Kors, Jan A.

Abstract Background Increased QRS voltages in athletes’ ECGs are attributed to electrophysiological cellular adaptations, complicating the detection of left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH). Conversely, higher extracellular volume (ECV), indicative of diffuse fibrosis, reduces QRS voltages – so-called ‘relative voltage deficiency’– and can mask true LVH on ECG. Purpose To investigate sex-specific associations between QRS voltages and myocardial ECV and assess the impact of ECV on false-positive and negative ECG-LVH detection in elite athletes. Methods We conducted a cross-sectional, sex-specific, contrast-enhanced CMR study in healthy, elite athletes with normal ECGs and no complete right bundle branch blocks. Myocardial ECV (%) was measured from pre- and post-contrast T1 mapping. LVH on CMR was defined as an indexed LVM >75 g/m² (men) or >59 g/m² (women). Primary analyses evaluated correlations between ECV, LVM, and summed 12-lead ECG voltages (including voltage/LVM to assess independence), as well as Sokolow-Lyon and Cornell voltages. Secondary multivariable logistic regression examined the association of ECV on false-positive and false-negative ECG-LVH rates using Sokolow-Lyon (≥3.5 mV) and sex-specific Cornell (≥2.8 mV in men; ≥2.3 mV in women) criteria for CMR-LVH. Results In 162 elite athletes (median age 25 years, 44% female, 45% endurance, 96% Caucasian), 23% met Sokolow-Lyon criteria, 6% met Cornell criteria, and 17% had LVH on CMR. The median myocardial ECV was 23% (range 19–31%), which was lower in male compared to female athletes (22% [Q1-Q3: 21–23%] vs 25% [23–26%]; p<0.001). In both sexes, summed 12-lead voltages were inversely correlated with ECV (ρ=–0.36 to –0.37; p=0.001), independent of LVM (voltage/LVM: ρ=–0.33; p=0.004). Only in female athletes did 12-lead voltages correlate with LVM (ρ=0.37; p=0.001). Logistic regression confirmed that lower ECV was associated with an increased likelihood of false-positive Sokolow-Lyon (OR: 0.64 per 1% ECV increment; p=0.011), independent of body mass index (OR: 0.77 per kg/m²; p=0.039) male sex (OR: 2.7; p=0.123) and age (OR: 0.93 per year; p=0.075; AUROC 0.82). Higher ECV conferred greater odds of a false-negative (OR 3.98 per %; p=0.041), though this was limited by small LVH-positive sample size. In Cornell-based models, lower ECV was not statistically significantly associated with increased false-positive rate (OR 0.59; p=0.059). Conclusion In elite athletes, lower ECV ("denser" myocardium) is associated with increased QRS voltages and higher false-positive ECG-LVH rate, particularly for Sokolow-Lyon, while higher ECV may dampen voltages and can mask true LVH on the ECG. Although sex-specific criteria partly mitigate ECV-related effects, these findings demonstrate inherent limitations of voltage-based LVH criteria in athletes. Unexpectedly low QRS voltages in athletes with otherwise high LVM may imply increased ECV, though further research is warranted.Figure:Likelihood of False Pos SL rate Table:Population characteristics

Background: Contemporary data on survival after incident acute coronary syndrome (ACS), including both myocardial infarction (MI) and unstable angina (UA), are limited. Objective: To describe survival after incident ACS, to determine if it differs by ACS type (MI or UA) and to determine whether it has improved over time. Methods: Olmsted County, MN residents hospitalized between 1/1/2005-12/31/2010 were screened for incident ACS. ACS was defined as either MI validated by standard epidemiological criteria or UA validated by the Braunwald classification. Patients were followed for death from any cause. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to determine whether survival differed by ACS type, while adjusting for year of diagnosis, age, sex and comorbidities. Results: Among 1,160 incident ACS cases (mean±SD age 66.9±14.8, 60% male), 35% were UA and 65% were MI. After a mean (SD) follow up of 3.7 (2.1) years, 274 deaths occurred. The 3-year Kaplan-Meier survival estimate for MI was 79.6% (95% CI: 76.7%-82.6%) and for UA was 84.9% (95% CI: 81.3%-88.6%) (log-rank p=0.011). The association of ACS type with survival differed by age (p=0.056). After adjustment for year of diagnosis, sex and comorbidities, no difference in survival was observed between ACS types among those aged <60 (HR for MI vs. UA: 0.64, 95% 0.29-1.42). By contrast, among patients aged 60-79, those with an MI had 2 times the risk of death compared to those with UA (HR: 2.04, 95% CI: 1.24-3.37). Patients aged 80 or older who had an MI had a 40% increased risk of death compared to patients of the same age who had UA (HR: 1.42, 95% CI: 1.02-1.98). There was no difference in survival over time (HR for 2010 vs. 2005: 0.91, 95% CI: 0.61-1.36). Conclusions: Survival did not differ between UA and MI patients younger than 60, however among patients 60 or older, survival was worse among those with an MI. Survival after ACS did not change over the study period.

Background— In 2000, the definition of myocardial infarction (MI) changed to rely on troponin rather than creatine kinase (CK) and its MB fraction (CK-MB). The implications of this change on trends in MI incidence and outcome are not defined. Methods and Results— This was a community study of 2816 patients hospitalized with incident MI from 1987 to 2006 in Olmsted County, Minnesota, with prospective measurements of troponin and CK-MB from August 2000 forward. Outcomes were MI incidence, severity, and survival. After troponin was introduced, 278 (25%) of 1127 incident MIs met only troponin-based criteria. When cases meeting only troponin criteria were included, incidence did not change between 1987 and 2006. When restricted to cases defined by CK/CK-MB, the incidence of MI declined by 20%. The incidence of non–ST-segment elevation MI increased markedly by relying on troponin, whereas that of ST-segment elevation MI declined regardless of troponin. The age- and sex-adjusted hazard ratio of death within 30 days for an infarction occurring in 2006 (compared with 1987) was 0.44 (95% confidence interval, 0.30 to 0.64). Among 30-day survivors, survival did not improve, but causes of death shifted from cardiovascular to noncardiovascular ( P =0.001). Trends in long-term survival among 30-day survivors were similar regardless of troponin. Conclusions— Over the last 2 decades, a substantial change in the epidemiology of MI occurred that was only partially mediated by the introduction of troponin. Non–ST-segment elevation MIs now constitute the majority of MIs. Although the 30-day case fatality improved markedly, long-term survival did not change, and the cause of death shifted from cardiovascular to noncardiovascular.

Background— Heart failure (HF) is a progressive disorder associated with frequent morbidity and mortality. An American Heart Association/American College of Cardiology staging classification of HF has been developed to emphasize early detection and prevention. The prevalence of HF stages and their association with mortality are unknown. We sought to estimate HF stage prevalence in the community and to measure the association of HF stages with mortality. Methods and Results— A population-based, cross-sectional, random sample of 2029 Olmsted County, Minnesota, residents aged ≥45 years was identified. Participants were classified by medical record review, symptom questionnaire, physical examination, and echocardiogram as follows: stage 0, healthy; stage A, HF risk factors; stage B, asymptomatic cardiac structural or functional abnormalities; stage C, HF symptoms; and stage D, severe HF. In the cohort, 32% were stage 0, 22% stage A, 34% stage B, 12% stage C, and 0.2% stage D. Mean B-type natriuretic peptide concentrations (in pg/mL) increased by stages: stage 0=26, stage A=32, stage B=53, stage C=137, and stage D=353. Survival at 5 years was 99% in stage 0, 97% in stage A, 96% in stage B, 75% in stage C, and 20% in stage D. Conclusions— The present study provides prevalence estimates and prognostic validation for HF staging in a community cohort. Of note, 56% of adults ≥45 years of age were classified as being in stage A (risk factors) or B (asymptomatic ventricular dysfunction). HF staging underscores the magnitude of the population at risk for progression to overt HF.

Background— The 2000 European Society of Cardiology/American College of Cardiology definition for myocardial infarction (MI) combines ischemic symptoms, electrocardiographic changes, and troponin rather than creatine kinase levels. The use of troponins will increase the detection of MI by a magnitude to be quantified, and the clinical acceptance of the new definition is unknown. Method and Results— Subjects presenting to an Olmsted County facility with a troponin T value ≥0.03 ng/mL between November 2002 and March 2005 were prospectively classified through the use of standardized MI criteria, relying on cardiac pain, Minnesota coding of the ECG, and troponin, creatine kinase, and its MB fraction measured simultaneously. Through the use of dynamic changes in troponin, 538 MIs were identified versus 327 with creatine kinase and 427 with only the MB fraction of creatine kinase. This represents a 74% (95% confidence interval [CI], 69% to 79%) increase above the number of MIs identified with creatine kinase and a 41% (95% CI, 37% to 46%) increase above the number identified with criteria including only its MB fraction. When relying on single values of troponin, increases in the number of MIs were always large but varied widely according to the threshold used for troponin. Cases meeting only troponin-based criteria were less likely to have electrocardiographic ST-segment elevation and had better survival than those identified with previous criteria. Clinician diagnoses mentioned MI in 42% (95% CI, 34% to 49%) of cases meeting only troponin-based criteria versus 74% (95% CI, 69% to 78%) for MIs meeting the previous criteria ( P <0.001). Conclusions— The prospective application of the new criteria in the community results in a large increase in the number of MIs and a change in case mix. The clinical acceptance of the new criteria is incomplete, and studies that rely exclusively on dismissal diagnoses to assess MI rates may underestimate the burden of disease as presently defined.