Kumaraiah, Deepa

Abstract Aims Heart failure (HF), a major global health challenge, affects millions worldwide and poses substantial healthcare and economic burdens. It is estimated that a large proportion of those with early systolic dysfunction remain asymptomatic at a stage when guideline-directed medical therapies have been shown to prevent disease progression. To develop an artificial intelligence (AI) model capable of predicting abnormal left ventricular ejection fraction (EF) directly from static, non-gated, non-contrast chest computed tomography (CT) scans as a form of opportunistic screening, Methods and results Using a multi-institutional dataset of 34 058 paired non- contrast CT images and echocardiogram reports from two academic centres, we trained our model of classification for predicting left-ventricle ejection fraction (LVEF) categories: abnormal EF (EF < 50%) vs. normal on 25 948 studies. We validated the model on 8110 paired chest CT and echocardiogram results from a separate institution. The model achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve of 0.786 on the hold-out test set and 0.762 on external validation to detect an abnormal EF (<50%). Beyond strong predictive performance, the AI model surpassed expert radiologists in both accuracy and efficiency and provided interpretable visualizations highlighting imaging features linked to reduced LVEF. Conclusion In this study, we developed and validated an AI model capable of predicting abnormal LVEF directly from static, non-gated, non-contrast chest CT scans, a novel application for an imaging modality typically used for unrelated indications as a form of opportunistic screening. This technology holds significant promise for early detection of systolic HF, reducing the diagnostic gap, and improving outcomes in asymptomatic HF patients.

Abstract Background and Aims Classification and risk stratification in aortic (AR), mitral (MR), and tricuspid regurgitation (TR) remains a significant clinical challenge. This study aimed to develop an artificial intelligence (AI) system to assess valvular regurgitation and stratify MR-progression risk. Methods Using transthoracic echocardiograms (TTEs) at two sites (internal development/test, external test), the DELINEATE-Regurgitation system was developed to classify AR, MR, and TR severity using colour Doppler videos. Methods of summating video-level classifications into study-level predictions were tested, comparing single-view with multiview approaches integrating predictions across multiple videos. Model agreement with cardiologists was assessed by weighted kappa. A separate AI system (DELINEATE-MR-Progression) analysing colour Doppler videos was developed to predict which patients with mild, mild–moderate, and moderate MR were most likely to progress to moderate–severe or severe MR with analysis by Kaplan–Meier and Cox proportional hazards models. Results A total of 71 660 TTEs with 1 203 980 colour Doppler videos were included. The weighted kappa in internal/external test sets for regurgitation classification was 0.81/0.76 for AR, 0.76/0.72 for MR, and 0.73/0.64 for TR using a multiview approach taking all colour Doppler videos in a study, demonstrating substantial agreement with cardiologist interpretation with superiority of multiview over single view approaches. In the progression analysis, the AI score stratified MR-progression risk even when controlled for clinical factors known to be associated with MR progression [internal test set hazard ratio 4.1 (95% confidence interval 2.5–6.6)]. Conclusions An AI system can accurately classify AR, MR, and TR and predict MR progression beyond currently known risk factors.