Mannarelli, Carmela

Abstract Background: Thrombosis is the main cause of morbidity and mortality in pts with Polycythemia Vera (PV). Current risk stratification is based on 2 variables: age >60y and history of thrombosis. Additional thrombotic risk factors in PV are generic cardiovascular risk factors and leukocytosis. JAK2V617F (JAK2VF) variant allele frequency (VAF) at diagnosis is highly heterogeneous. A VAF>75% was associated with higher rate of all thrombosis after diagnosis (Vannucchi AM et al, Leukemia 2007), and a VAF ≥ 60% correlated with increased rate of venous thrombosis (VT) in high-risk pts (Guglielmelli P et al, ASH 2018); however, predictive role of JAK2VF VAF is still debated. Aim: To evaluate the impact of JAK2VF VAF on rate of arterial and venous thrombosis in PV pts. Patients and methods: A cohort of 576 strictly 2016 WHO-defined PV pts followed at Univ. of Florence (1981-2020) were included. All pts were annotated for JAK2VF VAF, determined <3 years from diagnosis, and thrombosis at diagnosis and follow-up (FU). Arterial thromboses (AT) included stroke, transient ischemic attacks, retinal artery occlusion, coronary artery disease, and peripheral arterial disease; VT included cerebral venous thrombosis, deep vein thrombosis, pulmonary embolism. Splanchnic vein thromboses (SVT) were excluded. Only first occurring event was considered. Cox proportional hazard regression model was used for univariate and multivariable analysis. Kaplan-Meier (KM) analysis was used for time-to-event assessment, compared by log-rank test. Results: Median age was 61.4 y (range, 16.2-91.8), 58.2% were male; 62% were high-risk based on current classification. Median JAK2VF VAF was 41.5% (range, 0.3-100). A total of 76 (13.2%) pts had an AT event before/at PV diagnosis and 49 (8.5%) pts had an AT during FU. As regards VT, 64 (11.1%) and 39 (6.8%) pts had a VT before/at or after PV diagnosis, respectively. We found that JAK2 VAF as a continue variable was correlated with the risk of VT in FU (p=0.003) but not with AT (p=0.8). ROC analysis to determine the best cut-off level for JAK2 VAF predicting VT had an AUC of 0.72 and a best cut-off value of VAF=50%. VT at FU were significantly enriched in pts with VAF >50%: 14.5% versus 2.4%, p=<0.0001. VT -free survival (VT-FS) by KM was significantly shorter in the presence of a JAK2 VAF >50% (HR 4, CI 1.9-8.6, p<0.0001) (Figure 1A), whereas no difference was found for AT (HR 0.9). In addition to JAK2VF VAF>50%, univariate analysis for VT-FS identified history of VT (HR 2.9; CI 1.4-6.1, p=0.006), leukocytosis ≥11x10 9/L (HR 1.9; CI 1.1-3.4, p=0.02) and palpable splenomegaly (HR 1.9, CI 1-3.6; p=0.04) as risk factors. Multivariable analysis confirmed VAF>50% (HR 3.8, CI 1.8-8.1, p=0.0006) and previous VT (HR 2.4, CI 1.1-5.1; p=0.02) as independent risk factors for future VT. In contrast, univariate analysis for AT-free survival (AT-FS) identified history of AT (HR 2.5; CI 1.3-4.9, p=0.007), diabetes (HR 3.3; CI 1.6-6.5, p=0.0007), hyperlipidemia (HR 3.1; CI 1.7-5.6, p=0.0003) and hypertension (HR 2, CI 1.1-3.8; p=0.03) as predictors of future AT; age >60y showed only a trend (p=0.08). Multivariable analysis for AT-FS identified diabetes (HR 2.4, CI 1.2-5; p=0.02), hyperlipidemia (HR 2.3; CI 1.2-4.3, p=0.01) and previous AT (HR 2.1, CI 1-4.2; p=0.04) as independent predictors of future AT. Validation: Our findings were validated in an independent cohort of 315 2016-WHO defined PV pts from Policlinico Gemelli, Catholic Univ., Rome. After exclusion of 26 pts with SVT, analysis was conducted on 289 pts, 38 of them with thrombosis as heralding event (21 AT and 17 VT). Multivariable analysis confirmed JAK2VF VAF >50% (HR 2.3, CI 1.03-5.0, p=0.04) and previous VT (HR 4.5, CI 2.0-10.1; p=0.0003) as independent risk factors for future VT. In pts with VAF >50%, the rate of VT at FU was 19.9% vs 7.7%, P=0.005. KM curve showed that VT-FS was significantly shorter in pts with a JAK2VF VAF >50% (HR 2.2, CI 1.2-4.2; p=0.01) (Figure 1B). Of note, impact of JAK2 VAF>50% on VT at FU was statistically significant particularly in conventionally low-risk pts, accounting for an HR of 9.4 (CI 1.2-72) and HR 3.6 (CI 1.3-10) in Florence and Rome cohorts, respectively. Conclusions: These data support JAK2VF VAF as a strong independent predictor for future venous thrombosis in PV, in association with history of prior venous events, reinforcing that AT and VT are associated with unique risk factors in pts with PV. Supported by AIRC, Project Mynerva n.21267 Figure 1 Figure 1. Disclosures Vannucchi: BMS: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Incyte: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Novartis: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; AbbVie: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees.

Abstract Introduction: Myelofibrosis -either primary (PMF) or post-polycythemia vera/essential thrombocythemia (collectively, secondary MF [SMF])- is characterized by biologic and clinical heterogeneity, with some patients (pts) presenting with features of myeloproliferation (MyP) and others exhibiting a myelodepletive (MyD) phenotype. Although not well defined, the latter is marked by cytopenias involving one or more hematopoietic lineages, in some respects mimicking a myelodysplastic or bone marrow (BM) failure syndrome. MyD features have been associated with poor prognosis in patients with MF, but cytopenias have been usually considered individually. In the current study, we aimed at investigating the phenotypic and prognostic correlates of a MyD phenotype in a large cohort of MF patients. Methods: After IRB approval, 704 consecutive patients with WHO-defined MF referring to CRIMM (Florence), were included in the study. There were 442 (63%) PMF and 262 (37%) SMF. Cytopenias at diagnosis were defined as follows: white blood cell (WBC) <4×10 9/L, hemoglobin (Hb) <11 g/dL for male and <10 g/dL for female, platelets (Plt) <100×10 9/L. A MyD phenotype was defined by the presence of at least one cytopenia in the absence of any increase of other blood cells (WBC >15×10 9/L, Hb >16.5 g/dL for male and >16 g/dL for female, Plt >450×10 9/L). Pts not included in the MyD group were considered as having a MyP phenotype. Mutational analysis by targeted NGS was available for 594/704 patients (PMF 368/442; SMF 226/262). Results: Overall, 166 pts were diagnosed as having a MyD MF, including 108 (24%) PMF and 58 (22%) SMF. Among PMF patients, leukopenia, sex-adjusted anemia and thrombocytopenia were present in 38%, 84% and 35%, respectively; in SMF, corresponding figures were 24%, 91% and 24%. Two or more cytopenias were found in 11% and 6% of PMF and SMF patients, respectively. In PMF, a MyD phenotype was associated with male gender (P=.0468), older age (P=.0002), lower peripheral blast count (P=.0006), higher prevalence of splenomegaly (P=0.0142), constitutional symptoms (P<.0001), and BM fibrosis grade ≥2 (P<.0001). The rates of thrombosis and bleeding were not different compared to MyP PMF. MyD pts were more likely to have very high risk (VHR) karyotype abnormalities (P=.0002) and to be triple negative (TN; P<.0001); there were no correlations with JAK2 mutation status and mutant burden, CALR and MPL mutations. Among non-driver mutations, a MyD phenotype was significantly enriched in ASXL1 (P=.0074), IDH1/2 (P=0.064), N/KRAS (P=.0014), U2AF1 (P<.0001), and CUX1 (P=.0002) mutations. Karyotype abnormalities (P=.0084), VHR cytogenetics (P=.0343), CBL (P=.0.171) and U2AF1 (P=.0148) mutations were significantly enriched in MyD pts with ≥2 cytopenias. On univariate analysis, OS was significantly shorter in pts with MyD vs MyP PMF (median, 55 vs 103 months, respectively; P<.0001), and not different between MyD pts with one (median, 65 months) and ≥2 (median, 44 months) cytopenias (Fig. 1A). After competing risk analysis, the cumulative incidence of leukemic transformation (LT) was not different between MyD and MyP phenotypes (16% vs 11% at 5 years, respectively). Phenotypic differences between MyD and MyP patients were less evident in SMF, a part for older age of the former (P=.0207). The molecular background was likewise different: a MyD feature was enriched in mutations in TP53 (P=.0024), U2AF1 (P<.0001), and SETBP1 (P=.0125). TP53 mutations were remarkably more frequent in MyD SMF pts with ≥2 cytopenias (19%). Pts with MyD SMF had a significantly shorter OS compared to the MyP counterpart (median, 44 vs 105 months; P<.0001). Median OS was significantly inferior in MyD patients with ≥2 cytopenias compared to one cytopenia (median, 27 vs 58 months, respectively; P<.0001) (Fig. 1B). The cumulative incidence of LT was not different: 16% vs 7% at 5 years, respectively, for SMF pts with MyD and MyP phenotype. Conclusion: The current study provides a comprehensive analysis of the MyD phenotype in pts with PMF and SMF, partly recapitulating findings of previous studies (Marcellino BK et al. Clin Lymphoma Myeloma Leuk 2020). We showed that the MyD phenotype is associated with high-risk clinical and molecular features, particularly in PMF, and correlates with inferior OS. Of interest, U2AF1 mutations emerged as a distinct molecular marker of MyD in both PMF and SMF, while mutations in TP53 appear prevalent in MyD SMF. Figure 1 Figure 1. Disclosures Vannucchi: Incyte: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Novartis: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; BMS: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; AbbVie: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees.

Abstract The current retrospective study involving a total of 1607 patients was designed to identify clinical and molecular variables that were predictive of inferior myelofibrosis‐free survival (MFS) in WHO‐defined essential thrombocythemia (ET), utilizing three independent patient cohorts: University of Florence, Italy ( n = 718); Mayo Clinic, USA ( n = 479) and Policlinico Gemelli, Catholic University, Rome, Italy ( n = 410). The Florence patient cohort was first examined to identify independent risk factors for MFS, which included age > 60 years (HR 2.5, 95% CI 1.3–4.9), male sex (2.1, 1.2–3.9), palpable splenomegaly (2.1, 1.2–3.9), CALR 1/1‐like or MPL mutation (3.4, 1.9–6.1) and JAK2 V617F variant allele frequency > 35% (4.2, 1.6–10.8). Subsequently, an operational molecular risk category was developed and validated in the other two cohorts from Mayo Clinic and Rome: “high molecular risk” category included patients with JAK2 V617F VAF >35%, CALR type 1/1‐like or MPL mutations; all other driver mutation profiles were assigned to “low molecular risk” category. The former, compared to the latter molecular risk category, displayed significantly higher risk of fibrotic transformation: Florence cohort with respective fibrotic transformation risk rates of 8% vs. 1.2% at 10 years and 33% vs. 8% at 20 years ( p < 0.001; HR 6.1; 95% CI 3.2–11.7); Mayo Cohort, 16% vs. 7% at 10 years and 44% vs. 25% at 20 years ( p < 0.001; HR 2.5; 95% CI 1.6–4.1); and Rome cohort 7.8% vs. 4.6% at 10 years and 31.2% vs. 7.1% at 20 years ( p = 0.007, HR 2.7; 95% CI 1.3–5.8). The present study provides practically useful risk signals for fibrotic transformation in ET and facilitates identification of patients who require close monitoring and appropriate counseling.

Abstract The dysregulation of the JAK/STAT pathway drives the pathogenesis of myelofibrosis (MF). Recently, several JAK inhibitors (JAKis) have been developed for treating MF. Select mutations (MTs) have been associated with impaired outcomes and are currently incorporated in molecularly annotated prognostic models. Mutations of RAS/MAPK pathway genes are frequently reported in cancer and at low frequencies in MF. In this study, we investigated the phenotypic, prognostic, and therapeutic implications of NRASMTs, KRASMTs, and CBLMTs (RAS/CBLMTs) in 464 consecutive MF patients. A total of 59 (12.7%) patients had RAS/CBLMTs: NRASMTs, n = 25 (5.4%); KRASMTs, n = 13 (2.8%); and CBLMTs, n = 26 (5.6%). Patients with RAS/CBLMTs were more likely to present with high-risk clinical and molecular features. RAS/CBLMTs were associated with inferior overall survival compared with patients without MTs and retained significance in a multivariate model, including the Mutation-Enhanced International Prognostic Score System (MIPSS70) risk factors and cytogenetics; however, inclusion of RAS/CBLMTs in molecularly annotated prognostic models did not improve the predictive power of the latter. The 5-year cumulative incidence of leukemic transformation was notably higher in the RAS/CBLMT cohort. Among 61 patients treated with JAKis and observed for a median time of 30 months, the rate of symptoms and spleen response at 6 months was significantly lower in the RAS/CBLMT cohort. Logistic regression analysis disclosed a significant inverse correlation between RAS/CBLMTs and the probability of achieving a symptom or spleen response that was retained in multivariate analysis. In summary, our study showed that RAS/CBLMTs are associated with adverse phenotypic features and survival outcomes and, more important, may predict reduced response to JAKis.

Abstract Background The median survival (OS) of patients with primary myelofibrosis (PMF; 6.5y) is significantly shortened compared to reference population (Cervantes et al, JCO 2012; 30:2981). OS is predicted by the four risk categories of IPSS, Dynamic-IPSS and DIPSS-plus score, nevertheless pts heterogeneity persists within these categories, necessitating improved risk stratification. We recently reported that pts harboring mutations in any one of the prognostically relevant ASXL1, EZH2, IDH1/2 and SRSF2 genes constitute a IPSS-and DIPPS-plus independent Molecular High Risk category (MHR+) characterized by significant reduction of OS and leukemia free survival (LFS) (Vannucchi et al, Leukemia 2013). The aim of this work was to analyze the impact of the number of prognostically relevant mutated genes on OS and LFS in PMF. Patients and methods Two independent cohorts are included, a “test cohort” from Europe, analyzed at diagnosis, and a “validation cohort” from Mayo Clinic, analyzed at any time after diagnosis. Mutation analysis was performed in DNA from whole blood or granulocytes using RTQ-PCR, HRM and direct sequencing; all mutations were confirmed at least twice. The prognostic value of the molecular variables with regard to OS and LFS was analyzed by Cox regression. Test cohort It included 490 pts (median age 61y; males = 301) risk stratified by IPSS into high (n=74, 15%), intermediate-2 (n=93, 19% ), intermediate-1 (n=147, 30%) and low (n=176, 36%). The median follow-up was 3.63y (95% CI, 0.06-28.33); 161 pts died (33.0%), of whom 76 (15.6%) had progressed to acute leukemia after a median of 3.4y (0.04-28.3) from diagnosis. One hundred forty-six pts (29.8%) presented at least one of the four aforementioned mutated genes and were classified as MHR+. The OS of MHR+ pts was significantly reduced compared to patients with no mutations (n=344): 80.7 vs 148.9 mo (HR 2.2, CI95% 1.6-3.03). One hundred twelve (22.8%) pts had 1 mutation and 34 (6.9%) had 2 or more mutations. In univariate analysis presence of 2 or more mutated genes was significantly more detrimental for OS (29.5mo; HR 4.12, IC95% 2.6-6.4) than having 1 mutated gene (84.2mo; HR 1.8, IC95% 1.2-2.5) compared with having no mutations (148.9mo). Multivariate analysis results adjusted for IPSS indicated that having two or more mutations was an independent prognostic factor for OS (HR 2.9, 95% CI 1.8-4.5). Notably, the prognostic relevance of harboring two or more mutations involved both lower (low and intermediate-1; HR 1.87, 95% CI 1.3-2.6) and higher (intermediate-2 and high; HR 1.6, 95% CI 1.2-2.1) categories of IPSS. Also LFS resulted significantly shorter (129mo; HR 3.1, 95%CI 1.9-4.8) in MHR+ pts compared with pts with no adverse mutations (323mo). Having 2 or more mutations correlated with greater reduction of LFS (79.6mo; HR 7.02, CI95% 3.9-12.6) than having one mutation only (133.9mo; HR 2.2, IC95% 1.3-3.7) as compared with no mutations (323.2mo). Multivariate analysis showed that IPSS high risk category (HR 4.5; 95% CI 2.3-8.8) and two or more mutated genes (HR 5.3; 95% CI 2.9-9.8) predicted independently for a significant reduction in LFS. The negative impact on LFS of having 2 or more mutated genes compared to one or no mutations was maintained in the lower (HR 6.4, 95% CI 2.6-15.2) and higher (HR 5.5, 95% CI 2.3-12.8) risk categories. Validation cohort Validation cohort included 262 patients (median age 64 years; males = 167) risk stratified by DIPSS-plus into high (n=89, 34%), intermediate-2 (n=92, 35%), intermediate-1 (n=46, 18%) and low (n=34, 13%). One hundred forty-six pts (56%) displayed none of the four aforementioned mutations, 93 (36%) harbored one mutation whereas 23 (9%) harbored two or more mutations. In univariate analysis, having two or more mutations (HR 3.7; 95% CI 2.2-6.1) was significantly more detrimental for OS than having no mutations, which is more favorable than having one mutation (HR 1.9; 95% CI 1.4-2.7). When adjusted for DIPSS-plus, the presence of two or more mutations retained its significance (HR 2.1; 95% CI 1.3-3.6) and outperformed ASXL1 mutation alone in its prognostic relevance Conclusions Overall, these results show that the number of prognostically relevant mutated genes correlate with OS and LFS in pts with PMF, suggesting that screening for these mutations might help to improve risk stratification. Disclosures: No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.

Abstract The 2013 discovery of calreticulin ( CALR ) mutations in myeloproliferative neoplasms was attended by their association with longer survival in primary myelofibrosis (PMF). Subsequent studies have suggested prognostic distinction between type 1/like and type 2/like CALR mutations and detrimental effect from triple‐negative mutational status. Among 709 Mayo Clinic patients with PMF, 467 (66%) harbored JAK2 , 112 (16%) CALR type 1/like, 24 (3.4%) CALR type 2/like, 38 (5.4%) MPL mutations and 68 (10%) were triple‐negative. Survival was longer with type 1/like CALR , compared to JAK2 (HR 2.6, 95% CI 1.9‐3.5), type 2/like CALR (HR 2.5, 95% CI 1.4‐4.5), MPL (HR 1.8, 95% CI 1.1‐2.9) and triple‐negative mutational status (HR 2.4, 95% CI 1.6‐3.6), but otherwise similar between the non‐type 1/like CALR mutational states ( P = .41). In multivariable analysis, the absence of type 1/like CALR ( P < .001; HR 2, 95% CI 1.4‐2.7), presence of ASXL1 / SRSF2 mutations ( P < .001; HR 1.9, 95% CI 1.5‐2.4) and DIPSS‐plus ( P < .001) were each predictive of inferior survival. Furthermore, among 210 patients with ASXL1 / SRSF2 mutations, survival was significantly longer in the presence vs. absence of type 1/like CALR mutations (median 5.8 vs. 2.9 years; P < .001). Triple‐negative status did not disclose additional prognostic information for overall or leukemia‐free survival. The observations regarding the prognostic distinction between CALR mutation variants were validated in an external cohort of 386 patients from the University of Florence Careggi hospital. We conclude that type 1/like CALR mutations in PMF not only predict superior survival, but also partially amend the detrimental effect of high molecular risk mutations.

Key Points More than half of patients with PV or ET harbor DNA mutations/variants other than JAK2/CALR/MPL. The presence of some of these mutations adversely affects overall, leukemia-free, or myelofibrosis-free survival.