Prognostic value of an MRI-derived recurrence assay in women with hormone receptor–positive, HER2-negative breast cancer: A retrospective, multi-center analysis.
560 Background: Patients (pts) with early stage hormone receptor-positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative (HR+/HER2-) breast cancer (BC) remain at both short and long term risk of recurrence. While clinico-pathological and gene-based biomarkers provide insight into early and late recurrence risk, additional prognostic tools are needed. We previously developed (Saha et al. Clin Cancer Res , 2025) a new breast MRI image-based artificial intelligence prognostic tool (TumorSight Risk) composed of both radiographic and clinical information. Here we sought to validate this tool in an independent cohort. Methods: In this multi-center, blinded, prospective/retrospective validation study, we sought to validate the 5-year recurrence-free survival (RFS) according to pre-defined risk scores (0-100) and categories (“high” or “low”) via pre-specified cutoff (≥47) for pts with HR+/HER2- BC. Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression analyses were then used to assess the unadjusted and adjusted association between risk category/score and the 5-year RFS. Results: 2,129 pts with HR+/HER2- BC diagnosed between January 1, 2010, and December 31, 2024, who underwent breast MRI prior to surgery (no neoadjuvant therapy) were included from four institutions. Median age was 57 years, 16% were Black, 15% had grade 3 disease, 93% were clinical T1 or T2, and 85%/15% were clinical N0/N1. At a median follow up of 6.24 years, the unadjusted hazard ratio (HR) for RFS comparing low (n=1808) and high risk (n=321) pts was 2.71 (95% CI = 1.95 – 3.76, p = 3x10 -9 ). The estimated 5 year RFS rate according to risk score (low and high) was 95.5% (95% CI: 94.63 – 96.3%) and 89.6% (95% CI = 86.4 – 92.6%) while the 10 year RFS estimates were 88.9% (95% CI = 86.5 - 90.9%) and 69.6% (95% CI = 59.1 – 77.9%). Univariate subgroup analysis demonstrated that the risk score was prognostic by age (< 50 vs. ≥50 years), pathologic nodal status, grade, and surgery type, regardless of chemo-, endocrine, or radiation therapy administration. The observed continuous risk score was strongly associated with risk of recurrence, with a 22% increase in relative risk per 10-unit change in risk score (0-100), translating to a 2.4% (95% CI = 1.2 – 4.5%) and 25.5% (95% CI = 15.4 – 40.4%) risk of recurrence at 5-years for pts at the lowest (0-9) versus highest (90-100) risk score. The prognostic association between risk score and RFS remained after adjusting for pathologic T- and N-stage, grade, age, race, and treatment (p = 0.002). Conclusions: TumorSight Risk is a new image-based biomarker for HR+/HER2- BC that provides prognostic information independent of standard clinico-pathological parameters. Given the ready availability of breast MRI in most pts with BC, TumorSight Risk may be a convenient tool for estimating risk for recurrence.
Adjuvant Dose-Dense Chemotherapy in Hormone Receptor–Positive Breast Cancer
PURPOSE In light of evolving evidence that some patients with node-positive estrogen receptor–positive (ER+) disease may receive less benefit from chemotherapy, this study reports 12-year outcomes of the C9741 trial overall, and by the sensitivity to endocrine therapy (SET2,3) test index, a biomarker measuring endocrine transcriptional activity, to identify patients most likely to benefit from dose-dense chemotherapy. METHODS In all, 1,973 patients were randomly assigned to dose-dense versus conventional chemotherapy. Hazard ratios (HRs) for prognosis and for predictive interaction with chemotherapy schedule were estimated from Cox models of long-term disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS). SET2,3 was tested on the 682 banked RNA samples from ER+ cancers. RESULTS Dose-dense chemotherapy improved DFS in the overall study population by 23% (HR, 0.77 [95% CI, 0.66 to 0.90]) and OS by 20% (HR, 0.80 [95% CI, 0.67 to 0.95]); the benefits of dose-dense therapy were seen for ER+ and ER-negative subsets, without significant interaction between treatment arm and ER status. Low SET2,3 status was highly prognostic, but also predicted improved outcomes from dose-dense chemotherapy (interaction P = .0998 for DFS; 0.027 for OS), independent of menopausal status. Specifically, low endocrine transcriptional activity predicted benefit from dose-dense chemotherapy, whereas tumor burden and proliferation-driven signatures for molecular subtype classification did not. CONCLUSION At 12-year follow-up, C9741 confirmed the sustained long-term benefit of adjuvant dose-dense chemotherapy for node-positive breast cancer. SET2,3 identified patients with ER+ breast cancer who benefited from dose-dense chemotherapy, and specifically, this benefit was predicted by low endocrine activity in the cancer, rather than tumor burden, molecular subtype, or menopausal status.
A multicenter, randomized, non-comparative, phase II study of nivolumab ± ipilimumab for patients with metastatic sarcoma (Alliance A091401): expansion cohorts and correlative analyses
Background In this open-label, randomized, non-comparative, multicenter phase II study (Alliance A091401) we report on three expansion cohorts treated with nivolumab (N) with and without ipilimumab (N+I) and provide a multi-omic correlative analysis of actionable biomarkers. Methods Patients were randomized (non-comparative) to receive either N or N+I. The primary endpoint was a 6-month confirmed response rate (CRR) defined by Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors version 1.1. Secondary endpoints included treatment-related adverse events (TRAEs), progression-free survival, and overall survival. Multi-omic correlative analyses were conducted using samples from both the primary and expansion cohorts. Results A total of 66 patients were evaluated for the primary endpoint with disease including gastrointestinal stromal tumor (GIST, n=18), undifferentiated pleomorphic sarcoma (UPS, n=24), and dedifferentiated liposarcoma (DDLPS, n=24). Neither N nor N+I achieved a complete or partial response in the GIST expansion cohort. In DDLPS and UPS, the primary response endpoint of CRR was met with N+I (both 16.6%, 2/12) but not with N alone (both 8.3%, 1/12). In the GIST cohort, TRAE was higher with N+I treatment, halting enrollment as required per protocol. In a correlative analysis of patients for the expansion cohort and the original cohort (n=86), traditional biomarkers of immunotherapy response were not correlated with response in any histological subtype. Markers of genomic instability including the presence of gene fusions and increased subclonal mutations correlated with improved clinical outcomes. Conclusions This expansion cohort reaffirms the outcomes of A091401. There remains a pressing need to determine the role of and predictive biomarkers for immunotherapy in sarcoma. Trial registration number NCT02500797.
Molecular profiling of serial liquid biopsy specimens utilizing cell free DNA (cfDNA) and circulating tumor cells (CTCs) in TBCRC041: A phase II study of alisertib in endocrine resistant metastatic breast cancer (MBC).
1037 Background: TBCRC041, a randomized phase 2 trial of alisertib (A) ± fulvestrant (F) in women with HR+/HER2- MBC demonstrated promising clinical activity for alisertib (1). Interrogation of baseline (PreC1) and end of cycle 1 (EOC1) cfDNA and CTCs may identify biomarkers associated with response to A±F. Methods: Plasma cfDNA was sequenced using the Guardant INFINITY platform, which includes genomic and methylated tumor fraction (mTF) analysis. Pathogenic variants were determined using publicly available databases and Mayo Clinic annotation pipelines. CTCs were identified as nucleated, EpCAM+/ cytokeratin+/ CD45- cells and assessed for ER/HER2 staining (RareCyte, Seattle). PFS was defined as the time from randomization to progression or death. EOC1-PFS differs from PFS as time starts at C2D1. Stratified log-rank tests and conditional Cox modeling were used to assess whether PFS or EOC1-PFS differed by mutations in ESR1 or PIK3CA, pre-CTC ≥ 5, or mTF>1%. Results: Of the 91 eligible pts, 84 progressed, and 73 were deceased. In the 86 pts with PreC1-cfDNA results, variants were identified in ESR1 (42; 48.8%), PIK3CA (36; 41.9%), AKT1 (7; 8.1%), PTEN(7; 8.1%), BRCA1 (4; 4.7%), and BRCA2 (7; 8.1%). Pts with a PIK3CAmut had significantly decreased PFS (HR 1.8; 95%CI: 1.1 -2.9, p=0.014) but not by ESR1mut status (p=0.583). PreC1 and EOC1-mTF were determined for 78 and 76 pts, respectively. PreC1-mTF was 0-1% in 21; 1.1-10.0% in 27; and 10.1-100% in 30. mTF levels remained between 0-1% in 17 pts fell to 0-1% in 11 pts, and was 0-1% in 5 pts without a preC1-mTF determination. PFS did not differ with respect to PreC1-mTF (p=0.210), but EOC1-PFS was worse in pts with mTF >1% (HR 3.0; 95%CI: 1.6 -5.2, p<0.001). PreC1 and EOC1-CTC were determined for 78 and 76 pts. 36 (46.2%) pts had a PreC1 CTC count ≥ 5. EOC1-CTC levels remained at (n=17) or increased to (n=1) ≥ 5 and was ≥ 5 in 2 pts without a preC1-CTC determination. EOC1-PFS was not significantly different for EOC1-CTC ≥ 5 (p=0.065), but was significantly decreased in pts with PreC1-CTC≥5 (HR=1.8; 95%CI: 1.1-3.0; p=0.018). Broader cfDNA NGS panel and CTC-derived ER/HER2 staining results will be presented at the meeting. Conclusions: Among patients receiving A±F, PFS varied based on the PIK3CAmutation status. cfDNA and CTC assessment PreC1 and EOC1 provided complementary information. Further validation in larger datasets is needed. 1. JAMA Oncol 2023;9:815. Clinical trial information: NCT02860000 .
Age, Body Mass Index, Tumor Subtype, and Racial and Ethnic Disparities in Breast Cancer Survival
ImportanceBlack women in the United States have higher breast cancer (BC) mortality rates than White women. The combined role of multiple factors, including body mass index (BMI), age, and tumor subtype, remains unclear.ObjectiveTo assess the association of race and ethnicity with survival among clinical trial participants with early-stage BC (eBC) according to tumor subtype, age, and BMI.Design, Setting, and ParticipantsThis cohort study analyzed survival data, as of November 12, 2021, from participants enrolled between 1997 and 2010 in 4 randomized adjuvant chemotherapy trials: Cancer and Leukemia Group B (CALGB) 9741, 49907, and 40101 as well as North Central Cancer Treatment Group (NCCTG) N9831, legacy groups of the Alliance of Clinical Trials in Oncology. Median follow-up was 9.8 years.ExposuresNon-Hispanic Black and Hispanic participants were compared with non-Hispanic White participants within subgroups of subtype (hormone receptor positive [HR+]/ERBB2[formerlyHER2] negative [ERBB2−],ERBB2+, and HR−/ERBB2−), age (&lt;50, 50 to &lt;65, and ≥65 years), and BMI (&lt;18.5, 18.5 to &lt;25.0, 25.0 to &lt;30.0, and ≥30.0).Main Outcomes and MeasuresRecurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS).ResultsOf 9479 participants, 436 (4.4%) were Hispanic, 871 (8.8%) non-Hispanic Black, and 7889 (79.5%) non-Hispanic White. The median (range) age was 52 (19.0-89.7) years. Among participants with HR+/ERBB2− tumors, non-Hispanic Black individuals had worse RFS (hazard ratio [HR], 1.49; 95% CI, 1.04-2.12; 5-year RFS, 88.5% vs 93.2%) than non-Hispanic White individuals, although the global test for association of race and ethnicity with RFS was not significant within any tumor subtype. There were no OS differences by race and ethnicity in any subtype. Race and ethnicity were associated with OS in young participants (age &lt;50 years; globalP = .008); young non-Hispanic Black participants (HR, 1.34; 95% CI, 1.04-1.71; 5-year OS, 86.6% vs 92.0%) and Hispanic participants (HR, 1.62; 95% CI, 1.16-2.29; 5-year OS, 86.2% vs 92.0%) had worse OS than young non-Hispanic White participants. Race and ethnicity were associated with RFS in participants with BMIs of 25 to less than 30, with Hispanic participants having worse RFS (HR, 1.81; 95% CI, 1.23-2.68; 5-year RFS, 83.2% vs 87.3%) than non-Hispanic White participants.Conclusions and RelevanceIn this cohort study, racial and ethnic survival disparities were identified in patients with eBC receiving standardized initial care, and potentially at-risk subgroups, for whom focused interventions may improve outcomes, were found.
Prognostic and Predictive Value of Immune-Related Gene Expression Signatures vs Tumor-Infiltrating Lymphocytes in Early-Stage ERBB2/HER2-Positive Breast Cancer
Importance Both tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs) assessment and immune-related gene expression signatures by RNA profiling predict higher pathologic complete response (pCR) and improved event-free survival (EFS) in patients with early-stage ERBB2/HER2-positive breast cancer. However, whether these 2 measures of immune activation provide similar or additive prognostic value is not known. Objective To examine the prognostic ability of TILs and immune-related gene expression signatures, alone and in combination, to predict pCR and EFS in patients with early-stage ERBB2/HER2-positive breast cancer treated in 2 clinical trials. Design, Setting, and Participants In this prognostic study, a correlative analysis was performed on the Cancer and Leukemia Group B (CALGB) 40601 trial and the PAMELA trial. In the CALGB 40601 trial, 305 patients were randomly assigned to weekly paclitaxel with trastuzumab, lapatinib, or both for 16 weeks. The primary end point was pCR, with a secondary end point of EFS. In the PAMELA trial, 151 patients received neoadjuvant treatment with trastuzumab and lapatinib for 18 weeks. The primary end point was the ability of the HER2-enriched subtype to predict pCR. The studies were conducted from October 2013 to November 2015 (PAMELA) and from December 2008 to February 2012 (CALGB 40601). Data analyses were performed from June 1, 2020, to January 1, 2022. Main Outcomes and Measures Immune-related gene expression profiling by RNA sequencing and TILs were assessed on 230 CALGB 40601 trial pretreatment tumors and 138 PAMELA trial pretreatment tumors. The association of these biomarkers with pCR (CALGB 40601 and PAMELA) and EFS (CALGB 40601) was studied by logistic regression and Cox analyses. Results The median age of the patients was 50 years (IQR, 42-50 years), and 305 (100%) were women. Of 202 immune signatures tested, 166 (82.2%) were significantly correlated with TILs. In both trials combined, TILs were significantly associated with pCR (odds ratio, 1.01; 95% CI, 1.01-1.02; P = .02). In addition to TILs, 36 immune signatures were significantly associated with higher pCR rates. Seven of these signatures outperformed TILs for predicting pCR, 6 of which were B-cell related. In a multivariable Cox model adjusted for clinicopathologic factors, including PAM50 intrinsic tumor subtype, the immunoglobulin G signature, but not TILs, was independently associated with EFS (immunoglobulin G signature–adjusted hazard ratio, 0.63; 95% CI, 0.42-0.93; P = .02; TIL-adjusted hazard ratio, 1.00; 95% CI, 0.98-1.02; P = .99). Conclusions and Relevance Results of this study suggest that multiple B-cell–related signatures were more strongly associated with pCR and EFS than TILs, which largely represent T cells. When both TILs and gene expression are available, the prognostic value of immune-related signatures appears to be superior.
Phase II Study of Enzalutamide for Patients With Androgen Receptor–Positive Salivary Gland Cancers (Alliance A091404)
PURPOSE The androgen receptor (AR) is expressed (+) in a subset of salivary gland cancers (SGCs). This phase II trial evaluated the efficacy of the antiandrogen enzalutamide in AR+ SGC. METHODS Patients with locally advanced/unresectable or metastatic AR+ SGCs were enrolled. Enzalutamide (160 mg) was given orally once daily. The primary end point was the best overall response rate per RECIST v1.1 within eight cycles. Confirmed responses in ≥ 5 of 41 patients would be considered promising. Secondary end points were progression-free survival, overall survival, and safety. RESULTS Forty-six patients were enrolled; 30 (65.2%) received prior systemic therapy, including 13 (28.3%) with AR-targeted drugs. Of seven (15.2%) partial responses (PRs), only two (4.3%) were confirmed per protocol and counted toward the primary end point. Twenty-four patients (52.2%) had stable disease; 15 (32.6%) had progression of disease as best response. Twenty-six patients (56.5%) experienced tumor regression in target lesions; 18 (39.1%) had partial response/stable disease ≥ 6 months. Tumor regressions were observed in female patients (5 of 6 [83.3%]) and those who received prior AR– (6 of 13 [46.2%]) or human epidermal growth factor receptor 2–targeted therapies (5 of 8 [62.5%]). Three patients remained on treatment at data cutoff (duration, 32.2-49.8 months). The median progression-free survival was 5.6 months (95% CI, 3.7 to 7.5); the median overall survival was 17.0 months (95% CI, 11.8 to 30.0). The most common adverse events were fatigue, hypertension, hot flashes, and weight loss. Total and free testosterone levels increased by a mean of 61.2% and 48.8%, respectively, after enzalutamide. CONCLUSION Enzalutamide demonstrated limited activity in AR+ SGC, failing to meet protocol-defined success in part because of a lack of response durability. Strategies to enhance the efficacy of antiandrogen therapy are needed.
Abstract 494: Role of age, BMI, and tumor subtype in racial/ethnic disparities in breast cancer survival: A pooled analysis of four Alliance adjuvant clinical trials
Abstract Background: Previous studies have demonstrated poorer survival of Black women with breast cancer. We assessed whether race/ethnicity was associated with disease-free (DFS) and overall survival (OS) among women with breast cancer enrolled in clinical trials for early-stage breast cancer according to tumor subtype, age, and body mass index (BMI). Methods: 10,011 women enrolled in one of four adjuvant chemotherapy trials: CALGB 9741, CALGB 49907, CALGB 40101, or NCCTG N9831. 9918 participants had available DFS and/or OS data and were included in the analysis. Cox models were used to estimate multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the association between race/ethnicity and DFS and OS. We compared Non-Hispanic (NH) Black (n=871), Hispanic (n=436), and other race participants (n=283) to NH Whites (n=7889). We assessed associations within strata of age group (<50, 50-<65, or ≥65), tumor subtype (hormone receptor (HR)+/HER2-, HR-/HER2+, or HR-/HER2-), and BMI (<25, 25-<30, or ≥30). Results: In multivariable-adjusted models, NH Black patients under 50 years of age had worse DFS compared to NH White patients (HR: 1.34, 95% CI: 1.10-1.62) and worse OS (HR: 1.64, 95% CI: 1.30-2.07). The differences in DFS and OS persisted in patients ages 50 to <65, though there were no significant differences in DFS or OS between NH Black and NH White patients ages ≥65. Among Hispanic and NH White participants, younger age at diagnosis was associated with greater DFS compared with older age overall while this was not true for NH Black patients. Among patients with HR+/HER2- tumors, NH Black patients when compared to NH White patients had worse DFS (HR 1.33, 95% CI: 1.04-1.70) but there was not a significant difference in OS (HR 1.35, 95% CI: 1.00-1.83). DFS and OS for other tumor subtypes did not significantly differ by race. Among patients with BMI <25, NH Black patients had significantly worse DFS (HR: 1.70, 95% CI: 1.25-2.30) and OS (HR:1.76, 95% CI:1.20-2.58) compared to NH White patients. There was no difference in survival between different race/ethnicity groups among individuals with BMI ≥25. Conclusions: Our results identified subgroups that may contribute to the observed disparities in survival between NH Black and NH White women with early-stage breast cancer. The greatest disparities are among individuals <50 years of age, those with HR+/HER2-, and those with BMI <25. These differences exist even within clinical trial populations with similar initial therapy, suggesting that disparities may be influenced by inequities in survivorship care and long-term treatment, such as endocrine therapy adherence and persistence, and/or differences in tumor or host biology. Support: U10CA180821 and U10CA180882; ClinicalTrials.gov Identifiers: NCT00003088, NCT00005970, NCT00024102, NCT00041119; https://acknowledgments.alliancefound.org Citation Format: Marla Lipsyc-Sharf, Karla V. Ballman, Jordan D. Campbell, Hyman B. Muss, Edith A. Perez, Lawrence N. Shulman, Lisa A. Carey, Ann H. Partridge, Erica T. Warner. Role of age, BMI, and tumor subtype in racial/ethnic disparities in breast cancer survival: A pooled analysis of four Alliance adjuvant clinical trials [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2022; 2022 Apr 8-13. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2022;82(12_Suppl):Abstract nr 494.
Measurement of endocrine activity (SET2,3) related to prognosis and prediction of benefit from dose-dense (DD) chemotherapy in estrogen receptor-positive (ER+) cancer: CALGB 9741 (Alliance).
505 Background: We investigated the clinical utility of SET2,3, a novel biomarker designed to measure to endocrine sensitivity. SET2,3 measures nonproliferative hormone receptor-related transcription (SETER/PR) adjusted for a baseline prognosis index derived from tumor size, nodes involved and a 4-gene molecular subtype (RNA4). CALGB 9471 is a seminal phase III study that showed improved DFS and OS from 2-weekly dose-dense (DD) vs 3-weekly chemotherapy in ER-negative cancers. Risk of recurrence (ROR-PT) score (intrinsic subtype, proliferation score and tumor size) measured by Nanostring assay was reported to be prognostic in CALGB 9741, but did not predict benefit from DD chemotherapy. Methods: SET2,3 was performed using an aliquot of 200-300 ng RNA (residual from prior ROR-PT testing) from 682 ER+ tumor samples and tested using the QuantiGene Plex bead-based hybridization assay (ThermoFisher, Luminex). We report results for the primary and two secondary objectives of the NCI/CTEP-approved correlative science proposal CSC0154) to evaluate SET2,3 in CALGB 9741 for prognosis (primary endpoint: 95%CI for 5-year (yr) DFS > 75% for High SET2,3 using the predefined prognostic cutpoint 2.10), SET2,3 prognostic independence from ROR-PT, and prediction of outcome according to chemotherapy regimen. We used Cox models to estimate hazard ratios (HR) for prognosis and comparison with ROR-PT results (using c-indices) and for prediction according to chemotherapy schedule using an interaction term (prespecified significance level for interaction: p < 0.10). Results: The study met its primary endpoint with a 5-yr DFS of 85.6% (95%CI 81.3-90.2) in the High-SET subset (244/613, 40%). High-SET vs Low-SET was significantly associated with favorable outcomes at 5 yr (DFS 85.6% vs 69%, p <.0001; OS 95.3% vs 84.6%, p <.0001) and 10 yr (DFS 77.7% vs 58.2%, p <.0001; OS 86.9% vs 65.9%, p <.0001). PAM50 ROR-PT and SET classification were available for 596 tumors. In multivariate models for DFS and OS, SET2,3 remained an independent prognostic variable for DFS (SET high vs low HR = 0.46, 95% CI, 0.34 – 0.63, p < 0.0001; PAM50 ROR-PT high vs low HR = 1.22, 95% CI, 0.91 – 1.64, p = 0.18) and for OS (SET high vs low HR = 0.36, 95% CI, 0.25 – 0.53, p < 0.0001; PAM50 ROR-PT high vs low HR = 1.26, 95% CI, 0.91 – 1.75, p = 0.16). Similar observations were seen in models including SET and PAM50 ROR-PT as continuous variables. Lower SET2,3 values predicted improved outcomes from DD vs 3-weekly chemotherapy (interaction p=0.0998 for DFS, 0.042 for RFS and 0.027 for OS). This was unrelated to menopausal status and lower SET2,3 values favored DD concurrent treatments. Conclusions: SET2,3 index was strongly prognostic, independent of ROR-PT, and predicted survival benefit from DD chemotherapy in pre- and postmenopausal women with ER+ cancer. Clinical trial information: NCT00003088.