Incremental Prognostic Power of Coronary Flow Reserve and Artificial Intelligence–Enabled ECG–Derived Filling Pressure in Angina With Nonobstructive Coronary Arteries
Background Coronary flow reserve reflects microvascular function, whereas filling pressure indicates myocardial hemodynamic burden. In angina with nonobstructive coronary arteries, abnormalities in either could contribute to a supply–demand mismatch; however, their combined prognostic significance remains unclear. Methods Patients with angina with nonobstructive coronary arteries who underwent invasive coronary reactivity tests were studied retrospectively. Coronary microvascular dysfunction (CMD) was coronary flow reserve <2.5. An artificial intelligence–enabled ECG marker of elevated filling pressure (AIEFP) was applied as a scalable prognostic marker of myocardial hemodynamic stress. Associations with major adverse cardiovascular events were evaluated using Cox regression and propensity score overlap weighting. Results Among 1957 patients with angina with nonobstructive coronary arteries (median age, 51.8 years; 67.2% women), CMD+ was identified in 26.4% and AIEFP+ in 6.6%. Over 8 years, 204 patients (10.4%) experienced major adverse cardiovascular events. In nested models, both CMD (hazard ratio [HR]=1.42 [95% CI=1.13–1.78]; P =0.002) and AIEFP (HR=2.28 [95% CI=1.67–3.11]; P <0.001) remained associated with major adverse cardiovascular events after adjustment. Adding AIEFP to the base model improved model fitness (Δχ 2 =23.65, P <0.001; ΔAkaike Information Criterion=−21.7) and modestly improved discrimination (ΔHarrell concordance index=0.02, P =0.02). In a 4‐group model, adjusted risks increased in a graded manner. Overlap‐weighted analysis after covariate balance demonstrated distinct temporal risk trajectories: CMD+/AIEFP+ had the highest 1‐year risk (12.7%), and AIEFP+ had the highest cumulative 8‐year risk (57% in CMD− and 51.8% in CMD+). Conclusions CMD and AIEFP provide complementary prognostic information, with AIEFP remaining significantly associated with outcomes after multivariable adjustment. A dual‐axis framework integrating myocardial hemodynamic stress (AIEFP) and microvascular function (coronary flow reserve) may enhance risk stratification and enable identification of clinically distinct angina with nonobstructive coronary arteries phenotypes with divergent trajectories.
Reduced Circulating α‐Klotho Levels Are Associated With Elevated Mortality and Arterial Calcifications of Aorta and Iliac Arteries
Background α‐Klotho is a multifunctional protein implicated in vascular aging. Declining Klotho levels are associated with arterial stiffness, endothelial dysfunction, and vascular calcification. We investigated the associations between circulating klotho, aortoiliac calcification, endothelial progenitor cells, and 10‐year survival. Methods In this retrospective cohort, blinded clinicians scored calcification on computed tomography (0–10 scale: aorta 6 points, iliac 4 points). Plasma klotho was measured by ELISA; endothelial progenitor cell subsets were quantified via flow cytometry. Mortality data were obtained from the Minnesota Death Registry. Results This study included 148 participants (mean age 72.4±9.6 years; 41% female). Median calcification score was 3 (interquartile range, 1–5). Patients with low calcification had higher Klotho levels (669 [567–841] versus 556 [457–678] pg/mL; P <0.01), with Klotho inversely correlated with calcification (r=−0.315, P <0.01). Stratified by calcification location and severity, the highest Klotho levels were seen in patients without aortic or iliac calcification ( P =0.015). Over 10 years, low Klotho was independently associated with higher mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 3.056 [95% CI 1.288–7.878]; P =0.014). Klotho inversely correlated with mature osteocalcin‐positive EPCs; B=−0.16 (95% CI, −0.29 to −0.02; P =0.027). Immunohistochemistry and immunofluorescence confirmed endothelial Klotho expression in internal mammary artery. Conclusions Lower circulating Klotho levels are associated with increased aortoiliac calcification and higher 10‐year mortality, supporting a role for Klotho in vascular aging.
Abstract Th0038: Endothelial CD40 Drives EndMT-Induced Inflammation In Atherosclerosis
Introduction: Atherosclerosis, the underlying cause of cardiovascular disease (CVD), is a lipid-driven chronic inflammatory disease. We have identified the co-stimulatory CD40-CD40L immune checkpoint dyad as a key driver of inflammation during atherosclerosis. CD40 and CD40L exert cell-type divergent functions via different signaling pathways. Hypothesis: We hypothesize that CD40 on endothelial cell (ECs) induces endothelial-to-mesenchymal transition (EndMT)-mediated vascular inflammation in atherosclerosis. Methods & Results: Using single cell RNAseq, we found that CD40 (TNFRSF5) is expressed on PDE3A + GJA5 + and KDR + COL15A1 + ECs of advanced human carotid atherosclerotic plaques. CD40 is highly expressed in the endothelial lining of human and mouse atherosclerotic plaques, and colocalizes with the EndMT markers fibronectin and collagen and adhesion molecule ICAM-1. CD40L activation of human aortic endothelial cells (HAECs) results in expression of the EndMT markers fibronectin, vimentin, sm22α, FSP1 and snail. Activation of CD40 in EC induces filamin A dependent translocation of CD40 into lipid rafts, increases TNF-receptor associated factor (TRAFs) -2, -3 and 6 levels, induces Akt signaling and increases expression of VCAM1 and CCL2. Conclusions: The endothelial cell has been more and more regarded as a cell type that plays a major role in driving inflammation. Our data suggest that the CD40-CD40L axis plays a significant role in EC-mediated inflammation in atherosclerosis by driving EndMT.
Abstract WMP108: Pericarotid Fat Associated with Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events after Carotid Endarterectomy
Background: Previous studies have linked pericoronary artery adipose tissue attenuation to major adverse cardiac event (MACE). However, the association between pericarotid artery fat and prognosis remains underexplored. This study aimed to investigate the association between preoperative pericarotid fat characteristics and the subsequent prognosis in patients undergoing carotid endarterectomy (CEA). Methods: This study included patients with preoperative computed tomography angiography (CTA) followed by CEA. Preoperative neck CTA images were obtained and analyzed with novel methods using 3D Slicer software. We segmented the common and internal carotid arteries. The segment was horizontally trimmed, isolating the region around the bifurcation, extending 15 mm above and 10 mm below. Pericarotid fat was defined as adipose tissue within a 5 mm radial distance from the outer vessel wall, with Hounsfield units (HU) between -190 and -30 (Figure 1, carotid segmentation [green] and pericarotid fat [yellow]) . For each patient, we calculated the HU average and the volume (mm3) of the pericarotid fat. MACE was defined as a composite of all-cause mortality, myocardial infarction, and cerebrovascular events. The relationship between both pericarotid fat characteristics and MACE was investigated. Results: Of the 43 patients initially included, one was excluded due to an inability to perform segmentation caused by chronic total occlusion, leaving 42 patients (age 73 [67-78] years, 33 [76.7%] male). The comparison of mean pericarotid fat HU between the ipsilateral and contralateral sides showed no significant difference (-60.3±11.0 HU vs. -60.9 ±11.3 HU, p=0.437). However, the median ipsilateral fat volume was significantly higher than the contralateral volume (528 [248, 1100] mm3 vs. 328 [184, 697] mm3, p=0.020). When comparing patients with and without MACE, those with MACE had a significantly lower ipsilateral fat density (-59.4±10.2 HU vs. -66.8 ±11.1 HU, p=0.022) and a higher fat volume (468 [233, 746] mm3 vs. 845 [458, 1451] mm3, p=0.044). Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed that higher volume and lower fat density than the median were significant predictors of MACE (log-rank p=0.015 and p=0.042, respectively) (Figure 2). Conclusions: Assessment of pericarotid fat using a novel CTA analytic method in patients undergoing CEA identified ipsilateral lower fat density and higher fat volume as predictors of adverse outcomes.
Abstract TMP12: Artificial Intelligence-estimated Probability of Aortic Stenosis Is an Independent Predictor of Major Adverse Cardiac Events in Patients with Carotid Artery Disease After Carotid Endarterectomy
Background: Atherosclerotic carotid artery disease is associated with a high risk of major adverse cardiac events (MACE) even with optimal risk factor management and surgical interventions such as carotid endarterectomy (CEA). Aortic stenosis (AS) is an age-related valve disease that is associated with a high rate of MACE. An artificial intelligence-based AS estimation algorithm (AI-AS) can identify AS with high accuracy using electrocardiogram. This study evaluates the prognostic value of AI-AS in patients with carotid artery disease undergoing CEA. Methods: We included patients with carotid artery disease undergoing CEA at Mayo Clinic from 2002-2023 if they had >30 days of follow-up and an electrocardiogram within one year before CEA. The electrocardiogram closest to the CEA date was used to calculate AI-AS (AS probability ranging from 0-1). MACE was defined as the composite of cardiac events, ischemic cerebrovascular accidents, and all-cause mortality during follow-up after CEA. A receiver operating characteristic curve and the Youden index were used to identify the optimal AI-AS cut-off value for predicting MACE. Kaplan Meier plot was used to depict MACE-free survival. Regression models were used to evaluate the predictive value of AI-AS for future MACE adjusting for clinical covariates. Results: A total of 665 patients with a median age of 72 [IQR:66, 78] years and 438 (65.9%) males were included. Over a median follow-up time of 7.1 [IQR:2.7, 11.5] years, MACE occurred in 419 (63%) of the patients, including 187 (44.6%) mortality, 161 (38.4%) cardiac events, and 71 (16.9%) cerebrovascular accidents. Median AI-AS was 0.32 [IQR:0.09, 0.55] in the total cohort, 0.34 [IQR:0.12, 0.56] in patients with MACE, and 0.30 [IQR:0.07, 0.53] in patients without MACE (P=0.038). AI-AS was a significant predictor of MACE (HR:2.38, 95%CI:1.64-3.46, P<0.001) in univariate Cox regression analysis. The optimal cut-off value of AI-AS for MACE was 0.419 (area under the curve: 0.55). Patients with high AI-AS (≥0.419) had a significantly lower MACE-free survival in the Log-rank test ( Figure 1 ) and in the multivariable Cox regression model adjusted for covariates compared to low AI-AS (<0.419) patients ( Table 1 ). Conclusion: AI-AS is an independent predictor of MACE in patients with carotid artery disease after CEA and can be used as a risk-stratifying tool in this patient population. Additional studies are needed to elucidate the mechanistic link between AS and MACE in these patients.
Abstract TP342: Associations Between Pericarotid Fat Density and Carotid Plaque Inflammatory Cytokine Levels
Background: Previous research has suggested pericarotid fat density to be significantly linked to atherosclerotic plaque components and cerebrovascular events. Inflammatory markers within the plaques are critical in the pathogenesis and progression of carotid artery disease. However, the association between pericarotid fat and inflammatory processes within atherosclerotic plaques remains underexplored. This study hypothesizes that pericarotid fat density is directly associated with the levels of inflammatory markers within atherosclerotic plaques. Methods: Carotid plaques were prospectively collected from patients with carotid artery disease undergoing carotid endarterectomy (CEA). The levels of inflammatory plaque cytokines (MCP-1, IL-8, IFN-γ, IL-10, IL-1β, IL-6, PDGF-AA, PDGF-AB/BB, TNF-α, VEGF) were measured in tissue homogenates using a customized 10-plex Luminex assay. Baseline demographics and clinical data of our population were extracted from electronic health records. We analyzed preoperative neck computed tomography angiography (CTA) images placing regions-of-interest (ROI) in the pericarotid fat on the slice showing maximal stenosis. For each patient, we calculated the average of Hounsfield Units (HU) within the ROI. Spearman correlation test was used to assess the correlation between variables. Results: Among the 43 patients included, the median age was 73 (67, 78) years, and 33 (76.7%) patients were male. Plaque levels of PDGF-AA and VEGF showed significant positive correlations with HU (r=0.330, p=0.030; r=0.380, p=0.011, respectively), as illustrated in Figure 1 . Although plaque levels of IFN-γ demonstrated a significant negative correlation with HU (r=-0.390, p=0.010), the most cases exhibited values close to zero. Conclusions: The assessment of pericarotid fat density on CTA may allow for the estimation of plaque inflammation, suggesting that more fat density is associated with increased inflammatory activity within atherosclerotic plaques.
Introduction: Patients with atherosclerotic carotid artery disease are at high risk of mortality in the long-term follow-up after carotid endarterectomy (CEA), partly due to dysrhythmia. Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a common cardiac dysrhythmia linked to stroke and cardiovascular events. An artificial intelligence-based electrocardiogram (ECG) AF algorithm (AI-AF) can effectively identify silent AF. We aimed to assess the effectiveness of AI-AF in predicting mortality in patients with carotid artery disease undergoing CEA. Methods: Patients with carotid artery disease undergoing CEA at Mayo Clinic from 2002-2023 were included if they had >30 days follow-up and an ECG within one year before CEA. The ECG closest to the CEA date was used to calculate AI-AF (probability of AF ranging from 0 to 1). All-cause mortality rates after CEA were obtained from clinical records. The optimal AI-AF cut-off value for predicting mortality was calculated using a receiver operating characteristic curve and the Youden index. Long-term survival after CEA was depicted with a Kaplan Meier plot and compared with the Log-rank test. Univariate and multivariate Cox Regression models were used to assess the predictive value of AI-AF for mortality, adjusting for age, sex, body mass index, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, and hyperlipidemia. Results: A total of 636 patients with a median age of 72 [IQR: 66, 78] years and 414 (65.1%) males were included. The median AI-AF was 0.056 [IQR: <0, 0.171]. Over a median follow-up time of 7.1 [IQR: 2.7, 11.5] years, mortality occurred in 326 (51.3%) patients. AI-AF significantly predicted mortality in univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis (HR: 3.47, 95%CI: 2.34-5.16, P<0.001; HR: 2.30, 95%CI: 1.44-3.68, P<0.001, respectively). The best cut-off value for AI-AF for mortality prediction was 0.025 (area under the curve: 0.608). High and low AI-AF were defined as AI-AF≥ 0.025 and <0.025, respectively. Mortality was significantly higher in high AI-AF compared to low AI-AF patients (P<0.001, Figure 1A,1B), and high AI-AF was a significant predictor of mortality (univariate: Figure 2; multivariate Cox regression: HR: 2.11, 95%CI: 1.56-2.84, P<0.001). Conclusion: AI-AF can identify patients with a higher risk of mortality after CEA. This finding supports a role for AI algorithms in risk stratification of patients with carotid artery disease following CEA. Future studies are needed to elucidate the contribution of AF to all-cause mortality.
Abstract WP205: Association Between Bovine Aortic Arch Anatomy and Carotid Artery Stenosis
Background: The bovine aortic arch is a vascular variant in which the left common carotid artery originates from the brachiocephalic trunk rather than directly from the aortic arch. The bovine anatomical variation may alter the blood flow dynamics, potentially contributing to the formation and progression of carotid plaques. In this study, we evaluated the association of the bovine aortic arch and the severity of carotid stenosis. Methods: In this retrospective study, we included patients with carotid artery disease undergoing carotid endarterectomy (CEA) and pre-surgical computed tomography angiography (CTA). CTAs were reviewed to assess the carotid stenosis and the anatomy of the aortic arch. The left carotid artery was classified as normal if it originated from the aortic arch and as bovine if it originated from the brachiocephalic trunk (Figure 1) . Unlimited propensity score matching was performed to balance baseline characteristics between patients with bovine and normal anatomies. The Mann-Whitney U test was applied to compare carotid stenosis between bovine and normal arteries. Results: A total of 203 patients (bovine:23, normal:180) were initially enrolled. Using propensity score matching, 20 patients with bovine anatomy were matched to 45 patients with normal anatomy (Figure 2) . Among the 65 patients included, 47 (74.6%) were male, with a median age of 70 [IQR:65.0-76.0] years. Left-sided carotid artery disease was more prevalent in the bovine compared to normal group (N=12, 66.7% vs. N=16, 36.4%; p=0.030). Additionally, the severity of carotid stenosis in CEA-treated side was higher in patients with bovine arch compared to normal controls (82.5% [76.2-88.7] vs. 70.0% [50.0-95.0]; p=0.030) (Figure 3) . Conclusions: The association of a bovine aortic arch with more severe carotid stenosis suggests that this anatomical variant may be a marker for increased cerebrovascular risk.
Carotid artery atherosclerosis: mechanisms of instability and clinical implications
Abstract Cardiovascular disease remains a prominent cause of disability and premature death worldwide. Within this spectrum, carotid artery atherosclerosis is a complex and multifaceted condition, and a prominent precursor of acute ischaemic stroke and other cardiovascular events. The intricate interplay among inflammation, oxidative stress, endothelial dysfunction, lipid metabolism, and immune responses participates in the development of lesions, leading to luminal stenosis and potential plaque instability. Even non-stenotic plaques can precipitate a sudden cerebrovascular event, regardless of the degree of luminal encroachment. In this context, carotid imaging modalities have proved their efficacy in providing in vivo characterization of plaque features, contributing substantially to patient risk stratification and clinical management. This review emphasizes the importance of identifying high-risk individuals by use of current imaging modalities, biomarkers, and risk stratification tools. Such approaches inform early intervention and the implementation of personalized therapeutic strategies, ultimately enhancing patient outcomes in the realm of cardiovascular disease management.
Abstract 4135790: Carotid Plaque Inflammation Is Associated with Atrial Fibrillation
Introduction: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is prevalent in patients with atherosclerotic coronary and carotid artery disease and is associated with elevated plasma inflammatory markers, such as Interleukin (IL)-6. In carotid artery atherosclerosis, macrophages are considered a local marker of inflammation. Hypothesis: We hypothesize that AF is independently associated with carotid plaque inflammation. Aims: In patients undergoing carotid endarterectomy (CEA), we aimed to determine whether carotid plaques inflammation is associated with AF. Approach: In this prospective cohort study, consecutive patients with carotid artery disease undergoing CEA were enrolled. From the plaques removed during surgery, fixed in formalin and embedded in paraffin blocks, sections were stained with antibodies against CD68 to detect macrophages (Fig.1A) . Digital copies of the slides were created by Motic Easy Scan and histologically annotated with QuPath. The percentage of CD68+ cells was defined as (CD68+ positive cells/total nuclei) x 100. Flash-frozen plaque segments were analyzed by ELISA for IL-6 concentration. Baseline demographics and clinical data, including AF diagnosis, were extracted from the electronic health records. Results: A total of 106 patients undergoing CEA, with a median age of 73 [67-78] years and comprising 83 (78.3%) males, were included in the study. AF was diagnosed prior to CEA in 13 (12.3%) patients. Univariate logistic regression showed that plaque CD68+ cell content was associated with AF (OR 1.048 [95% CI 1.010 – 1.088]; p = 0.013). Additionally, in Mann-Whitney test IL-6 levels were significantly over twofold higher in plaques of patients with AF compared to those without AF (82.4 [64.9-111.7] pg/mg vs 37.0 [18.4-93.3] pg/mg; p=0.020) (Fig. 1B) . Conclusions: The current study demonstrates an association between carotid atherosclerotic plaque macrophage content, IL6 levels and AF, supporting the role of inflammation in the pathogenesis of AF in these patients. Further studies are needed to determine the potential of plaque inflammation as a therapeutic target in AF.