Mahmoud, Ahmed

Background:Aortic valve replacement is the primary treatment for aortic valve disease and can be performed using either transcatheter (TAVR) or surgical (SAVR) approaches. The risk of aortic dissection (AD) with TAVR compared with SAVR remains unclear. We aimed to compare AD risk between TAVR and SAVR using a large, real-world cohort. Methods:We conducted a retrospective cohort analysis using the TriNetX research network. Patients with a diagnosis of aortic stenosis, aortic insufficiency, mixed aortic valve disease (AVD), or unspecified AVDwho underwent either TAVR or SAVR were included. A 1:1 propensity score-matching (PSM) based on baseline characteristics was performed to adjust for potential confounding. Logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate odds ratios (ORs) and hazard ratios (HRs), with 95% confidence intervals (CIs).Results:Among 95,043 patients undergoing isolated aortic valve replacement, 20,237 matched pairs were analyzed after 1:1 PSM. Baseline characteristics were well balanced, with a mean age of 73.3 ± 9.3 years in the TAVR group and 73.2 ± 8.5 years in the SAVR group; 60.8% and 60.7% were male, respectively. TAVR was associated with significantly lower odds of composite AD than SAVR at all time points (1-year OR 0.60; 95% CI 0.44–0.82; 3-year OR 0.64; 95% CI 0.48–0.83; 5-year OR 0.66; 95% CI 0.51–0.85; p < 0.01 for all). Stratified analyses demonstrated lower odds of both Stanford type A and type B AD at all time points. Kaplan–Meier analysis demonstrated a separation in composite AD-free survival between the two groups (HR 0.66; 95% CI 0.51–0.86; p = 0.002).Conclusion:In this large, real-world cohort, despite a low event rate, TAVR was associated with a significantly lower likelihood of composite AD than SAVR.

Background In low-gradient severe aortic stenosis (AS), reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF <50%) is practically used to define low flow and prompt dobutamine stress echocardiography to discern pseudo-severe AS. In patients with preserved LVEF, stroke volume index (SVI) <35 mL/m² is typically used. However, both are volume-based surrogates. Transaortic flow rate (TAFR), calculated as stroke volume divided by left ventricular ejection time, may better reflect true flow. Nonetheless, comparative data between TAFR and established metrics remain limited. We aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of TAFR in symptomatic low-gradient severe AS. Methods We retrospectively identified patients with low-gradient severe AS (AVA ≤1 cm 2 and peak velocity (Vmax) <4 m/s or mean gradient (MG) <40 mm Hg) who underwent transcatheter aortic valve replacement at Mayo Clinic sites (2017–2023). The primary outcome was 1-year all-cause mortality. Survival was assessed using Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazards models. Results Among 475 patients included (mean age 85±8 years; 49% women), 242 (51%) had TAFR <220 mL/s, 165 (35%) had EF <50%, and 221 (47%) had SVI <35 mL/m 2 . Low TAFR was significantly associated with higher 1-year mortality even after stratifying by EF or SVI. In multivariate analysis, TAFR was an independent predictor of mortality (HR 2.38; 95% CI 1.19 to 4.76, p=0.014) after adjusting for reduced LVEF, low SVI, gender, chronic kidney disease and mitral and tricuspid regurgitation. Conclusions In patients with symptomatic low-gradient severe AS, low TAFR, not SVI or LVEF, is independently associated with mortality and may offer more accurate measure of flow state for clinical staging.

Abstract Aims Obesity is linked with worse outcomes in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM). While both bariatric surgery (BS) and GLP-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RA) promote weight loss and may improve cardiometabolic risk, their comparative outcomes in HCM remain unclear. Methods and results Adults with HCM and body mass index (BMI) ≥ 30 kg/m were divided into two cohorts: (i) GLP-1 RA users who never had BS, and (ii) BS patients who never received GLP-1 RA. Propensity score matching (1:1) was performed to balance demographics, comorbidities, and medications. Outcomes over 24 months include all-cause mortality, acute heart failure (HF) hospitalization, arrhythmias, change in BMI, and cardiovascular symptoms. Hazard ratios with 95% confidence intervals were estimated using Cox models. Of 5002 patients, 955 were included in each matched cohort after matching (mean age 54 ± 13 years, 70% female, BMI 40.0 kg/m). GLP-1 RA was associated with a significantly lower observed rate of all-cause mortality compared with BS (2.0% vs. 4.4%; HR 0.46; 95% CI 0.27–0.80; P = 0.004) and HF hospitalization (8.7% vs. 14.0%; HR 0.60; 95% CI 0.46–0.79; P &lt; 0.001). Similarly, GLP-1 RA use was associated with a lower incidence of composite cardiovascular outcomes (10.7% vs. 17.2%; HR 0.60; 95% CI 0.47–0.77; P &lt; 0.001). Rates of arrhythmia and cardiovascular symptoms were comparable between the two groups. BMI reduction was greater after bariatric surgery (−4.0 vs. −2.6 kg/m; P &lt; 0.001). Conclusion In obese patients with HCM, GLP-1 RA therapy was associated with lower all-cause mortality and fewer HF events compared with BS. Future studies are warranted to confirm our findings.

Key Points Atrial fibrillation after kidney transplantation is common and is associated with poor prognosis. Artificial intelligence applied to 12-lead electrocardiograms pretransplant accurately predicts the risk of new-onset atrial fibrillation in our cohort. High-risk artificial intelligence electrocardiography score was independently associated with increased risk of mortality and allograft failure. Background Incident atrial fibrillation (AF) is common after kidney transplantation (KTx) and is associated with worse clinical outcomes. Artificial intelligence electrocardiography (AI-ECG) algorithms have demonstrated efficacy in predicting risk of new-onset AF in the general population; however, their prognostic value in KTx recipients is relatively unknown. Methods Retrospective analysis was conducted on KTx recipients without AF, with at least one pretransplant ECG between 2011 and 2021 across three tertiary centers in the United States (Mayo Clinic sites in MN, AZ, and FL). A previously validated AI-ECG algorithm estimated the probability of incident AF for each patient. Based on AI-ECG probabilities, patients were categorized into high-risk and low-risk groups, with the optimal AI-ECG score cutoff determined. The incidence of new-onset AF, allograft failure, and mortality was compared between groups. Results Overall, 6246 patients (age 53.5±13.8 years; 58.9% male) were included. Pretransplant AI-ECG probability of AF ≥5% was the optimal cutoff for high risk of incident AF (sensitivity 72%, specificity 62%). High-risk scores were associated with true new-onset AF at 30 days (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 2.89; 95% confidence intervals [CI], 2.05 to 4.09; P < 0.001), 3 years (aHR, 2.54; 95% CI, 1.99 to 3.26, P < 0.001), and 5 years post-transplant (aHR, 2.48; 95% CI, 1.99 to 3.09, P < 0.001). High-risk AI-ECG scores were also associated with increased mortality (aHR, 1.56; 95% CI, 1.30 to 1.88, P < 0.001) and overall allograft failure (aHR, 1.50; 95% CI, 1.30 to 1.75, P < 0.001) through the 5-year follow-up. Conclusions This pretransplant AI-ECG parameter identified patients at increased risk of new-onset AF post-KTx and provided prognostic utility. Overall, this easy to obtain tool allows for risk stratification of patients who may benefit from closer monitoring, targeted risk factor modification, and early intervention.

Abstract Aims Pre-capillary pulmonary hypertension (PHTN), typically due to intrinsic pulmonary pathology, requires right heart catheterization (RHC) for diagnosis. ePLAR, the echocardiographic pulmonary to left atrial ratio [calculated: tricuspid regurgitation maximum velocity (TRVmax) divided by mitral valve E to e′ wave ratio (E/e′)], has been demonstrated as a promising non-invasive surrogate for characterization of pre-capillary PHTN. As such, this study aimed to further evaluate the diagnostic utility of ePLAR in a large cohort of patients with PHTN. Methods and results All RHCs between 2018 and 2023 across three tertiary centres were retrospectively reviewed. Patients with PHTN were characterized as pre-capillary or post-capillary (isolated or combined). Concurrent ePLAR was calculated. ROC analysis evaluated the accuracy of ePLAR in detecting pre-capillary PHTN. Overall, 2235 patients had PHTN by RHC, mean age 63.5 ± 14.7 years, 53.5% male. Of these, 43.3% had pre-capillary PHTN. ROC analysis demonstrated ePLAR to have good accuracy in detection of pre-capillary PHTN (AUC 0.760), with a cutoff of 0.20 m/s demonstrating a sensitivity and specificity of 77% and 60% respectively. This persisted on sensitivity analysis for contemporaneous investigations and for right ventricular function. Conclusion In this large cohort, ePLAR was validated as an accurate tool for identifying patients with pre-capillary PHTN. This widely available, non-invasive, and reproducible parameter can have an important role in the work up of PHTN and may guide the need for invasive testing.

Background Immune‐checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) are associated with adverse cardiac events. Although troponin elevation is a diagnostic criterion for ICI‐related myocarditis (ICIrM) and myocardial infarction, data on other causes of troponin elevation and their outcomes in ICI‐treated patients are limited. Methods All patients treated with ICI who had hs‐TnT (high‐sensitivity troponin T) measured at a multicenter institution from 2011 to 2022 were included. Clinical data, outcomes (cardiac death, heart failure (HF), major adverse cardiovascular events [myocardial infarction, stroke, heart failure]), and cause of hs‐TnT elevation were assessed. Risks of cardiac events were compared across hs‐TnT elevation causes. Results Of 5423 patients treated with ICI, 1669 had post‐ICI hs‐TnT measurement (mean age 68.7±11.3 years, 58.3% male), with 1‐year follow‐up. Hs‐TnT elevation in patients with ICIrM (n=59) was associated with the highest risk for cardiac death (hazard ratio [HR], 52.7 [95% CI, 11.7–238.0], P <0.001), followed by hs‐TnT elevation due to heart failure (HR, 15.9), myocardial infarction/type 2 ischemia (HR, 11.6), and infection/sepsis (HR, 5.7), compared with those with no hs‐TnT elevation. ICIrM also carried highest risk for major adverse cardiovascular events (HR, 8.2, [95% CI, 4.4–15.3], P <0.001), followed by myocardial infarction/type 2 ischemia (HR, 8.1), heart failure (HR, 7.6), pulmonary embolus (HR, 5.1), infection/sepsis (HR, 4.1), and indeterminate cause (HR, 2.4). Among ICIrM, HsTnT value >576 ng/L best predicted risk for cardiac death and >319 ng/L for major adverse cardiovascular events. Conclusions Hs‐TnT elevation after ICI therapy is associated with increased risk of cardiac events, particularly in ICIrM, and a graded prognostic association depending on the cause of hs‐TnT elevation. Identifying the underlying cause and troponin thresholds may guide risk stratification and management.

Abstract Aims We evaluated clinical outcomes with GLP-1 RA use post-TAVI in patients with T2D. GLP-1 receptor agonists (GLP1-RAs) lower cardiovascular risk in type 2 diabetes (T2D), but their impact in patients with valvular heart disease, including those undergoing transcatheter aortic-valve implantation (TAVI), remained unexplored. Methods and results We conducted a retrospective cohort study using the TriNetX network, including 25 184 adults (≥18 years) with T2D who underwent TAVI (2015–2023). Patients were stratified based on GLP1-RA initiation within 14 days post-TAVI. Baseline characteristics, comorbidities, medications, and laboratory data were balanced using 1:1 propensity score matching (PSM). Cox models estimated hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for events from one-month post-TAVI until the most recent follow-up. PSM yielded 1101 patients per group, with a mean age of 73 years and 39% female. Mean follow-up duration was 2.2 ± 1.1 and 2.6 ± 1.8 years for GLP1-RA users and non-users, respectively. GLP1-RA use was also associated higher survival probability (HR: 0.708 [95% CI: 0.583–0.859]), and lower rates of all-cause hospitalization (HR: 0.790 [95% CI, 0.706–0.885]), major cardiovascular events (HR: 0.849 [95% CI: 0.749–0.963]), and acute heart failure exacerbation (HR: 0.785 [95% CI: 0.677–0.909]), acute kidney injury (HR: 0.843 [95% CI: 0.719–0.988]), and major kidney events (HR: 0.665 [95% CI: 0.510–0.866]). No differences were observed in acute myocardial infarction, cerebral infarction, or cardiac arrest. Conclusion In patients with T2D undergoing TAVI, GLP1-RA use is associated with significant survival benefits and improved cardiorenal outcomes. However, these findings are limited by the observational design, high comorbidity burden, lack of data on medication compliance, and specific cause of death. Prospective trials are warranted to confirm these benefits.

Background Elevated lipoprotein(a) [Lp(a)] and low high-density lipoprotein-cholesterol (HDL-C) are established cardiovascular (CV) risk factors, but their combined impact on mortality and sex differences remains unclear. Methods This retrospective study analyzed 97 396 patients with measured Lp(a) and HDL-C. Groups were stratified by Lp(a) (≥50 vs. <50 mg/dl) and HDL-C [low (<40), optimal (40–60), high (>60 mg/dl)]. Mortality was assessed using the Kaplan–Meier curve and Cox models. Results Over a median of 5.9 years, 7794 deaths occurred. Compared to optimal HDL-C/low Lp(a) (reference), high HDL-C/low Lp(a) had the lowest mortality [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR): 0.85; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.80–0.91], while low HDL-C/high Lp(a) had the highest risk (aHR: 1.55; 1.41–1.71). High HDL-C protective effect was insignificant with elevated Lp(a) (aHR: 0.98; 0.89–1.08). Sex-stratified analyses revealed divergent effects: women with high HDL-C/high Lp(a) retained the HDL-C protective effect (aHR: 0.82; 0.72–0.93), whereas men faced increased risk (aHR: 1.22; 1.05–1.42). Conclusion Elevated Lp(a) enhances mortality risk despite elevated HDL-C levels, with sex-specific differences: women retain mortality benefits from high HDL-C despite elevated Lp(a), whereas men with concurrent elevations in HDL-C and Lp(a) experienced mortality risks comparable to those with low HDL-C. Findings underscore sex-specific CV risk stratification incorporating HDL-C and Lp(a), challenging the HDL-C universal protective role.

Introduction: Elevated lipoprotein(a) [Lp(a)] levels (≥30 mg/dL or ≥50 mg/dL) have been associated with increased risk of cardiovascular diseases (CVD), including myocardial infarction and aortic stenosis. However, its association with all-cause mortality (ACM) in the setting of primary prevention remains unclear, with conflicting evidence regarding the cutoff associated with increased mortality risk. Objective: To assess the association between elevated Lp(a) and risk of ACM in the context of primary prevention. Methods: In this retrospective cohort study, we included adult patients (≥18 years old) who had at least one measurement of Lp(a) at any of the three Mayo Clinic sites between 2007 and 2024, with no history of CVDs (i.e., coronary artery disease, ischemic stroke/transient ischemic attack, or peripheral arterial disease) at the time of Lp(a) measurement. Lp(a) levels were categorized based on the following percentiles: ≤50th percentile (≤11.6 mg/dL), 50th to 80th percentiles (11.6–46.6 mg/dL), 80th to 90th percentiles (46.6–75 mg/dL), 90th to 95th percentiles (75–100 mg/dL), and >95th percentile (>100 mg/dL). Survival probabilities up to 15 years were compared across Lp(a) percentile categories using the Kaplan–Meier estimator and log-rank test. Additionally, univariable and multivariable Cox regression analyses were conducted to adjust for potential CV confounders and to quantify this association. Results: A total of 42,770 patients (median age: 53 years and 54% males) were included. We found no significant difference in survival probabilities between the Lp(a) categories based on the overall log-rank test (p=0.12; Figure 1A ). In the univariable analysis, only patients with Lp(a) >95th percentile (>100 mg/dL) had a statistically significant higher risk of ACM [hazard ratio (HR): 1.37; 95%CI: 1.07–1.74; p=0.012], compared to patients with Lp(a) <50th percentile (<11.6 mg/dL). Similarly, after adjusting for potential CV risk factors, only those with Lp(a) >95th percentile (>100 mg/dL) showed a significantly higher risk of ACM (adjusted HR: 1.37; 95%CI: 1.07–1.75; p=0.012, Figure 1B ). Conclusion: In the setting of primary prevention, only very high Lp(a) levels (≥100 mg/dL) were independently associated with increased risk of ACM, suggesting that higher Lp(a) thresholds may be more relevant for identifying individuals at increased risk of ACM than the conventional ≥50 mg/dL cutoff.