Nimeiri, Halla

Abstract Purpose: Circulating tumor fraction estimate (ctFE) is a machine learning–derived composite metric of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) burden. We hypothesized that pre-treatment and early on-treatment ctFE could robustly risk-stratify patients with locally advanced (LA) and oligometastatic non–small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) treated with radiotherapy (RT). Experimental Design: In a prospective phase II clinical trial (NCT03916419), 26 patients with unresectable stage IIB to IIIC NSCLC received magnetic resonance (MR)-guided hypofractionated chemoradiotherapy (chemoRT) followed by immunotherapy. Plasma ctDNA was profiled at baseline and mid-treatment (days 10–14) to derive ctFE and maximum variant allele frequency (Max VAF). A burden-based ctFE threshold derived from baseline samples was applied unchanged to mid-treatment samples and validated in two external cohorts: LA NSCLC treated with chemoRT (LA-RW; n = 94) and oligometastatic NSCLC treated with RT (OM-RW; n = 309). Results: Pre- and mid-treatment ctFE burden strongly stratified overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS), outperforming Max VAF and ctFE detectability. The baseline ctFE was prognostic for OS (HR 5.93, P = 0.005) and PFS (HR 11.08, P < 0.001) and remained significant at mid-treatment (OS: HR 7.08; PFS: HR 12.06; both P < 0.001). Early ctFE dynamics defined three molecular response groups with OS separation (median OS 60.8 vs. 13.0 vs. 2.9 months; P < 0.001). ctFE remained associated with survival in both validation cohorts. Conclusions: Early ctFE derived from a clinically available, tumor-naïve ctDNA assay enables noninvasive risk stratification in LA and oligometastatic NSCLC treated with RT, supporting its use as a practical biomarker for precision treatment adaptation.

2558 Background: Clinical validation studies have shown that early dynamic changes in circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) tumor fraction (TF) can predict clinical outcomes. Yet few studies have evaluated the clinical value of longitudinal monitoring throughout the course of treatment. Here we evaluate longitudinal changes in ctDNA TF and clinical outcomes in an advanced real-world pan-cancer cohort of patients (pts) treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs). Methods: The cohort included deidentified pts from the Tempus clinicogenomic database with stage IIIB or IV solid tumors who underwent ctDNA NGS and were treated with an FDA-approved ICI +/- chemotherapy (CT). Pts had a pre-treatment baseline liquid biopsy (T0) and ≥1 on-treatment sample Ti within 21-180 days of ICI. xM for treatment response monitoring estimates TF via an ensemble algorithm that incorporates variant and copy number information. Response status was determined at each on-treatment timepoint Ti relative to T0. Pts were classified as a Molecular Responder (MR) if TF < 1% at T0 and Ti or if TF decreased by ≥ 50% from T0 to Ti; otherwise, they were classified as a Molecular Non-Responder (nMR). Pts with TF < 0.09% at T0 and Ti were classified as ctDNA not detected. The longitudinal cohort included pts with ≥2 on-treatment timepoints, further classified based on the most frequent classification across each Ti as longitudinal MR, longitudinal nMR and longitudinal ctDNA not detected. If no classification was dominant, the most recent classification was used. Real-world overall survival (rwOS) was defined from T1 to death and assessed by log-rank test. Results: The full cohort of 84 pts with > 10 solid tumors included 34.5% (n = 29) NSCLC and 16.7% (n = 14) SCLC. The majority of pts (59.5%, n = 50) received ICI+CT, (64.0% first-line [1L]), and 40.5% (n = 34) ICI-only (35.3% 1L). rwOS was longer for 53 MRs vs. 18 nMRs (median not reached vs. 7.0 months, P < 0.005); 13 pts had no ctDNA detected. The longitudinal subcohort of 35 pts was 31.4% (n = 11) NSCLC, 20.0% (n = 7) prostate cancer, and 14.3% (n = 5) SCLC; 45.7% (n = 16) ICI+CT (56.3% 1L), 54.3% (n = 19) ICI-only (31.6% 1L). On average, pts had 3 on-treatment liquid biopsies, with a median time between on-treatment samples of 91 days. Twelve pts were longitudinal nMRs (10 MR or ctDNA not detected at T1), 18 longitudinal MRs, and 5 longitudinal no ctDNA detected. There were 6 death events in the longitudinal nMRs, 3 in the longitudinal MRs (all > 18 months after T1), and no death events in the longitudinal no ctDNA detected group. Longitudinal MRs had longer rwOS than longitudinal nMRs (median 37.4 months vs 8.7 months, P < 0.005). Conclusions: Longitudinal nMR was associated with worse survival compared to longitudinal MR. Longitudinal, molecular biomarker dynamics may be a useful clinical treatment decision tool for monitoring treatment response to ICI therapy.

e14711 Background: Postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy has been historically limited to single agent 5FU in stage II/III rectal cancer pts. This phase III trial evaluated differences between pts treated with adjuvant FOLFOX versus FOLFIRI versus FU alone in stage II/III rectal cancer. Methods: Eligibility: resectable (T3-4 N0,Tany N1-3) adenocarcinoma rectum ≤12cm from anal verge. Pts had the option to receive FU with pre or postoperative XRT (50.4Gy). Preoperative FU/XRT pts were randomized to adjuvant FOLFIRI (arm A), FOLFOX (arm B), FU/LV(arm C). Postoperative FU/XRT pts were randomized to adjuvant FOLFIRI (arm D), FOLFOX (arm E), FU/LV (arm F). Pts received 8 cycles. Overall survival (OS) was the primary endpoint. Secondary endpoints included toxicity, sphincter preservation and patterns of failure. Results: 225pts out of planned 3150 were enrolled (10/03 to 10/05). Data Monitoring Committee closed E3201 when the GI Intergroup developed an alternative trial with bevacizumab (E5204). 179 pts were randomized; (A:28, B:25, C:30, D:31, E:33, F:32). There was increased grade 3/4 toxicity, mainly diarrhea,in postoperative FU/XRT arms (D:39%), (E:28%), (F:48%). Twenty-two (12%) pts did not receive adjuvant therapy. At a median follow up of 7.4yrs, the five-year recurrence free rate was 69%. Median OS was 8.3 yrs. There was no statistical difference in OS between all randomized groups. Five-year OS in arms (A:B:C:D:E:F) were (73%, 83%, 83%, 73%, 78%, 73%) respectively. Conclusions: FOLFOX can be safely administered to rectal cancer pts following chemo radiation. Given limitations of early trial closure and small sample size, there was no difference in OS between pts who received FU alone, oxaliplatin based or irinotecan based adjuvant therapy. Clinical trial information: NCT00068692.