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Hart, Phil A.

0000-0003-4346-6196

Mayo Clinic

The Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center

Citations 30

Validation of the Semi-Quantitative MRI (SQ-MRI) Score as a Biomarker for Non-Calcific Chronic Pancreatitis in a Multicenter Cohort
Tirkes, Temel, Chang, Stephanie T., Mawad, Kareem , Shah, Zarine K. , Venkatesh, Sudhakar K., Wachsman, Ashley, Li, Liang, Li, Shuang, Easler, Jeffrey, Fogel, Evan L. , Forsmark, Christopher E. , Hart, Phil A., Pandol, Stephen J., Park, Walter G., Topazian, Mark, Trikudanathan, Guru, Vege, Santhi Swaroop, Conwell, Darwin L., Yadav, Dhiraj, Tirkes, Temel , Dasyam, Anil K. , Spilseth, Benjamin , Takahashi, Naoki , Venkatesh, Sudhakar K. , Easler, Jeffrey J. , Forsmark, Chris E. , Hart, Phil A. , Pandol, Stephen J , Park, Walter G., Trikudanathan, Guru , Van Den Eeden, Stephen K , Vege, Santhi Swaroop , Conwell, Darwin L. , Yadav, Dhiraj

No container title available | August 18, 2026 | Volume: No volume available | Issue: No issue available | Pages: No page available

10.21203/rs.3.rs-10504233/v1 Get It

Abstract Purpose Validate the semiquantitative (SQ)-MRI score for chronic pancreatitis (CP) diagnosis in an independent, multicenter cohort. Methods We analyzed MRIs performed at baseline in 337 participants with acute (AP) or recurrent AP (RAP) and 67 with non-calcific chronic pancreatitis (NCCP) enrolled in the PROCEED study from 6/2017 to 3/2023. MRIs were performed at multiple clinical centers using site-specific clinical protocols and a variety of MRI vendors to evaluate the SQ-MRI score in a real-world setting. The SQ-MRI score was calculated using the T1 signal intensity ratio of the pancreas to the spleen (T1 score), arteriovenous enhancement ratio (AVR), and pancreatic body diameter (PBD). We adjusted for confounding by participant characteristics via propensity score weighting. Results Median AVR was higher in AP/RAP (1.18, IQR: 0.97–1.44) than in the NCCP group (1.03, IQR: 0.78–1.22, p = 0.007). Pancreatic body diameters were larger in AP/RAP than in the NCCP group − 7–14 mm (10% vs 25%), 14–20 mm (40% vs 54%), and > 20 mm (50% vs 21%), respectively ( p < 0.01). Median T1 score was higher in AP/RAP (1.18, IQR: 0.96–1.40) than in the NCCP group (1.04, IQR: 0.86–1.32, p = 0.10). Median SQ-MRI score in the AP/RAP group was significantly lower, 1.91 (IQR: 0.97, 2.95), than in the NCCP group, 2.74 (IQR: 2.04–4.03) ( p < 0.001). The propensity score-adjusted AUC for SQ-MRI to distinguish AP/RAP from NCCP was 0.64, which was higher than for individual parameters. Conclusion We have validated the SQ-MRI score in a multicenter cohort using an independent, real-world MRI dataset.
Adult Chronic Pancreatitis Working Group: Goals, Accomplishments and the Path Ahead. A Report From the Consortium for the Study of Chronic Pancreatitis, Diabetes, and Pancreatic Cancer
Yadav, Dhiraj, Andersen, Dana K., Bellin, Melena D., Fisher, Willian, Fogel, Evan L., Forsmark, Christopher E., Hart, Phil A., Lee, Bomi, Palermo, Tonya, Pandol, Stephen J., Park, Walter G., Saloman, Jami, Serrano, Jose, Tirkes, Temel, Topazian, Mark D., Eeden, Stephen van Den, Vege, Santhi Swaroop, Conwell, Darwin L., Lee, Bomi , Park, Walter G. , Yadav, Dhiraj, Li, Liang, Andersen, Dana K. , Bellin, Melena D. , Cruz‐Monserrate, Zobeida , Fogel, Evan L. , Forsmark, Chris E. , Hart, Phil A. , Palermo, Tonya, Pandol, Stephen J , Park, Walter G., Saloman, Jami L. , Serrano, José , Tirkes, Temel , Topazian, Mark , Van Den Eeden, Stephen K , Vege, Santhi Swaroop , Conwell, Darwin L.

Pancreas | June 25, 2026 | Volume: 55 | Issue: 7 | Pages: e791-e800

10.1097/mpa.0000000000002657 Get It

The adult chronic pancreatitis (CP) working group, formed at the inception of the Consortium for the Study of Chronic Pancreatitis, Diabetes, and Pancreatic Cancer (CPDPC), has developed a robust framework and infrastructure to conduct clinical, translational, and mechanistic studies of CP. At its core is PRO spective Evaluation of C hronic Pancreatitis for E pid E miologic and Translational Stu D ies (PROCEED), the first longitudinal cohort study of CP in US adults, launched in 2017. PROCEED has developed a well-annotated clinical data set of over 2000 deeply-phenotyped participants, a biorepository and an imaging repository. Investigators have published promising data on blood-based and imaging-based biomarkers of CP diagnosis and pain, which are awaiting validation. Clinical observations include classification of patients into mechanism-based pain phenotypes using responses to PROMIS questionnaires, prevalence and predictors of opioid use, prevalence of psychological comorbidity, and osteopathy in CP patients. Pilot clinical trials have evaluated the effect of oral indomethacin on pancreatic fluid prostaglandin E2 levels and Internet-based cognitive behavioral therapy (CBT) for chronic pain. Results of pilot trials have led to an ongoing definitive randomized clinical trial for CBT. The rich environment and resources have facilitated mentorship and academic development of many early-stage investigators. Investigators outside of the consortium have opportunities for collaboration. In the next 5 years, the working group plans to further strengthen the research platform, complete primary and key secondary analyses of PROCEED and ancillary studies, continue efforts to develop biomarkers for diagnosis and prognosis of CP, and complete ongoing clinical trials to address unanswered questions in the field.
Participant Retention in a Prospective Multicenter Cohort of Participants With Pancreatitis and Factors Associated With Attrition
Choate, Radmila , Xu, Jun , Easler, Jeffrey J. , Phillips, Anna E. , Fisher, William E., Fogel, Evan L. , Forsmark, Chris E. , Hart, Phil A. , Park, Walter G. , Vege, Santhi Swaroop, Conwell, Darwin L. , Yadav, Dhiraj, Choate, Radmila , Xu, Jun , Han, Samuel , Phillips, Anna E., Bellin, Melena D. , Pandol, Stephen J. , Serrano, Jose, Van Den Eeden, Stephen K , Vege, Santhi Swaroop , Li, Liang , Conwell, Darwin L. , Yadav, Dhiraj

Pancreas | October 13, 2025 | Volume: 55 | Issue: 2 | Pages: e162-e172

10.1097/mpa.0000000000002550 Get It

Objectives: Participant retention is essential in prospective studies to minimize bias and maintain validity. This study aimed to estimate retention rates and identify factors influencing attrition in a multicenter cohort (PROCEED) of US adults with acute/recurrent acute pancreatitis (AP/RAP) and chronic pancreatitis (CP). Methods: Participants from the PROCEED study with AP/RAP or CP eligible for follow-up within the designated visit window were included. Retention was defined as completing at least one follow-up visit during the observation period. Retention was analyzed by follow-up mode (in-person and/or medical record review) and disease type (AP/RAP and CP). Retention factors were assessed using univariate analyses (Wilcoxon rank-sum for continuous variables, χ 2 /Fisher's exact for categorical) and multivariable logistic regression. Missing data were adjusted using multiple imputations in statistical modeling. Results: Among 1279 participants (AP/RAP: n=632, median age 47, 48.9% female; CP: n=647, median age 54, 46.5% female), we observed high cumulative and annualized retention rates, with improved retention when incorporating medical record reviews. In multivariable regression analyses, older age was statistically significantly associated with in-person retention in the AP/RAP group ( P =0.0001), while a higher self-reported physical health (assessed with PROMIS Global Health Physical Health T-score) was a key predictor of retention in CP ( P =0.034). Conclusions: Integrating medical records review substantially enhanced retention rates, enabling robust analyses of pancreatitis outcomes and disease progression. Older age and better self-reported physical health were key predictors of retention, highlighting the need for targeted strategies to enhance engagement among younger participants and those with poorer health in long-term studies.
Prostaglandin E2 as a Mechanistic Biomarker of Chronic Pancreatitis
Saloman, Jami L. , Jefferson, Bahiyyah, Fisher, William E., Fogel, Evan L. , Hart, Phil A. , Park, Walter G. , Vege, Santhi Swaroop , Yadav, Dhiraj , Topazian, Mark , Conwell, Darwin L. , Saloman, Jami L , Han, Samuel , Li, Liang

Clinical and Translational Gastroenterology | August 4, 2025 | Volume: 16 | Issue: 10 | Pages: e00897

10.14309/ctg.0000000000000897 Get It

INTRODUCTION: Chronic pancreatitis (CP) is a disease associated with chronic inflammation, fibrosis, and pain. There is a lack of tools available that facilitate early diagnosis, when intervention could prevent irreversible damage. Pilot data suggested prostaglandin E2 (PGE2) as a candidate biomarker for early CP. PGE2 activates signaling pathways that promote inflammation, pain, and fibrosis. METHODS: We assessed PGE2, metabolites, and downstream targets in pancreatic fluid collected endoscopically 0–10 (n = 110) and 10–20 (n = 111) minutes after intravenous secretin administration. PGE2 and metabolites were measured in plasma (n = 75) and urine (n = 71) from the same subjects. Subjects were enrolled in the PROCEED study and classified symptomatic controls, acute/recurrent acute pancreatitis (AP/RAP), or CP. RESULTS: A significant main effect was detected in 10–20 minutes pancreas fluid ( P = 0.027) and plasma ( P = 0.046); post hoc testing showed PGE2 was lower in the AP/RAP group compared with symptomatic controls. There was also trend toward lower PGE2 in urine ( P = 0.062). To elucidate the active downstream pathways, calcitonin gene-related peptide, substance P, and matrix metalloproteinases (MMPs) 1, 2, 3, 7, 9, and 13 were measured in pancreas fluid. A significant difference between the 3 groups was detected for both MMP7 and MMP9. MMP7 was elevated in individuals with CP vs AP/RAP ( P = 0.012) for samples collected early but both time points for MMP9 ( P = 0.027, P = 0.002). DISCUSSION: While PGE2 is detectable in pancreas fluid, these data suggest that it may not be sensitive enough to distinguish between AP/RAP and CP. However, MMPs may distinguish between stages of pancreatitis and require further testing as potential diagnostic biomarkers.
Type 1 Diabetes Autoantibodies in Acute, Recurrent Acute, and Chronic Pancreatitis
Wasserfall, Clive , Forsmark, Chris E. , Li, Liang , Hart, Phil A. , Goodarzi, Mark O. , Kudva, Yogish C. , Yadav, Dhiraj , Conwell, Darwin L. , Andersen, Dana K. , Casu, Anna , Cusi, Ken, Fogel, Evan L. , Park, Walter G. , Wasserfall, Clive H , Li, Shuang , Bellin, Melena D. , Conwell, Darwin L. , Serrano, Jose, Fisher, William P. , Hughes, Steven J. , Van Den Eeden, Stephen K

Diabetes | July 9, 2025 | Volume: 74 | Issue: 9 | Pages: 1603-1612

10.2337/db24-0931 Get It

Pancreatogenic or type 3c diabetes, which occurs as a consequence of pancreatitis, may have several mechanisms. Mechanisms overlapping with those of type 2 diabetes have been explored, including insulin resistance and insulin deficiency. However, autoimmune mechanisms in response to unmasking β-cell antigens, similar to those of type 1 diabetes (T1D), have not been thoroughly examined. We performed cross-sectional T1D autoantibody profiling in a large prospective cohort (N = 927) of adults with acute, recurrent acute, or chronic pancreatitis. We examined correlations of prevalence of autoantibodies against GAD (GAD antibody), IA-2 (IA-2 antibody), zinc transporter 8 (ZnT8; ZnT8 antibody), and insulin (insulin autoantibody [IAA]) with clinical and demographic features, including presence of diabetes, diabetes treatment, and family history of diabetes. Diabetes was present in 11 (12%) of 94 participants with acute pancreatitis, 69 (27%) of 273 with recurrent acute pancreatitis, and 235 (43%) of 560 with chronic pancreatitis. Among these groups, islet autoantibodies were respectively found in five (5.3%) of 94, 48 (17.6%) of 273, and 127 (22.6%) of 560. The proportions of individuals with diabetes who were autoantibody positive were 45%, 70%, and 54%, respectively (most commonly IAA, which may reflect exogenous insulin use). However, across the entire cohort, 27 participants (2.9%) had two, two (0.2%) had three, and one (0.1%) had four T1D-associated autoantibodies, respectively, suggesting a potential pathogenic link that should be further explored. ARTICLE HIGHLIGHTS Type 1 diabetes–associated autoimmune mechanisms have not been thoroughly examined in pancreatitis-associated diabetes. We assessed the prevalence of four islet autoantibodies in serum from a large prospective cohort of patients with acute, recurrent acute, or chronic pancreatitis. Diabetes was present in 11 (12%) of 94 participants with acute pancreatitis, 69 (27%) of 273 with recurrent acute pancreatitis, and 235 (43%) of 560 with chronic pancreatitis. Excluding those with only insulin autoantibody positivity, which is confounded by insulin treatment, islet autoantibodies were identified in 51 (5.5%) of 927 participants, and 30 (3.2%) of 297 were positive for two or more autoantibodies. Our findings suggest pancreatitis may elicit islet autoimmunity in a subset of patients, necessitating prospective longitudinal follow-up.
Oral Indomethacin for Chronic Pancreatitis: Results From the PAIR Randomized Placebo-Controlled Trial
Vege, Santhi Swaroop , Hart, Phil A. , Saloman, Jami L. , Xu, Jun , Li, Liang , Cruz‐Monserrate, Zobeida , Palermo, Tonya M. , Yadav, Dhiraj , Topazian, Mark , Conwell, Darwin L. , Saloman, Jami L , Han, Samuel , Xu, Jun , Hill, Rachel, Hao, Wenrui

Clinical and Translational Gastroenterology | July 7, 2025 | Volume: 16 | Issue: 9 | Pages: e00888

10.14309/ctg.0000000000000888 Get It

INTRODUCTION: Chronic pancreatitis (CP) remains difficult to manage with few treatment options. Prior studies have implicated prostaglandin E 2 (PGE 2 ) in mediating chronic inflammation in the pancreas. Therefore, we aimed to evaluate whether indomethacin, a cyclooxygenase-2 enzyme inhibitor, would reduce PGE 2 levels in CP. METHODS: In this pilot multicenter randomized controlled trial, participants with CP received oral indomethacin (50 mg) or placebo twice daily for 28 days. Measurement of PGE 2 levels in pancreatic fluid collected endoscopically after secretin administration at baseline and posttreatment (day 28) was performed. Quality of life and pain were also assessed at baseline and posttreatment. RESULTS: A total of 27 participants were randomized (indomethacin = 13, placebo = 14). Although PGE 2 levels decreased after treatment in pancreas fluid, plasma, and saliva in the indomethacin group, there was no significant difference in mean change in pancreas fluid PGE 2 levels between the indomethacin and placebo groups (−457.7 pg/mL vs −840.4 pg/mL, P = 0.25). There was also no significant change in pain severity composite score (−1.3 indomethacin vs −0.5 placebo, P = 0.33), but the improvement in pain interference score (−2.9 indomethacin vs −0.4, P = 0.058) trended toward significance. There was no difference in adverse events between the 2 groups. DISCUSSION: In this phase 1/2 study, oral indomethacin was safe and well tolerated by patients with CP. Although there was no significant difference in change in PGE 2 levels, further studies are needed to determine the effect of indomethacin on the inflammatory pathway of CP and patient-centered outcomes.
Prevalence and Patterns of Opioid Use in Chronic Pancreatitis
Phillips, Anna Evans , Conwell, Darwin L. , Li, Shuang , Saloman, Jami L. , Hart, Phil A. , Fogel, Evan L. , Vege, Santhi Swaroop, Andersen, Dana K. , Fisher, William E., Forsmark, Christopher E., Park, Walter G. , Topazian, Mark , Yadav, Dhiraj , Saloman, Jami L , Vege, Santhi Swaroop , Pandol, Stephen J. , Van Den Eeden, Stephen K , Serrano, José , Li, Liang

Clinical and Translational Gastroenterology | February 5, 2025 | Volume: 16 | Issue: 5 | Pages: e00807

10.14309/ctg.0000000000000807 Get It

INTRODUCTION: Opioids are used to treat pain in chronic pancreatitis (CP), but little is known about current use patterns. The aim of this study was to characterize the utilization of opioids and associations with clinical characteristics in adult patients with CP. METHODS: This cross-sectional analysis used baseline data from participants with definite CP enrolled in a cohort study in the United States (PROspective Evaluation of CP for EpidEmiologic and Translational StuDies). Data on demographics, pain medication use, healthcare utilization, disability, and pain patterns were systematically collected in case report forms while quality of life was assessed with patient-reported outcome instruments. Opioid use was classified according to strength (weak or strong) and frequency (scheduled or as-needed). RESULTS: A total of 681 participants (n = 364, 53% male) were included: 299 (44%) were current opioid users (22% only weak opioids and 22% at least 1 strong opioid). Increasing frequency and severity of pain was associated with increase of weak, strong, as-needed, or scheduled opioids. Neuromodulators were used by ∼40% of participants; increasing use was associated with increasing frequency and severity of pain. On multivariate analysis, independent predictors associated with strength and frequency of current opioid use were pain patterns (odds ratios [ORs] 1.84–8.32 and ORs 1.92–8.52, respectively, P < 0.001) and prior celiac plexus block (OR 3.54, 95% confidence intervals 1.82–6.87 and OR 3.42, 95% confidence intervals 1.76–6.64, respectively). Participants using opioids had higher prevalence of disability, healthcare utilization, and poorer quality of life. DISCUSSION: Opioid use in CP is common and associated with increased pain severity and constancy. These data provide foundational estimates for future trials that can elucidate the complex interactions between patient factors, pain, and interventions.
Association of Serum Endocannabinoid Levels with Pancreatitis and Pancreatitis-Related Pain
Goodman, Marc T. , Lombardi, Christina , Torrens, Alexa , Saloman, Jami L. , Yang, Yunlong, Fisher, William E., Fogel, Evan L. , Forsmark, Christopher E. , Conwell, Darwin L. , Hart, Phil A. , Park, Walter G. , Topazian, Mark, Vege, Santhi Swaroop , Andersen, Dana K. , Yadav, Dhiraj , Goodman, Marc T , Vege, Santhi S, Saloman, Jami L , Bresee, Catherine J. , Li, Liang , Forsmark, Chris E. , Conwell, Darwin L. , Van Den Eeden, Stephen K , Bellin, Melena D. , Serrano, José , Pandol, Stephen J. , Piomelli, Daniele

Cannabis & Cannabinoid Research | September 18, 2024 | Volume: 10 | Issue: 1 | Pages: 60-70

10.1089/can.2024.0079 Get It

Background and Aims: This investigation examined the association of pancreatitis and pancreatitis-related pain with serum levels of two endocannabinoid molecules such as anandamide (AEA) and 2-arachidonoylglycerol (2-AG) and two paracannabinoid molecules such as oleoylethanolamide (OEA) and palmitoylethanolamide (PEA). Methods: A case–control study was conducted within the Prospective Evaluation of Chronic Pancreatitis for Epidemiological and Translational Studies, including participants with no pancreas disease ( N = 56), chronic abdominal pain of suspected pancreatic origin or indeterminate chronic pancreatitis (CP) ( N = 22), acute pancreatitis ( N = 33), recurrent acute pancreatitis ( N = 57), and definite CP ( N = 63). Results: Circulating AEA concentrations were higher in women than in men ( p = 0.0499), and PEA concentrations were higher in obese participants than those who were underweight/normal or overweight ( p = 0.003). Asymptomatic controls with no pancreatic disease had significantly ( p = 0.03) lower concentrations of AEA compared with all disease groups combined. The highest concentrations of AEA were observed in participants with acute pancreatitis, followed by those with recurrent acute pancreatitis, chronic abdominal pain/indeterminant CP, and definite CP. Participants with pancreatitis reporting abdominal pain in the past year had significantly ( p = 0.04) higher concentrations of AEA compared with asymptomatic controls. Levels of 2-AG were significantly lower ( p = 0.02) among participants reporting abdominal pain in the past week, and pain intensity was inversely associated with concentrations of 2-AG and OEA. Conclusions: Endocannabinoid levels may be associated with stage of pancreatitis, perhaps through activation of the CB1 receptor. Validation of our findings would support the investigation of novel therapeutics, including cannabinoid receptor-1 antagonists, in this patient population.
Multiparametric MRI Scoring System of the Pancreas for the Diagnosis of Chronic Pancreatitis
Tirkes, Temel , Yadav, Dhiraj , Conwell, Darwin L. , Zhao, Xuandong, Dasyam, Anil K. , Halappa, Vivek Gowdra, Patel, Aashish, Shah, Zarine K. , Swensson, Jordan , Takahashi, Naoki , Wachsman, Ashley, Yang, Yunlong, Hart, Phil A. , Park, Walter G. , Vege, Santhi Swaroop , Topazian, Mark , Territo, Paul R. , Persohn, Scott A., Andersen, Dana K. , Fogel, Evan L. , Venkatesh, Sudhakar K , Takahashi, Naoki , Dasyam, Anil K , Venkatesh, Sudhakar K. , Li, Liang , Jennings, Kristofer , Pandol, Stephen J.

Journal of Magnetic Resonance Imaging | September 3, 2024 | Volume: 61 | Issue: 5 | Pages: 2183-2194

10.1002/jmri.29594 Get It

BackgroundDuctal features alone may not offer high diagnostic sensitivity or most accurate disease severity of chronic pancreatitis (CP).PurposeDiagnose CP based on multiparametric MRI and MRCP features.Study TypeProspective.PopulationBetween February 2019 and May 2021, 46 control (23 males, 49.3 ± 14.1 years), 45 suspected (20 males, 48.7 ± 12.5 years), and 46 definite (20 males, 53.7 ± 14.6 years) CP patients were enrolled at seven hospitals enrolled in the MINIMAP study. CP classification was based on imaging findings and clinical presentation.Field Strength and Sequences1.5 T. T1‐weighted (T1W) spoiled gradient echo, T1 map with variable flip angle, dual‐echo Dixon, secretin‐enhanced MRCP before and after secretin infusion.AssessmentDual‐echo fat fraction (FF), T1 relaxation time, extracellular volume (ECV), T1 signal intensity ratio of the pancreas to the spleen (T1 score), arterial‐to‐venous enhancement ratio (AVR), pancreatic tail diameter (PTD), pancreas volume, late gadolinium enhancement, pancreatic ductal elasticity (PDE), and duodenal filling grade of secretin‐enhanced MRCP were measured.Statistical TestsLogistic regression analysis generated CP‐MRI and secretin‐enhanced CP‐SMRI scores. Receiver operating characteristics analysis was used to differentiate definite CP from control. Interobserver agreement was assessed using Lin's concordance correlation coefficient.ResultsCompared to control, definite CP cohort showed significantly higher dual‐echo FF (7% vs. 11%), lower AVR (1.35 vs. 0.85), smaller PTD (2.5 cm vs. 1.95 cm), higher ECV (28% vs. 38%), and higher incidence of PDE loss (6.5% vs. 50%). With the cut‐off of >2.5 CP‐MRI score (dual‐echo FF, AVR, and PTD) and CP‐SMRI score (dual‐echo FF, AVR, PTD, and PDE) had cross‐validated area under the curves of 0.84 (sensitivity 87%, specificity 68%) and 0.86 (sensitivity 89%, specificity 67%), respectively. Interobserver agreement for both CP‐MRI and CP‐SMRI scores was 0.74.ConclusionThe CP‐MRI and CP‐SMRI scores yielded acceptable performance and interobserver agreement for the diagnosis of CP.Evidence Level1Technical EfficacyStage 2
Evaluation of Chronic Pancreatitis Prognosis Score in an American Cohort
Conwell, Darwin L. , Hart, Phil A. , Li, Shuang , Stello, Kimberly, Fogel, Evan L. , Fisher, William E., Forsmark, Christopher E., Park, Walter G. , Topazian, Mark , Vege, Santhi Swaroop , Yadav, Dhiraj , Saloman, Jami L. , Saloman, Jami L , Park, Soo Kyoung , Pandol, Stephen J. , Serrano, Jose, Van Den Eeden, Stephen K , Liang, Li

Clinical and Translational Gastroenterology | August 13, 2024 | Volume: 15 | Issue: 11 | Pages: e00758

10.14309/ctg.0000000000000758 Get It

INTRODUCTION: Chronic Pancreatitis Prognosis Score (COPPS) was developed to discriminate disease severity and predict risk for future hospitalizations. In this cohort study, we evaluated if COPPS predicts the likelihood of hospitalization(s) in an American cohort. METHODS: The Chronic Pancreatitis, Diabetes, and Pancreatic Cancer consortium provided data and serum from subjects with chronic pancreatitis (N = 279). COPPS was calculated with baseline data and stratified by severity (low, moderate, and high). Primary endpoints included number and duration of hospitalizations during 12-month follow-up. RESULTS: The mean ± SD COPPS was 8.4 ± 1.6. COPPS correlated with all primary outcomes: hospitalizations for any reason (number: r = 0.15, P = 0.01; duration: r = 0.16, P = 0.01) and pancreas-related hospitalizations (number: r = 0.15, P = 0.02; duration: r = 0.13, P = 0.04). The severity distribution was 13.3% low, 66.0% moderate, and 20.8% high. 37.6% of subjects had ≥1 hospitalization(s) for any reason; 32.2% had ≥1 pancreas-related hospitalizations. All primary outcomes were significantly different between severity groups: hospitalizations for any reason (number, P = 0.004; duration, P = 0.007) and pancreas-related hospitalizations (number, P = 0.02; duration, P = 0.04). The prevalence of continued drinking at follow-up ( P = 0.04) was higher in the low and moderate groups. The prevalence of anxiety at enrollment ( P = 0.02) and follow-up ( P < 0.05) was higher in the moderate and high groups. DISCUSSION: Statistically, COPPS significantly correlated with hospitalization outcomes, but the correlations were weaker than in previous studies, which may be related to the outpatient nature of the PROspective Evaluation of Chronic Pancreatitis for EpidEmiologic and Translational StuDies cohort and lower prevalence of high severity disease. Studies in other prospective cohorts are needed to understand the full utility of COPPS as a potential tool for clinical risk assessment and intervention.