Mastro, Lucia Del

Abstract Background Young age is a known risk factor for breast cancer recurrence and mortality, particularly in hormone receptor-positive disease. However, no specific evidence exists on whether age at diagnosis influences clinical behavior and outcomes among carriers of germline BRCA pathogenic or likely pathogenic variants (PVs). Methods The BRCA BCY Collaboration (NCT03673306) is an international, multicenter, hospital-based, retrospective cohort study including women with germline BRCA1 and/or BRCA2 PVs and diagnosed with stage I-III breast cancer at the age of 40 years or younger between January 2000 and December 2020. The present analysis aimed to evaluate clinical features and outcomes of breast cancer in young BRCA carriers according to age at diagnosis, by comparing patients aged ≤30 years with those aged 31-35 and 36-40 years at breast cancer diagnosis. The primary endpoint was disease-free survival (DFS). Overall survival (OS) was a secondary endpoint. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs), adjusting for risk-reducing mastectomy (RRM) and risk-reducing salpingo-oophorectomy (RRSO) (time-dependent), and stratifying by country, year of diagnosis, tumor size, nodal involvement, tumor grade and hormone receptor status. Results From 109 centers in 5 continents, 5350 young BRCA carriers were included, of whom 1106 (20.7%) were ≤30 years of age, 1945 (36.4%) were 31-35 years and 2299 (43.0%) were 36-40 years at the time of breast cancer diagnosis. Compared to patients aged 31-35 and 36-40 years, those aged ≤30 years were more likely to harbor BRCA1 PVs (71.3%, 62.4%, 61.1%, respectively), to present with high-grade (G3 in 71.3%, 66.6%, 65.0%, respectively), triple-negative breast cancer (56.3%, 48.1%, 46.6%, respectively), and less frequently smaller tumor size (T1: 31.7%, 36.6% and 39.5%, respectively). Consequently, chemotherapy was administered more frequently among patients aged ≤30 years (94.4%, 92.6%, 89.7%, respectively). At a median follow-up of 8.2 years (IQR, 4.7-12.8), 8-year DFS rate was 65.0% among patients aged ≤30 years, 64.7% in the 31-35 years group, and 65.8% in the 36-40 years group. No significant association between age at diagnosis and DFS outcome was observed (31-35 vs. ≤30 years: aHR 1.03, 95% CI 0.89-1.19; 36-40 vs. ≤30 years aHR 1.00, 95% CI 0.87-1.16). Similarly, no significant association between age at diagnosis and OS was observed (31-35 vs. ≤30 years: aHR 1.10, 95% CI 0.86-1.41; 36-40 vs. ≤30 years: aHR 1.11, 95% CI 0.87-1.43). Subgroup analyses by specific BRCA gene, tumor subtype, tumor size, nodal status, and chemotherapy use revealed no statistically significant interaction with age at diagnosis in terms of DFS or OS (all p for interaction > 0.05). Specifically, no significant differences between age groups were observed among patients with luminal-like tumors for both DFS and OS. Conclusions In this unique international cohort of BRCA carriers diagnosed with breast cancer at a young age (≤40 years), we found no significant differences in DFS nor OS across different age groups. Notably, very young age (≤30 years) at diagnosis was not associated with worse outcomes compared to 31-35 years or 36-40 years. Age per se should not be considered a negative prognostic factor in BRCA carriers when appropriate treatment is provided. Citation Format: E. Blondeaux, A. Meacci, M. Fragío Gil, E. Klocker, F. Coussy, H. Kim, R. Bernstein Molho, F. Hilbers, A. Di Meglio, A. Kwong, K. Pogoda, J. Bajpai, H. Wildiers, E. Agostinetto, J. Balmana, H. C. Moore, K. Phillips, A. H. Partridge, C. Rousset-Jablonski, F. A. Peccatori, A. Toss, T. Renaud, C. Anghelone, A. Benitez Cruz, S. Paluch-Shimon, J. Lee, R. Fruscio, W. Cui, S. M. Wong, M. Lee, M. Rozenblit, C. Vernieri, C. Villarreal-Garza, A. Matikas, M. Dieci, L. De Marchis, J. K. Plichta, K. J. Ruddy, D. Can Guven, F. Puglisi, Z. Kemp, P. A. Meireles, L. Del Mastro, V. Delucchi, M. Lambertini. Association between age at diagnosis and survival among young BRCA carriers with breast cancer: results from an international multicenter hospital-based cohort study [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium 2025; 2025 Dec 9-12; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Clin Cancer Res 2026;32(4 Suppl):Abstract nr PD4-07.

Abstract Background: Oncofertility counseling in BRCA carriers has unique challenges due to a possible negative impact of germline pathogenic/likely pathogenic variants (PVs) on reproductive potential and the indication to undergo risk-reducing bilateral salpingo-oophorectomy. While previous studies demonstrated the safety of pregnancy in women with prior breast cancer (BC) history, limited evidence exists in BRCA carriers specifically. We report the results of the largest study to date investigating likelihood of pregnancy after BC, reproductive and disease outcomes specifically in BRCA carriers. Methods: This was an international, multicenter, hospital-based, retrospective cohort study including young BRCA carriers with history of BC (NCT03673306). Eligible patients were women harboring germline PVs in BRCA1 and/or BRCA2 and diagnosed with stage I-III invasive BC at the age of ≤ 40 years between January 2000 and December 2020. BRCA healthy carriers or patients with BRCA variants of unknown significance, non-invasive BC, lack of follow-up, prior ovarian cancer or other malignancies without history of BC were excluded. Primary endpoints were pregnancy rate and disease-free survival (DFS). Overall survival (OS), BC specific survival (BCSS), pregnancy, fetal and obstetric outcomes were secondary endpoints. To mitigate the impact of guaranteed time bias, two survival analyses were performed: 1) Extended Cox model with occurrence of pregnancy as a time-varying covariate; 2) Case-control analysis by matching 1:3 patients with and without a pregnancy for type of BRCA PV, hormone receptor status, nodal status and year at diagnosis; moreover, each control had to have a disease-free interval longer than the time occurring between BC diagnosis and conception of the matched case. Results: From 78 centers worldwide, 4,732 patients were included, of whom 659 had at least one pregnancy after BC (pregnancy cohort) and 4,073 did not (non-pregnancy cohort). Patients in the pregnancy cohort were significantly more likely to carry BRCA1 PVs, to be younger at BC diagnosis, to have node-negative and hormone receptor-negative (HR-) BC (all p< 0.01). Pregnancy rate at 10 years was 22% (95% CI 21%-24%) overall, 18% (95% CI 16%-21%) and 26% (95% CI 24%-26%) in patients with HR+ and HR- BC, respectively (p< 0.01). Median time from BC diagnosis to conception was 3.5 years (IQR 2.2-5.3 years), significantly longer in patients with HR+ than HR- BC (4.3 vs 3.2 years, p< 0.01). Among 659 patients with a pregnancy after BC, 45 (6.8%) and 63 (9.6%) experienced an induced abortion or a miscarriage, respectively. Of the 517 (78.5%) patients with completed pregnancy, 54 (10.4%) had twins and 406 (78.5%) delivered at term (delivery ≥37 weeks). Among the 571 babies born, 5 (0.9%) had congenital anomalies. Median follow-up was 7.8 years (IQR, 4.5-12.6 years). No significant difference in DFS was observed between the pregnancy and non-pregnancy cohorts (unadjusted HR 0.97, 95% CI 0.82-1.15, p=0.74; adjusted HR [aHR] 0.99, 95% CI 0.81-1.20, p=0.90). Patients in the pregnancy cohort showed significantly better BCSS (HR 0.53, 95% CI 0.38-0.74, p< 0.01; aHR 0.59, 95% CI 0.41-0.86, p< 0.01) and OS (HR 0.52, 95% CI 0.38-0.72, p< 0.01; aHR 0.58, 95% CI 0.40-0.85, p< 0.01). Similar results were obtained in the case-control analysis. Subgroup analyses of survival endpoints according to patient, tumor and treatment characteristics will be presented at the conference. Conclusions: In this global study, 1 out of 5 young BRCA carriers conceived within 10 years after a BC diagnosis, higher than rates previously reported in unselected young BC populations. Pregnancy following BC in BRCA carriers did not appear to adversely impact maternal prognosis or fetal outcomes. These findings should be incorporated into oncofertility counseling of young BRCA carriers with BC. Citation Format: Matteo Lambertini, Eva Blondeaux, Elisa Agostinetto, Anne-Sophie Hamy-Petit, Hee Jeong Kim, Camila Chiodi, Rinat Bernstein-Molho, Florentine Hilbers, Katarzyna Pogoda, Estela Carrasco Lopez, Kevin Punie, Jyoti Bajpai, Michail Ignatiadis, Halle Moore, Kelly-Anne Phillips, Angela Toss, Christine Rousset-Jablonski, Fedro Alessandro Peccatori, Tiphaine Renaud, Alberta Ferrari, Shani Paluch-Shimon, Robert Fruscio, Wanda Cui, Stephanie Wong, Claudio Vernieri, Kathryn Ruddy, Maria Vittoria Dieci, Alexios Matikas, Mariya Rozenblit, Cynthia Villareal Garza, Laura De Marchis, Lucia Del Mastro, Fabio Puglisi, Maria Del Pilar Estevez-Diz, Kenny A. Rodriguez-Wallberg, Bela Mrinakova, Sarah Meister, Luca Livraghi, Florian Clatot, Rinat Yerushalmi, Carmine De Angelis, Rodrigo Sánchez-Bayona, Icro Meattini, Natalia Cichowska-Cwalińska, Martine Berlière, Mahmoud Salama, Ugo De Giorgi, Amir Sonnenblick, Hatem Azim, Ann Partridge. Pregnancy after breast cancer in young women with germline BRCA pathogenic variants: results from an international cohort study [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2023 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2023 Dec 5-9; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2024;84(9 Suppl):Abstract nr GS02-13.

ImportanceYoung women with breast cancer who have germline pathogenic variants in BRCA1 or BRCA2 face unique challenges regarding fertility. Previous studies demonstrating the feasibility and safety of pregnancy in breast cancer survivors included limited data regarding BRCA carriers.ObjectiveTo investigate cumulative incidence of pregnancy and disease-free survival in young women who are BRCA carriers.Design, Setting, and ParticipantsInternational, multicenter, hospital-based, retrospective cohort study conducted at 78 participating centers worldwide. The study included female participants diagnosed with invasive breast cancer at age 40 years or younger between January 2000 and December 2020 carrying germline pathogenic variants in BRCA1 and/or BRCA2. Last delivery was October 7, 2022; last follow-up was February 20, 2023.ExposurePregnancy after breast cancer.Main Outcomes and MeasuresPrimary end points were cumulative incidence of pregnancy after breast cancer and disease-free survival. Secondary end points were breast cancer–specific survival, overall survival, pregnancy, and fetal and obstetric outcomes.ResultsOf 4732 BRCA carriers included, 659 had at least 1 pregnancy after breast cancer and 4073 did not. Median age at diagnosis in the overall cohort was 35 years (IQR, 31-38 years). Cumulative incidence of pregnancy at 10 years was 22% (95% CI, 21%-24%), with a median time from breast cancer diagnosis to conception of 3.5 years (IQR, 2.2-5.3 years). Among the 659 patients who had a pregnancy, 45 (6.9%) and 63 (9.7%) had an induced abortion or a miscarriage, respectively. Of the 517 patients (79.7%) with a completed pregnancy, 406 (91.0%) delivered at term (≥37 weeks) and 54 (10.4%) had twins. Among the 470 infants born with known information on pregnancy complications, 4 (0.9%) had documented congenital anomalies. Median follow-up was 7.8 years (IQR, 4.5-12.6 years). No significant difference in disease-free survival was observed between patients with or without a pregnancy after breast cancer (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.81-1.20). Patients who had a pregnancy had significantly better breast cancer–specific survival and overall survival.Conclusions and RelevanceIn this global study, 1 in 5 young BRCA carriers conceived within 10 years after breast cancer diagnosis. Pregnancy following breast cancer in BRCA carriers was not associated with decreased disease-free survival.Trial RegistrationClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03673306

Abstract Background Adjuvant abemaciclib (a CDK4 and 6 inhibitor) combined with ET resulted in significant and clinically meaningful improvement in invasive disease-free survival (IDFS) and distant relapse-free survival (DRFS) in patients (pts) with HR+, HER2-, node-positive, high risk EBC in the monarchE trial, and is an approved adjuvant therapy for these patients. Here we present efficacy results from a pre-specified overall survival interim analysis (OS IA2) which was planned to occur 2 years (yrs) after the primary outcome analysis. Methods Pts were randomized (1:1) to receive ET for up to 10 yrs +/- abemaciclib for 2 yrs (study treatment period). High-risk EBC was defined as either ≥4 positive axillary lymph nodes (ALN), or 1-3 ALN with either Grade 3 disease and/or tumor ≥5 cm (Cohort 1). While the proliferation biomarker Ki-67 was centrally assessed in all pts with available tissue sample, an additional smaller group of pts with 1-3+ ALN and central Ki-67 ≥20% as the only high-risk feature were included (Cohort 2). The intent-to-treat (ITT) population consisted of both Cohort 1 (5120 pts) and Cohort 2 (517 pts). Hazard ratios (HR) were estimated using Cox proportional hazard model. Results At a median follow-up of 42 months, all pts were off abemaciclib. IDFS and DRFS data illustrate a sustained benefit beyond the treatment period. In the ITT population, the HR for IDFS was 0.664 (95% CI: 0.578, 0.762) and DRFS was 0.659 (95% CI: 0.567, 0.767). At 4 yrs, this reflected an improvement in IDFS rates from 79.4% to 85.8% (absolute difference 6.4%), and in DRFS rates from 82.5% to 88.4% (absolute difference 5.9%). The continued separation of the curves was associated with an increase in absolute benefit in IDFS 4-year rates compared to 2-and 3-year IDFS rates (absolute difference 2.8% and 4.8% respectively). While OS remained immature, there was a lower number of deaths observed in the abemaciclib plus ET arm compared to the ET alone arm (157 [5.6%] vs 173 [6.1%], HR 0.929 [95% CI: 0.748, 1.153], p = 0.503), suggesting that the robust benefit in IDFS and DRFS began to translate into a numerically favorable OS HR. As previously described, within Cohort 1, a Ki-67 index of ≥20% was associated with a worse prognosis, but similar abemaciclib treatment effects were observed regardless of Ki-67 index. No new safety signals were observed. Conclusion The clinically meaningful benefit of adjuvant abemaciclib added to ET in HR+, HER2-, node-positive, high-risk EBC persists beyond completion of abemaciclib therapy, yielding an increase in absolute IDFS and DRFS benefit at 4 yrs. While OS remains immature at this time, the lower number of deaths in the abemaciclib arm compared to the ET arm suggest that a survival signal favoring abemaciclib is emerging. Citation Format: Stephen Johnston, Masakazu Toi, Joyce O’Shaughnessy, Priya Rastogi, Mario Campone, Patrick Neven, Chiun Sheng Huang, Jens Huober, Georgina Garnica Jaliffe, Irfan Cicin, Sara Tolaney, Matthew P. Goetz, Hope Rugo, Elżbieta Senkus, Laura Testa, Lucia Del Mastro, Chikako Shimizu, Ran Wei, Ashwin Shahir, Maria Munoz, Belen San Antonio, Valerie Andre, Nadia Harbeck, Miguel Martín. Abemaciclib plus endocrine therapy for HR+, HER2-, node-positive, high-risk early breast cancer: results from a pre-planned monarchE overall survival interim analysis, including 4-year efficacy outcomes [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2022 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2022 Dec 6-10; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2023;83(5 Suppl):Abstract nr GS1-09.

Background: The potential gonadotoxicity of anti-HER2 agents remains largely unknown, and limited, conflicting evidence exists for taxanes. Antimüllerian hormone (AMH) is an established biomarker of ovarian reserve that may aid in quantifying anticancer treatment–induced gonadotoxicity. Patients and Methods: The present biomarker analysis of the randomized phase III neoadjuvant NeoALTTO trial included premenopausal women aged ≤45 years at diagnosis of HER2-positive early breast cancer with available frozen serum samples at baseline (ie, before anticancer treatments), at week 2 (ie, the “biological window” of anti-HER2 therapy alone), and/or at the time of surgery (ie, after completing paclitaxel + anti-HER2 therapy, before starting adjuvant chemotherapy). Results: The present analysis included 130 patients with a median age of 38 years (interquartile ratio [IQR], age 33–42 years). AMH values at the 3 time points differed significantly (P<.001). At baseline, median AMH levels were 1.29 ng/mL (IQR, 0.56–2.62 ng/mL). At week 2, a small but significant reduction in AMH levels was observed (median, 1.10 ng/mL; IQR, 0.45–2.09 ng/mL; P<.001). At surgery, a larger significant decline in AMH levels was observed (median, 0.01 ng/mL; IQR, 0.01–0.03 ng/mL; P<.001). Although the type of anti-HER2 treatment (trastuzumab and/or lapatinib) did not seem to impact the results, age and pretreatment ovarian reserve had a major influence on treatment-induced gonadotoxicity risk. Conclusions: This NeoALTTO biomarker analysis showed that anti-HER2 therapies alone had limited gonadotoxicity but that the addition of weekly paclitaxel resulted in marked AMH decline with possible negative implications for subsequent ovarian function and fertility.

Abstract Background: Knowledge regarding risk of treatment-induced premature ovarian insufficiency (POI) is crucial for appropriate oncofertility counseling. While the gonadotoxicity of anthracycline- and cyclophosphamide-based chemotherapy (CT) in young breast cancer (BC) patients (pts) is well established, the impact of anti-HER2 agents remains largely unknown and limited conflicting evidence exists for taxanes. Anti-Mullerian hormone (AMH) is an established biomarker of ovarian reserve; its measurements during systemic therapies may aid in diagnosis and prediction of POI. The NeoALTTO trial represented a unique setting to explore the acute gonadotoxicity of anti-HER2 therapy alone and in combination with weekly paclitaxel in pts not previously exposed to any other potentially gonadotoxic anticancer treatment. Methods: NeoALTTO (NCT00553358) is a multicenter, open-label, randomized phase III neoadjuvant trial in HER2-positive early BC pts randomized to receive lapatinib (L), trastuzumab (T), or their combination (L+T) alone for 6 weeks followed by the addition of paclitaxel for 12 weeks before surgery.The present analysis included only premenopausal women aged ≤45 years with available frozen serum samples at baseline (i.e. before administering any anticancer treatment), at week 2 (i.e. “biological window” of anti-HER2 therapy alone) and/or at surgery (i.e. after completion of paclitaxel plus anti-HER2 therapy). Central AMH testing was performed at Erasme Hospital (Brussels, Belgium) with the Roche Elecsys® AMH Plus assay (LoD=0.010 ng/ml). AMH levels during anti-HER2 therapy alone and then combined with paclitaxel were assessed as a measure of treatment impact on ovarian reserve. The impact of different anti-HER2 agents (T and/or L), pts’ age and baseline AMH levels on treatment gonadotoxicity were also investigated. Results: The present analysis included 130 pts with a median age of 38 years (IQR: 33-42 years), of whom 86 (66.2%) were ≤40 years. At baseline, median AMH levels were 1.29 ng/mL (IQR 0.56 - 2.62 ng/mL). At week 2, a small but significant reduction in AMH levels was observed (median value: 1.10 ng/mL, IQR 0.45 - 2.09 ng/mL, p&lt;0.001; median cumulative decrease: -12.5%, IQR -37.6% - 12.4%). At surgery, there was a large significant decline in AMH levels (median value: 0.01 ng/mL, IQR 0.01 - 0.03 ng/mL, p&lt;0.001; median cumulative decrease: -99.9%, IQR -100.0% - -98.7%). Type of anti-HER2 treatment (L vs. L vs. T+L) did not impact the results: there was no significant difference between treatment arms in degree of reduction in AMH levels at week 2 (p=0.763) or at surgery (p=0.700). Age and pre-treatment ovarian reserve had a major impact on treatment-induced gonadotoxicity risk, with a more profound decrease in AMH levels observed for older pts (p&lt;0.001) and those with lower baseline AMH levels (p&lt;0.001). Among pts aged &lt;35 years, there was no significant difference in AMH levels between those with (n=7) or without (n=35) a subsequent pregnancy at baseline (p=0.316), week 2 (p=0.463) or at surgery (p=0.610). Conclusions: This biomarker analysis of the NeoALTTO trial showed for the first time the potential acute gonadal damage induced by anti-HER2 therapies alone and with the addition of weekly paclitaxel. We observed a small but significant reduction in AMH levels during T and/or L alone and then a profound reduction to almost undetectable levels following the addition of weekly paclitaxel, without differences by specific anti-HER2 regimen. Age and pre-treatment AMH levels strongly impacted gonadotoxicity risk. While this analysis is limited by lack of AMH measurement in longer term follow-up, findings have important implications for future research and oncofertility counseling of premenopausal women with HER2-positive BC. Citation Format: Matteo Lambertini, Marcello Ceppi, Richard A. Anderson, David A. Cameron, Marco Bruzzone, Maria Alice Franzoi, Claudia Massarotti, Sarra El-Abed, Yingbo Wang, Christophe Lecocq, Paolo Nuciforo, Rebecca Rolyance, Lajos Pusztai, Joohyuk Sohn, Jacopo Ligato, Maria Maddalena Latocca, Luca Arecco, Barbara Pistilli, Kathryn J. Ruddy, Alberto Ballestrero, Lucia Del Mastro, Fedro A. Peccatori, Ann H. Partridge, Cristina Saura, Michael Untch, Martine Piccart, Serena Di Cosimo, Evandro de Azambuja, Isabelle Demeestere. Impact of anti-HER2 therapy alone and in association with weekly paclitaxel on the ovarian reserve of young women with HER2-positive early breast cancer: Biomarker analysis of the NeoALTTO trial [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2021 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2021 Dec 7-10; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2022;82(4 Suppl):Abstract nr PD5-05.

PURPOSE Many patients and physicians remain concerned about the potential detrimental effects of pregnancy after breast cancer (BC) in terms of reproductive outcomes and maternal safety. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed at providing updated evidence on these topics. METHODS A systematic literature review was conducted to identify studies including patients with a pregnancy after BC (PROSPERO number CRD42020158324). Likelihood of pregnancy after BC, their reproductive outcomes, and maternal safety were assessed. Pooled relative risks, odds ratios (ORs), and hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% CIs were calculated using random effects models. RESULTS Of 6,462 identified records, 39 were included involving 8,093,401 women from the general population and 112,840 patients with BC of whom 7,505 had a pregnancy after diagnosis. BC survivors were significantly less likely to have a subsequent pregnancy compared with the general population (relative risk, 0.40; 95% CI, 0.32 to 0.49). Risks of caesarean section (OR, 1.14; 95% CI, 1.04 to 1.25), low birth weight (OR, 1.50; 95% CI, 1.31 to 1.73), preterm birth (OR, 1.45; 95% CI, 1.11 to 1.88), and small for gestational age (OR, 1.16; 95% CI, 1.01 to 1.33) were significantly higher in BC survivors, particularly in those with previous chemotherapy exposure, compared with the general population. No significantly increased risk of congenital abnormalities or other reproductive complications were observed. Compared to patients with BC without subsequent pregnancy, those with a pregnancy had better disease-free survival (HR, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.49 to 0.89) and overall survival (HR, 0.56; 95% CI, 0.45 to 0.68). Similar results were observed after correcting for potential confounders and irrespective of patient, tumor, and treatment characteristics, pregnancy outcome, and timing of pregnancy. CONCLUSION These results provide reassuring evidence on the safety of conceiving in BC survivors. Patients' pregnancy desire should be considered a crucial component of their survivorship care plan.

524 Background: PREDICT+ is a widely used, free, online tool based on traditional clinico-pathological features, including HER2, developed to predict individual mortality of EBC pts and to aid clinical decision making for adjuvant therapy. However, its prognostic role in HER2+ EBC pts treated with chemotherapy (CT) and anti-HER2 therapies remains unclear. We aimed to investigate the prognostic performance of PREDICT+ in HER2+ EBC pts enrolled in the ALTTO trial. Methods: ALTTO is a phase III study evaluating adjuvant lapatinib (L) +/- trastuzumab (T) vs. T alone in pts with HER2+ EBC. Pts enrolled in the ALTTO trial and receiving T-based therapy started concurrently with CT were eligible for this analysis. We calculated PREDICT+ estimates using variables extracted from ALTTO database, blinded to pts outcomes. The prognostic performance of PREDICT+ was evaluated by assessing its calibration and discriminatory accuracy. For calibration, median predicted 5-year (5-yr) overall survival (OS) was compared to observed 5-yr OS. For discriminatory accuracy, the area under the receiver-operator characteristic (AUC under the ROC) curve and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CI) for predicted 5-yr OS were calculated. Subgroup analyses were performed according to type of anti-HER2 therapy, type of CT, age, hormone receptor (HR) status, nodal status and tumor size. Results: This analysis included 2,794 pts. After a median follow-up of 6.0 years (IQR, 5.8-6.7), 182 deaths were observed. Overall, PREDICT+ underestimated 5-yr OS by 6.7% (95% CI, 5.8-7.6): observed 5-year OS was 94.7% vs. predicted 88.0%. The underestimation was consistent across all subgroups (Table). For discriminatory accuracy, AUC under the ROC curve was 73.7% (95%CI 69.7-77.8) in the overall population, ranging between 61.7% and 77.7% across the analysed subgroups. Conclusions: In HER2+ EBC pts enrolled in the ALTTO trial, the PREDICT+ score highly underestimated OS. The low performance of this prognostic tool was consistent across all pts subgroups. PREDICT+ should be used with caution to give prognostic estimation in HER2+ EBC pts treated in the modern era with effective chemotherapy and anti-HER2 targeted therapies.[Table: see text]

Abstract Background: In HER2-positive breast cancer patients, timing from the end of (neo)adjuvant trastuzumab (T)-based therapy to diagnosis of metastatic breast cancer is the key factor in determining the optimal first-line treatment. There is currently lack of clear evidence to support the possible prognostic role of this interval and 12 months has been mostly empirically used. The present analysis aimed to investigate patterns of relapse, first-line choice and survival outcomes of patients with HER2-positive early breast cancer who relapsed after adjuvant T-based therapy depending on T-free interval (TFI, i.e. timing from end of adjuvant T to diagnosis of distant metastases). Methods: In ALTTO, HER2-positive early breast cancer patients were randomized to 1 year of either T alone, lapatinib (L) alone, their sequence (T–&gt;L) or their combination (T+L). This exploratory analysis included only pts in the T or T+L arms who experienced a distant disease-free survival (DDFS) event. Two cohorts of patients were defined depending on TFI: group A (TFI of &lt;12 months) and group B (&gt;12 months). Baseline characteristics, patterns of relapse, first-line choice and overall survival (OS) were compared. OS was defined as time between date of DDFS event to death; age at diagnosis, tumor size and hormone receptor status were the variables included in the final multivariate models. Results: Out of 8,381 patients included in ALTTO, 404 patients in the T and T+L arms developed a DDFS event, of whom 201 occurred &lt;12 months (group A) and 203 &gt;12 months (group B) after the end of adjuvant T. Patients in group A were older (p=0.013), had larger tumors (p=0.004) and more frequently hormone receptor-negative disease (p&lt;0.001). No significant difference in patterns of first DDFS event was observed (p=0.073); however, a numerically higher number of patients in group A compared to group B developed brain metastasis (26% vs. 15%). First-line anti-HER2 therapy was received by 57% of the patients. Choice of first-line anti-HER2 therapy was different between the two groups (p=0.022): the majority of patients received T in both groups (61% vs. 65% in groups A and B, respectively), while more patients in group A received L (25% vs. 11%) and less received pertuzumab (8% vs. 17%). OS survival was significantly shorter in group A compared to group B: median OS was 18.4 and 29.3 months in groups A and B, respectively (adjusted HR 0.69; 95% CI 0.54-0.89; p=0.004). Similar results were observed after the exclusion of patients treated with first-line pertuzumab-based therapy (n=29): median OS was 18.2 and 26.8 months in groups A and B, respectively (adjusted HR 0.66; 95% CI 0.51-0.86; p=0.002). Better outcomes in terms of OS for patients in group B was observed across all analyzed subgroups with no interaction according to hormone receptor status (p=0.814) nor type of adjuvant anti-HER2 treatment (p=0.233): hormone receptor-positive (adjusted HR 0.69; 95% CI 0.48-0.99), hormone receptor-negative (adjusted HR 0.68; 95% CI 0.48-0.98), T+L arm (adjusted HR 0.55; 95% CI 0.38-0.80) and T arm (adjusted HR 0.80; 95% CI 0.55-1.17). Conclusions: In the ALTTO trial, HER2-positive early breast cancer patients who experienced shorter TFI (i.e. &lt;12 months vs. &gt;12 months) following adjuvant T-based therapy had inferior OS after the diagnosis of distant recurrence. Given its prognostic value, TFI can help to individualize clinical recommendations and to design future trials in the metastatic setting for patients relapsing after prior exposure to anti-HER2 therapy for early disease. Citation Format: Matteo Lambertini, Dominique Agbor-Tarh, Otto Metzger-Filho, Noam Ponde, Francesca Poggio, Florentine Hilbers, Larissa A Korde, Saranya Chumsri, Olena Werner, Lucia Del Mastro, Rafael Caparica, Volker Moebus, Alvaro Moreno-Aspitia, Martine Piccart, Evandro de Azambuja. Prognostic role of distant disease-free interval from completion of adjuvant trastuzumab in HER2-positive early breast cancer: Analysis from the ALTTO (BIG 2-06) trial [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2020 San Antonio Breast Cancer Virtual Symposium; 2020 Dec 8-11; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2021;81(4 Suppl):Abstract nr PD3-04.