Chen, Eveline

Abstract Background PALLAS trial compared palbociclib plus endocrine therapy (ET) vs. ET alone in stage II-III HR+/HER2- breast cancer. SETER/PR index quantifies transcriptional activity related to estrogen and progesterone receptors and serves as a measure of endocrine sensitivity. In CALGB 9741, low SETER/PR (< 0.75) - reflecting endocrine resistance - predicted survival benefit from adjuvant anthracycline/taxane-based treatment. In PALLAS low SETER/PR was associated with worse prognosis and early recurrence. Early recurrences driven by endocrine-resistant tumors may obscure the benefit of palbociclib by disproportionately contributing events from a more resistant population. We hypothesized that palbociclib efficacy might vary by endocrine sensitivity and prior chemotherapy regimen, with greatest benefit in patients with intermediate SETER/PR index. Methods Invasive disease-free survival (iDFS) was summarized with Kaplan-Meier plots and the treatment arms were compared with a log-rank test. Cox models estimated the hazard ratio (HR) with 95% confidence interval (95%CI) (significance level used was a two-sided 0.05). SETER/PR index was successfully obtained for 3,090 PALLAS patients (TransPALLAS ITT cohort, Metzger et al. ASCO 2024). SETER/PR index cut points (0.75 and 1.50) were proposed from previous studies comparing different adjuvant chemotherapy regimens. Results Table 1 summarizes the efficacy of adjuvant palbociclib by prior (neo)adjuvant chemotherapy regimen. Palbociclib was associated with longer iDFS in the group who received prior anthracycline-paclitaxel chemotherapy (AC-P), though the chemo regimen x palbociclib interaction term was not significant (Table 1). In the 1,132 patients from the TransPALLAS cohort who received AC-P chemotherapy, the 518 (46%) patients with intermediate SETER/PR (0.75≤ SETER/PR <1.50) had longer iDFS with palbociclib (HR 0.58; 95% CI: 0.40-0.84; p=0.004; 7-yr iDFS 80.2% vs. 68.4%), but this subset did not predict palbociclib benefit relative to all others, i.e., 206 (18%) patients with low SETER/PR (<0.75) and 408 (36%) high SETER/PR (≥1.50); P interaction=0.11. Exploratory analysis of SETER/PR index as a continuous variable in patients who received prior AC-P chemotherapy revealed a non-linear relationship with the hazard ratio favoring palbociclib observed in the subset with SETER/PR values between 1.1 and 1.8, compared to all others (P interaction=0.01). Conclusions In PALLAS, we observed a numerical benefit favoring palbociclib among pts treated with adjuvant AC-P; in this subset a moderate level of endocrine transcriptional activity (SETER/PR index between 1.1 and 1.8) predicted palbociclib benefit. These results are hypothesis-generating. Citation Format: O. Metzger, P. O'Brien, K. Ballman, M. Gnant, M. Watson, E. Chen, K. Tran, D. Hlauschek, M. Martin, J. Balko, Z. Nowecki, O. Hahn, C. Denkert, C. Curtis, F. Liu, A. Dueck, C. Fesl, E. Mayer, A. De Michele, W. Symmans. Exploratory analysis of palbociclib benefit in the PALLAS trial by SETERPR index and prior chemotherapy regimens (ABCSG-42/AFT-05/BIG-14-13) [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium 2025; 2025 Dec 9-12; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Clin Cancer Res 2026;32(4 Suppl):Abstract nr PS3-08-13.

PURPOSE In light of evolving evidence that some patients with node-positive estrogen receptor–positive (ER+) disease may receive less benefit from chemotherapy, this study reports 12-year outcomes of the C9741 trial overall, and by the sensitivity to endocrine therapy (SET2,3) test index, a biomarker measuring endocrine transcriptional activity, to identify patients most likely to benefit from dose-dense chemotherapy. METHODS In all, 1,973 patients were randomly assigned to dose-dense versus conventional chemotherapy. Hazard ratios (HRs) for prognosis and for predictive interaction with chemotherapy schedule were estimated from Cox models of long-term disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS). SET2,3 was tested on the 682 banked RNA samples from ER+ cancers. RESULTS Dose-dense chemotherapy improved DFS in the overall study population by 23% (HR, 0.77 [95% CI, 0.66 to 0.90]) and OS by 20% (HR, 0.80 [95% CI, 0.67 to 0.95]); the benefits of dose-dense therapy were seen for ER+ and ER-negative subsets, without significant interaction between treatment arm and ER status. Low SET2,3 status was highly prognostic, but also predicted improved outcomes from dose-dense chemotherapy (interaction P = .0998 for DFS; 0.027 for OS), independent of menopausal status. Specifically, low endocrine transcriptional activity predicted benefit from dose-dense chemotherapy, whereas tumor burden and proliferation-driven signatures for molecular subtype classification did not. CONCLUSION At 12-year follow-up, C9741 confirmed the sustained long-term benefit of adjuvant dose-dense chemotherapy for node-positive breast cancer. SET2,3 identified patients with ER+ breast cancer who benefited from dose-dense chemotherapy, and specifically, this benefit was predicted by low endocrine activity in the cancer, rather than tumor burden, molecular subtype, or menopausal status.

538 Background: The phase 3 PALLAS trial compared 2 years of the CDK4/6 inhibitor palbociclib with endocrine therapy of provider choice, versus endocrine therapy alone, as adjuvant treatment for patients (pts) with Stage II-III hormone receptor-positive HER2-negative (HR+/HER2-) breast cancer. The SET2,3 index adjusts the measurement of SETER/PR index of endocrine receptor-related transcriptional activity with a baseline prognostic index (BPI) derived from tumor size (T), number of involved lymph nodes (N) and gene expression levels of ESR1, PGR, ERBB2 and AURKA (RNA4 subtype score). High SET2,3 (index ≥ 2.10) represents high endocrine sensitivity with favorable prognosis. Clinical outcome results from PALLAS were previously published, and the trial now has 5-year median follow-up. Methods: Participants in PALLAS provided a tumor tissue block prior to randomization. RNA was extracted from samples with sufficient tumor tissue and cellularity (>25mm2 with ≥20% cancer nuclei). SET2,3 index was measured from 300ng total RNA using the QuantiGene Plex platform (ThermoFisher, Waltham, MA) following the manufacturer’s protocol and using pre-defined quality control (QC) parameters and cut point. Results from primary tumor samples prior to systemic therapy were analyzed. Invasive disease-free survival (iDFS) was summarized with Kaplan-Meier plots using log-rank test. Cox models were adjusted for treatment arm assignment, with a treatment arm by SET index value interaction term to test for prediction of palbociclib benefit. The pre-defined level of significance was a two-sided 0.05. Results: There were 4075 pts from the total PALLAS population (N=5796) who provided a primary tumor sample that met pre-analytical requirements to perform the SET assay, from which 3388 (83%) results passed quality control, including 3093 from a sample obtained prior to receiving systemic therapy (1559 in palbociclib arm and 1534 in the control arm). SET2,3 index could not be calculated for 12 pts due to missing tumor or nodal information. There was no evidence of an interaction between treatment arm and SET indices (continuous) for iDFS: SET2,3 index interaction p=0.12 and SETER/PR index interaction p=0.92. Estimated 5-year iDFS was superior for those with high SET2,3: iDFS was 91.4% (95%CI 89.9–92.8) in 1719 (55.8%) pts with high SET2,3, versus 78.5% (95%CI 76.0–80.8) in 1362 (44.2%) pts with low SET2,3 (HR 0.38, 95%CI 0.31–0.47, p<0.0001). The SETER/PR index was also significantly associated with iDFS (HR 0.70 per 0.5 units, 95%CI 0.65–0.77, p<0.0001). Conclusions: There was no evidence that the SET2,3 or SETER/PR index of endocrine-related transcriptional activity predicts benefit from palbociclib treatment. SET2,3 index was strongly prognostic for pts with Stage II-III breast cancer, with excellent 5-year IDFS for pts classified as SET2,3 high. Clinical trial information: NCT02513394 .

505 Background: We investigated the clinical utility of SET2,3, a novel biomarker designed to measure to endocrine sensitivity. SET2,3 measures nonproliferative hormone receptor-related transcription (SETER/PR) adjusted for a baseline prognosis index derived from tumor size, nodes involved and a 4-gene molecular subtype (RNA4). CALGB 9471 is a seminal phase III study that showed improved DFS and OS from 2-weekly dose-dense (DD) vs 3-weekly chemotherapy in ER-negative cancers. Risk of recurrence (ROR-PT) score (intrinsic subtype, proliferation score and tumor size) measured by Nanostring assay was reported to be prognostic in CALGB 9741, but did not predict benefit from DD chemotherapy. Methods: SET2,3 was performed using an aliquot of 200-300 ng RNA (residual from prior ROR-PT testing) from 682 ER+ tumor samples and tested using the QuantiGene Plex bead-based hybridization assay (ThermoFisher, Luminex). We report results for the primary and two secondary objectives of the NCI/CTEP-approved correlative science proposal CSC0154) to evaluate SET2,3 in CALGB 9741 for prognosis (primary endpoint: 95%CI for 5-year (yr) DFS > 75% for High SET2,3 using the predefined prognostic cutpoint 2.10), SET2,3 prognostic independence from ROR-PT, and prediction of outcome according to chemotherapy regimen. We used Cox models to estimate hazard ratios (HR) for prognosis and comparison with ROR-PT results (using c-indices) and for prediction according to chemotherapy schedule using an interaction term (prespecified significance level for interaction: p < 0.10). Results: The study met its primary endpoint with a 5-yr DFS of 85.6% (95%CI 81.3-90.2) in the High-SET subset (244/613, 40%). High-SET vs Low-SET was significantly associated with favorable outcomes at 5 yr (DFS 85.6% vs 69%, p <.0001; OS 95.3% vs 84.6%, p <.0001) and 10 yr (DFS 77.7% vs 58.2%, p <.0001; OS 86.9% vs 65.9%, p <.0001). PAM50 ROR-PT and SET classification were available for 596 tumors. In multivariate models for DFS and OS, SET2,3 remained an independent prognostic variable for DFS (SET high vs low HR = 0.46, 95% CI, 0.34 – 0.63, p < 0.0001; PAM50 ROR-PT high vs low HR = 1.22, 95% CI, 0.91 – 1.64, p = 0.18) and for OS (SET high vs low HR = 0.36, 95% CI, 0.25 – 0.53, p < 0.0001; PAM50 ROR-PT high vs low HR = 1.26, 95% CI, 0.91 – 1.75, p = 0.16). Similar observations were seen in models including SET and PAM50 ROR-PT as continuous variables. Lower SET2,3 values predicted improved outcomes from DD vs 3-weekly chemotherapy (interaction p=0.0998 for DFS, 0.042 for RFS and 0.027 for OS). This was unrelated to menopausal status and lower SET2,3 values favored DD concurrent treatments. Conclusions: SET2,3 index was strongly prognostic, independent of ROR-PT, and predicted survival benefit from DD chemotherapy in pre- and postmenopausal women with ER+ cancer. Clinical trial information: NCT00003088.