11177 Background: Early detection of recurrence after curative-intent treatment is a critical priority, traditional imaging often detects relapse when disease burden is high, potentially limiting treatment efficacy. ctDNA has emerged as an established prognostic biomarker for molecular residual disease (MRD) detection and early relapse. We performed a real-world meta-analysis on published datasets that utilized personalized, tumor-informed ctDNA testing to assess its performance across tumor types and clinical management approaches. Methods: Real-world studies published from December 2022 to December 2025 using the personalized, tumor-informed Signatera ctDNA assay (Natera, Inc.) were included. Eligibility required ctDNA assessment in the MRD (2–16 weeks post-surgery (histology dependent)/pre adjuvant therapy (ACT)) and/or surveillance (post-ACT/end of the MRD window if no ACT was given) settings, with outcomes stratified by ctDNA status and hazard ratios (HR) reported from univariable or time-dependent Cox regression analysis. Exclusions included: clinical trials, biobanks, metastatic disease treated with palliative intent, case reports, reviews, editorials, or commentaries. Clinical outcomes were harmonized into a composite event-free survival (EFS) endpoint (time to recurrence, progression, or death). Pooled HRs and 95% CIs were estimated using random and fixed effects models and heterogeneity between studies was assessed using the I 2 and Cochran’s Q test. Median lead time from ctDNA-positivity to radiographic or clinical recurrence was summarized when available. Results: We identified 18 eligible publications comprising 3,004 unique patients across 15 solid tumor types. During the MRD window, ctDNA positivity was associated with a significantly increased risk of an EFS event compared with ctDNA negativity (pooled HR: 8.15; 95% CI: 6.12–10.85, I 2 = 0.00%, P = 0.844, n = 13). During the surveillance window, inclusive of post-definitive treatment, ctDNA positivity conferred an even greater EFS risk (pooled HR: 18.30; 95% CI: 14.17–23.65, I 2 = 0%, P = 0.911 for heterogeneity, n = 16). Across studies, ctDNA detection during surveillance preceded radiographic or clinical recurrence by a median of 3.20 months (95% CI: 2.50-4.10, P < 0.0001, n = 10), although this varied substantially by study/tumor type (I 2 = 80.9%). Conclusions: In this pan-cancer real-world meta-analysis, ctDNA positivity assessed using a tumor-informed assay was highly prognostic following curative-intent therapy at all timepoints evaluated with low heterogeneity between studies. These findings support the broad clinical utility of tumor-informed ctDNA testing for post-treatment risk stratification and longitudinal disease monitoring across solid tumors.
Age, Body Mass Index, Tumor Subtype, and Racial and Ethnic Disparities in Breast Cancer Survival
ImportanceBlack women in the United States have higher breast cancer (BC) mortality rates than White women. The combined role of multiple factors, including body mass index (BMI), age, and tumor subtype, remains unclear.ObjectiveTo assess the association of race and ethnicity with survival among clinical trial participants with early-stage BC (eBC) according to tumor subtype, age, and BMI.Design, Setting, and ParticipantsThis cohort study analyzed survival data, as of November 12, 2021, from participants enrolled between 1997 and 2010 in 4 randomized adjuvant chemotherapy trials: Cancer and Leukemia Group B (CALGB) 9741, 49907, and 40101 as well as North Central Cancer Treatment Group (NCCTG) N9831, legacy groups of the Alliance of Clinical Trials in Oncology. Median follow-up was 9.8 years.ExposuresNon-Hispanic Black and Hispanic participants were compared with non-Hispanic White participants within subgroups of subtype (hormone receptor positive [HR+]/ERBB2[formerlyHER2] negative [ERBB2−],ERBB2+, and HR−/ERBB2−), age (&lt;50, 50 to &lt;65, and ≥65 years), and BMI (&lt;18.5, 18.5 to &lt;25.0, 25.0 to &lt;30.0, and ≥30.0).Main Outcomes and MeasuresRecurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS).ResultsOf 9479 participants, 436 (4.4%) were Hispanic, 871 (8.8%) non-Hispanic Black, and 7889 (79.5%) non-Hispanic White. The median (range) age was 52 (19.0-89.7) years. Among participants with HR+/ERBB2− tumors, non-Hispanic Black individuals had worse RFS (hazard ratio [HR], 1.49; 95% CI, 1.04-2.12; 5-year RFS, 88.5% vs 93.2%) than non-Hispanic White individuals, although the global test for association of race and ethnicity with RFS was not significant within any tumor subtype. There were no OS differences by race and ethnicity in any subtype. Race and ethnicity were associated with OS in young participants (age &lt;50 years; globalP = .008); young non-Hispanic Black participants (HR, 1.34; 95% CI, 1.04-1.71; 5-year OS, 86.6% vs 92.0%) and Hispanic participants (HR, 1.62; 95% CI, 1.16-2.29; 5-year OS, 86.2% vs 92.0%) had worse OS than young non-Hispanic White participants. Race and ethnicity were associated with RFS in participants with BMIs of 25 to less than 30, with Hispanic participants having worse RFS (HR, 1.81; 95% CI, 1.23-2.68; 5-year RFS, 83.2% vs 87.3%) than non-Hispanic White participants.Conclusions and RelevanceIn this cohort study, racial and ethnic survival disparities were identified in patients with eBC receiving standardized initial care, and potentially at-risk subgroups, for whom focused interventions may improve outcomes, were found.
Genomics of ERBB2-Positive Breast Cancer in Young Women Before and After Exposure to Chemotherapy Plus Trastuzumab
PURPOSE Erb-B2 receptor tyrosine kinase 2 ( ERBB2)–positive breast cancer (BC) is particularly common in young women. Genomic features of ERBB2-positive tumors before and after chemotherapy and trastuzumab (chemo + H) have not been described in young women and are important for guiding study of therapeutic resistance in this population. METHODS From a large prospective cohort of women age 40 years or younger with BC, we identified patients with ERBB2-positive BC and tumor tissue available before and after chemo + H. Whole-exome sequencing (WES) was performed on each tumor and on germline DNA from blood. Tumor-normal pairs were analyzed for mutations and copy number (CN) changes. RESULTS Twenty-two women had successful WES on samples from at least one time point; 12 of these had paired sequencing results from before and after chemo + H and 10 had successful sequencing from either time point. TP53 was the only significantly recurrently mutated gene in both pre- and post-treatment samples. MYC gene amplification was observed in four post-treatment tumors. Seven of 12 patients with paired samples showed acquired and/or clonally enriched alterations in cancer-related genes. One patient had an increased clonality putative activating mutation in ERBB2. Another patient acquired a clonal hotspot mutation in TP53. Other genomic changes acquired in post-treatment specimens included alterations in NOTCH2, STIL, PIK3CA, and GATA3. There was no significant change in median ERBB2 CN (20.3 v 22.6; Wilcoxon P = .79) between paired samples. CONCLUSION ERBB2-positive BCs in young women displayed substantial genomic evolution after treatment with chemo + H. Approximately half of patients with paired samples demonstrated acquired and/or clonally enriched genomic changes in cancer genes. ERBB2 CN changes were uncommon. We identified several genes warranting exploration as potential mechanisms of resistance to therapy in this population.
Abstract 494: Role of age, BMI, and tumor subtype in racial/ethnic disparities in breast cancer survival: A pooled analysis of four Alliance adjuvant clinical trials
Abstract Background: Previous studies have demonstrated poorer survival of Black women with breast cancer. We assessed whether race/ethnicity was associated with disease-free (DFS) and overall survival (OS) among women with breast cancer enrolled in clinical trials for early-stage breast cancer according to tumor subtype, age, and body mass index (BMI). Methods: 10,011 women enrolled in one of four adjuvant chemotherapy trials: CALGB 9741, CALGB 49907, CALGB 40101, or NCCTG N9831. 9918 participants had available DFS and/or OS data and were included in the analysis. Cox models were used to estimate multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the association between race/ethnicity and DFS and OS. We compared Non-Hispanic (NH) Black (n=871), Hispanic (n=436), and other race participants (n=283) to NH Whites (n=7889). We assessed associations within strata of age group (<50, 50-<65, or ≥65), tumor subtype (hormone receptor (HR)+/HER2-, HR-/HER2+, or HR-/HER2-), and BMI (<25, 25-<30, or ≥30). Results: In multivariable-adjusted models, NH Black patients under 50 years of age had worse DFS compared to NH White patients (HR: 1.34, 95% CI: 1.10-1.62) and worse OS (HR: 1.64, 95% CI: 1.30-2.07). The differences in DFS and OS persisted in patients ages 50 to <65, though there were no significant differences in DFS or OS between NH Black and NH White patients ages ≥65. Among Hispanic and NH White participants, younger age at diagnosis was associated with greater DFS compared with older age overall while this was not true for NH Black patients. Among patients with HR+/HER2- tumors, NH Black patients when compared to NH White patients had worse DFS (HR 1.33, 95% CI: 1.04-1.70) but there was not a significant difference in OS (HR 1.35, 95% CI: 1.00-1.83). DFS and OS for other tumor subtypes did not significantly differ by race. Among patients with BMI <25, NH Black patients had significantly worse DFS (HR: 1.70, 95% CI: 1.25-2.30) and OS (HR:1.76, 95% CI:1.20-2.58) compared to NH White patients. There was no difference in survival between different race/ethnicity groups among individuals with BMI ≥25. Conclusions: Our results identified subgroups that may contribute to the observed disparities in survival between NH Black and NH White women with early-stage breast cancer. The greatest disparities are among individuals <50 years of age, those with HR+/HER2-, and those with BMI <25. These differences exist even within clinical trial populations with similar initial therapy, suggesting that disparities may be influenced by inequities in survivorship care and long-term treatment, such as endocrine therapy adherence and persistence, and/or differences in tumor or host biology. Support: U10CA180821 and U10CA180882; ClinicalTrials.gov Identifiers: NCT00003088, NCT00005970, NCT00024102, NCT00041119; https://acknowledgments.alliancefound.org Citation Format: Marla Lipsyc-Sharf, Karla V. Ballman, Jordan D. Campbell, Hyman B. Muss, Edith A. Perez, Lawrence N. Shulman, Lisa A. Carey, Ann H. Partridge, Erica T. Warner. Role of age, BMI, and tumor subtype in racial/ethnic disparities in breast cancer survival: A pooled analysis of four Alliance adjuvant clinical trials [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2022; 2022 Apr 8-13. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2022;82(12_Suppl):Abstract nr 494.
Cetuximab and Irinotecan With or Without Bevacizumab in Refractory Metastatic Colorectal Cancer: BOND-3, an ACCRU Network Randomized Clinical Trial
Abstract Background Combination irinotecan and cetuximab is approved for irinotecan-refractory metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). It is unknown if adding bevacizumab improves outcomes. Patients and Methods In this multicenter, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled phase II trial, patients with irinotecan-refractory RAS-wildtype mCRC and no prior anti-EGFR therapy were randomized to cetuximab 500 mg/m2, bevacizumab 5 mg/kg, and irinotecan 180 mg/m2 (or previously tolerated dose) (CBI) versus cetuximab, irinotecan, and placebo (CI) every 2 weeks until disease progression or intolerable toxicity. The primary endpoint was progression-free survival (PFS). Secondary endpoints included overall survival (OS), objective response rate (ORR), and adverse events (AEs). Results The study closed early after the accrual of 36 out of a planned 120 patients due to changes in funding. Nineteen patients were randomized to CBI and 17 to CI. Baseline characteristics were similar between arms. Median PFS was 9.7 versus 5.5 months for CBI and CI, respectively (1-sided log-rank P = .38; adjusted hazard ratio [HR] = 0.64; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.25-1.66). Median OS was 19.7 versus 10.2 months for CBI and CI (1-sided log-rank P = .02; adjusted HR = 0.41; 95% CI, 0.15-1.09). ORR was 36.8% for CBI versus 11.8% for CI (P = .13). Grade 3 or higher AEs occurred in 47% of patients receiving CBI versus 35% for CI (P = .46). Conclusion In this prematurely discontinued trial, there was no significant difference in the primary endpoint of PFS between CBI and CI. There was a statistically significant improvement in OS in favor of CBI compared with CI. Further investigation of CBI for the treatment of irinotecan-refractory mCRC is warranted. Clinical Trial Registration: NCT02292758
Survival in Young-Onset Metastatic Colorectal Cancer: Findings From Cancer and Leukemia Group B (Alliance)/SWOG 80405
Abstract Background The incidence of young-onset colorectal cancer (yoCRC) is increasing. It is unknown if there are survival differences between young and older patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). Methods We studied the association of age with survival in 2326 mCRC patients enrolled in the Cancer and Leukemia Group B and SWOG 80405 trial, a multicenter, randomized trial of first-line chemotherapy plus biologics. The primary and secondary outcomes of this study were overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS), respectively, which were assessed by Kaplan-Meier method and compared among younger vs older patients with the log-rank test. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated based on Cox proportional hazards modeling, adjusting for known prognostic variables. All statistical tests were 2-sided. Results Of 2326 eligible subjects, 514 (22.1%) were younger than age 50 years at study entry (yoCRC cohort). The median age of yoCRC patients was 44.3 vs 62.5 years in patients aged 50 years and older. There was no statistically significant difference in OS between yoCRC vs older-onset patients (median = 27.07 vs 26.12 months; adjusted HR = 0.98, 95% CI = 0.88 to 1.10; P = .78). The median PFS was also similar in yoCRC vs older patients (10.87 vs 10.55 months) with an adjusted hazard ratio of 1.02 (95% CI = 0.92 to 1.13; P = .67). Patients younger than age 35 years had the shortest OS with median OS of 21.95 vs 26.12 months in older-onset patients with an adjusted hazard ratio of 1.08 (95% CI = 0.81 to 1.44; Ptrend = .93). Conclusion In this large study of mCRC patients, there were no statistically significant differences in survival between patients with yoCRC and CRC patients aged 50 years and older.
Irinotecan, cetuximab, and bevacizumab (CBI) versus irinotecan, cetuximab, and placebo (CI) in irinotecan-refractory metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC): Results from an ACCRU network randomized phase II trial.
102 Background: Combination irinotecan and cetuximab is approved for irinotecan-refractory mCRC; it is unknown if the addition of bevacizumab would improve outcomes. We studied the efficacy and safety of CBI compared with CI in patients (pts) with RAS wildtype, irinotecan-refractory mCRC. Methods: In this multicenter, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled phase II trial, pts with RAS wildtype mCRC and no prior anti-epidermal growth factor receptor therapy who failed at least 1 irinotecan-based chemotherapy regimen and received bevacizumab in at least 1 prior line of therapy were randomized 1:1 to irinotecan 180 mg/m2 (or previously tolerated dose), cetuximab 500 mg/m2, and bevacizumab 5 mg/kg vs CI every 2 wks until disease progression, intolerable toxicity, or withdrawal of consent. The primary endpoint was progression free survival (PFS). Multivariable Cox proportional hazard models stratified by number of prior lines of therapy and bevacizumab receipt in immediate prior line were performed. Secondary endpoints included overall survival (OS), objective response rate (ORR), and adverse events (AEs). The study was closed early in January 2018 for reasons related to accrual and funding after enrollment of 36 out of a planned 60 pts. Results: Between July 2015 and December 2017, 36 pts were randomized (19 to CBI, 17 to CI). 34 pts (94%) were treated with 2 or more prior chemotherapy regimens. Baseline characteristics were similar between arms. Median PFS was 9.7 vs 5.5 mo for CBI and CI arms, respectively (log-rank P =0.76; multivariable HR = 0.64; 95% CI, 0.25-1.66). Median OS was 19.7 vs 10.2 mo for CBI and CI (log-rank P= 0.04; multivariable HR = 0.41; 95% CI, 0.15-1.09). ORR was 37% for CBI vs 12% for CI ( P =0.13). Grade 3 or higher AEs occurred in 47% of pts receiving CBI vs 35% for CI ( P =0.46). Conclusions: In this prematurely discontinued trial, there were non-significant increases in PFS and ORR and a statistically significant 9.5 mo increase in median OS in favor of CBI compared to CI. Further investigation of CBI for treatment of irinotecan-refractory mCRC is warranted. Clinical trial information: NCT02292758.