Hogan, William J.

Abstract Allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplant (alloHCT) is considered for all patients with myeloid neoplasms (MNs) harboring TP53 mutations (TP53mut). The aim of this international study across 7 transplant centers in the United States and Australia was to identify factors associated with improved post-alloHCT survival. Of 134 TP53mut MN cases who underwent alloHCT, 80% harbored complex karyotype; 94% of TP53 variants were localized to the DNA-binding domain (DBD). Most common comutations were ASXL1 (7%), TET2 (7%), and DNMT3A (6%). Median post-HCT survival was 1.03 years, and overall survival (OS) at 1 year, 2 years, and 3 years was 51.4%, 35.1%, and 25.1%, respectively. A total of 103 cases (76.9%) met the International Consensus Classification (ICC) criteria for MN with mutated TP53 (referred to as ICC-defined TP53mut MN hereafter). The 3-year OS of ICC-defined TP53mut was significantly shorter compared with that of other TP53mut MNs (3-year OS, 16.9% vs 54.9%; P = .002). ICC-defined TP53mut MNs was independently associated with inferior OS (hazard ratio [HR], 2.62; P = .019). The presence of non-DBD TP53mut only (HR, 3.40; P = .005), DNMT3A comutation (HR, 2.64; P = .016), and pre-alloHCT bone marrow blasts ≥5% (HR, 2.76; P = .006) was independently associated with inferior relapse-free survival (RFS), whereas melphalan-based conditioning was associated with superior RFS (HR, 0.52; P = .005). Combining these variables, we constructed a hierarchical model that stratified patients into low-, intermediate-, and high-risk categories with 1-year RFS of 81.3%, 31.3%, and 6.7%, respectively (P < .001). In conclusion, a subset of MN harboring TP53mut who have low blasts pre-alloHCT and received melphalan-based conditioning derived long-term benefit from alloHCT.

Abstract This retrospective analysis aimed to provide evidence-based risk stratification of TP53-mutated (TP53mut) myeloid neoplasms (MNs). Of 580 MNs harboring TP53mut with variant allele frequency (VAF) ≥2%, 219 (37.8%), 194 (33.4%), 92 (15.9%), and 75 (12.9%) were classified as acute myeloid leukemia (AML), myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS) with low blasts (MDS-LB), MDS with excess blasts (MDS-EB)-2, and -EB1 according to the revised fourth edition of the World Health Organization (WHO) classification, respectively. Hierarchical analysis identified the following 4 risk groups with distinct survival: (1) MDS-LB, (2) MDS-EB1/EB2/AML VAF <10%, (3) MDS-EB1/EB2 VAF ≥10%, and (4) AML VAF ≥10%. We next evaluated the impact of allelic status, VAF, and complex karyotype (CK). In our cohort, the significance of biallelic status was limited to MDS with <5% blasts and not for blasts 5% to 9%, as proposed by the International Consensus Classification (ICC), or 5% to 19%, as proposed by the fifth edition of the WHO (WHO-5). MDS-EB1 and -EB2 with VAF ≥10% had comparable survival (9.6 vs 7.2 months; P = .12), regardless of allelic status. Contrary to the ICC proposal, MDS-EB1/EB2 with VAF <10% and CK had poor survival compared with those without CK, comparable to MDS-EB1/EB2 with VAF ≥10% (5.6 vs 26.2 vs 6.3 months; P = .003). Survival of TP53mut AML was poor (median 3.9 months) regardless of allelic/CK status. Thus, using ICC or WHO-5 may underestimate prognosis of MDS with blasts 5% to 19% and 5% to 9%, respectively. Collectively, the hierarchical model acknowledges poor survival of 91.9% TP53mut MDS and AML compared with 36.5% and 80.7% by WHO-5 and ICC, respectively.

ABSTRACTTransplant‐associated thrombotic microangiopathy (TA‐TMA) is an endothelial dysfunction syndrome observed after allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplant (alloHCT). Our aim was to externally validate the impact of high‐risk features on the clinical outcomes of adult patients meeting the updated TA‐TMA harmonizing criteria. Between 2005 and 2022, 99 patients were diagnosed with TA‐TMA at Mayo Clinic Rochester (incidence 6.2%) after a median of 137 days post alloHCT (IQR: 34–283 days). The development of TA‐TMA was associated with an inferior overall survival posttransplant (HR: 3.8, 95% CI: 2.97–4.72). High‐risk features, including concomitant infection, acute graft‐versus‐host disease (GVHD), and organ dysfunction, were associated with poor survival, while LDH elevation was not associated with inferior outcomes. The most common treatment strategy for TA‐TMA was discontinuation of calcineurin or mTOR inhibitors in 80 (81%) patients. Thirty (37.5%) patients experienced worsening of GVHD with this strategy, of which 26 (86.7%) patients had died at last follow‐up. The most common cause of death among these patients was worsening GVHD (69%; n = 18), followed by infection (11%; n = 3), disease relapse (8%; n = 2), other/unknown causes (8%; n = 2), or TA‐TMA (4%; n = 1). Objective response rate (ORR) to initial treatment for the cohort was 56.6%. Eculizumab was used in 11 patients with an observed ORR of 70%, including 5 complete responses. In conclusion, TA‐TMA remains a significant contributor to non‐relapse mortality and is associated with worse survival following alloHCT. Not all high‐risk features, particularly LDH elevation, have consistently demonstrated a negative impact in adult cohorts. Patients with TA‐TMA may benefit from immune suppression dose adjustment, rather than a discontinuation, and the addition of complement‐directed therapy, particularly among high‐risk patients.

ABSTRACT Patients with newly diagnosed acute myeloid leukemia (ND‐AML) derive variable survival benefit from venetoclax + hypomethylating agent (Ven‐HMA) therapy. The primary objective in the current study was to develop genetic risk models that are predictive of survival and are applicable at the time of diagnosis and after establishing treatment response. Among 400 ND‐AML patients treated with Ven‐HMA at the Mayo Clinic, 247 (62%) achieved complete remission with (CR) or without (CRi) count recovery. Multivariable analysis–derived hazard ratios (HR), including 1.8 for European LeukemiaNet (ELN) adverse karyotype, 4.7 for KMT2Ar , 1.7 for TP53 MUT , 2.6 for KRAS MUT , and 2.1 for IDH2 WT were applied to develop an HR‐weighted risk model: low, intermediate, and high; respective median survival censored for allogeneic stem cell transplant (ASCT) (3‐year survival) were “not reached” (67%), 19.1 (33%), and 7.1 months (0%). In patients achieving CR/CRi, adverse karyotype, KMT2Ar , KRAS MUT , IDH2 WT predicted inferior survival, allowing for a complementary response‐stratified risk model. The model was externally validated and was shown to be superior to the ELN 2024 risk model (AIC 179 vs. 195 and AUC 0.77 vs. 0.69). Survival was inferior with failure to achieve CR/CRi or not receiving ASCT; 3‐year survival for high‐risk with or without ASCT was 42% versus 0% ( p < 0.01); intermediate 72% versus 43% ( p = 0.06); and low‐risk 88% versus 78% ( p = 0.53). The Mayo genetic risk models offer pre‐treatment and response‐based prognostic tools for ND‐AML treated with Ven‐HMA. The current study underscores the prognostically indispensable role of achieving CR/CRi and ASCT.

Introduction: Post-transplant cyclophosphamide (PTCy) has emerged as the new standard of care for graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) prophylaxis following reduced-intensity conditioning (RIC) allogeneic stem cell transplant (alloSCT). The BMT CTN 1703 phase III trial demonstrated superior GVHD/relapse or progression-free survival (GRFS) in patients receiving PTCy, without affecting relapse risk. The primary objective of this study was to compare the risk of relapse in high-risk myeloid neoplasms post RIC/Nonmyeloablative (NMA) transplant using PTCy vs Tacrolimus/Methotrexate (TAC/MTX) as GVHD prophylaxis (PPX). Methods: We retrospectively reviewed patients with high-risk myeloid neoplasms following RIC/NMA alloSCT who received PTCy or TAC/MTX for GVHD PPX between Jan 2018 and June 2023. Criteria for high-risk myeloid neoplasms included acute myeloid leukemia (AML) with ≥1 of the following (complex or monosomal karyotype, TP53, WT1, FLT3 ITD+/NPM1-, active disease, MRD+, secondary AML), Myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS) with ≥1 of the following (complex karyotype, monosomal karyotype, TP53, RAS pathway mutation, marrow blast of 10% or more) or chronic myelomonocytic leukemia (CMML). Kaplan-Meier and log-rank tests were used to estimate overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS). Non-relapse mortality (NRM) and relapse incidence (RI) were calculated using competing risk analysis. Factors with P&lt;0.10 in univariate analysis were included in multivariate analysis Results: Out of 552 alloSCTs, 108 (19.5%) patients met the inclusion criteria. Seventy-two (66.6%) received TAC/MTX, and 36 (33.3%) received PTCy. The median follow-up time was 26 months (range 3-68). The median age at transplant was 65 years (range 62-69) with age comparable between the two groups (p=0.6). Haploidentical transplant accounted for 33.3% of PTCy, while the remainder had matched related or matched unrelated transplant (MRD/MUD). Compared to TAC/MTX group, the PTCy group had more frequent NRAS mutation (19.4% vs 8.3%, p=0.094), but fewer patients with hematopoietic cell transplantation-specific comorbidity index (HCT-CI) ≥ 3(41.7% vs 61.1%, p=0.056). AML MRD+ was more prevalent in the PTCy group (22.2% vs 8.3%, p=0.098). The two groups were otherwise well-balanced in terms of disease distribution, disease risk index, TP53 mutation, and complex monosomal karyotype (CK and MK). The 1-yr OS, DFS, and GRFS for PTCy vs TAC/MTX were 78.7% vs 72.8% (p=0.9), 53.6% vs 67.9% (p=0.2), 38% vs 40%, (p=0.4), respectively. The 1-yr cumulative incidence of relapse (CIR) was higher in PTCy compared to TAC/MTX (37.6% vs 11.1%, p=0.01). Both haploidentical and MRD/MUD in the PTCy group had similar 1-yr RI (34.7 vs 38.3% p=0.7). Limiting the analysis to MRD/MUD, the PTCy group had a higher risk of relapse compared to TAC/MTX (34.7% vs 10.2%, P=0.007). Sub-analysis showed a higher 1-yr-CIR in the PTCy cohort for secondary AML (40% vs 0.0%, p=0.01), TP53 mutation (44.4% vs 18.1%, p=0.02), CK/MK (71.4% vs 22.2%, P=0.008), and chromosome 17 abnormality (60% vs 10%, P=0.001), compared to TAC/MTX. Despite of the increased CIR in the PTCy group, only patients with chromosome 17 abnormality receiving PTCy had an inferior DFS compared to TAC/MTX (median 5 vs. 14 months, p=0.008). In multivariate analysis for 1-yr CIR that included TP53, chromatin modifiers mutations, complex karyotype, high/very high DRI, and PTCy, both PTCy (HR 4.56, 95% CI 1.1-18.07, p=0.031) and high/very high DRI (HR 12.745, 95% CI 1.5-103.4, p=0.017) were independently predictive of post-transplant relapse. However, these factors were not significantly associated with 1-year OS. Conclusion:In patients with high-risk MN following RIC/NMA alloSCT, those receiving PTCy as GVHD PPX had a higher risk of relapse compared to TAC/MTX, irrespective of the donor source. Notably, an inferior DFS was observed only in patients with chromosome 17 abnormality who received PTCy. Despite of the increased relapse risk in the PTCy group, OS, DFS, and GRFS were comparable to TAC/MTX, likely due to higher risk of GVHD and NRM in the latter group.

Background: There is an increased risk of second primary malignancies including second hematological malignancies (SHM) in multiple myeloma (MM) patients undergoing autologous stem cell transplant (auto-SCT) followed by lenalidomide maintenance. We analyzed the characteristics and outcomes of patients who developed SHM after an auto- SCT for MM. Methods: A retrospective study of all MM patients who underwent auto- SCT at Mayo Clinic, Rochester between January 1, 1990, and 31 August 2023 and later developed SHM. Demographic, clinical and pathologic data were collected retrospectively. Overall survival (OS) was calculated from the date of auto-SCT to the date of last follow up. Statistical analyses were performed using GraphPad prism 9.0. Chi-square test was used to calculate the difference between categorical variables. Kaplan Meier method and log rank test were used to estimate OS. Results: Among 3513 patients who underwent at least 1 auto-SCT, 104 (2.9%) developed a SHM at a median follow up of 59 (range, 0.2-265) months. Patients who developed SHM, more frequently received pretransplant alkylating agents (37.5 vs 24.2 %, odds ratio [OR], 1.87; P=0.003) and topoisomerase II inhibitors (anthracyclines/etoposide) (17.3% vs 10.4%, OR [1.79]; P=0.03) compared to a control group of MM patients without SHM. Further, exposure to lenalidomide (77.8% vs 57.6%, OR[2.59]; P &lt;0.0001) and radiation therapy (32.6% vs 23.1%, [1.54]; P=0.04) were more often seen in the SHM cohort compared to control group. Among the 381 patients who underwent &gt; 1 auto- SCT, 3.1% developed SHM. Therapy related myeloid neoplasms (t-MN) accounted for 90.3% of cases [n=94; t-myelodysplastic syndrome (t-MDS=64), t-acute myeloid leukemia (t-AML=12), t-MDS transformed to AML(n=16), chronic myeloid leukemia (n=1), MDS/myeloproliferative neoplasm overlap syndrome (n=1)]. Eight patients (7.6%) developed therapy related B- cell acute lymphoblastic leukemia (t-ALL); Philadelphia (Ph) negative ALL (n=7) and Ph- like ALL (n=1). One patient each developed mixed phenotype acute leukemia and acute leukemia, not otherwise specified. Sixty patients (57.6%) were males and the median age at diagnosis of SHM was 70 (range, 43-84) years. The median time from auto-SCT to diagnosis of SHM was 58.5 (range, 7-236) months. In a multivariate analysis, receiving an alkylating agent (hazard ratio [95% confidence interval]: 2.51 [1.54 to 4.01]; P = 0.0002) and/or topoisomerase II inhibitor as induction for MM (3.12 [1.59 to 5.88]; P = 0.0006), exposure to lenalidomide (7.08 [3.92 to 13.50]; P = &lt;0.0001) and radiation therapy (1.60 [1.02 to 2.44]; P = 0.03) were independent predictors of developing SHM. At diagnosis, 57% (n=37) of t-MDS and 71% (n=20) with t-AML had high risk disease per R-IPSS and 2022 European Leukemia Net respectively. Clonal abnormality in chromosome 5 and/or 7 was present in 45% (n=42) of patients. Complex and monosomal karyotype was seen in 32% (n=30) with t-MN. The most frequently mutated genes based on next generation sequencing data included TP53 (n=33), DNMT3A (n=9), RUNX1 (n=5), TET2 (n=4) and CEBPA (n=4). In the t-MDS/AML cohort, 3 patients (3.1%) underwent second auto-SCT and 9 (9.5%) received allogenic SCT (allo-SCT) for SHM. After a median follow-up of 27.2 months, the median OS from t-MDS/AML diagnosis was 8.04 months (95%CI, 6.1-11.0 months) and there was no difference in median OS for allo-SCT recipients versus nonrecipients (9.1 vs 6.8 months, P =0.19). In the t-ALL (n=8) cohort, all of them received lenalidomide based induction and five received lenalidomide maintenance. Most of the t-ALL patients had adverse risk cytogenetics [IKZF1 deletion (n=2), complex karyotype (n=2), TP53 mutation (n=1) and P2RY8-CRLF2 fusion (n=1)]. Three patients with t-ALL underwent allo-SCT and the median OS for allo-SCT recipients versus non recipients were 8.3 vs 7.9 months respectively, P=0.50. Among patients with SHM, 92.3% (n = 96) have died with SHM (72%) being the most common cause of death. MM patients who developed SHM had an inferior OS when compared to those without SHM (median OS, 75 vs 90 months, P =0.006). Conclusion: SHM following auto-SCT tends to have aggressive disease biology with poor outcomes. Short term follow up underestimates the risk of SHM and the higher incidence noted in our study may be due to longer follow up. As the OS in MM patients continues to improve, SHM remains an important challenge in improving long term outcomes.

Background: TP53-mutated (TP53mut) myeloid neoplasms (MN) have particularly poor survival. Discrepancies in defining TP53mut MN have impact on diagnostic work up, therapeutic decisions, and clinical trial enrolment. Methods: MN cases harboring TP53mut (variant allele frequency, VAF ≥2%) were classified based on bone marrow (BM) and peripheral blood (PB) blast % using the 4th revision of the WHO classification (WHO-4R). Biallelic loss was defined as (i) ≥2 mutations each with VAF ≥2%; (ii) single TP53mut VAF ≥2% plus 17p loss detected on karyotype, FISH, or SNP; or (iii) single TP53mut VAF ≥50%, whereas monoallelic loss was defined as single TP53mut VAF &lt;50% without 17p loss. Primary endpoint was overall survival (OS) from diagnosis. Conditional Inference Trees (CIT) analysis was used to determine the true effect of a predictor. Results: We identified 580 cases including WHO-4R defined acute myeloid leukemia (AML, BM/PB blasts ≥20%, n=219, 37.8%), myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS) with excess blasts-2 (EB-2, BM 10-19% or PB 5%-19%, n=92, 15.9%), MDS with excess blasts-1 (EB-1, BM 5-9% or PB 2-4%, n=75, 12.9%), and the remaining were MDS with low blasts (-LB, BM &lt;5% and PB ≤1%, n=194, 33.4%). Of the 578 cases evaluable for allelic status, 437 (75.6%) and 141 (24.4%) had biallelic and monoallelic TP53 loss, respectively. Higher frequency of biallelic loss was observed with increasing blasts. 63.2%, 73.3%, 78% and 86.3% of cases with MDS-LB, MDS-EB1, MDS-EB2, and AML had bi-allelic TP53 loss (P&lt;0.0001). In a multivariable analysis, WHO-4R categories, VAF ≥10%, and biallelic loss were independent predictors of poor survival. CIT analysis further stratified the cohort into 4 groups with distinct survival: (1) MDS-LB (n=194, 33.4%); (2) MDS-EB1/EB2 and AML with VAF &lt;10% (n=38, 6.6%); (3) MDS-EB1/EB2 with VAF ≥10% (n=149, 25.7%); and (4) AML with VAF ≥10% (n=199, 34.3%). MDS-LB cases could be further stratified based on allelic status and complex karyotype (CK): OS was poor for cases with biallelic TP53 loss and monoallelic TP53mut with CK compared to monoallelic TP53mut without CK, who had the most favorable survival (12.7 vs. 13 vs. 34.8 months, P&lt;0.0001).MDS-EB1/EB2/AML with VAF&lt;10% could also be stratified by CK: MDS-EB1/EB2/AML with VAF&lt;10% cases without CK had the favorable survival compared to their counterparts with CK and MDS-EB1/EB2 with VAF ≥10% cases (26.2 vs. 5.6 vs. 6.3 months, P=0.003).MDS-EB1/EB2 with VAF ≥10% was a homogenous subgroup: Biological characteristics including the proportion of cases with biallelic TP53 loss, CK (P&gt;0.9), monosomal karyotype (MK, P&gt;0.9), del 5q (P=0.6), del 7q (P=0.4), and del 17p (P=0.2) were comparable between MDS-EB1 and -EB2 with VAF ≥10%. Importantly, median OS of MDS-EB1 and EB2 with VAF ≥10% was comparable (9.6 vs. 7.2 months, P=0.12). OS in this group was comparable regardless of the blast %, allelic status, or presence of CK.AML with VAF ≥10% had extremely poor survival: Median OS was 3.9 months. Survival of AML was equally poor irrespective of the mono- or biallelic (3.6 vs. 3.9, P=0.89) and non-CK vs. CK (1.8 vs. 3.9 months, P=0.09). Combined, our model would acknowledge poor survival of 514 (89.1%) cases. In contrast, retrospective application of the 5th edition of the WHO classification (WHO-5) and International Consensus Classification (ICC) would classify only 211 (36.4%) and 468 (80.7%) cases as biallelic/multi-hit TP53mut MN, respectively. Finally, the Harrell's c-index of the proposed model, WHO-5, and ICC was 0.66, 0.571, and 0.617, respectively. Conclusion: We provide evidence for subsequent refinements in classifying MN harboring TP53mut. Our salient findings include: (i) acknowledgement of CK as ‘biallelic equivalent’ in MDS-LB; as well as EB1/EB2/AML with VAF 2 to &lt;10% cases; and (ii) demonstration of poor survival of MDS-EB1 and -EB2 with VAF ≥10% regardless of the allelic status. In conclusion, our proposed model acknowledged poor survival of a higher proportion of cases as TP53mut MN compared to the current models with a higher c- index.

Background Venetoclax + hypomethylating agent (Ven-HMA) therapy results in favorable response rates (CR/CRi 66%) and overall survival (OS; median 14.7 months) in unfit patients with newly-diagnosed acute myeloid leukemia (ND-AML; N Engl J Med 2020;383). However, there is substantial heterogeneity in individual patient outcomes based on response to treatment. The objective of the current study was to develop a genetic risk model to predict survival outcome in treatment responders and non-responders, analyzed separately, and also account for allogeneic stem cell transplant (ASCT). Methods Treatment-naïve AML patients receiving Ven-HMA, outside of a clinical trial, at the Mayo Clinic, USA (MN, AZ, FL) were retrospectively recruited. Molecular studies (48-gene panel) were performed by next-generation sequencing. Response was assessed according to the 2022 European LeukemiaNet (ELN) criteria (Blood 2022;140). Standard statistical analyses were performed using JMP Pro (Version 17.0.0). Results 400 ND-AML patients (median age 73 years, 64% male, 60% de novo) received Ven-HMA. ELN cytogenetic risk included favorable 2%, intermediate 60%, or adverse 38%. Mutations involved TP53 in 26%, TET2 19%, RUNX1 19%, SRSF2 18%, ASXL1 18%, DNMT3A 15%, K/NRAS 13%, NPM1 12%, IDH2 12%, FLT3-ITD 10%, IDH1 7% and DDX41 in 4% of informative cases. 153 (38%) patients achieved CR, 94 (24%) CR with incomplete count recovery (CRi), resulting in CR/CRi in 247 (62%) patients. CR/CRi rates were higher with NPM1 (86% vs 59%), IDH2 (77% vs 60%), and DDX41 mutations (93% vs 61%) and lower with TP53 (45% vs 67%), FLT3-ITD (41% vs 64%), RUNX1 (49% vs 65%) mutations and adverse karyotype (48% vs 71%), with all retaining significance in multivariable analysis. CR/CRi rate was highest (87%) in 75 patients with one or more favorable mutations (NPM1, IDH2, DDX41) and no unfavorable mutation (TP53, FLT3-ITD, RUNX1). CR/CRi rate was lowest in 171 patients with at least one unfavorable mutation and no favorable mutation (44%; p&lt;0.01). After a median follow up of 10.5 months (0.5-66), 105 relapses (43% of patients in CR/CRi), 248 (62%) deaths and 65 (16%) ASCT were documented. Univariate analysis for transplant-censored OS disclosed superior survival in patients achieving CR/CRi (median 21 vs 3.6 months; HR 5.4, 95% CI 4.1-7.1). Among patients achieving CR/CRi, IDH2 mutation was associated with superior (median not reached vs 20.5 months) and male gender (median 17.6 vs 29.2 months), TP53 mutations (median 11.9 vs 24.3 months) and adverse karyotype (median 12.6 vs 29.4 months) with inferior survival; multivariable analysis resulted in HRs (95% CI) of 2.1 (1.3-3.4) for male gender, 2.1 (1.2-3.8) for adverse karyotype, and 2.5 (1.1-5.7) for absence of IDH2 mutations. Male gender did not show an association with karyotype, or TP53 mutations (p&gt;0.1). Accordingly, an HR-weighted genetic risk model was generated with assignment of one point each to male gender, adverse karyotype, and absence of IDH2 mutation: high risk = 3 risk factors (n=38; median 9.6 months; 3-year survival 0%); intermediate risk = 2 risk factors (n=129; median 22 months; 3-year survival 38%); and low-risk = ≤1 risk factor (n=78; median not reached; 3-year survival 69%; p&lt;0.01). In patients bridged to ASCT (n=60), post-transplant survival was inferior in the presence of ≥ 2 risk factors (n=42; median 46 months) vs. ≤1 risk factor (n=18; median not reached; p=0.1). In patients not achieving CR/CRi, risk factors for OS included male gender (median 3.4 vs 6.1 months), adverse karyotype (median 3.3 vs 4.5 months) and TP53 mutation (median 3.1 vs 4.5 months) while those with IDH2 mutations lived longer (median 8.4 vs 3.4 months). In multivariable analysis, HRs (95% CI) were 1.9 (1.3-2.9) for male gender, 2.0 (1.4-2.9) for adverse karyotype, and 2.1 (1.1-4.3) for absence of IDH2 mutations. OS was shortest for non-responders harboring 3 risk factors (n=45; median 3 months; 1-year survival 0%) and longer for those harboring two (n=80; median 6 months, 1-year OS 15%) or ≤ 1 risk factor (n=25; median 14 months; 1-year OS 56%; p&lt;0.01). Conclusion The current study describes a molecular profile for predicting response to Ven-HMA in ND-AML and also introduces a novel approach to survival prediction that considers treatment response as the starting point. In both responders and non-responders, male gender and adverse karyotype were identified as unfavorable and IDH2 mutation favorable risk factor for OS.

Background: A donor search prognosis score based on HLA type and race/ethnicity can classify patients into 3 groups based on the likelihood of finding an HLA-matched (8/8) unrelated donor (MUD): Very Likely (44% of the population), Likely (41%) and Very Unlikely (15%). Previous studies showed that &gt;90% of Very Likely, 26% of Likely and &lt;10% of Very Unlikely patients used a MUD for their hematopoietic cell transplants (HCT), with the rest using other donor sources (mismatched unrelated donor, cord blood, or haploidentical relative). For some patients, prolonged efforts to identify a MUD might be futile and delay HCT, leading to increased morbidity, greater chance for relapse and disease resistance, and worse HCT outcomes. BMT CTN 1702 (NCT03904134) was the first national study to track the entire donor search identification process. Designed as a biologic assignment study, the goal was to estimate and compare overall survival between two arms: patients who are Very Likely to find a MUD versus those who are Very Unlikely to find a MUD. It tested whether provision of a donor search prognosis score to centers could prevent prolonged futile searches for the Very Unlikely group and improve their transplant rates and outcomes, compared to the Very Likely group. Methods: Eligible diagnoses included acute leukemia, myelodysplastic syndromes, lymphoma, acquired aplastic anemia and sickle cell disease. Patients could be consented at any time after diagnosis until an unrelated donor search was started. Consented patients became evaluable only after it was determined that no appropriate HLA-identical siblings were available. The primary endpoint was survival time after the patient was declared evaluable, regardless of whether HCT occurred, and was compared between the Very Unlikely and Very Likely groups. The target enrollment was 1732 evaluable patients. Because this was a biologic assignment trial and not a randomized trial, formal comparisons of overall survival between the Very Likely and Very Unlikely groups were done using a covariate-adjusted Cox proportional hazards model. The following covariates were a priori specified for adjustment in the model, according to the statistical analysis plan: sex, age, Karnofsky Performance Score (KPS), race/ethnicity, disease, disease status, and interval from consent to evaluability. Results: 1751 evaluable patients were enrolled at 47 centers: 44% female, median age 59.4 years (range 0.6-81.3 years), 73% were non-Hispanic White, 10% Hispanic White, 8% Black, 5% Asian/Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander, 0.5% American Indian/Alaska Native. Among the evaluable patients, 1181 received a HCT, 827 died, and 924 are still alive with or without HCT, with a median of 25 months of follow up (range=6-54 months [mos], inter-quartile range [IQR]=25-34 mos). The distribution was: 958 Very Likely, 517 Less Likely, and 276 Very Unlikely. Individuals in the Very Unlikely group were younger and were less likely to be non-Hispanic White. The unadjusted cumulative incidences of undergoing HCT by 6 mos and 2 years [yrs], in the Very Unlikely group were 51% and 61% vs. 60% and 69% in the Very Likely Group; after adjustment, there was not a significant difference in the likelihood of undergoing HCT (Dehn et al, submitted). There was no difference in median time from evaluability to HCT: 3.4 mos Very Unlikely and 3.3 mos Very Likely. Unadjusted survival rates from the time of evaluability for the Very Unlikely and the Very Likely groups were: 6 mos (85% vs 84%), 1 yr (69% vs. 69%) and 2 yrs (55% vs. 56%). In the multivariate Cox model, there was no significant difference in the risk of death (HR = 1.07 for Very Unlikely vs. Very Likely, 95% confidence interval 0.86-1.33, p=0.56) adjusting for significant clinical covariates: age, KPS, disease status, and time from consent to evaluability were all significantly associated with overall survival. There was no significant center effect and no interaction between donor search prognosis group and clinical covariates. Conclusion: In this large multicenter BMT CTN study, using the donor selection strategy described, there was no difference in adjusted time to HCT or survival for patients Very Likely versus Very Unlikely to find an 8/8 MUD. These results suggest that patients Very Unlikely to identify a MUD should proceed to HCT using the best available alternative donor rather than delaying HCT to try to identify a MUD.