Objectives: Smoking is a key risk factor for pancreatitis, contributing to pathogenesis and disease progression. Data regarding second-hand smoking, or passive smoking (PS) exposure, are lacking. We therefore aimed to assess the impact of PS exposure across the pancreatitis spectrum. Methods: We analyzed baseline data from the PROCEED study, a multicenter study in the United States including patients with acute (AP), recurrent acute (RAP), and chronic (CP) pancreatitis. Participants detailed their individual smoking history and PS exposure, which was compared between AP, RAP, and CP subgroups. Participant factors and clinical characteristics were compared by level of individual and PS exposure. Results: Among 1369 participants (190 AP, 498 RAP, 681 CP), 346 (25.3%) were current and 409 (29.9%) were former smokers. The CP subgroup had the highest proportion of current smokers (36.7% CP vs 15.1% RAP, 11.1% AP, P < 0.001). PS exposure was also significantly higher in the CP subgroup (68.6% CP vs 58.2% RAP, 55.3% AP, P < 0.001). A minority (16.3%) with CP reported no smoking exposure (by self or passive) while nearly half smoked ≥20 pack-years. The mean PS duration was significantly higher in CP participants (21.8 y) compared with those with AP (17.8 y) or RAP (18.9 y) ( P < 0.0166). Conclusions: In this multicenter study, we affirmed an association with smoking use and intensity with CP-related complications. For the first time, we report a high prevalence of prior exposure to passive smoking in all pancreatitis subtypes, which requires further study to understand the impact on disease outcomes.
Multiple substance use and the risk of pancreatitis: a systematic review
Background: The impact of multiple substance use on the risk of pancreatitis remains underexplored. Objective: To systematically review peer-reviewed observational studies assessing the association of multiple substance use with the risk of acute pancreatitis (AP) or chronic pancreatitis (CP) in adults. Design: We conducted a systematic review informed by the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-Analyses guideline. Data sources and methods: EMBASE, MEDLINE, and PsycINFO were searched up to March 2024. Reference lists of included studies were reviewed. From 5205 records identified, 181 relevant records were evaluated in full text. Studies evaluating the association of ⩾2 substances, including tobacco, alcohol, cannabis, and illicit substances, with AP or CP were included. Data were extracted by one reviewer, with quality control by a second reviewer. Quality assessments were independently conducted by two reviewers, with differences resolved by a third. Results: Of 11 included studies, 6 investigated AP as the outcome and 5 examined CP. Among AP studies, 5 comparing smoking and alcohol to alcohol-only use showed high heterogeneity ( I 2 = 90.9%), with relative risks (RRs) from 1.40 to 11.40. One study examining cannabis and alcohol versus alcohol found a lower risk of AP in cannabis users. Among CP studies, four comparing smoking and alcohol to alcohol-only use were heterogeneous ( I 2 = 81%) with odds ratios 1.21–31.50. Where examined, smoking increases the risk of AP and CP in a dose-dependent fashion. Heavy alcohol users demonstrated a significant increase in CP risk across all smoking categories in one study. Conclusion: Combined alcohol and tobacco use increases pancreatitis risk compared to single substance use, despite heterogeneity in RRs and exposure definitions. Evidence suggests a dose-dependent impact of smoking on pancreatitis risk when added to alcohol. Studies on the impact of a combination of other substance use on pancreatitis risk are needed. Trial registration (PROSPERO): CRD42024503677.
Development of a Clinical Prediction Model for Diabetes in Chronic Pancreatitis: The PREDICT3c Study
OBJECTIVE Diabetes that arises from chronic pancreatitis (CP) is associated with increased morbidity and mortality. Methods to predict which patients with CP are at greatest risk for diabetes are urgently needed. We aimed to examine independent risk factors for diabetes in a large cohort of patients with CP. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS This cross-sectional study comprised 645 individuals with CP enrolled in the PROCEED study, of whom 276 had diabetes. We conducted univariable and multivariable regression analyses of potential risk factors for diabetes. Model performance was assessed by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) analysis, and accuracy was evaluated by cross validation. Exploratory analyses were stratified according to the timing of development of diabetes relative to the diagnosis of pancreatitis. RESULTS Independent correlates of diabetes in CP included risk factors for type 2 diabetes (older age, overweight/obese status, male sex, non-White race, tobacco use) as well as pancreatic disease–related factors (history of acute pancreatitis complications, nonalcoholic etiology of CP, exocrine pancreatic dysfunction, pancreatic calcification, pancreatic atrophy) (AUROC 0.745). Type 2 diabetes risk factors were predominant for diabetes occurring before pancreatitis, and pancreatic disease–related factors were predominant for diabetes occurring after pancreatitis. CONCLUSIONS Multiple factors are associated with diabetes in CP, including canonical risk factors for type 2 diabetes and features associated with pancreatitis severity. This study lays the groundwork for the future development of models integrating clinical and nonclinical data to identify patients with CP at risk for diabetes and identifies modifiable risk factors (obesity, smoking) on which to focus for diabetes prevention.
PROspective Evaluation of Chronic Pancreatitis for EpidEmiologic and Translational StuDies
Abstract Prospective Evaluation of Chronic Pancreatitis for Epidemiologic and Translational Studies (PROCEED) is the first prospective, observational cohort study of chronic pancreatitis (CP) in the United States. The primary goals of PROCEED are to define disease progression, test the predictive capability of candidate biomarkers, and develop a platform to conduct translational and mechanistic studies in CP. Using objective and consensus-driven criteria, PROCEED will enroll adults at different stages of CP—controls, suspected CP, and definite CP. In addition to collecting detailed information using structured case report forms and protocol-mandated evaluations at baseline and during follow-up, PROCEED will establish a linked biorepository of blood, urine, saliva, stool, pancreatic fluid, and pancreatic tissue. Enrollment for PROCEED began in June 2017. As of July 1, 2018, nine clinical centers of the Consortium for the Study of Chronic Pancreatitis, Diabetes, and Pancreatic Cancer are enrolling, and 350 subjects have completed baseline evaluation. In conclusion, PROCEED will provide the most accurate and reliable estimates to date on progression of CP. The established cohort and biorepository will facilitate numerous analyses, leading to new strategies for diagnosis, methods to monitor disease progression, and treatment of CP.