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Kakakhel, Mian Zahid Jan

0009-0007-1349-5603

Mayo Clinic

Rehman Medical College , Peshawar ,

Citations 24

SAT-231 A Retrospective Analysis of Pediatric Endocrine Disorder Mortality Across Demographic and Geographic Groups in the United States
Kakakhel, Mian Zahid Jan , Cheema, Shamikha , Haider, Rabbia, Saleem, Fahad , Jawad, Hamna , Khan, Anum Zia, Qadeer, Abdul , Khawar, Muneeb , Ullah, Aman , Hemida, Mohamed Fawzi , Ahmad, Husnain , Alcaraz, Renato, Alsaadi, Mustafa Haleem , Khan, Anum Zia, Ahmed, Faizan

Journal of the Endocrine Society | October 23, 2025 | Volume: 9 | Issue: Supplement_1 | Pages: No page available

10.1210/jendso/bvaf149.1797 Get It

Abstract Disclosure: M. Kakakhel: None. S. Cheema: None. R. Haider: None. F. Saleem: None. M.H. Alsaadi: None. H. Jawad: None. A.Z. Khan: None. A. Qadeer: None. M. Khawar: None. A. Ullah: None. M.F. Hemida: None. H. Ahmad: None. F. Ahmed: None. R. Alcaraz: None. Background: Globally, pediatric endocrine anomalies are a significant cause of early mortality. This study examines the discrepancies of paediatric endocrine abnormalities across various demographic and geographic groups in the United States, including gender, census region, race, age groups, and urbanization levels. Our objective was to identify disparities and trends to inform targeted interventions for the vulnerable demographics. Methods: Adhering to STROBES criteria, we extracted the mortality statistics due to endocrine disorders in the paediatric population from 1999-2020 from the Centre for Disease Control and Prevention-Wide Ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic research (CDC-WONDER). We calculated Age-Adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) per 100,000 individuals. We calculated the Annual Percentage Change (APC) and Average Annual Percentage Change (AAPC) to assess trends stratified by age, gender, urbanization, race, census region, and states. Joinpoint regression model was used for analysis. Results: Between 1999 and 2020, 5161 deaths among children less than 1 year to 14 years of age in the United States were related to endocrine-related disorders. Most occurred due to thyroid disorders, diabetes mellitus, and other miscellaneous disorders related to glucose regulation and pancreatic internal secretion. The overall AAPC for endocrine-related mortality in the pediatric population increased from 1.4866 in 2008 to 2.4982 in 2020, with an AAPC of 0.1346 (95% CI: -3.1216 to -3.5003, p > 0.000001). The male population had higher AAPCs than the female population (women: -0.9938; men: 0.7223). There were notable racial differences: The Hispanic or Latino population had the highest AAPC (0.15), followed by the Black population (-0.195) and then the White population with the lowest AAPC (-0.166). According to the age group stratification, the age group with the highest AAPC was the 5-14 age group (2.03) and the lowest the less than 1 year age group, with AAPC (-2.007). There was a significant decrease in deaths in the less than 1 year age group from 1999 to 2020 (p value < 0.05) with APC (-2.0) (95% CI: -3.0191 to -0.9861) and for the 5-14 age group from 2010 to 2020 with APC (10.8861) (95% CI: 3.4843 to 18.8). Depending on the urban-rural categorization, metro areas had a higher AAPC (0.1508) compared to the non-metro areas with an AAPC (-0.4467). Conclusion: The overall decline in endocrine-related deaths in the pediatric population from 1999 to 2020 hails an improvement in efforts made to manage these disorders. However, the recent uptick in the Hispanic-Latino population emphasizes the necessity for targeted efforts to tackle these disparities and improve the health outcomes of affected communities as well as in children 1-4 years of age, depicting the increased vulnerability and need for added care in this age group. Presentation: Saturday, July 12, 2025
MON-375 Trends in Thyroid Disorders-Related Mortality Among US Adults: A 22 Year CDC WONDER Analysis
Kakakhel, Mian Zahid Jan , Saleem, Fahad , Ullah, Aman , Ahmad, Husnain , Qadeer, Abdul , Haider, Rabbia, Khawar, Muneeb , Jawad, Hamna , Ikram, Jibran, Filal, Maryem, Rehman, Khawaja Abdul , Alsaadi, Mustafa Haleem , Filal, Maryem, Ahmed, Faizan , Kirchoff, Robert W.

Journal of the Endocrine Society | October 23, 2025 | Volume: 9 | Issue: Supplement_1 | Pages: No page available

10.1210/jendso/bvaf149.2150 Get It

Abstract Disclosure: M. Kakakhel: None. F. Saleem: None. A. Ullah: None. K. Abdul Rehman: None. M.H. Alsaadi: None. H. Ahmad: None. A. Qadeer: None. R. Haider: None. M. Khawar: None. H. Jawad: None. J. Ikram: None. M. Filal: None. F. Ahmed: None. R.W. Kirchoff: None. Background: Thyroid disorders are common endocrine disorders including thyrotoxicosis, thyroiditis, hypothyroidism, and autoimmune thyroid diseases. Although it affects an estimated 200 million people globally, the epidemiology of this condition remains underexplored. Here we aimed to investigate mortality trends attributable to thyroid disorders in the US stratified by year, sex, race, and region. Methods: Using data from the CDC WONDER database, we calculated the crude and age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) per 1,000,000 individuals (≥25 years) and used Joinpoint regression to determine annual and average annual percent change (AAPC) in the mortality trends. Results: Between 1999 and 2020, 561,089 deaths were recorded among patients with thyroid disorders in the United States, with an overall increasing trend in mortality (AAPC = 0.78). The age-adjusted mortality rate (AAMR) declined gradually from 1999 to 2018 (APC = -0.43, 95% CI: -0.65 to -0.22) before rising sharply from 2018 to 2020 (APC = 13.05, 95% CI: 6.39 to 20.12). Females had a higher AAMR (139.75) than males (81.99). Among racial and ethnic groups, Whites exhibited the highest AAMR (124.09), followed by American Indian or Alaskan Natives (121.36), Hispanics (89.13), Black or African Americans (88.44), and Asian or Pacific Islanders (59.36). Regional disparities showed the highest AAMR in the Midwest (130.45) and the lowest in the South (109.40). West Virginia (199.93) and North Dakota (198.82) reported the highest state-level AAMRs, while Nevada (60.18) and Florida (65.49) had the lowest. Non-metropolitan areas experienced higher mortality rates (141.04) than metropolitan areas (112.21), underscoring significant geographical and demographic variations in thyroid disorder-related mortality. Conclusion: Adults in the US have shown a rising trend in Thyroid-related deaths, with the highest mortality rates seen in females, Whites, and people living in the Midwest and Non-metropolitan areas. Our study also highlights the disparities across different demographics. Policy makers should focus on equitable access to healthcare to control this increasing mortality. Presentation: Monday, July 14, 2025
Geographic, racial and temporal disparities in cancer and respiratory failure mortality in the US: A 24 year retrospective study.
Komel, Aqsa, Qadeer, Abdul , Khan, Saba , Khawar, Muneeb , Waqas, Muhammad , Aisha, Azka, Mughal, Hafiz Muhammad Faizan , Hassan, Shazia , Kakakhel, Mian Zahid Jan , Haider, Mobeen Z. , Laghari, Aamir, Hassan, Salman, Kirchoff, Robert W. , Khan, Allahdad , Safi, Adnan

Journal of Clinical Oncology | May 28, 2025 | Volume: 43 | Issue: 16_suppl | Pages: No page available

10.1200/jco.2025.43.16_suppl.e20520 Get It

e20520 Background: Cancer and respiratory failure (RF) are amongst leading causes of mortality in adults. This study investigates national trends in age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) for cancer and RF in the United States from 1999 to 2023, focusing on disparities by gender, race, region, and rural-urban residence to inform public health strategies. Methods: This descriptive study analyzed data from the CDC WONDER database, of adults aged 25 and older. Mortality data were identified using ICD-10 codes C00–C97 (cancer) and J96 (RF). AAMRs per 100,000 population were calculated and stratified by gender, race/ethnicity, census region, urban-rural classification, and state. Temporal trends were analyzed using Joinpoint regression to estimate annual percent changes (APCs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Statistical significance was set at p < 0.05. Results: From 1999 to 2023, total deaths of 1,263,368 attributed to cancer and RF (682,141 men, 581,227 women). AAMRs declined from 1999 to 2004 (APC = -1.5, 95% CI: -4.0 to -0.4), stabilized from 2004 to 2012 (APC = 0.8, 95% CI: 0.1 to 2.4), and increased from 2012 to 2023 (APC = 3.2, 95% CI: 2.9 to 3.8). Men experienced a greater initial decline (APC = -2.1, 1999–2004) but significant increases thereafter (APC = 3.0, 2012–2023), while women showed a slower decline followed by sharper increases (APC = 3.5, 2013–2023). Non-Hispanic Black populations initially declined (APC = -1.7, 1999–2003) but later increased significantly (APC = 3.0, 2014–2020). Hispanic/Latino populations declined (APC = -1.2, 1999–2009) before rising sharply (APC = 3.1, 2009–2020). American Indian or Alaska Native populations showed consistent increases (APC = 1.7, 1999–2020). Urban areas experienced initial declines (APC = -1.7, 1999–2004), followed by increases (APC = 2.4, 2011–2020). Non-metropolitan areas exhibited steeper increases (APC = 4.6, 2014–2020). Regionally, the West recorded the highest AAMR (24.0), followed by the Northeast (23.6), South (20.9), and Midwest (18.0). Mississippi had the highest state-level AAMR (36.3), while Wisconsin had the lowest (10.0). States in the top 90th percentile included Mississippi, Arkansas, and California, while Wisconsin, Minnesota, and Oregon were among the lowest. Conclusions: Cancer and RF mortality declined initially but have significantly increased in recent years. Disparities persist across gender, racial, and regional groups, underscoring the need for focused public health efforts and equitable resource distribution to address these trends.
Regional disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and mortality rates in gastric cancer among elderly (70+ years) from 1990-2021: A global burden of disease study.
Komel, Aqsa, Ahmad, Husnain , Munir, Syeda Umbreen, Kakakhel, Mian Zahid Jan , Mannan, Muhammad Shaheer, Sadiq, Muhammad Shehryar Ali, Khawar, Muneeb , Qadeer, Abdul , Jawad, Hamna , Ikram, Jibran, Ahmed, Faizan , Khan, Abdul basit, Ikram, Jibran , Ikram, Jibran , Munir, Syeda Umbreen, Sadiq, Muhammad Shehryar Ali, Khan, Abdul basit, Kirchoff, Robert W.

Journal of Clinical Oncology | May 28, 2025 | Volume: 43 | Issue: 16_suppl | Pages: No page available

10.1200/jco.2025.43.16_suppl.e16076 Get It

e16076 Background: Gastric cancer is the fourth leading cause of global cancer deaths. Despite declining incidence and mortality, it remains a significant contributor to the global disease burden. This study analyzes regional gastric cancer DALYs and mortality trends from 1990-2021 using the GBD database. Methods: The regional DALYs and mortality rates per 100,000 individuals aged 70+ from GBD 2021 were analyzed, with trends from 1990 to 2021 evaluated using AAPC, and statistical significance assessed by p-values. Results: In 2021, the greatest Age-standardized DALYs rates were recorded in Andean Latin America, with 3068.04 per 100,000; the lowest was found in High-income North America with 386.08 per 100,000. The most significant increase of DALYs rate from 1990 to 2021 was in Southern Sub-Saharan Africa, (AAPC = -0.3068%; 95% CI: -0.3852 to -0.2234; p < 0.000001), while in Western Europe, the largest decline was noted (AAPC = -2.9999%; 95% CI: -3.0164 to -2.9841; p < 0.000001). Andean Latin America was the region with the highest Age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) in 2021, at 207.58 per 100,000 while High-income North America had the lowest at 27.18 per 100,000. In Western Sub-Saharan Africa, the ASMRs were rising with an AAPC of -0.2601% (95% CI: -0.2872 to -0.2368; p < 0.000001), while Western Europe had the highest decline with an AAPC of -2.7658% (95% CI: -2.7895 to -2.7471; p < 0.000001). Conclusions: The global burden of diseases from 1990 to 2021 is regional in nature. In 2021, DALYs and mortality were predominantly high in Andean Latin America and East Asia and notably low in High-income North America. DALYs have risen across Southern Sub-Saharan Africa over three decades, and mortality increased over Western Sub-Saharan Africa, while both declined sharply in Western Europe. These trends underscore the importance of regionalized health solutions. DALY per 100,000. Metric Region 1990 2021 AAPC (1990-2021) HIGHEST DISABILITY-ADJUSTED LIFE YEARS (DALYS) PER 100,000 Andean Latin America 4469.23 3068.04 -1.14 East Asia 5507.72 2958.98 -1.99 High Income Asia Pacific 4849.23 2130.43 -2.71 LOWEST DISABILITY-ADJUSTED LIFE YEARS (DALYS) PER 100,000 High Income North America 758.59 386.09 -2.22 Australasia 1116.91 567.32 -2.16 South Asia 794.81 680.50 -0.46 HIGHEST MORTALITY RATE PER 100,000 Andean Latin America 293.65 207.58 -1.04 East Asia 324.60 188.92 -1.72 High Income Asia Pacific 316.44 161.94 -2.22 LOWEST MORTALITY RATE PER 100,000 High Income North America 51.24 27.19 -2.02 Australasia 74.36 41.81 -1.85 South Asia 47.50 41.95 -0.39
National trends in mortality of gastric cancer among older adults (70+) from 1990 to 2021 across 204 nations: A global burden of disease study.
Mannan, Muhammad Shaheer, Ahmad, Husnain , Kakakhel, Mian Zahid Jan , Ali, Muhammad Faizan , Khan, Iqra , Jawad, Hamna , Rizwan, Daniah, Qadeer, Abdul , Khawar, Muneeb , Khan, Abdul basit, Ali, Muhammad Faizan , Khan, Abdul basit, Kirchoff, Robert W.

Journal of Clinical Oncology | May 28, 2025 | Volume: 43 | Issue: 16_suppl | Pages: No page available

10.1200/jco.2025.43.16_suppl.e16074 Get It

e16074 Background: Gastric cancer is a malignant disease characterized by the uncontrolled growth of cells in the stomach lining. It is a global health concern with regional variation in incidence and prevalence. This study examines the national mortality trends in adults aged 70 years and older from 1990 to 2021. Methods: GBD data was analysed to assess the mortality rates of Gastric cancer in individuals aged ≥ 70 years. The Estimated Annual Percentage Change (EAPC) was used to evaluate trends from 1990 to 2021, with p-values determining statistical significance. Results: From 1990 to 2021, the global prevalence of Gastric cancer increased, peaking in 2021. Japan recorded the highest prevalence (621.7379, UI: 525.93, 675.74), followed by the Republic of Korea and China.In 2021, Bolivia (Plurinational State of) had the highest mortality rate (309.7, CI: 400.9, 240.6), slightly lower than its 1990 rate (445.35, CI: 539.58, 362.14), which was the highest that year. Mongolia (303.15, CI: 378.8, 226.2) and Cabo Verde (265.1, CI: 322.6, 206.8) followed. The lowest mortality rates were observed in Morocco (20.9, CI: 25.9, 15.0), Namibia (20.93, CI: 25.93, 16.4), and Nigeria (23.27, CI: 32.3, 19.2).Countries with the largest EAPC increases included Egypt (0.98, CI: 1.84, -0.22), Honduras (0.31, CI: 0.7, -0.01), and Lesotho (0.16, CI: 0.597, -0.16). The greatest declines were seen in Austria (-0.72, CI: -0.68, -0.74), Czechia (-0.69, CI: -0.64, -0.74), and Hungary (-0.67, CI: -0.607, -0.72). Conclusions: Mortality rates associated with Gastric Cancer among individuals aged 70 and older increased globally from 1990 to 2021, notably in Egypt, Honduras and Lesotho, emphasizing the need for improved prevention, management, and research on underlying disparities. Mortality percent changes. Metric Region 1990 2021 EAPC with 95% CI (1990-2021) HIGHEST MORTALITY PERCENT CHANGE Egypt 30.43 60.44 0.98 (1.84, -0.22) Honduras 140.76 184.48 0.31 (0.7, -0.01) Lesotho 77.18 90.26 0.16 (0.59, -0.16) LOWEST MORTALITY PERCENT CHANGE Austria 177.25 49.48 -0.72 (-0.68, -0.74) Czechia 168.73 51.51 -0.69 (-0.64, -0.74) Hungary 184.88 60.55 -0.67 (0.607, -0.72)
Trends and disparities in alcohol use and liver cell carcinoma–related mortality in the US: A 24-year retrospective study.
Aisha, Azka, Qadeer, Abdul , Khan, Saba , Khawar, Muneeb , Waqas, Muhammad , Komel, Aqsa, Khadim, Shaista , Naseer, Faisal, Asif, Hamza, Haider, Mobeen Z. , Kakakhel, Mian Zahid Jan , Laghari, Aamir, Haider, Ali , Kirchoff, Robert W.

Journal of Clinical Oncology | May 28, 2025 | Volume: 43 | Issue: 16_suppl | Pages: No page available

10.1200/jco.2025.43.16_suppl.e16237 Get It

e16237 Background: Alcohol use (AU) and Liver cell carcinoma (LCC) are significant contributors to adult mortality worldwide. Examining trends and disparities in AU and LCC-related deaths is essential for understanding public health challenges and formulating targeted interventions. This study investigates national mortality patterns related to AU and LCC in the United States from 1999 to 2023, emphasizing demographic, geographic, and temporal disparities. Methods: This descriptive analysis used the CDC WONDER database (1999–2023) to identify AU-related deaths (ICD-10 codes E24.4, F10, G32.2, G62.1, G72.1, I42.6, K70, K85.2, K86.0, R78.0, T51, X65, Y15) and LCC (ICD-10 code C22.0) in adults aged 25 and older. Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) per 1,000,000 individuals were calculated, stratified by gender, race/ethnicity, census region, urban-rural classification, and state. Trends were analyzed using Joinpoint regression to compute annual percent changes (APCs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Statistical significance was set at p < 0.05, and analyses adhered to STROBE guidelines. Results: From 1999 to 2023, a total of 21,007 deaths were attributed to LCC and AU (Men: 18,836 Women: 2,171). AAMRs showed a stable trend from 1999 to 2003 (APC: 0.0; 95% CI: -8.7 to 4.9) but increased significantly from 2003 to 2019 (APC: 6.1; 95% CI: 5.7 to 7.4), stabilizing from 2019 to 2023 (APC: -0.6; 95% CI: -3.2 to 1.3). Men's AAMRs decreased from 1999 to 2003 (APC: -1.1; 95% CI: -10.4 to 3.4), then rose sharply from 2003 to 2019 (APC: 6.1; 95% CI: 5.6 to 7.1). For women, AAMRs increased significantly, particularly between 2013 and 2017 (APC: 12.4; 95% CI: -9.5 to 25.1). Non-Hispanic Black and White populations experienced notable increases in AAMRs, while Hispanic people showed an initial decline followed by an increase post-2004 (APC: 4.7; 95% CI: 3.7 to 7.9). The West had the highest regional AAMR (5.3; 95% CI: 5.2 to 5.5), while the Northeast recorded the lowest (2.1; 95% CI: 2.0 to 2.2). New Mexico had the highest state AAMR (8.4; 95% CI: 7.4 to 9.4), and Mississippi the lowest (1.2; 95% CI: 0.9 to 1.5). AAMRs rose more sharply in non-metropolitan areas from 1999-2020 (APC: 6.6; 95% CI: 5.9 to 7.8) compared to metropolitan regions from 2004 to 2020 (APC: 5.4; 95% CI: 4.9 to 6.5). Conclusions: AU and LCC-related mortality rates have increased significantly since 2003, with distinct gender, racial, and geographic disparities. Men and rural populations faced higher mortality increases, with notable variations across states and regions. These findings underscore the need for focused public health efforts to mitigate these disparities and address the growing burden of LCC and AU-related mortality.
National trends in disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of gastric cancer among elderly (70+ years) from 1990-2021: A global burden of disease study.
Khan, Abdul basit, Kakakhel, Mian Zahid Jan , Ahmad, Husnain , Khawar, Muneeb , Nisar, Muhammad Shahid , Ali, Muhammad Faizan , Jawad, Hamna , Zaied, Mohammad A. , Ikram, Jibran, Ahmed, Faizan , Mannan, Muhammad Shaheer, Ikram, Jibran , Ikram, Jibran , Khan, Abdul basit, Nisar, Mudasar, Ali, Muhammad Faizan , Qadeer, Abdul, Kirchoff, Robert W.

Journal of Clinical Oncology | May 28, 2025 | Volume: 43 | Issue: 16_suppl | Pages: No page available

10.1200/jco.2025.43.16_suppl.e16456 Get It

e16456 Background: Gastric cancer is one of the significant contributors of mortality and morbidity, especially in older patients. Analyzing national trends in the Disability adjust life years (DALY) helps identify the evolving burden of this disease among patients older than 70 years and highlights the regions requiring particular interventions. Methods: Using Global burden of disease data from 2021, national DALY rates per 100,000 people aged 70 and over with gastric cancer were assessed. The Estimated Annual Percentage Change (EAPCs) with p value taken as a statistical measure of significance, was used to evaluate trends from 1990 to 2021. Results: The analysis displays considerable contrasts in the trends of gastric cancer burden across nations. From 1990 to 2021, a rising trend in DALY EAPC was seen in Egypt (1.01883; 95% CI: -0.1931- 1.958) followed by Honduras (0.3262; 95% CI: 0.0177- 0.7456) and Lesotho (0.2253; 95% CI:-0.1326- 0.6995). Conversely, Austria (-0.7368; 95% CI: -0.7646 to -0.7087), Republic of Korea (-0.7095; 95% CI: -0.7620 to -0.6442) and Singapore (-0.6923; 95% CI: -0.7286 to -0.6553) reported a prominent decline in DALY EAPCs, reflecting significant progress in reducing burden. The DALY rates in 2021 also varied dramatically among nations. Highest DALY rate was observed in Bolivia (4882.7; 95% CI:3782.9- 6349.7) underscoring highest impact on healthcare system. Conversely, Morocco (329.69; 95% CI: 234.64- 410.12) recorded lowest DALY rate indicating comparatively better disease control or lower incidence. Conclusions: While some nations demonstrate remarkable progress in mitigating the burden of gastric cancer, others still face significant challenges. Highest increase in EAPC in Egypt, Honduras and Lesotho whereas significant decline in Austria, Korea, and Singapore indicates areas of target public health efforts. Future research should focus on understanding the causes of these disparities and evaluating the impact of interventions across it. DALY and EPAC. Country 2021 DALY rate EAPC(1990-2021) EAPC, 95% CI Egypt 1272.146 1.018834(highest) -0.193 to 1.959 Honduras 2880.563 0.32617 0.018 to 0.746 Lesotho 1555.79 0.225384 -0.133 to 0.699 Singapore 806.6098 -0.692396 -0.729 to -0.655 Republic of Korea 1961.151 -0.709502 -0.762 to -0.644 Austria 662.5105 -0.736826(lowest) -0.765 to -0.709 Morocco 410.1227(lowest) -0.17817 -0.387 to 0.097 Bolivia 4882.718(highest) -0.32185 -0.473 to -0.103
Gender-specific trends in disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and mortality rates of pancreatic cancer in adults aged 70 and older: A Global Burden of Disease analysis (1990-2021).
Iqbal, Rabia , Ahmad, Husnain , Kakakhel, Mian Zahid Jan , Ali, Muhammad Faizan , Qadeer, Abdul , Khawar, Muneeb , Zafar, Maha , Kirchoff, Robert W.

Journal of Clinical Oncology | May 28, 2025 | Volume: 43 | Issue: 16_suppl | Pages: No page available

10.1200/jco.2025.43.16_suppl.e16423 Get It

e16423 Background: Pancreatic cancer (PC) is one of the most aggressive malignancies, disproportionately affecting older adults. Leveraging data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD), this study investigates gender-specific trends in disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and mortality rates for PC among adults aged 70 and older from 1990 to 2021. Methods: DALYs and mortality rates associated with PC were extracted for both genders from the GBD-2021 study from 1990 to 2021. The Annual Percentage Change (APC) and the Average Annual Percentage Change (AAPC) were calculated, along with 95% confidence intervals (CI), to assess the statistical significance of the trends using the p-value. Results: In 1990, DALY rates were 837.25 for men and 711.95 for women, increasing to 950.68 and 768.31, respectively, by 2021. Mortality rates followed a similar pattern: men’s rates rose from 52.05 in 1990 to 61.37 in 2021, while women’s increased from 47.31 to 53.40. Men consistently experienced higher burdens than women. The AAPC analysis revealed that men exhibited a steeper rise in both DALYs and mortality rates associated with PC compared to women over the past three decades. Notably, the gender disparity was more evident in DALYs (+0.1929%) than in mortality rates (+0.1358%), with all AAPC values demonstrating statistical significance (p < 0.000001). Following the APC analysis, additional significant trends were identified. Among males, DALY rates demonstrated the most pronounced increase between 1997 and 2021 (APC: 0.5397, 95% CI: 0.5118, 0.5645), whereas in females, the most significant rise occurred from 1990 to 1993 (APC: 0.6593, 95% CI: 0.3608, 1.1016). Conversely, the slowest increase in DALY rates among females was observed between 1993 and 2003 (APC: 0.0925, 95% CI: -0.2053, 0.1641). For mortality rates, the most notable rise in males was observed between 2007 and 2010 (APC: 1.2314, 95% CI: 1.0292, 1.3195), while females experienced their sharpest escalation from 1990 to 1994 (APC: 0.6891, 95% CI: 0.4322, 1.0720). In contrast, the slowest rate of progression in mortality among females occurred between 1993 and 2002 (APC: 0.1736, 95% CI: 0.0180, 0.2368). Conclusions: Over the past three decades, men have experienced a significantly more pronounced rise in DALYs and mortality rates related to PC compared to women.These findings highlight the urgent need for gender-specific interventions to address the growing burden of PC in aging populations. Trends in DALY and mortality rates per 100,000 by gender (1990-2021). Metrics Gender 1990 2021 APC (1990-2021) Daly Rates per 100,000 Male 837.25 950.68 0.4422 Female 711.9 768.31 0.2493 Mortality Rates per 100,000 Male 52.05 61.37 0.5366 Female 47.31 53.40 0.4008
National trends in mortality of pancreatic cancer in adults aged 70 and older across 204 nations: A global burden of disease analysis (1990–2021).
Khan, Abdul basit, Ahmad, Husnain , Kakakhel, Mian Zahid Jan , Ali, Muhammad Faizan , Kamal, Talha, misbah, A.M.EL-mahmoudy Akram Almabrouk, Khawar, Muneeb , Sadiq, Muhammad , Mannan, Muhammad Shaheer, Khan, Abdul basit, Ali, Muhammad Faizan , Kamal, Talha, Ahmed, Faizan , Kirchoff, Robert W.

Journal of Clinical Oncology | May 28, 2025 | Volume: 43 | Issue: 16_suppl | Pages: No page available

10.1200/jco.2025.43.16_suppl.e16420 Get It

e16420 Background: Pancreatic cancer (PC) typically follows an indolent course and is often diagnosed at an advanced stage, contributing to its high mortality rate, particularly among older adults. Its aggressive nature makes it a significant global health burden, causing substantial mortality across nations. This analysis investigates national mortality trends in adults aged 70 years and older from 1990 to 2021, utilizing data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study. Methods: We utilized data from the GBD-Study 2021 to report the number of cases and age-standardized rates (per 100,000 population) of PC. To assess mortality trends from 1990 to 2021, we calculated the estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) along with corresponding 95%confidence intervals (CI), providing a robust evaluation of temporal patterns. Results: Over the past three decades, deaths attributable to PC have shown a significant increase globally. In 1990, the United States of America (USA) reported the highest number of PC-related deaths, followed by China and Japan. By 2021, however, China surpassed the USA, becoming the leading contributor to PC mortality, with Japan maintaining its position as the third highest.In 2021, the United Arab Emirates reported the highest mortality rate (148.15), which was more than double its 1990 rate (70.71). The Principality of Monaco (140.87) and Uruguay (129.39) held the second and third highest mortality rates, respectively. The lowest mortality rates were recorded in Mozambique (8.18), Malawi (8.98), and Sao Tome and Principe (9.01).Countries with the largest increases in the EAPC included Turkmenistan (EAPC: 15.16, 95% CI: 10.92, 21.02), Republic of Cabo Verde (EAPC: 13.60, 95% CI: 8.56, 19.48), and Mongolia (EAPC: 4.80, 95% CI: 3.11, 7.26). In contrast, the greatest declines were observed in the Republic of San Marino (EAPC: -0.32, 95% CI: -0.52, -0.07), Guam (EAPC: -0.27, 95% CI: -0.41, -0.13), and Greenland (EAPC: -0.24, 95% CI: -0.44, 0.007). Conclusions: Globally, mortality rates associated with PC among individuals aged 70 and older increased from 1990 to 2021, with particularly notable rises in Turkmenistan, Republic of Cabo Verde, and Mongolia. These findings underscore the critical need for enhanced prevention strategies, improved management, and research to address underlying disparities. Mortality percent change. Metric Region 1990 2021 EAPC with 95% CI (1990-2021) Highest mortality percent change Turkmenistan 1.19 19.34 15.16 (10.92, 21.02) Republic of Cabo Verde 6.47 94.55 13.60 (8.56, 19.48) Mongolia 10.21 59.24 4.80 (3.11, 7.26) Lowest mortality percent change Republic of San Marino 89.48 60.47 -0.32 (-0.52, -0.07) Guam 32.46 23.51 -0.27 (-0.41, -0.13) Greenland 169.52 127.96 -0.24 (-0.44, 0.007)
Regional trends in incidence and prevalence of pancreatic cancer among older adults (70+): A 30-year global burden of disease analysis (1990–2021).
Kakakhel, Mian Zahid Jan , Ahmad, Husnain , Mannan, Muhammad Shaheer, Ali, Muhammad Faizan , Ibrahim, Arwa M, Jawad, Hamna , Idrees, Usama , Khan, Iqra , Qadeer, Abdul , Khawar, Muneeb , Ikram, Jibran, KHAN, A. A. , Rashid, Muhammad, Ibrahim, Arwa M, Ahmed, Faizan , Kirchoff, Robert W.

Journal of Clinical Oncology | May 28, 2025 | Volume: 43 | Issue: 16_suppl | Pages: No page available

10.1200/jco.2025.43.16_suppl.e16419 Get It

e16419 Background: Pancreatic cancer remains one of the most lethal malignancies worldwide. While high-income regions have long faced higher rates, recent trends show that lower-income regions are also beginning to see an increase. This study explores how pancreatic cancer incidence and prevalence have changed over the past 30 years among adults aged 70 and older assessing regional differences. Methods: We analyzed data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) spanning three decades (1990–2021) to assess pancreatic cancer incidence and prevalence rates among adults aged 70+. Data focused on different regions worldwide, grouping them by income levels using the Socio-demographic Index (SDI) and annual changes in incidence and prevalence rates were calculated. Results: In 2021, High-income Asia Pacific had the highest incidence rate at 119.52 per 100,000, whereas Low SDI regions had the lowest at 12.01 per 100,000. High-income regions accounted for the majority of cases, with over 140,000 reported, compared to fewer than 3,000 in the lowest-income areas. Andean Latin America experienced significant APC fluctuations, with a sharp rise from 2015 to 2019 followed by a decline, while High-income North America saw a recent decrease in incidence. Overall, most regions exhibit a steady increase in pancreatic cancer prevalence, with higher AAPCs in Sub-Saharan Africa, North Africa, and parts of Asia, while high-income regions show more moderate increases. Trend analysis reveals significant trends in pancreatic cancer incidence and prevalence among individuals aged 70+. Western Sub-Saharan Africa has the highest Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) at 2.3248%, indicating the most substantial increase in prevalence from 1990 to 2021, followed by North Africa and the Middle East at 1.9906%. Low-middle SDI regions also show a steady rise with an AAPC of 1.718%, while high-income regions like High-income Asia Pacific report a notable AAPC of 1.595%. Conclusions: Our findings show a concerning rise in pancreatic cancer among older adults, with the most dramatic increases in regions like Western Sub-Saharan Africa and North Africa. To tackle this growing challenge, we need focused efforts on prevention, early detection, and accessible care, especially in lower-resource settings. Incidence percent changes. Metric Region 1990 2021 AAPC (1990-2021) Highest incidence percent change Western Sub-Saharan Africa 7.62 15.38 2.31 North Africa and Middle East 20.97 37.23 1.91 Lowest incidence percent change Caribbean 41.51 41.36 -0.016 Southern Latin America 74.05 73.89 0.006 Highest prevalence percent change Western Sub-Saharan Africa 4.54 9.21 2.32 North Africa and Middle East 12.49 22.77 1.99 Lowest prevalence rate percent change Caribbean 25.02 25.38 0.02 Southern Latin America 44.78 45.45 0.06