Abstract Purpose Validate the semiquantitative (SQ)-MRI score for chronic pancreatitis (CP) diagnosis in an independent, multicenter cohort. Methods We analyzed MRIs performed at baseline in 337 participants with acute (AP) or recurrent AP (RAP) and 67 with non-calcific chronic pancreatitis (NCCP) enrolled in the PROCEED study from 6/2017 to 3/2023. MRIs were performed at multiple clinical centers using site-specific clinical protocols and a variety of MRI vendors to evaluate the SQ-MRI score in a real-world setting. The SQ-MRI score was calculated using the T1 signal intensity ratio of the pancreas to the spleen (T1 score), arteriovenous enhancement ratio (AVR), and pancreatic body diameter (PBD). We adjusted for confounding by participant characteristics via propensity score weighting. Results Median AVR was higher in AP/RAP (1.18, IQR: 0.97–1.44) than in the NCCP group (1.03, IQR: 0.78–1.22, p = 0.007). Pancreatic body diameters were larger in AP/RAP than in the NCCP group − 7–14 mm (10% vs 25%), 14–20 mm (40% vs 54%), and > 20 mm (50% vs 21%), respectively ( p < 0.01). Median T1 score was higher in AP/RAP (1.18, IQR: 0.96–1.40) than in the NCCP group (1.04, IQR: 0.86–1.32, p = 0.10). Median SQ-MRI score in the AP/RAP group was significantly lower, 1.91 (IQR: 0.97, 2.95), than in the NCCP group, 2.74 (IQR: 2.04–4.03) ( p < 0.001). The propensity score-adjusted AUC for SQ-MRI to distinguish AP/RAP from NCCP was 0.64, which was higher than for individual parameters. Conclusion We have validated the SQ-MRI score in a multicenter cohort using an independent, real-world MRI dataset.
Adult Chronic Pancreatitis Working Group: Goals, Accomplishments and the Path Ahead. A Report From the Consortium for the Study of Chronic Pancreatitis, Diabetes, and Pancreatic Cancer
The adult chronic pancreatitis (CP) working group, formed at the inception of the Consortium for the Study of Chronic Pancreatitis, Diabetes, and Pancreatic Cancer (CPDPC), has developed a robust framework and infrastructure to conduct clinical, translational, and mechanistic studies of CP. At its core is PRO spective Evaluation of C hronic Pancreatitis for E pid E miologic and Translational Stu D ies (PROCEED), the first longitudinal cohort study of CP in US adults, launched in 2017. PROCEED has developed a well-annotated clinical data set of over 2000 deeply-phenotyped participants, a biorepository and an imaging repository. Investigators have published promising data on blood-based and imaging-based biomarkers of CP diagnosis and pain, which are awaiting validation. Clinical observations include classification of patients into mechanism-based pain phenotypes using responses to PROMIS questionnaires, prevalence and predictors of opioid use, prevalence of psychological comorbidity, and osteopathy in CP patients. Pilot clinical trials have evaluated the effect of oral indomethacin on pancreatic fluid prostaglandin E2 levels and Internet-based cognitive behavioral therapy (CBT) for chronic pain. Results of pilot trials have led to an ongoing definitive randomized clinical trial for CBT. The rich environment and resources have facilitated mentorship and academic development of many early-stage investigators. Investigators outside of the consortium have opportunities for collaboration. In the next 5 years, the working group plans to further strengthen the research platform, complete primary and key secondary analyses of PROCEED and ancillary studies, continue efforts to develop biomarkers for diagnosis and prognosis of CP, and complete ongoing clinical trials to address unanswered questions in the field.
Whole Metagenomic Profiling Identifies a Gut Microbial Signature for Chronic Pancreatitis via Machine Learning
Background: Pancreatitis significantly alters the microbial composition of the oral and intestinal compartments, causing dysbiosis that may contribute to disease mechanisms and potentially serve as a basis for diagnosis or treatment. Objective: To determine whether the oral or gut microbial signature can classify chronic pancreatitis (CP). Methods: Stool samples (n=707) were collected from participants in the Prospective Evaluation of Chronic Pancreatitis for Epidemiologic and Translational Studies (PROCEED). Samples were distributed among 200 healthy (HC), 310 CP, 49 acute pancreatitis (AP), and 148 recurrent acute pancreatitis (RAP). In addition, saliva samples were collected for a subset of participants (n=156). Whole genome sequencing was performed to assess microbiome composition. Machine learning algorithms were utilized to identify a signature with microbial features predictive of CP. Results: Gut alpha diversity was significantly decreased in AP, RAP, and CP compared with HC, with CP exhibiting the lowest diversity. In contrast, oral microbial diversity showed no significant variation across groups. Beta diversity analysis revealed distinct gut microbiome compositions between HC and pancreatitis subtypes, with CP showing the most pronounced differences. Random forest models using gut microbial species demonstrated robust predictive performance for CP using a minimum of 10 species (Area under the curve—AUC: 0.834; accuracy: 0.774). Despite similarities in gut microbiome composition across pancreatitis subtypes, a unique gut microbial signature for CP was identified highlighting the microbiome’s potential in CP diagnosis. Conclusion: Our study reveals a gut microbial signature predictive of CP using machine learning models in a large US multi-institutional cohort.
Comprehensive Assessment of Direct and Passive Smoking Across the Pancreatitis Spectrum
Objectives: Smoking is a key risk factor for pancreatitis, contributing to pathogenesis and disease progression. Data regarding second-hand smoking, or passive smoking (PS) exposure, are lacking. We therefore aimed to assess the impact of PS exposure across the pancreatitis spectrum. Methods: We analyzed baseline data from the PROCEED study, a multicenter study in the United States including patients with acute (AP), recurrent acute (RAP), and chronic (CP) pancreatitis. Participants detailed their individual smoking history and PS exposure, which was compared between AP, RAP, and CP subgroups. Participant factors and clinical characteristics were compared by level of individual and PS exposure. Results: Among 1369 participants (190 AP, 498 RAP, 681 CP), 346 (25.3%) were current and 409 (29.9%) were former smokers. The CP subgroup had the highest proportion of current smokers (36.7% CP vs 15.1% RAP, 11.1% AP, P < 0.001). PS exposure was also significantly higher in the CP subgroup (68.6% CP vs 58.2% RAP, 55.3% AP, P < 0.001). A minority (16.3%) with CP reported no smoking exposure (by self or passive) while nearly half smoked ≥20 pack-years. The mean PS duration was significantly higher in CP participants (21.8 y) compared with those with AP (17.8 y) or RAP (18.9 y) ( P < 0.0166). Conclusions: In this multicenter study, we affirmed an association with smoking use and intensity with CP-related complications. For the first time, we report a high prevalence of prior exposure to passive smoking in all pancreatitis subtypes, which requires further study to understand the impact on disease outcomes.
Participant Retention in a Prospective Multicenter Cohort of Participants With Pancreatitis and Factors Associated With Attrition
Objectives: Participant retention is essential in prospective studies to minimize bias and maintain validity. This study aimed to estimate retention rates and identify factors influencing attrition in a multicenter cohort (PROCEED) of US adults with acute/recurrent acute pancreatitis (AP/RAP) and chronic pancreatitis (CP). Methods: Participants from the PROCEED study with AP/RAP or CP eligible for follow-up within the designated visit window were included. Retention was defined as completing at least one follow-up visit during the observation period. Retention was analyzed by follow-up mode (in-person and/or medical record review) and disease type (AP/RAP and CP). Retention factors were assessed using univariate analyses (Wilcoxon rank-sum for continuous variables, χ 2 /Fisher's exact for categorical) and multivariable logistic regression. Missing data were adjusted using multiple imputations in statistical modeling. Results: Among 1279 participants (AP/RAP: n=632, median age 47, 48.9% female; CP: n=647, median age 54, 46.5% female), we observed high cumulative and annualized retention rates, with improved retention when incorporating medical record reviews. In multivariable regression analyses, older age was statistically significantly associated with in-person retention in the AP/RAP group ( P =0.0001), while a higher self-reported physical health (assessed with PROMIS Global Health Physical Health T-score) was a key predictor of retention in CP ( P =0.034). Conclusions: Integrating medical records review substantially enhanced retention rates, enabling robust analyses of pancreatitis outcomes and disease progression. Older age and better self-reported physical health were key predictors of retention, highlighting the need for targeted strategies to enhance engagement among younger participants and those with poorer health in long-term studies.