High lipoprotein(a) attenuates the mortality benefit of elevated high-density lipoprotein cholesterol with sex-specific variation: a retrospective cohort study
Background Elevated lipoprotein(a) [Lp(a)] and low high-density lipoprotein-cholesterol (HDL-C) are established cardiovascular (CV) risk factors, but their combined impact on mortality and sex differences remains unclear. Methods This retrospective study analyzed 97 396 patients with measured Lp(a) and HDL-C. Groups were stratified by Lp(a) (≥50 vs. <50 mg/dl) and HDL-C [low (<40), optimal (40–60), high (>60 mg/dl)]. Mortality was assessed using the Kaplan–Meier curve and Cox models. Results Over a median of 5.9 years, 7794 deaths occurred. Compared to optimal HDL-C/low Lp(a) (reference), high HDL-C/low Lp(a) had the lowest mortality [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR): 0.85; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.80–0.91], while low HDL-C/high Lp(a) had the highest risk (aHR: 1.55; 1.41–1.71). High HDL-C protective effect was insignificant with elevated Lp(a) (aHR: 0.98; 0.89–1.08). Sex-stratified analyses revealed divergent effects: women with high HDL-C/high Lp(a) retained the HDL-C protective effect (aHR: 0.82; 0.72–0.93), whereas men faced increased risk (aHR: 1.22; 1.05–1.42). Conclusion Elevated Lp(a) enhances mortality risk despite elevated HDL-C levels, with sex-specific differences: women retain mortality benefits from high HDL-C despite elevated Lp(a), whereas men with concurrent elevations in HDL-C and Lp(a) experienced mortality risks comparable to those with low HDL-C. Findings underscore sex-specific CV risk stratification incorporating HDL-C and Lp(a), challenging the HDL-C universal protective role.
Abstract 4340802: Right Ventricular Longitudinal Strain Indexed to Right Ventricular Systolic Pressure for Detecting Right Ventricular-Pulmonary Artery Uncoupling and Mortality in Pulmonary Hypertension Patients
Background: A key determinant of prognosis in pulmonary hypertension (PH) is the right ventricle’s (RV) ability to adapt to increased pulmonary vascular resistance. Consequently, markers of RV-pulmonary artery (PA) coupling may improve prognostic prediction in PH. The ratio of tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (TAPSE) to systolic PA pressure (sPAP) has been proposed as a surrogate for RV-PA coupling and a reliable prognostic marker, however, the existing data on the prognostic value of the ratio between RV longitudinal strain (RVLS) and sPAP as a surrogate for RV-PA coupling is scarce. Hypothesis: To evaluate the prognostic role of RVLS/RVSP in PH patients and to compare this novel marker with established markers of RV-PA coupling. Methods: This is a single-center study that included adult patients with PH classified as group I or IV, all of whom had undergone a transthoracic echocardiogram (TTE) within one year prior to the initiation of PH-specific treatment. Certified sonographers procured RV strain measurements using a specific software (Epsilon Imaging, Ann Arbor, MI). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was used to determine the best cutoff for predicting all-cause mortality at one-year for RVLS/RVSP and TAPSE/RVSP. The association of RVLS/RVSP and TAPSE/RVSP with mortality at one year was assessed using the Kaplan-Meier analysis and multivariate Cox regression analysis (adjusted for REVEAL LITE 2.0 risk score). Results: A total of 160 patients were included with a median age of 67.2 (56.8, 73.7) years and 47 (29.2%) were male . ROC analysis revealed optimal cutoffs of 0.265 (AUC = 0.83) for RVLS/RVSP and 0.185 (AUC = 0.77) for TAPSE/RVSP to predict all-cause mortality at one year. One-year cumulative incidence of all-cause mortality was lower among patients with RVLS/RVSP ≥ 0.265 (0 % vs 13.7 %, p = 0.001) and patients with TAPSE/RVSP ≥ 0.185 (1.8 % vs 16.7 %, p = 0.001) (Figure 1) . In the multivariate analysis, RVLS/RVSP < 0.265 was associated with higher risk of mortality at one year (HR: 2.38, 95 % CI: 1.05 to 5.38, p = 0.036) while TAPSE/RVSP < 0.185 was not (HR: 2.01, 95 % CI: 0.93 to 4.31, p = 0.072). Conclusions: RVLS/ RVSP may be a valuable prognostic marker in PH patients and could outperform conventional TTE parameters as a surrogate for detecting RV-PA coupling.
Abstract 4143359: Troponin as a Predictor for Diagnosis and as a Prognostic Marker for Cardiovascular Outcomes in Immune Checkpoint Inhibitor (ICI) related Myocarditis.
Background: ICI-related myocarditis is challenging to diagnose and associated with adverse cardiovascular events and mortality. ICI therapy has also been associated with acute coronary events. There is limited data regarding cardiac troponin T (cTnT) and its association with these cardiovascular outcomes. Methods: All patients treated with ICI at a tertiary institution from 2011 to 2022 were identified, and the charts of those with cTnT measurements were reviewed. In patients with cTnT elevation (cutoff of >14 ng/L), if the Bonaca criteria for myocarditis were met, these patients were labeled as cTnT+/myocarditis+, otherwise as cTnT+/myocarditis-. Patients with non-elevated cTnT values were labeled cTnT-. Medical records were reviewed for baseline characteristics and long-term outcomes, including cardiac death, new heart failure (HF) diagnosis, and MACE (myocardial infarction, TIA/stroke, new HF diagnosis). Kaplan-Meier curves were created to plot the comparison between the three groups. Results: A total of 1669 cancer patients who received ICI therapy had post-ICI cTnT measurements. Mean age was 68.7±11.3, 58.3% were male, with follow-up at 1 year post ICI administration. Of these, 59 patients were cTnT+/myocarditis+, 1077 patients were cTnT+/myocarditis-, and 533 were cTnT-. Survival free of cardiac death, MACE and new HF diagnosis showed a graded response from worst in cTnT+/myocarditis+ patients and best in cTnT- patients; cTnT+/myocarditis- patients had a more favorable but still worse prognosis than cTnT- patients (Figure 1). A cTnT value of 95 ng/L was identified as the best cutoff for the diagnosis of ICI-related myocarditis (AUC 0.82, sensitivity 81.36%, specificity 81.62%). The optimal cTnT cutoff for cardiac death was 576 ng/L (0.70, sensitivity 72%, specificity of 61%) and for MACE 319 ng/L (AUC 0.61, sensitivity 70%, specificity of 52%). Conclusion: In cancer patients receiving ICI therapy cTnT elevations indicate a higher risk of MACE, HF, and cardiac mortality even in patients without myocarditis. Although worst outcomes are seen in those meeting diagnostic criteria for myocarditis.
Abstract 4143355: Association of Elevated Serum Lipoprotein(a) with New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation: A Retrospective Study of 108930 Patients
Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF), the most common clinically managed cardiac arrhythmia, is known to increase the risk of heart failure, stroke, and mortality. Lipoprotein(a) [Lp(a)], a well-established risk factor for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD), also plays a role in cardiovascular health. However, the influence of Lp(a) on the development of AF, independent of its association with ASCVD, remains unclear. Hypothesis: Elevated Lp(a) may be associated with increased risk of new-onset AF. Methods: A retrospective study was conducted on patients from the three Mayo Clinic sites who had their Lp(a) levels measured and had no prior history of AF. Patients were categorized into two groups based on their serum Lp(a) concentrations: high Lp(a) (≥50 mg/dL) and low Lp(a) (<50 mg/dL). New AF diagnoses were identified during the follow-up period. Survival probabilities between the two Lp(a) groups were compared using the Kaplan–Meier curve and the Log-Rank test. Cox regression analyses, both univariable and multivariable, were performed to evaluate established risk factors and compare the risk of new-onset AF between the high and low Lp(a) groups. Results: A total of 108,930 patients were included (median age: 55 years, 58% males), with a follow-up duration for up to 10 years. Incident AF was detected in 8432 (7.7%) patients. Median serum levels of Lp(a) were significantly higher in patients with AF versus non-AF patients: 15 (IQR 43) vs. 12 (IQR 34) mg/dL, p<0.001. The percentage of patients having elevated Lp(a) was significantly higher in the AF group versus non-AF group: 2119 (25%) vs 21151 (21%), p<0.001. Survival probability for new-onset AF was significantly lower in patients with elevated Lp(a) compared with those with low Lp(a) (log rank p<0.001, Figure 1). In the univariate analysis, high Lp(a) levels were associated with a 17% increase in the risk of AF (HR = 1.17, 95% CIs: 1.12 to 1.23). The multivariate analysis adjusted for well-established risk factors for AF showed a less strong but still significant association, with a 10% increase in AF risk (HR = 1.10, 95% CI: 1.05 to 1.15). Conclusion: Our study suggests that elevated Lp(a) (≥50 mg/dL) seems to be an independent risk factor for new-onset AF. Future prospective studies are still warranted to validate our results.
Abstract 4142044: The prognostic value of criteria for diagnosis of Immune Checkpoint Inhibitor Related Myocarditis: a comparison of the Bonaca et.al. criteria and European Society of Cardiology (ESC)-International Cardio-Oncology Society (ICOS) guidelines
Background: Myocarditis is a dreaded complication of immune-checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) therapy but challenging to diagnose. There are no published data comparing the two leading diagnostic criteria for ICI myocarditis and their association with cardiovascular events. Methods: Patients treated with ICI and cardiac Troponin (cTnT) measurements thereafter at a tertiary institution from 2011 to 2022 were identified. Charts were reviewed for ICI-related myocarditis according to the Bonaca et. al criteria and the ESC-ICOS guideline criteria. A propensity matched control group was identified of patients treated with ICI but without developing myocarditis. Medical records were reviewed for baseline characteristics and long-term outcomes, including cardiac death, MACE (myocardial infarction, TIA/stroke, new heart failure diagnosis), and arrhythmias (V-tach, A-fib, complete heart block). Results: A total of 59 patients were identified as having a diagnosis of ICI-related myocarditis per Bonaca criteria (16 having definite, 13 probable and 30 possible myocarditis), and 47 met the ESC-ICOS guideline criteria. Mean age was 73.1±10.2 years, 60.1% were male, median follow-up was 2.5 years. ICI-related myocarditis as diagnosed by both diagnostic criteria had prognostic value for cardiac death (HR 13.94, 95%CI 1.84-105.64, p=0.011 per Bonaca, HR 6.22, 95%CI 1.77-21.88, p=0.004 per ESC-ICOS), MACE, (HR 3.17, 95%CI 1.34-7.47, p=0.008 per Bonaca, HR 2.97, 95%CI 1.37-6.45, p=0.006 per ESC-ICOS), and arrhythmias (HR 1.93, 95%CI 1.10-3.38, p=0.022 per Bonaca, HR 2.09, 95%CI 1.21-3.60, p<0.001 per ESC-ICOS), (Figures 1 and 2). There was no significant difference for cardiac death (AUC 0.75 for Bonaca, AUC 0.74 for ESC, p=0.765) or MACE (AUC 0.66 for Bonaca, AUC 0.66 for ESC, p=0.916) when both criteria were compared with each other. Conclusion: The ESC-ICOS criteria were more restrictive than the Bonaca criteria for the diagnosis of ICI-related myocarditis but similar in terms of prognostic value.
High Lp(a) levels are a potential risk factor for aortic valve interventions in patients with bicuspid aortic valve
Abstract Background Bicuspid aortic valve (BAv) is associated with increased oxidative stress and inflammation, resulting in valve fibrosis, calcification, and ultimately early degenerative valve disease, often necessitating premature aortic valve intervention. In recent years, growing evidence has been published supporting the role of lipoprotein(a) [Lp(a)], an important carrier of oxidized phospholipids, in the development of aortic valve disease in the general population. However, the specific influence of Lp(a) levels in patients with BAv remains to be firmly established. Purpose To assess the role of Lp(a) levels in the development of aortic valve disease and the necessity for aortic valve interventions among individuals with BAv. Methods This retrospective multicenter study encompassed consecutive patients diagnosed with BAv from January 1997 to December 2022, all of whom had undergone serum Lp(a) measurement. This study evaluated the association between Lp(a) concentrations and the occurrence of aortic valve interventions. A cutoff point of ≥30 mg/dl for high Lp(a) levels was established. Binary logistic regression was utilized to calculate the odds ratio (OR) for an aortic intervention according to high versus low Lp(a) levels. Additionally, Kaplan Meier curves were employed to estimate the cumulative requirement for an aortic valve replacement based on Lp(a) concentrations. Results A total of 452 patients with BAv and a Lp(a) measurement were included in the study, with a mean age of 37.2 ±10.5 years at the time of BAv diagnosis, with 71.2% being male. Among these, 101 (22.3%) patients underwent an aortic valve replacement. In 72 cases (71.3%) aortic stenosis was the primary indication for intervention, while aortic regurgitation accounted for 29 cases (28.7%). The presence of elevated Lp(a) levels (≥30 mg/dl) demonstrated a significant association with the requirement for an aortic valve intervention (OR 2.2, 95%CI 1.4-3.6, p<0.001) in both the regression analysis and using the Kaplan-Meier estimator (Figure). High Lp(a) concentrations posed a risk factor for aortic valve replacements regardless of whether the primary indication for intervention was significant stenosis (OR 1.8, 95%CI 1.1-3.1, p=0.028) or regurgitation (OR 2.5, 95%CI 1.2-5.4, p=0.018). Conclusion Increased concentrations of Lp(a) may influence the clinical trajectory of patients with a BAv and may be a significant risk factor for aortic valve replacement, irrespective of the primary indication for intervention. Further investigations will be critical in unveiling the precise pathological mechanisms of Lp(a) in BAv. Confirming whether reducing Lp(a) levels could slow the progression of aortic disease in this demographic requires further exploration. Kaplan-Meier estimator.
The prognostic value of artificial intelligence to predict cardiac amyloidosis in patients with severe aortic stenosis undergoing transcatheter aortic valve replacement
Abstract Aims Cardiac amyloidosis (CA) is common in patients with severe aortic stenosis (AS) undergoing transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR). Cardiac amyloidosis has poor outcomes, and its assessment in all TAVR patients is costly and challenging. Electrocardiogram (ECG) artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms that screen for CA may be useful to identify at-risk patients. Methods and results In this retrospective analysis of our institutional National Cardiovascular Disease Registry (NCDR)-TAVR database, patients undergoing TAVR between January 2012 and December 2018 were included. Pre-TAVR CA probability was analysed by an ECG AI predictive model, with >50% risk defined as high probability for CA. Univariable and propensity score covariate adjustment analyses using Cox regression were performed to compare clinical outcomes between patients with high CA probability vs. those with low probability at 1-year follow-up after TAVR. Of 1426 patients who underwent TAVR (mean age 81.0 ± 8.5 years, 57.6% male), 349 (24.4%) had high CA probability on pre-procedure ECG. Only 17 (1.2%) had a clinical diagnosis of CA. After multivariable adjustment, high probability of CA by ECG AI algorithm was significantly associated with increased all-cause mortality [hazard ratio (HR) 1.40, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.01–1.96, P = 0.046] and higher rates of major adverse cardiovascular events (transient ischaemic attack (TIA)/stroke, myocardial infarction, and heart failure hospitalizations] (HR 1.36, 95% CI 1.01–1.82, P = 0.041), driven primarily by heart failure hospitalizations (HR 1.58, 95% CI 1.13–2.20, P = 0.008) at 1-year follow-up. There were no significant differences in TIA/stroke or myocardial infarction. Conclusion Artificial intelligence applied to pre-TAVR ECGs identifies a subgroup at higher risk of clinical events. These targeted patients may benefit from further diagnostic evaluation for CA.