Noseworthy, Peter A.

Abstract Aims Artificial intelligence (AI) has the potential to transform cardiac electrophysiology (EP), particularly in arrhythmia detection, procedural optimization, and patient outcome prediction. However, a standardized approach to reporting and understanding AI-related research in EP is lacking. This scientific statement aims to develop and apply a checklist for AI-related research reporting in EP to enhance transparency, reproducibility, and understandability in the field. Methods and results An AI checklist specific to EP was developed with expert input from the writing group and voted on using a modified Delphi process, leading to the development of a 29-item checklist. The checklist was subsequently applied to assess reporting practices to identify areas where improvements could be made and provide an overview of the state of the art in AI-related EP research in three domains from May 2021 until May 2024: atrial fibrillation (AF) management, sudden cardiac death (SCD), and EP lab applications. The EHRA AI checklist was applied to 31 studies in AF management, 18 studies in SCD, and 6 studies in EP lab applications. Results differed between the different domains, but in no domain reporting of a specific item exceeded 55% of included papers. Key areas such as trial registration, participant details, data handling, and training performance were underreported (<20%). The checklist application highlighted areas where reporting practices could be improved to promote clearer, more comprehensive AI research in EP. Conclusion The EHRA AI checklist provides a structured framework for reporting AI research in EP. Its use can improve understanding but also enhance the reproducibility and transparency of AI studies, fostering more robust and reliable integration of AI into clinical EP practice.

INTRODUCTION: Building on prior results, we hypothesized that an electrocardiogram (ECG)-enabled machine learning (ML) model could be used to detect advanced chronic liver disease (CLD). METHODS: A cohort with CLD and 12-lead ECGs was matched with controls from electronic health records. A ML model was trained as a binary classifier. RESULTS: There are 12,930 patients with CLD and 64,577 controls in the cohort. The model's discriminative ability to classify CLD showed an area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve 0.858 (95% confidence interval: 0.850–0.866), and at the chosen threshold, CLD ECGs had 12 times higher odds of being classified as CLD (diagnostic odds ratio 12.33, 95% confidence interval: 11.16–13.63). DISCUSSION: An ECG-enabled ML model affords great promise in identifying advanced CLD in low resource areas.

Hypertension is the leading modifiable risk factor for atrial fibrillation (AF) and is estimated to be present in >70% of AF patients. This Frontiers Review was prepared by 29 expert members of the AF-SCREEN International Collaboration to summarize existing evidence and knowledge gaps on links between hypertension, AF, and their cardiovascular sequelae; simultaneous screening for hypertension and AF; and the prevention of AF through antihypertensive therapy. Hypertension and AF are inextricably connected. Both are easily diagnosed, often silent, and frequently treated inadequately. Together, they additively increase the risk of ischemic stroke, heart failure, and many types of dementia, resulting in greater all-cause mortality, considerable disease burden, and increased health care expenditures. Automated upper arm cuff blood pressure devices with implemented technology can be used to simultaneously detect both hypertension and AF. However, positive screening for AF with an oscillometric blood pressure monitor still requires ECG confirmation. The current evidence suggests that high-risk individuals aged ≥65 years or with treatment-resistant hypertension could benefit from AF screening. Since antihypertensive therapy effectively lowers AF risk, particularly in individuals with left ventricular dysfunction, hypertension should be the key target for AF prediction and prevention rather than merely a comorbidity of AF. Nevertheless, several important gaps in knowledge need to be filled over the next years, including the ideal method and selection of patients for simultaneous screening of hypertension and AF and the optimal antihypertensive drug class and blood pressure targets for AF prevention.

Background Left ventricular diastolic dysfunction (LVDD) predicts mortality in patients in cardiac intensive care units. An artificial intelligence enhanced ECG (AIECG) algorithm can predict LVDD and mortality in general populations but has not been examined in cardiac intensive care units. Methods This historical cohort study included consecutive adults admitted to Mayo Clinic cardiac intensive care unit from 2007 to 2018 with an admission AIECG. The AIECG assigned the LVDD grade (0–3). Medial mitral E/e' ratio >15 on transthoracic echocardiogram (TTE) defined elevated filling pressures. In‐hospital and 1‐year mortality was evaluated, before and after multivariable adjustment. Results We included 11 868 patients (median age 69.5 years, 37.7% female); 48% had heart failure and 44% had acute coronary syndromes. AIECG LVDD grade was 0 (normal), 33%; 1, 7%; 2, 39%; and 3, 21%. In‐hospital and 1‐year mortality increased in each higher AIECG LVDD grade. After adjustment, each higher AIECG LVDD grade was associated with higher in‐hospital (adjusted odds ratio [OR], 1.22 [95% CI, 1.13–1.32]) and 1‐year mortality (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 1.23 [95% CI, 1.19–1.29]); this persisted after adjustment for TTE measurements. Patients with grade 2 or 3 LVDD by AIECG and medial mitral E/e' ratio >15 by TTE had the highest in‐hospital (adjusted OR, 2.54 [95% CI, 1.69–3.88]) and 1‐year (adjusted HR, 2.03 [95% CI, 1.65–2.48]) mortality, whereas patients meeting either of these criteria had similar, elevated mortality. Conclusions The AIECG LVDD grade was strongly associated with in‐hospital and 1‐year mortality in patients in cardiac intensive care units, even after adjusting for clinical variables and TTE measurements. Patients with concordant AIECG and TTE for elevated filling pressures were at highest risk.

Migraine with aura(MwA) is associated with an increased risk of stroke and adverse vascular outcomes compared to those with migraine without aura (MwoA). AI-ECG prediction models developed at our institution can evaluate the probability of atrial fibrillation (AF) and estimate a patient’s age based on a normal sinus rhythm (NSR) ECG. Delta age, AI-ECG estimated age minus chronological age, indicates endothelial dysfunction and is associated with cardiovascular mortality. We aim to assess how AI-ECG prediction model outputs, specifically the AF probability and delta age, are associated with adverse vascular outcomes in patients with migraine. Adult patients diagnosed with MwA and MwoA from 2000-2020 with at least one digital, standard 12-lead ECG were identified. The first ECG that showed NSR is used as the index ECG. Patients with any adverse vascular outcomes before the index ECG were excluded. Adverse vascular outcomes used as endpoints include acute ischemic stroke, acute myocardial infarction, deep vein thrombosis/pulmonary embolism, AF, and carotid artery dissection. A total of 31301 patients (13783 MwA, 17518 MwoA) were included in our analysis. The mean age at the time of the index ECG was 44.3 (14.5), and the average follow-up time was 71.6 (69.8) months. Based on the index ECG, the mean AF probability was significantly higher in MwA compared to MwoA (2.39 vs 2.06, p< 0.001), while the delta age was lower in MwA compared to MwoA (3.7 vs 4.2, p <.001). The prevalences of all vascular outcomes are summarized in Table 1. Multivariate Cox regression models showed that a higher AF prediction model output (every 10% increase), as well as a higher delta age (every 10-year increase), are associated with an increased risk of composite vascular outcomes (HR1.20, 95%CI 1.17-1.23, p<.001, and HR1.19, 95%CI 1.14-1.23, p < .001) [Table 2]. The Kaplan-Meier curve of adverse vascular outcome-free survival by AF prediction model output, using 1% as the cutoff (HR 1.49, 95% CI 1.41, 1.57, p<.001), and by delta age, using 2-year as the cutoff (HR 1.14, 95% CI 1.08, 1.21, p <. 001) are presented in Figure 1. Having aura, older age, male, coronary artery disease, congestive heart failure, diabetes, hypertension, and tobacco use were also associated with a higher risk of adverse vascular outcomes. Our results demonstrated the potential of using AI-ECG AF prediction model output and delta age to identify migraine patients at risk for adverse vascular outcomes.

Abstract Background Moderate-severe mitral annulus calcification (MAC) and left ventricular (LV) diastolic dysfunction are both linked to increased risks of heart failure and mortality. Assessing LV diastolic function (LVDF) in moderate-severe-MAC by echocardiography is frequently challenging and unreliable. We recently validated an AI-ECG model for LVDF. We aimed to determine if this tool can predict long-term mortality in patients with moderate-severe-MAC and whether it can help establish MAC-specific echocardiographic LVDF parameter cutoffs. Methods This retrospective study included all patients from the AI-ECG LVDF study test cohort who underwent comprehensive transthoracic echocardiography confirming moderate-severe-MAC and ECG within fourteen days of each other at Mayo Clinic between 09/2001 and 06/2022. AI-ECG LVDF was determined based on the index ECG. Patients were categorized based on AI-ECG into groups representing normal/grade-1 LVDF, grade-2 LVDF, or grade-3 LVDG (DF-1, DF-2, and DF-3, respectively). Results Of 2,506 patients with moderate-severe-MAC [mean age 77, 64.1% females], 709 (28.3%), 1,510 (60.3%), and 287 (11.5%) were classified as DF-1, DF-2, and DF-3, respectively. Worse LVDF grade was associated with older age, male sex, lower LV ejection fraction, and higher rates of noncardiovascular and cardiovascular comorbidities. Over a median follow-up of 2.8 years, 1,059 (42.3%) patients died. In multivariable survival analysis, DF-2 [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 1.43, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) 1.21-1.68] and DF-3 (aHR 1.54, 95%CI 1.22-1.93) were independently associated with a higher risk of death (figure). Findings were also consistent after adjusting to mitral inflow gradients. When comparing LVDF echocardiographic parameters in controls without MAC matched by age, sex, left ventricular ejection fraction, and AI-ECG DF grade, significant differences were observed. Patients with moderate to severe MAC generally exhibited lower e' velocities, higher TR velocities, elevated E/e' ratios, and increased LAVi. Interestingly, the E/A ratio between MAC patients and their matched controls across AI-ECG LVDF grades remained consistent. Conclusion AI-ECG LVDF predicts mortality risk in patients with moderate-severe-MAC, regardless of mitral inflow gradients. Utilizing AI-ECG LVDF might aid in the risk stratification of patients with significant MAC.

Abstract Background AI-enhanced electrocardiogram (AI-ECG) is a cost-effective tool for left ventricular dysfunction screening. However, its cost-effectiveness for other forms of structural heart disease (SHD) is unknown. While AI-ECG is inexpensive, the relatively low positive predictive value (PPV) of many models can lead to high costs from unnecessary follow-up tests like transthoracic echocardiography (TTE). Therefore, strategies to improve the yield of AI-ECG-based screening are needed. Purpose To evaluate the cost savings of a stepwise approach to SHD screening using AI-ECG followed by point-of-care ultrasound (POCUS) compared to AI-ECG alone. Methods 286 adult outpatients undergoing AI-ECG were randomly selected to undergo same-day POCUS. All participants were required to have a recent TTE, our gold standard for SHD diagnosis, for comparison purposes. We evaluated four SHDs: aortic stenosis, cardiac amyloidosis, hypertrophic cardiomyopathy, and left ventricular dysfunction (defined as left ventricular ejection fraction &lt;50%). The costs of AI-ECG ($75/test) and TTE ($1,305/test) were sourced from Healthcare Bluebook, while the cost of POCUS ($100/test) was independently estimated. We compared the costs of screening with AI-ECG alone to stepwise screening with AI-ECG followed by POCUS. Costs were analyzed for two paradigms: screening for all forms of SHD in parallel and screening for each SHD individually. Results AI-ECG alone identified potential SHD in 125 out of 286 patients. When compared to TTE, only 39 out of 125 were true positives (31% PPV). Among the AI-ECG-positive patients, POCUS demonstrated findings of SHD in 52 out of 125 cases. When compared to TTE, this stepwise approach yielded 32 true positives and 20 false positives (62% PPV). In the parallel screening paradigm, the cost per patient diagnosed with SHD was $4,733 with AI-ECG alone, which decreased to $3,182 with stepwise screening (33% cost savings). For the individual SHD screening paradigm, cost reductions were as follows: aortic stenosis ($18,724 to $6,315, 66% savings), cardiac amyloidosis ($21,023 to $12,230, 42% savings), hypertrophic cardiomyopathy ($9,883 to $6,175, 38% savings), and left ventricular dysfunction ($4,019 to $3,582, 11% savings). Conclusions Stepwise SDH screening with AI-ECG followed by POCUS markedly reduces costs compared to AI-ECG alone. The greatest cost savings for individual SHD screening were observed for aortic stenosis and cardiac amyloidosis, conditions where AI-ECG models have lower PPVs. Parallel screening for multiple SHDs is also less costly than screening for any individual SHD alone. Therefore, a parallel screening approach may maximize SHD detection while minimizing screening costs. Stepwise Screening Approach for SHD SDH Screening Costs

AbstractBackgroundThere is increasing need for noninvasive biomarkers of Alzheimer’s Disease (AD) neuropathologic change for early detection and intervention through risk‐factor modification and disease‐modifying therapies. One such biomarker is the prediction of chronological age from routine clinical tests such as an electrocardiogram (EKG) to discriminate between observed biological age from chronological age for healthy aging. Deviation of true age from predicted age has been associated with heart failure, hypertension, and coronary heart disease. However, the association between EKG‐based age and underlying neuropathology has not been studied.MethodWe used a cohort of 336 participants from the Mayo Clinic Study of Aging, a population‐based prospective study of residents in Olmsted County, Minnesota, with antemortem EKG and post‐mortem brain autopsy (Table 1 & 2). Age was predicted from EKG using a validated convolutional neural network algorithm. We used ordinal logistic regression to identify associations between lower neuropathologic scores of AD (Thal phase, neuritic plaque score, Braak stage, and overall AD neuropathologic change) and the Age‐Gap, defined as EKG‐predicted age minus chronological age. Results were controlled for true age, sex, and APOE e4 carrier status. Neuropathologic scales were grouped into none, low, intermediate, and high categories. Observations were weighted by the inverse of years between last EKG and time of death to account for the time difference between acquisition of EKG and autopsy.ResultWe found that an increasing Age‐Gap (i.e. older predicted age) was inversely associated with lower overall AD neuropathologic change (OR 0.93 [0.89, 0.97], p = 0.002). Investigation of the components of AD neuropathologic change showed that an increasing Age‐Gap was also inversely associated with lower amyloid metrics such as Thal phase (OR 0.85 [0.80, 0.89], p < 0.001) and neuritic plaque scores (OR 0.91 [0.87, 0.96], p < 0.001), but not tau metrics like Braak staging (OR 1.05 [1.00, 1.10], p = 0.05).ConclusionIn this work, we show that older predicted age on EKG, a noninvasive biomarker associated with vascular and biological aging, is associated with higher amyloid burden and neuropathologic change of AD.

Abstract Objective To evaluate the effectiveness of multiple decision aid strategies in promoting high quality shared decision making for prevention of stroke in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation. Design Cluster randomized controlled trial. Setting Six academic medical centers in the United States. Participants Patient participants were aged ≥18 with a diagnosis of non-valvular atrial fibrillation, at risk for stroke (CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc ≥1 for men, ≥2 for women), and scheduled for a clinical appointment to discuss stroke prevention strategies. Participating clinicians were those who manage stroke prevention strategies for participating patients. Intervention Patients were randomized to use a patient decision aid or usual care; clinicians were randomized to use an encounter decision aid or usual care with all participating patients. Main outcome measures Primary outcome measures were quality of shared decision making measured by OPTION12, knowledge of atrial fibrillation and its management, and decisional conflict. Results 1117 participants across six sites were included in the analysis. Compared with usual care, the combined use of both the patient decision aid and the encounter decision aid improved the quality of shared decision making (adjusted mean difference 12.1 (95% confidence interval (CI) 8.0 to 16.2; P<0.001), improved patients’ knowledge (odds ratio 1.68 (95% CI 1.35 to 2.09; P<0.001), and reduced patients’ decisional conflict (adjusted mean difference −6.3 (95% CI −9.6 to −3.1; P<0.001). Statistically significant improvements were also observed with the encounter decision aid alone versus usual care for all three outcomes and with the patient decision aid alone versus usual care for quality of shared decision making and knowledge. No important differences were observed in treatment choices for stroke prevention or in participants’ satisfaction. No statistically significant difference in the length of visit across study groups was detected. Conclusion Patients who received any decision aid (encounter decision aid, patient decision aid, or both) had lower decisional conflict, better shared decision making, and greater knowledge than those receiving no decision aid, except for the effect of the patient decision aid on decisional conflict, which did not reach statistical significance. The study establishes that use of either pre-visit or in-visit decision aids individually or in combination is advantageous compared with usual care. Trial registration ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04357288 .

Background Multimorbidity is common in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), yet comorbidity patterns are not well documented. Methods The prevalence of 18 chronic conditions (6 cardiometabolic, 7 other somatic, 5 mental health) was obtained in patients with new-onset AF from 2013-2017 from a 27-county region and controls matched 1:1 on age, sex, and county of residence. For AF patients and controls separately, clustering of conditions and co-occurrence beyond chance was estimated (using the asymmetric Somers’ D statistic), overall and for ages <65, 65-74, 75-84, and ≥85 years. Results Among 16,509 patients with AF (median age 76 years, 57% men), few (4%) did not have any of the 18 chronic conditions, whereas nearly one-quarter of controls (23%) did not have any chronic conditions. Clustering of cardiometabolic conditions was common in both AF patients and controls, but clustering of other somatic conditions was more common in AF. Although the prevalence of most condition pairs was higher in AF patients, controls had a larger number of condition pairs occurring together beyond chance. In persons aged <65 years, AF patients more frequently exhibited concordance of condition pairs that included either pairs of somatic conditions or a combination of conditions from different condition groups. In persons aged 65-74 years, AF patients more frequently had pairs of other somatic conditions. Conclusion Patterns of co-existing conditions differed between patients with AF and controls, particularly in younger ages. A better understanding of the clinical consequences of multimorbidity in AF patients, including those diagnosed at younger ages, is needed.