De Rubeis, Gianluca

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to develop and validate a computed tomography angiography based machine learning model that uses plaque composition data and degree of carotid stenosis to detect symptomatic carotid plaques in patients with carotid atherosclerosis. METHODS: The machine learning based model was trained using degree of stenosis and the volumes of 13 computed tomography angiography derived intracarotid plaque subcomponents (eg, lipid, intraplaque hemorrhage, calcium) to identify plaques associated with cerebrovascular events. The model was internally validated through repeated 10-fold cross-validation and tested on a dedicated testing cohort according to discrimination and calibration. RESULTS: This retrospective, single-center study evaluated computed tomography angiography scans of 268 patients with both symptomatic and asymptomatic carotid atherosclerosis (163 for the derivation set and 106 for the testing set) performed between March 2013 and October 2019. The area-under-receiver-operating characteristics curve by machine learning on the testing cohort (0.89) was significantly higher than the areas under the curve of traditional logit analysis based on the degree of stenosis (0.51, P <0.001), presence of intraplaque hemorrhage (0.69, P <0.001), and plaque composition (0.78, P <0.001), respectively. Comparable performance was obtained on internal validation. The identified plaque components and associated cutoff values that were significantly associated with a higher likelihood of symptomatic status after adjustment were the ratio of intraplaque hemorrhage to lipid volume (≥50%, 38.5 [10.1–205.1]; odds ratio, 95% CI) and percentage of intraplaque hemorrhage volume (≥10%, 18.5 [5.7–69.4]; odds ratio, 95% CI). CONCLUSIONS: This study presented an interpretable machine learning model that accurately identifies symptomatic carotid plaques using computed tomography angiography derived plaque composition features, aiding clinical decision-making.

Background Distal medium vessel occlusions (DMVOs) and minor strokes represent emerging frontiers in mechanical thrombectomy (MT). Although several randomized clinical trials (RCTs) are underway, the design characteristics of these trials and the specific questions they aim to address have not been extensively explored. This current study sought to investigate the design and data elements reported in active prospective DMVO and minor stroke studies. Methods The ClinicalTrials.gov database was searched for ongoing prospective studies assessing the role of MT in patients with DMVOs or minor strokes. The Nested Knowledge AutoLit platform was utilized to categorize reported outcomes and inclusion/exclusion criteria. Frequencies of reported data elements were extracted from study protocols. Results A total of 10 (8 DMVO and 2 minor stroke) studies enrolling 3520 patients were included. All DMVO studies employ different criteria regarding target occlusion locations. Five DMVO studies use stent retrievers as the first-line thrombectomy technique (62.5%, 5/8), while three studies allow any MT techniques, generally at the operator’s discretion. Four DMVO studies permit intravenous thrombolysis (IVT) utilization in both intervention and control arms (50%, 4/8). The DISTALS trial excludes patients receiving IVT, while the DUSK trial and Tigertriever registry only enroll patients who are ineligible for IVT or for whom IVT failed to achieve reperfusion. DMVO studies exhibit notable heterogeneity in symptom onset duration thresholds for inclusion (<6 hours: 2 studies; <12 hours: 2 studies; <24 hours: 3 studies). Minor stroke trials employ similar inclusion criteria and outcome measures except for symptom duration thresholds for inclusion (8 hours for ENDOLOW and 23 hours for MOSTE). Conclusions There is considerable heterogeneity among active DMVO trials regarding potential target DMVO locations and time thresholds for inclusion based on the last known well time. Furthermore, our review indicates that the utility of aspiration thrombectomy in DMVOs and the advantages of MT without IVT over IVT alone will remain largely unexplored even after completion of active DMVO trials.