Ballman, K. V.

Abstract Background PALLAS trial compared palbociclib plus endocrine therapy (ET) vs. ET alone in stage II-III HR+/HER2- breast cancer. SETER/PR index quantifies transcriptional activity related to estrogen and progesterone receptors and serves as a measure of endocrine sensitivity. In CALGB 9741, low SETER/PR (< 0.75) - reflecting endocrine resistance - predicted survival benefit from adjuvant anthracycline/taxane-based treatment. In PALLAS low SETER/PR was associated with worse prognosis and early recurrence. Early recurrences driven by endocrine-resistant tumors may obscure the benefit of palbociclib by disproportionately contributing events from a more resistant population. We hypothesized that palbociclib efficacy might vary by endocrine sensitivity and prior chemotherapy regimen, with greatest benefit in patients with intermediate SETER/PR index. Methods Invasive disease-free survival (iDFS) was summarized with Kaplan-Meier plots and the treatment arms were compared with a log-rank test. Cox models estimated the hazard ratio (HR) with 95% confidence interval (95%CI) (significance level used was a two-sided 0.05). SETER/PR index was successfully obtained for 3,090 PALLAS patients (TransPALLAS ITT cohort, Metzger et al. ASCO 2024). SETER/PR index cut points (0.75 and 1.50) were proposed from previous studies comparing different adjuvant chemotherapy regimens. Results Table 1 summarizes the efficacy of adjuvant palbociclib by prior (neo)adjuvant chemotherapy regimen. Palbociclib was associated with longer iDFS in the group who received prior anthracycline-paclitaxel chemotherapy (AC-P), though the chemo regimen x palbociclib interaction term was not significant (Table 1). In the 1,132 patients from the TransPALLAS cohort who received AC-P chemotherapy, the 518 (46%) patients with intermediate SETER/PR (0.75≤ SETER/PR <1.50) had longer iDFS with palbociclib (HR 0.58; 95% CI: 0.40-0.84; p=0.004; 7-yr iDFS 80.2% vs. 68.4%), but this subset did not predict palbociclib benefit relative to all others, i.e., 206 (18%) patients with low SETER/PR (<0.75) and 408 (36%) high SETER/PR (≥1.50); P interaction=0.11. Exploratory analysis of SETER/PR index as a continuous variable in patients who received prior AC-P chemotherapy revealed a non-linear relationship with the hazard ratio favoring palbociclib observed in the subset with SETER/PR values between 1.1 and 1.8, compared to all others (P interaction=0.01). Conclusions In PALLAS, we observed a numerical benefit favoring palbociclib among pts treated with adjuvant AC-P; in this subset a moderate level of endocrine transcriptional activity (SETER/PR index between 1.1 and 1.8) predicted palbociclib benefit. These results are hypothesis-generating. Citation Format: O. Metzger, P. O'Brien, K. Ballman, M. Gnant, M. Watson, E. Chen, K. Tran, D. Hlauschek, M. Martin, J. Balko, Z. Nowecki, O. Hahn, C. Denkert, C. Curtis, F. Liu, A. Dueck, C. Fesl, E. Mayer, A. De Michele, W. Symmans. Exploratory analysis of palbociclib benefit in the PALLAS trial by SETERPR index and prior chemotherapy regimens (ABCSG-42/AFT-05/BIG-14-13) [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium 2025; 2025 Dec 9-12; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Clin Cancer Res 2026;32(4 Suppl):Abstract nr PS3-08-13.

Abstract Background: We have identified two potentially predictive signatures of palbociclib resistance: the RBsig, composed of E2F1/E2F2 dependent genes, which is associated with genetic loss of RB1, and the ratio between the gene expression levels of CCNE1 to RB1 (CCNE1/RB1). Both signatures have been previously analyzed in vitro and in neoadjuvant and metastatic studies with palbociclib. The present analysis aims to explore the role of RBsig and CCNE1/RB1 in the phase III adjuvant PALLAS trial, which randomized patients to palbociclib plus endocrine therapy, versus endocrine therapy alone. Materials and methods: Gene expression data from PALLAS were generated using the HTG EdgeSeq Oncology BM Panel. Of the 87 genes composing RBsig, 46 were available within the EdgeSeq dataset and were used for the analyses; CCNE1 and RB1 were both available. RBsig was calculated as the mean of the Z-score scaled gene expression (log) of the 46 genes; CCNE1/RB1 was computed as the log ratio between the mRNA expression of CCNE1 and RB1. The prognostic/predictive effect of the continuous signatures in terms of invasive disease-free survival (IDFS), distant recurrence-free survival (DRFS), and overall survival (OS) was evaluated using Cox proportional hazard models. Results: HTG data were available from 2,587 of 5,748 patients from the entire PALLAS intention-to-treat (ITT) cohort. As RBsig and CCNE1/RB1 levels are affected by pre-surgical treatments, we limited the analyses to 1612 pre-treatment samples (530 core biopsies and 1082 surgical specimens) (analysis population). Compared with the entire PALLAS ITT cohort, the analysis population was significantly enriched for patients with low clinical risk (41.3% vs 59.4%) who did not receive prior chemotherapy (17.5% vs 55.9%). In keeping with the PALLAS ITT cohort, no significant benefit from the addition of palbociclib was observed in the analysis population. Higher baseline RBsig or CCNE/RB1 values were significantly and independently associated with worse IDFS (hazard ratio [HR] 1.63, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.3-2.0; HR 1.22, 95%CI 1.1-1.3, respectively), DRFS (HR 1.94, 95%CI 1.5-2.5; HR 1.26, 95%CI 1.1-1.4, respectively) and OS (HR 1.79, 95% CI 1.3-2.4; HR 1.26, 95%CI 1.1-1.4, respectively) in the analysis population. No predictive effect of palbociclib benefit was observed for either signature in the analysis population, nor according to clinical risk or chemotherapy receipt. Interestingly, higher RBsig was strongly prognostic in patients who did not receive adjuvant chemotherapy (HR 1.83, 95%CI 1.4-2.3) but not in those who received it (HR 1.01, 95%CI 0.6-1.6) (interaction p=0.02) suggesting a potential predictive role of RBsig for chemotherapy benefit. Conclusions: In the PALLAS trial, higher baseline RBsig or CCNE1/RB1 values are associated with worse prognosis, but are not predictive of benefit from palbociclib in the adjuvant setting. RBsig might be associated with differential benefit from chemotherapy. Further study of these biomarkers may strengthen their role in risk stratification.https://acknowledgments.alliancefound.org Citation Format: L. Malorni, D. Hlauschek, E. Mayer, M. Benelli, L. Biganzoli, I. Migliaccio, A. Kermanidis, G. Pfeiler, E. P. Mamounas, A. M. Brufsky, M. Bellet-Ezquerra, K. Clifton, G. Rubovszky, T. Foukakis, M. Goetz, S. Lee, M. Ruiz-Borrego, W. Symmans, K. V. Ballman, F. Liu, J. Machacek-Link, C. Denkert, A. DeMichele, M. Gnant. Prognostic and predictive role of RBsig and CCNE1/RB1 gene-expression signatures for patients with early breast cancer treated with endocrine therapy with or without palbociclib in the PALLAS trial (ABCSG-42, AFT-05, BIG 14-03) [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium 2025; 2025 Dec 9-12; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Clin Cancer Res 2026;32(4 Suppl):Abstract nr PS2-07-13.