.5; 80% women) with suspected or definite CP were randomized to Internet CBT (Pancreatitis Pain Course) versus control. The Pancreatitis Pain Course has 5 CBT lessons (e.g., thought challenging, relaxation, and activity pacing) delivered over 8 weeks. Pain interference, pain intensity, and quality of life were assessed at pretreatment, posttreatment, and the 3-month follow-up. Qualitative interviews were conducted at posttreatment with a subset of participants. RESULTS: Eighty percent of participants rated the program as highly acceptable; 64.3% completed all 5 lessons. Qualitative data revealed positive perceptions of program features, relevancy, and skills. Patients randomized to Internet CBT demonstrated moderate to large effects in reducing pain intensity and pain interference from baseline to 3 months. The proportion of treatment responders (>30% improvement) was significantly greater in the Internet-CBT group than in the control group (50% vs 13%, Fisher exact t test P = 0.04). DISCUSSION: In this first trial of CBT pain self-management in CP, feasibility, acceptability, and preliminary efficacy for reducing pain and disability were demonstrated. Future definitive trials of CBT are needed.
PROspective Evaluation of Chronic Pancreatitis for EpidEmiologic and Translational StuDies
Abstract Prospective Evaluation of Chronic Pancreatitis for Epidemiologic and Translational Studies (PROCEED) is the first prospective, observational cohort study of chronic pancreatitis (CP) in the United States. The primary goals of PROCEED are to define disease progression, test the predictive capability of candidate biomarkers, and develop a platform to conduct translational and mechanistic studies in CP. Using objective and consensus-driven criteria, PROCEED will enroll adults at different stages of CP—controls, suspected CP, and definite CP. In addition to collecting detailed information using structured case report forms and protocol-mandated evaluations at baseline and during follow-up, PROCEED will establish a linked biorepository of blood, urine, saliva, stool, pancreatic fluid, and pancreatic tissue. Enrollment for PROCEED began in June 2017. As of July 1, 2018, nine clinical centers of the Consortium for the Study of Chronic Pancreatitis, Diabetes, and Pancreatic Cancer are enrolling, and 350 subjects have completed baseline evaluation. In conclusion, PROCEED will provide the most accurate and reliable estimates to date on progression of CP. The established cohort and biorepository will facilitate numerous analyses, leading to new strategies for diagnosis, methods to monitor disease progression, and treatment of CP.