Haggerty, Christopher M.

Abstract Background and Aims Classification and risk stratification in aortic (AR), mitral (MR), and tricuspid regurgitation (TR) remains a significant clinical challenge. This study aimed to develop an artificial intelligence (AI) system to assess valvular regurgitation and stratify MR-progression risk. Methods Using transthoracic echocardiograms (TTEs) at two sites (internal development/test, external test), the DELINEATE-Regurgitation system was developed to classify AR, MR, and TR severity using colour Doppler videos. Methods of summating video-level classifications into study-level predictions were tested, comparing single-view with multiview approaches integrating predictions across multiple videos. Model agreement with cardiologists was assessed by weighted kappa. A separate AI system (DELINEATE-MR-Progression) analysing colour Doppler videos was developed to predict which patients with mild, mild–moderate, and moderate MR were most likely to progress to moderate–severe or severe MR with analysis by Kaplan–Meier and Cox proportional hazards models. Results A total of 71 660 TTEs with 1 203 980 colour Doppler videos were included. The weighted kappa in internal/external test sets for regurgitation classification was 0.81/0.76 for AR, 0.76/0.72 for MR, and 0.73/0.64 for TR using a multiview approach taking all colour Doppler videos in a study, demonstrating substantial agreement with cardiologist interpretation with superiority of multiview over single view approaches. In the progression analysis, the AI score stratified MR-progression risk even when controlled for clinical factors known to be associated with MR progression [internal test set hazard ratio 4.1 (95% confidence interval 2.5–6.6)]. Conclusions An AI system can accurately classify AR, MR, and TR and predict MR progression beyond currently known risk factors.

Precision medicine, which among other aspects includes an individual's genomic data in diagnosis and management, has become the standard‐of‐care for Mendelian cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, early identification and management of asymptomatic patients with potentially lethal and manageable Mendelian CVD through screening, which is the promise of precision health, remains an unsolved challenge. The reduced costs of genomic sequencing have enabled the creation of biobanks containing in‐depth genetic and health information, which have facilitated the understanding of genetic variation, penetrance, and expressivity, moving us closer to the genotype‐first screening of asymptomatic individuals for Mendelian CVD. This approach could transform health care by diagnostic refinement and facilitating prevention or therapeutic interventions. Yet, potential benefits must be weighed against the potential risks, which include evolving variant pathogenicity assertion or identification of variants with low disease penetrance; costly, stressful, and inappropriate diagnostic evaluations; negative psychological impact; disqualification for employment or of competitive sports; and denial of insurance. Furthermore, the natural history of Mendelian CVD is often unpredictable, making identification of those who will benefit from preventive measures a priority. Currently, there is insufficient evidence that population‐based genetic screening for Mendelian CVD can reduce adverse outcomes at a reasonable cost to an extent that outweighs the harms of true‐positive and false‐positive results. Besides technical, clinical, and financial burdens, ethical and legal aspects pose unprecedented challenges. This review highlights key developments in the field of genotype‐first approaches to Mendelian CVD and summarizes challenges with potential solutions that can pave the way for implementing this approach for clinical care.