Reuben, Adrian

Listing and transplanting patients with acute liver failure (ALF) is challenging, requiring rapid assessment of the likelihood of recovery. The availability of a large number of ALF liver explants, along with their clinical data, afforded an opportunity to retrospectively evaluate liver transplantation (LT) decision-making. We hypothesized that, with the benefit of hindsight, a small number of patients might have recovered without LT. Three hundred liver explants from ALF patients of varying etiologies who had undergone LT over 22 years in the Acute Liver Failure Study Group registry were reviewed for histopathological features and degree of necrosis by a committee of 8 hepatopathologists. A second committee of 8 experienced transplant hepatologists independently reviewed clinical data on these same 300 patients and retrospectively scored the likelihood that each patient required transplantation. Only 3 (1%) of those reviewed by the Clinical Committee were considered to “Definitely” not require liver grafting, while an additional 10 (3.3%) were deemed to “Possibly” not require transplantation (Not Likely Group, N=13). There was no difference in the degree of necrosis in explants in these groups, when compared to the remaining Likely Group, N=287 (95.6%), except in acetaminophen (APAP)-associated ALF, where the degree of necrosis was more uniformly graded as severe, correlating with the need for transplantation. Virtually every patient undergoing LT for ALF retrospectively appeared to need their transplant, based on expert clinical consensus review. Overall, there was poor correlation between clinical severity and apparent degree of necrosis seen in the 300 liver explants, except perhaps for APAP subjects.

AbstractBackgroundThe etiology of acute liver failure (ALF) remains one of the most important factors in determining prognosis and predicting outcomes. In a significant proportion of ALF cases, however, the etiology remains unknown and is categorized as indeterminate ALF (IND‐ALF). In this study, we summarize findings from patients with IND‐ALF from 32 transplant centers across the United States, and we compare laboratory, prognostic, and outcome data for patients with IND‐ALF.MethodsBetween 1998 and 2019, 3364 adult patients with ALF or acute liver injury (ALI) from 32 liver transplant centers were enrolled in the ALFSG registry. The primary clinical outcome of interest was 21‐day transplant‐free survival (TFS).ResultsOf the 3364 patients enrolled in the ALFSG registry, 3.4 % (n = 114) were adjudicated as true indeterminate. On multivariate analysis, patients with a lower bilirubin, lower INR, lack of use of mechanical ventilation and no clinical features of coma at baseline had a higher odds ratio of transplant free survival. The number of deaths were similar between patients with true‐IND ALF versus patients with indeterminable ALF (29.8% vs. 27.2%), with almost half of the patients requiring liver transplant (42.1% vs. 45.7%).ConclusionWe illustrate the poor prognoses that true‐IND‐ALF and indeterminable ALF carry and the need for emergency liver transplantation in most cases.

Autoimmune hepatitis is a common cause of acute liver failure. Treatment includes steroids for acute liver injury and liver transplantation in those who fail to respond or develop acute liver failure. The aim of this study is to further characterize acute liver failure secondary to autoimmune hepatitis and identify variables that predict 21-day transplant-free survival. This study included adults hospitalized with acute liver failure enrolled in the Acute Liver Failure Study Group Registry between 1998 and 2019 from 32 centers within the US. The etiology of all cases was reviewed by the Adjudication Committee, and all cases identified as autoimmune hepatitis were included. Acute liver injury was defined as an INR ≥2.0 without encephalopathy and acute liver failure as INR ≥ 1.5 with encephalopathy. Laboratory and clinical data were reviewed. Variables significantly associated with 21-day transplant-free survival were used to develop a multivariable logistic regression model. A total of 193 cases of acute liver failure secondary to autoimmune hepatitis were identified and reviewed. There were 161 patients (83.4%) diagnosed with acute liver failure on enrollment, and 32 (16.6%) developed acute liver failure during hospitalization. At 21 days, 115 (59.6%) underwent liver transplantation, 28 (14.5%) had transplant-free survival, and 46 (23.8%) died before liver transplantation. Higher admission values of bilirubin, INR, and coma grade were associated with worse outcomes. A prognostic index incorporating bilirubin, INR, coma grade, and platelet count had a concordance statistic of 0.84. Acute liver failure secondary to autoimmune hepatitis is associated with a high short-term mortality. We developed a model specifically for autoimmune hepatitis that may be helpful in predicting 21-day transplant-free survival and early identification of patients in need of expedited liver transplant evaluation.

Goals/Background: Data on acute variceal hemorrhage (AVH) in the United States is limited and the best method to stratify risk is not clear. Taking advantage of a prospective US cohort study, we aimed to (1) describe clinical outcomes of AVH and their predictors; (2) compare predictors of 6-week mortality. Study: Prospective 15-center US cohort of patients with cirrhosis presenting with endoscopically proven AVH, all of whom received antibiotics, vapreotide (a somatostain analog) infusion and endoscopic band ligation. Patients were enrolled between August 2006 and April 2008. Primary outcome was 6-week mortality. Secondary outcome was 5-day treatment failure. The prognostic value of Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) class, Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) score and a recent recalibrated MELD were compared. Results: Seventy eligible patient were enrolled; 18 (26%) patients died within 6-weeks of index bleed. Demographic, clinical, and laboratory data were compared between survivors and nonsurvivors. Multivariate models showed that admission CTP or the MELD score (separately) were independent predictors of survival. The discriminative values of CTP (area under receiver operating characteristic: 0.75) and MELD (area under receiver operating characteristic: 0.79) were good and not significantly different (P=0.27). However, calibration (correlation between observed and predicted mortality) test was significantly better for CTP than for MELD, with the recently described recalibrated MELD model having the worst agreement. Predicted mortality for CTP-A was <10%, CTP-B 10% to 30%; and CTP-C >33%. Conclusions: AVH mortality of 26% in the United States is in the upper range limit compared with recent series but may be due to inclusion of patients with more advanced cirrhosis. CTP score has the best overall performance in the prediction of 6-week mortality and is best at stratifying risk.