Smith, Byron

ABSTRACT Predicting delayed graft function (DGF) relies on donor, recipient, and perioperative factors. Despite the growing recognition that DGF duration strongly influences patient outcomes, no models currently address or predict its impact—highlighting an important gap in current research and clinical practice. This study aimed to develop an ensemble‐based machine learning model using perioperative data to predict DGF occurrence and duration. The gradient‐boosted decision trees model was trained and validated on 2725 patients, with k‐fold cross‐validation in an external cohort of 284 patients. Model performance was evaluated based on accuracy, ROC‐AUC, and other metrics using R and Python libraries. The binary DGF prediction model achieved a ROC‐AUC of 0.77, while the DGF duration classification model had an accuracy of 79.2%. DGF duration AUC values by time interval were 0.76 for 0–1 weeks, 0.81 for >1–2 weeks, 0.80 for >2–3 weeks, and 0.87 for >3 weeks; the overall macro‐averaged AUC was 0.81. The mean Brier score for multi‐class predictions was 0.14. External validation showed a 78% accuracy for DGF duration prediction. Acute kidney injury (AKI) and donor donation after circulatory death (DCD) status were key DGF predictors. The use of gradient‐boosted decision trees (GBDT) improves the prediction of both the likelihood and duration of DGF, addressing a current gap in kidney transplant patient care. By facilitating personalized transplant care, this model supports more effective perioperative planning and timely interventions, which may contribute to better patient outcomes.

ABSTRACT Background In pediatric kidney transplant recipients, native nephrectomy is sometimes performed to manage conditions such as polyuria, nephrotic syndrome, and recurrent infections. To minimize surgical morbidity, our center adopted a technique from the adult transplant program involving ligation of native ureters at the time of transplantation as an alternative to native nephrectomy in selected patients. Methods This retrospective study describes our center's experience with pediatric patients who underwent ureteral ligation at transplantation between December 2008 and December 2022. Patient selection was based on clinical judgment rather than predefined criteria. Results Sixteen patients underwent ureteral ligation, with polyuria (12/16) and proteinuria associated with focal segmental glomerulosclerosis (4/16) as the primary indications. Ligation was unilateral in 5 patients and bilateral in 11. The average follow‐up was 5.7 years. No operative complications directly attributable to ureteral ligation were observed, including native kidney pyelonephritis or need for reoperation. Although post‐transplant imaging often revealed hydronephrosis of the native kidneys, it had no clinical consequences. Late postoperative hypertension occurred in 31% of the ligation group compared to 47% of controls without ligation, while new‐onset hypertension was more common in the ligation group (18.8% vs. 5.1%). Pain scores postoperatively were comparable between groups. Conclusions This technical report suggests that native ureteral ligation at pediatric kidney transplantation is feasible in selected patients but represents an empirical, non‐standard‐of‐care approach. Prospective comparative studies are needed to refine patient selection and assess long‐term outcomes.

Key Points In a cohort of children, 79% of families with kidney cysts had a monogenic diagnosis. Resolved cases were more likely to have a family history of kidney cysts and unresolved cases more often had unilateral cysts. Broad genetic testing revealed genetic diversity and informed prognosis and clinical management in childhood kidney cysts. Background Pediatric kidney cysts may indicate an underlying genetic disorder, yet the full spectrum of causes remains incompletely defined. With advances in genetic testing enabling broader evaluation, this study assessed the diagnostic utility of comprehensive genetic testing in a broad pediatric cohort with kidney cysts and characterized the underlying etiological diversity. Methods This observational cohort study included patients younger than 18 years enrolled between January 2020 and June 2024 at a single tertiary center. Genetic testing used targeted multigene or custom curated exome/genome sequencing panels, with segregation analysis when available. Eligible participants had at least two cysts without family history, one cyst with positive family history, or enlarged echogenic kidneys on prenatal ultrasound; those with congenital anomalies of the kidney and urinary tract associated with cysts were excluded. Clinical presentation was categorized as symptomatic, incidental, prenatal, or family screening. Primary outcomes were diagnostic yield and distribution of pathogenic variants. Results Among 109 patients (median age 7.6 years, 53% female), genetic testing identified a definitive diagnosis in 81 of 100 tested patients (81%) from 72 families (79%; 14 disorders). PKD1 variants were most common (45%), while PKD2 accounted for 7%. Other causes included HNF1B or 17q12 deletions (13%), minor autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease genes (11%; GANAB, NEK8, IFT140 ), monoallelic PKHD1 (3%), and biallelic PKHD1 (8%), while syndromic ciliopathy genes accounted for 5%. A positive family history of cystic kidney disease was more common among patients with a genetic diagnosis (54% versus 11%; P = 0.008). Patients without an identified genetic diagnosis more often had unilateral cysts (26% versus 4%; P = 0.53). Diagnosis by clinical symptoms was the most genetically diverse category. Conclusions Comprehensive genetic testing in pediatric kidney cysts achieved high diagnostic yield in a selected cohort and identified diverse causes beyond major autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease/autosomal recessive polycystic kidney disease genes, supporting early evaluation to improve diagnostic accuracy, inform prognosis, and guide management, even in the absence of family history.

ABSTRACT This study investigated the association between induction type and long‐term outcomes in kidney retransplant recipients who experienced graft loss due to BK virus–associated nephropathy (BKVAN). Using Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients data (2003–2021), we identified 277 adult kidney‐alone retransplant recipients with BKVAN‐related graft loss and categorized them by induction regimen: depletional ( n = 217) and nondepletional ( n = 60). The groups were similar overall, except the nondepletional cohort had lower panel‐reactive antibodies, a shorter time between transplants, and more live donor kidneys. Kaplan–Meier curves assessed 10‐year recipient and graft survival, and Cox proportional hazards models, adjusted for key donor and recipient factors, evaluated associations between induction type and outcomes. Rates of delayed graft function, one‐year rejection, and estimated glomerular filtration rate were comparable between groups. Ten‐year recipient and death‐censored graft survival did not differ by induction type (recipient survival: HR 1.09; 95% CI 0.43–2.77; p = 0.85; graft survival: HR 0.85; 95% CI 0.24–2.97; p = 0.79). Recurrent BKVAN‐related graft failure occurred only in the depletional group (5 of 217; 2.3%), while rejection‐related graft failure was more common in the nondepletional group (5 of 60; 8.3% vs. 6 of 217; 2.8%). Although these differences did not translate into long‐term graft survival disparities, they highlight the competing risks of viral recurrence and rejection. Thus, clinicians should interpret these results with caution and weigh the risks and benefits of induction choice in retransplant recipients with prior BKVAN, recognizing that this observational study cannot establish causality.

ABSTRACT Background Ureteral stents are commonly placed during kidney transplantation (KT) to mitigate urologic complications. The objective of this study was to compare clinical outcomes in KT recipients with either early stent removal when attached to the Foley catheter or late removal via cystoscopy when unattached. Methods We conducted a multi‐center retrospective analysis of consecutive living donor KT patients (8/18/21‐4/21/23) stratified into Foley‐attached and unattached stent groups. Outcomes assessed were ureteral stricture, urine leaks, UTIs at 90 days and allograft failure and BKV DNAemia (BK virus DNAemia) at 1 year. Data are reported as mean and standard deviation. Results Among 247 patients with attached and 260 with unattached stents, baseline demographics (age, sex, diabetes) were similar between groups. There was a difference in race (87.9% vs. 77.8% Caucasian; p = 0.004). Foley catheters remained longer in the attached group (3.7 ± 1.8 vs. 3.0 ± 2.0 days; p < 0.001), but stents were removed earlier (3.7 ± 1.8 vs. 21.9 ± 4.7 days; p < 0.001). Comparing attached versus unattached, there were no differences in ureteral stricture (0.4% vs. 1.5%; p = 0.197), urine leak (0.8% vs. 0.4%; p = 0.533), BKV DNAemia (17.7% vs. 16.9%; p = 0.616), or allograft failure (0% vs. 0.8%; p = 0.167). However, UTI incidence by 90 days was lower in the attached group (5.7% vs. 11.9% p = 0.013). Induction therapy differed significantly between groups, with Alemtuzumab more common in the unattached group (58.1% vs. 19.4%, p < 0.001), Basiliximab more common in the attached group (43.3% vs. 35.0%, p < 0.001), and Thymoglobulin more common in the attached group (36.0% vs. 6.9%, p < 0.001). Baseline steroid use was higher in the unattached group (81.9% vs. 57.9%, p < 0.001). Conclusion Early stent removal via connection to the Foley catheter had similarly low rates of ureteral complications while reducing urinary tract infections and avoiding cystoscopic removal.

ABSTRACTIntroductionThe incidence of mortality late in the pandemic, particularly after widespread vaccine availability, is not well understood. Herein, we elucidate the effect of this impact of the COVID pandemic as well as risk factors for mortality during it.MethodsThe primary end point was death with a functioning graft with secondary endpoints of mortality rates in subgroups and at different time intervals during the pandemic.ResultsDespite widespread vaccination, mortality rates for kidney transplant (KTx) recipients almost doubled during the COVID‐19 era (6.40 deaths per 100 person years vs. 3.54 pre‐COVID). Mortality increased in all racial/ethnic groups but increased more in Native Americans, Hispanics, and African Americans compared to non‐Hispanic Caucasians. The highest mortality rate occurred during the Delta and Omicron time frames. In contrast to the general population, mortality was more evenly spread across age groups in KTx recipients.ConclusionsMortality rates during the COVID‐19 era were extremely high, more than doubling in some racial/ethnic groups. We conclude that the KTx population was a particularly vulnerable group during the COVID‐19 era and suggests the need for further research into the management of variants in the future.

ABSTRACTCellular senescence is a biological mechanism of aging and age‐related diseases. The aim of this study was to examine whether senescence biomarkers are associated with frailty and physical function trajectories in patients undergoing kidney transplantation (KT). We also discussed the relationship between senescence biomarkers and KT function. In this multicenter study, we prospectively assessed plasma levels of senescence biomarkers, frailty as measured by the Physical Frailty Phenotype, and physical function as measured by the Short Physical Performance Battery prior to KT. Frailty, physical function, and KT function were also measured 1 year after KT. Variable associations were assessed using Cox and relaxed least absolute shrinkage and selection operation regression. The cohort consisted of 197 participants (mean age 53 ± 13 years, 61.4% male, and 80.2% White race). Higher pre‐KT levels of macrophage‐derived chemokine (MDC/CCL22) and growth differentiation factor‐15 (GDF‐15) were independently associated with less improvement in frailty and/or physical function during the first year after KT. Higher pre‐KT levels tumor necrosis factor receptor superfamily member 6 (FAS) and MMP‐9 levels were independently associated with lower KT function one year after KT. Pre‐KT cellular senescence may contribute to frailty, physical function, and kidney function trajectories during the first year after KT.

ABSTRACTPerformance‐based measures of frailty are associated with healthcare utilization after kidney transplantation (KT) but require in‐person assessment. A promising alternative is self‐reported frailty. The goal of this study was to examine the ability of performance‐based and self‐reported frailty measures to predict 30‐day rehospitalizations after KT. We conducted a prospective, observational cohort study involving 272 adults undergoing KT at Mayo Clinic in Minnesota, Florida, or Arizona. We simultaneously measured frailty before KT using the physical frailty phenotype (PFP), the short physical performance battery (SPPB), and self‐report (the Patient‐Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System [PROMIS] 4‐item physical function short form v2.0). Both the PFP and self‐reported frailty were independently associated with more than a 2‐fold greater odds of 30‐day rehospitalizations, while the SPPB was not. To our knowledge, this is the first study to assess the prognostic value of all three of the above frailty measures in patients undergoing KT. The PFP is more prognostic than the SPPB when assessing the risk of 30‐day rehospitalizations; self‐reported frailty can complement the PFP but not replace it. However, the 4‐item survey assessing self‐reported frailty represents a simple way to identify patients undergoing KT surgery who would benefit from interventions to lower the risk of rehospitalizations.

Key Points Morphometry allows for a more prognostic multidimensional quantification of interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy (IFTA) in kidneys than does visual inspection. The density of IFTA foci is determined by dividing the number of contiguous IFTA patches in the kidney cortex by the area of cortex. Higher density of IFTA foci significantly predicted renal allograft failure beyond %IFTA and other biopsy and clinical characteristics. Background Contraction of interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy (IFTA) may cause %IFTA to under-represent the severity of nephron loss. Higher density of IFTA foci is an important predictor of progressive CKD in native kidneys independent of %IFTA. Methods We studied kidney transplant recipients transplanted between 2000 and 2013 who had a 5-year surveillance kidney biopsy and subsequent follow-up. Banff ci score (interstitial fibrosis) was obtained from the pathology reports. After digitizing the biopsies, we traced cortex area and each distinct IFTA focus on a single trichrome-stained section. Percent IFTA area and IFTA foci density (count of IFTA foci/cortex area) were calculated. Cox models assessed the risk of death-censored graft failure after the 5-year biopsy with Banff ci score, morphometric %IFTA, and IFTA foci density. Results There were 58 death-censored allograft failures among 835 kidney recipients during the 5 years of follow-up. Biopsies from grafts that failed had higher mean Banff ci score (1.5 versus 0.7, P < 0.0001), %IFTA (22.6% versus 7.0%, P < 0.0001), and IFTA foci density (1.3/mm 2 versus 0.4/mm 2 , P < 0.0001). After adjusting for other Banff scores or clinical variables, Banff ci did not correlate with allograft failure, but both higher %IFTA (hazard ratio = 1.56, P < 0.0001) and higher IFTA foci density (hazard ratio = 2.34, P < 0.0001) did. All but four allograft failures by 10 years had biopsies in the top quartile of either %IFTA or IFTA foci density at 5 years. A model using just these two morphometric measures without clinical characteristics resulted in a c-statistic of 0.891 with respect to allograft failure. Conclusions Morphometric characterization of IFTA foci density is a strong predictor of death-censored allograft failure not captured in current Banff classification for grading of kidney fibrosis.

AbstractPancreas transplantation alone (PTA) is a β cell replacement option for selected patients with type 1 diabetes mellitus; concerns have been raised regarding deterioration in kidney function (KF) after PTA. This retrospective multicenter study assessed actual impact of transplantation and immunosuppression on KF in PTA recipients at three Transplant Centers. The primary composite endpoint 10 years after PTA was >50% eGFR decline, eGFR < 30 mL/min/1.73 m2, and/or receiving a kidney transplant (KT). Overall, 822 PTA recipients met eligibility. Median baseline and 10‐year eGFR (mL/min/1.73 m2) were 76.3 (58.1–100.8) and 51.3 (35.3–65.9), respectively. Primary composite endpoint occurred in 98 patients (53.5%) with 45 experiencing a >50% decrease in eGFR by 10 years post‐transplant, 38 eGFR < 30 mL/min/1.73 m2 and 49 requiring KT. KF declined most significantly within 6 months post‐PTA, more often in females and patients with better preserved GFR up to 5 years with 11.6% kidney failure at 10 years. Patient survival and death‐censored graft survival were both 68% at 10 years with overall graft thrombosis rate 8%. KF declined initially after PTA but stabilized with further slow progression. In conclusion, prospective intervention studies are needed to test renal sparing interventions while gathering more granular data.