Petersen, Ronald C.

Despite much attention to the use of biomarkers for predicting Alzheimer disease, little information is available at the individual level. We used the population‐based Mayo Clinic Study of Aging to estimate absolute risk of cognitive impairment by biomarker group. Risk increased with age and any biomarker abnormality. For example, a 75‐year‐old with abnormal amyloid and cortical thinning biomarkers has about a 20% chance of cognitive impairment by age 80 years, whereas with normal biomarkers the chance is <10%. Persons with only one abnormal biomarker had similar intermediate risks. ANN NEUROL 2019;85:155–160.

AbstractBackgroundElevated uptake of the [18F]AV‐1451 tau‐PET ligand has been observed cross‐sectionally in subjects with progressive supranuclear palsy (PSP). However, it is unknown how the ligand performs longitudinally in PSP. We aimed to determine how regional measures of change on [18F]AV‐1451 PET perform as longitudinal biomarkers of PSP compared with the more established biomarker of rate of midbrain atrophy.MethodsSixteen subjects with PSP underwent 2 serial [18F]AV‐1451 tau‐PET scans and 3‐Tesla MRI over 12 months and were age‐ and sex‐matched to 39 healthy controls with longitudinal [18F]AV‐1451 PET. Median [18F]AV‐1451 uptake was calculated for each scan for regions of interest across the brain and divided by uptake in cerebellar crus to create standard uptake value ratios. Midbrain volume on MRI was also calculated for each scan. Sample sizes required to power placebo‐controlled treatment trials were calculated.ResultsRate of midbrain atrophy was significantly increased in PSP compared with controls. [18F]AV‐1451 regional change measures were significantly increased in PSP compared with controls in the pallidum, precentral cortex, dentate nucleus of the cerebellum, and midbrain. Change over time in the PSP Rating Scale correlated with change in midbrain volume but did not correlate with change in the [18F]AV‐1451 measures. Smallest sample‐size estimates were obtained with rate of midbrain atrophy, followed by the PSP Rating Scale, with both outperforming [18F]AV‐1451 measures.Conclusions[18F]AV‐1451 tau‐PET measures increase over time in subjects with PSP, but longitudinal [18F]AV‐1451 measures may not perform as well as rate of midbrain atrophy as biomarkers for PSP clinical trials. © 2018 International Parkinson and Movement Disorder Society

Objectives To examine the cross‐sectional association between functional performance and Alzheimer's disease (AD) neuroimaging biomarkers in individuals without dementia (cognitively unimpaired (CU), and those with mild cognitive impairment (MCI)). Design Cross‐sectional. Setting Olmsted County, Minnesota. Participants Population‐based Mayo Clinic Study of Aging (MCSA) participants (aged ≥ 50, mean age 71.3 ± 10.2; 53.4% male; 28.3% apolipoprotein (APO)E ε4 allele carriers, 1,578 CU, 204 MCI) who underwent 11 C‐Pittsburgh compound B ( 11 C‐PiB) positron emission tomography (PET) (N=1,782). Measurements We defined an abnormal (high) 11 C‐PiB‐PET retention ratio as a standardized uptake value ratio greater than 1.42 (high amyloid; A+), abnormal (reduced) AD signature cortical thickness (neurodegeneration; N+) as less than 2.67 mm (MRI measurement), and biomarker groups according to the combination of abnormality (or not) for amyloid accumulation (A+/A–) and neurodegeneration (N+/N–). Functional performance was assessed using the Clinical Dementia Rating (CDR) Sum of Boxes (SOB) for functional domains and the Functional Activities Questionnaire (FAQ). Results Participants with a CDR‐SOB (functional) score greater than 0 were almost 4 times as likely to have N + (odds ratio (OR)=3.92, 95% confidence interval (CI)=1.77–8.67, adjusting for age, sex, education, global cognitive z‐score, and APOE ε4 allele status; p<.001) and those with a FAQ score greater than 0 were 1.5 times as likely to have A + (OR=1.48, 95% CI=1.04–2.11, p=.03). Higher FAQ scores were associated with greater odds of A+N + and A–N + in CU participants. Conclusion The findings of this cross‐sectional study supplement limited available information that supports an association between functional performance and AD neuroimaging biomarkers very early in the dementia pathophysiology. The associations should be validated in longitudinal studies. J Am Geriatr Soc 66:2274–2281, 2018 .