Background A recent randomized prospective controlled trial demonstrated that atorvastatin for up to 2 years was safe but did not significantly alter rebleeding in cerebral cavernous malformations. However, any consequences of discontinuing atorvastatin remain unknown. We hypothesized that symptomatic hemorrhage (SH) recurs more frequently in cerebral cavernous malformations after discontinuation of atorvastatin than placebo. Methods We conducted a 12‐month posttreatment follow‐up of patients enrolled in the Atorvastatin Therapy in Cavernous Angiomas with Symptomatic Hemorrhage Exploratory Proof of Concept (AT CASH EPOC) trial (41 randomized to atorvastatin, 39 to placebo) to identify potential recurrent SH after trial drug discontinuation. Every SH was adjudicated by review of imaging and corresponding symptoms. Patients were excluded from follow‐up for <90% compliance with study drug, for its discontinuation <3 months after trial enrollment, for statin reinitiation <3 months after discontinuation, or for lack of follow‐up. Cases were censored during follow‐up upon cerebral cavernous malformation resection/radiation or later statin reinitiation. Results Follow‐up included 33 patients who had been randomized to placebo and 32 who had taken atorvastatin. Four SH events occurred at 3, 49, 84, and 225 days after atorvastatin discontinuation, and 1 SH at 395 days after discontinuing placebo. There was significantly lower symptomatic hemorrhage‐free survival in the atorvastatin‐discontinuation group (log‐rank χ 2 =4.136, P =0.042). The hazard ratio was 0.162 (95% CI, 0.027–0.977) for placebo versus atorvastatin discontinuation. Conclusions Discontinuation of atorvastatin was associated with a higher risk of recurrent SH compared with placebo discontinuation. Additional studies are warranted to confirm this hypothesis‐generating observation, examine potential mechanisms, and how best to mitigate this risk. REGISTRATION URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov ; Unique identifier: NCT02603328.
Relevance of Lesion Volume as an Outcome in Cerebral Cavernous Malformation Drug Trial: Exploratory Analyses in Atorvastatin Treatment of Cavernous Angiomas with Symptomatic Hemorrhage Exploratory Proof of Concept
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: It is not clear whether changes in lesion volume might represent a clinically relevant and statistically advantageous outcome parameter in early phase trials aimed at preventing bleeding in cerebral cavernous malformations (CCM). METHODS: We examined prospective changes in CCM lesion volume in the double-blinded AT CASH EPOC trial (clinicaltrials.gov NCT02603328). We correlated these with symptomatic hemorrhage (SH) events, contemporaneously assessed changes in lesional iron content by quantitative susceptibility mapping (QSM) on MRI, and objective (modified Rankin Scale (mRS)) and subjective (Euro-QoL Visual Analog Scale [EQ-VAS]) functional status. We also simulated sample sizes needed to detect potential effects on lesion volume. RESULTS: There was excellent correlation between independently assessed maximum lesion diameter and CCM lesion volume (R 2 = 0.68, P < .0001). The mean (SD) percentage change in lesion volume per year was +6 (65) and +18 (94) in atorvastatin and placebo patients, respectively ( P = .43). All cases with SH had increases in lesion volume and increases in mean lesional iron content by QSM, and most had declines in functional status on mRS and EQ-VAS, but there were no overall meaningful correlations of changes in lesion volume with concomitant changes in mean lesional QSM, mRS, or EQ-VAS (all R/R 2 < 0.5 and Bonferroni corrected P > .05), including in brainstem lesions analyzed separately. Sample size simulations indicate larger case numbers needed to demonstrate an effect on change in lesion volume than those needed to detect an effect on QSM change with α = 0.05 and β = 0.8, and even larger samples to detect effects on the number of cases with increased or decreased lesion volume. CONCLUSION: Changes in lesion volume occur frequently in CCM lesions after recent SH, but do not correlate with biomarkers of lesional bleeding, nor reflect functional changes, and are not statistically advantageous compared with QSM measures in detecting potential drug effects.
Trial Readiness of Cavernous Malformations With Symptomatic Hemorrhage, Part II: Biomarkers and Trial Modeling
BACKGROUND: Quantitative susceptibility mapping (QSM) and dynamic contrast-enhanced quantitative perfusion (DCEQP) magnetic resonance imaging sequences assessing iron deposition and vascular permeability were previously correlated with new hemorrhage in cerebral cavernous malformations. We assessed their prospective changes in a multisite trial-readiness project. METHODS: Patients with cavernous malformation and symptomatic hemorrhage (SH) in the prior year, without prior or planned lesion resection or irradiation were enrolled. Mean QSM and DCEQP of the SH lesion were acquired at baseline and at 1- and 2-year follow-ups. Sensitivity and specificity of biomarker changes were analyzed in relation to predefined criteria for recurrent SH or asymptomatic change. Sample size calculations for hypothesized therapeutic effects were conducted. RESULTS: We logged 143 QSM and 130 DCEQP paired annual assessments. Annual QSM change was greater in cases with SH than in cases without SH ( P =0.019). Annual QSM increase by ≥6% occurred in 7 of 7 cases (100%) with recurrent SH and in 7 of 10 cases (70%) with asymptomatic change during the same epoch and 3.82× more frequently than clinical events. DCEQP change had lower sensitivity for SH and asymptomatic change than QSM change and greater variance. A trial with the smallest sample size would detect a 30% difference in QSM annual change during 2 years of follow-up in 34 or 42 subjects (1 and 2 tailed, respectively); power, 0.8, α=0.05. CONCLUSIONS: Assessment of QSM change is feasible and sensitive to recurrent bleeding in cavernous malformations. Evaluation of an intervention on QSM percent change may be used as a time-averaged difference between 2 arms using a repeated measures analysis. DCEQP change is associated with lesser sensitivity and higher variability than QSM. These results are the basis of an application for certification by the US Food and Drug Administration of QSM as a biomarker of drug effect on bleeding in cavernous malformations. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov ; Unique identifier: NCT03652181.
Trial Readiness of Cavernous Malformations With Symptomatic Hemorrhage, Part I: Event Rates and Clinical Outcome
BACKGROUND: Cerebral cavernous malformation with symptomatic hemorrhage (SH) are targets for novel therapies. A multisite trial-readiness project ( https://www.clinicaltrials.gov ; Unique identifier: NCT03652181) aimed to identify clinical, imaging, and functional changes in these patients. METHODS: We enrolled adult cerebral cavernous malformation patients from 5 high-volume centers with SH within the prior year and no planned surgery. In addition to clinical and imaging review, we assessed baseline, 1- and 2-year National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale, modified Rankin Scale, European Quality of Life 5D-3 L, and patient-reported outcome-measurement information system, Version 2.0. SH and asymptomatic change rates were adjudicated. Changes in functional scores were assessed as a marker for hemorrhage. RESULTS: One hundred twenty-three, 102, and 69 patients completed baseline, 1- and 2-year clinical assessments, respectively. There were 21 SH during 178.3 patient years of follow-up (11.8% per patient year). At baseline, 62.6% and 95.1% of patients had a modified Rankin Scale score of 1 and National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score of 0 to 4, respectively, which improved to 75.4% ( P =0.03) and 100% ( P =0.06) at 2 years. At baseline, 74.8% had at least one abnormal patient-reported outcome-measurement information system, Version 2.0 domain compared with 61.2% at 2 years ( P =0.004). The most common abnormal European Quality of Life 5D-3 L domains were pain (48.7%), anxiety (41.5%), and participation in usual activities (41.4%). Patients with prospective SH were more likely than those without SH to display functional decline in sleep, fatigue, and social function patient-reported outcome-measurement information system, Version 2.0 domains at 2 years. Other score changes did not differ significantly between groups at 2 years. The sensitivity of scores as an SH marker remained poor at the time interval assessed. CONCLUSIONS: We report SH rate, functional, and patient-reported outcomes in trial-eligible cerebral cavernous malformation with SH patients. Functional outcomes and patient-reported outcomes generally improved over 2 years. No score change was highly sensitive or specific for SH and could not be used as a primary end point in a trial.
A Roadmap for Developing Plasma Diagnostic and Prognostic Biomarkers of Cerebral Cavernous Angioma With Symptomatic Hemorrhage (CASH)
Abstract BACKGROUND Cerebral cavernous angioma (CA) is a capillary microangiopathy predisposing more than a million Americans to premature risk of brain hemorrhage. CA with recent symptomatic hemorrhage (SH), most likely to re-bleed with serious clinical sequelae, is the primary focus of therapeutic development. Signaling aberrations in CA include proliferative dysangiogenesis, blood-brain barrier hyperpermeability, inflammatory/immune processes, and anticoagulant vascular domain. Plasma levels of molecules reflecting these mechanisms and measures of vascular permeability and iron deposition on magnetic resonance imaging are biomarkers that have been correlated with CA hemorrhage. OBJECTIVE To optimize these biomarkers to accurately diagnose cavernous angioma with symptomatic hemorrhage (CASH), prognosticate the risk of future SH, and monitor cases after a bleed and in response to therapy. METHODS Additional candidate biomarkers, emerging from ongoing mechanistic and differential transcriptome studies, would further enhance the sensitivity and specificity of diagnosis and prediction of CASH. Integrative combinations of levels of plasma proteins and characteristic micro-ribonucleic acids may further strengthen biomarker associations. We will deploy advanced statistical and machine learning approaches for the integration of novel candidate biomarkers, rejecting noncorrelated candidates, and determining the best clustering and weighing of combined biomarker contributions. EXPECTED OUTCOMES With the expertise of leading CA researchers, this project anticipates the development of future blood tests for the diagnosis and prediction of CASH to clinically advance towards precision medicine. DISCUSSION The project tests a novel integrational approach of biomarker development in a mechanistically defined cerebrovascular disease with a relevant context of use, with an approach applicable to other neurological diseases with similar pathobiologic features.