Raghavan, Madhavan L.

Introduction: There is ongoing debate regarding the rupture risk of an unruptured intracranial aneurysm (UIA), and the predictors of rupture. Hypothesis: There are aneurysm morphology characteristics which predict rupture in patients with an UIA. The purpose of this analysis was to assess for such characteristics utilizing the International Study of Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysms (ISUIA) cohort. Methods: Patients were entered prospectively at 61 centers. Patients must have had at least one UIA, which may or may not have been symptomatic. Patients were followed for a median of 9 years and all potential hemorrhages were carefully adjudicated. A case-control design was used. The cases were 57 patients with aneurysmal rupture during followup for whom detailed radiology data were available from arteriography. Controls were 198 size- (+/- 2 mm maximum diameter) and location- (parent artery) matched patients without rupture during followup. Numerous aneurysm morphology characteristics were assessed on arteriogram review. Multivariable condition logistic regression modeling was performed. Results: A total of 57 cases and 198 controls were included. Most (76%) of the 255 cases were women, and 20% had a prior history of SAH from some other aneurysm. There were no differences between cases and controls in aneurysm maximum diameter, aneurysm location, patient age, gender, reason for presentation, or prior medical history. Multivariate analysis identified that only perpendicular height of the aneurysm--the measurement of the aneurysm height at a perpendicular to the center of the aneurysm neck to the aneurysm dome-was an independent predictor of aneurysm rupture. Aspect ratio, size ratio, parent vessel diameter, presence of daughter sac, and aneurysm angle were not independent predictors of rupture. Conclusions: After controlling for aneurysm size and location, the aneurysm perpendicular height remained a predictor of UIA rupture during long-term followup. The assessment of perpendicular height may be helpful in clinical practice, in addition to the other key predictors of UIA rupture, aneurysm maximum diameter and location. Further investigation into the use of perpendicular height as a predictor of rupture in patients with UIA is indicated.

OBJECTIVEAneurysm growth is considered predictive of future rupture of intracranial aneurysms. However, how accurately neuroradiologists can reliably detect incremental aneurysm growth using clinical MRI is still unknown. The purpose of this study was to assess the agreement rate of detecting aneurysm enlargement employing generally used MRI modalities.METHODSThree silicone flow phantom models, each with 8 aneurysms of various sizes at different sites, were used in this study. The aneurysm models were identical except for an incremental increase in the sizes of the 8 aneurysms, which ranged from 0.4 mm to 2 mm. The phantoms were imaged on 1.5-T and 3-T MRI units with both time-of-flight (TOF) and contrast-enhanced MR angiography. Three independent expert neuroradiologists measured the aneurysms in a blinded manner using different measurement approaches. The individual and agreement detection rates of aneurysm enlargement among the 3 experts were calculated.RESULTSThe mean detection rate of any increase in any aneurysmal dimension was 95.7%. The detection rates of the 3 observers (observers A, B, and C) were 98.0%, 96.6%, and 92.7%, respectively (p = 0.22). The detection rates of each MRI modality were 91.3% using 1.5-T TOF, 97.2% using 1.5-T with Gd, 95.8% using 3.0-T TOF, and 97.2% using 3.0-T with Gd (p = 0.31). On the other hand, the mean detection rate for aneurysm enlargement was 54.8%. Specifically, the detection rates of observers A, B, and C were 49.0%, 46.1%, and 66.7%, respectively (p = 0.009). As the incremental enlargement value increased, the detection rate for aneurysm enlargement increased. The use of 1.5-T Gd improved the detection rate for small incremental enlargement (e.g., 0.4–1 mm) of the aneurysm (p = 0.04). The location of the aneurysm also affected the detection rate for aneurysm enlargement (p < 0.0001).CONCLUSIONSThe detection rate and interobserver agreement were very high for aneurysm enlargement of 0.4–2 mm. The detection rate for at least 1 increase in any aneurysm dimension did not depend on the choice of MRI modality or measurement protocol. Use of Gd improved the accuracy of measurement. Aneurysm location may influence the accuracy of detecting enlargement.

Abstract BACKGROUND There are conflicting data between natural history studies suggesting a very low risk of rupture for small, unruptured intracranial aneurysms and retrospective studies that have identified a much higher frequency of small, ruptured aneurysms than expected. OBJECTIVE To use the prospective International Study of Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysms cohort to identify morphological characteristics predictive of unruptured intracranial aneurysm rupture. METHODS A case-control design was used to analyze morphological characteristics associated with aneurysm rupture in the International Study of Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysms database. Fifty-seven patients with ruptured aneurysms during follow-up were matched (by size and location) with 198 patients with unruptured intracranial aneurysms without rupture during follow-up. Twelve morphological metrics were measured from cerebral angiograms in a blinded fashion. RESULTS Perpendicular height ( P = .008) and size ratio (ratio of maximum diameter to the parent vessel diameter; P = .01) were predictors of aneurysm rupture on univariate analysis. Aspect ratio, daughter sacs, multiple lobes, aneurysm angle, neck diameter, parent vessel diameter, and calculated aneurysm volume were not statistically significant predictors of rupture. On multivariate analysis, perpendicular height was the only significant predictor of rupture (Chi-square 7.1, P -value .008). CONCLUSION This study underscores the importance of other morphological factors, such as perpendicular height and size ratio, that may influence unruptured intracranial aneurysm rupture risk in addition to greatest diameter and anterior vs posterior location.