Shi, Qian

Importance The definition of cure in stage II to III colon cancer (CC) remains unclear due to limitations in conventional end points, which include deaths and second primary tumors as events. These can complicate communication with patients regarding long-term outcomes. Objective To distinguish relapses from competing health-related events to classify long-term outcomes years after surgery and explore when the incidence of true relapses of the initial CC approaches 0% to define cure in this disease. Design, Setting, and Participants This pooled analysis of individual patient–level data from 15 phase 3 randomized clinical trials assessed time to CC-related relapse using Kaplan-Meier and Aalen-Johansen methods, with death and second primary tumors treated as competing risks. Cox regression models evaluated prognostic associations, stratified by sex, stage, and tumor. Patients with stage II to III CC who underwent adjuvant chemotherapy were included. All patients had undergone radical surgery for CC and received adjuvant chemotherapy with a median follow-up of at least 6 years. The Adjuvant Colon Cancer Endpoints (ACCENT) and the International Duration Evaluation of Adjuvant Chemotherapy (IDEA) databases included adjuvant studies conducted between 1996 and 2015. Data were analyzed from February 2022 to June 2025. Exposures Adjuvant chemotherapy regimens varied across trials, including fluoropyrimidines alone or in combination with oxaliplatin or biologic agents. Main Outcomes and Measures The primary outcome was time to CC-related recurrence. The predefined threshold for cure was a recurrence risk below 0.5%. Results Of 35 213 included patients, 19 346 (54.9%) were male, and the mean (SD) age was 60.2 (10.8) years. The incidence rate of recurrence peaked at 6.4% (1993 of 31 373) between month 6 and month 12 and decreased continuously until year 10 of follow-up never exceeding 0.5%. Recurrence rate appeared to increase again after year 10 and peaked at 2.0% during year 12.5 to year 13, a pattern observed exclusively in the MOSAIC trial. Competing-event analysis revealed that death and second primary tumors inflated the apparent recurrence rate, especially for older patients. The overall cumulative incidence of relapse with death as competing risk was lower among female patients (hazard ratio, 0.58; 95% CI, 0.45-0.76; P < .001). Conclusions and Relevance In this pooled analysis of phase 3 randomized clinical trials, a recurrence rate less than 0.5% occurred after 6 years from surgery, supporting a practical definition of cure. Recognizing this milestone may improve patient communication, guide follow-up duration, and reduce unnecessary long-term surveillance.

Abstract Introduction Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) remains one of the deadliest cancers. While total neoadjuvant therapy (TNT) has improved outcomes, recurrence rates remain high. Major pathologic response after TNT is prognostic of better survival, but is rarely achieved. Current pathologic systems primarily consider residual tumor percentage, nodal status, and perineural invasion but overlook spatial organization within the tumor microenvironment (TME). We aimed to evaluate spatial features of the TME to identify biologically and clinically relevant patterns of TME conformation and configuration after TNT and surgical resection of PDAC. Methods We retrospectively analyzed patients with PDAC treated with TNT followed by surgery at Mayo Clinic (2010-2022) with partial or no response per College of American Pathologists (CAP) criteria. Hematoxylin and eosin-stained whole slide images (WSIs) were processed using PathExplore™ PDAC (v1.0) to quantify spatial TME features. These were correlated with disease-free survival (DFS). Results A total of 203 patients were included: 47.3% female, median age 66.5 years. All received TNT; 73.4% had neoadjuvant chemotherapy followed by chemoradiation. Surgical procedures included pancreaticoduodenectomy (62.1%), distal pancreatectomy (22.2%), and total pancreatectomy (15.8%). CAP-defined response was partial in 82.1% and absent in 17.9%. As expected, pathologic T stage (p=0.001), N stage (p=0.002), lymphovascular invasion (p=0.048), and R2 resection (p=0.007) were significantly associated with DFS. However, CAP response category (p=0.053), residual cancer area (p=0.47), and cancer-to-stroma ratio (p=0.25) were not. We analyzed 297 WSIs from 203 patients. Of 31 spatial features evaluated, 5 were associated with DFS (p<0.20). Recursive partitioning using ln(mean cancer shape index [CSI]) <1.775 and ln(SD of stroma shape index [SSI]) >0.651 identified a high-risk group (n=63) with median DFS of 7.23 months (95% CI: 5.19–9.63), compared to 11.57 months in the low-risk group (95% CI: 9.24–17.92) (HR=1.82; 95% CI: 1.31–2.52; p=0.0003). This remained significant after adjusting for T and N stage (HR=1.75; 95% CI: 1.17–2.63; p=0.007). An alternate prognostic index derived via backwards elimination, calculated using 0.2701(mean stromal area) + 0.3905(edge density), also stratified patients. High-risk patients (n=51) had a significantly shorter (p<0.001) DFS (6.2 months) than those in the low-risk category (20.0 months). This significant difference holds in a multivariable analysis controlling for pathologic stage, N stage, and resection margins (HR=1.94, 95% CI: 1.21-3.10, p=0.006). Discussion Current assessment of residual PDAC after TNT is limited by subjective grading and lack of spatial context. Using Tumor Landscape Analysis, we identified high-risk spatial features of the TME that independently predict recurrence. These findings support a novel spatially-informed framework for risk stratification in resected PDAC with residual disease. Citation Format: Miranda Lin, Luis Cisneros, Merih D. Toruner, Andrea Maraone, Paul Dizona, Qian Shi, Martin E. Fernandez-Zapico, Ryan M. Carr. Spatial features of the tumor microenvironment predict recurrence risk in resected pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma after total neoadjuvant therapy [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the AACR Special Conference in Cancer Research: Advances in Pancreatic Cancer Research—Emerging Science Driving Transformative Solutions; Boston, MA; 2025 Sep 28-Oct 1; Boston, MA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2025;85(18_Suppl_3):Abstract nr A051.

Abstract Background Completing adjuvant chemotherapy and reducing toxicities are critical for maximizing survival after a colon cancer diagnosis. Sex, as a biological variable, may affect colon cancer chemotherapy completion, toxicities, and survival differently. Methods From a National Cancer Institute–sponsored trial conducted among patients with stage III colon cancer (Cancer and Leukemia Group B (Alliance)/Southwest Oncology Group 80702), we included 2201 patients receiving the standard adjuvant chemotherapy regimen of fluorouracil, leucovorin, and oxaliplatin. We calculated relative dose intensity to indicate chemotherapy completion and considered reduced relative dose intensity (values <85%) as a clinically significant deviation from standard fluorouracil, leucovorin, and oxaliplatin. Using National Cancer Institute’s Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events, we defined severe adverse events (grade ≥3) as the occurrence of any following event, including neutrophil count decrease, nausea, platelet count decrease, hypertension, peripheral neuropathy, diarrhea, fatigue, gastritis, creatinine level increase, gastric ulcer, myocardial ischemia, and cerebral ischemia. The primary survival outcome was disease-free survival (time from enrollment to colon cancer recurrence or death from any cause), and secondary survival outcomes were recurrence-free and overall survival. Results Compared with men, women were at statistically significantly higher risks of experiencing reduced relative dose intensity (adjusted odds ratio = 1.59, 95% CI = 1.29 to 1.96; P < .001) and severe advance events (adjusted odds ratio = 1.72, 95% CI = 1.41 to 2.11; P < .001). Yet, women had statistically significantly better disease-free survival (adjusted hazard ratio = 0.72, 95% CI = 0.59 to 0.87; P < .001) as well as better recurrence-free and overall survival. Conclusions Our findings suggested that women with colon cancer are more likely to have worse chemotherapy completion rates and more severe adverse events, but they have better survival. Sex as a biological variable warrants further consideration in chemotherapy administration and survivorship management after colon cancer diagnosis.

This cross-sectional study analyzes patient-reported outcome findings from the Enhanced, Electronic Health Record–Facilitated Cancer Symptom Control (E2C2) trial to investigate level of symptom burden in adolescents and young adults with cancer.

PURPOSE Colorectal cancer (CRC) incidence and mortality have decreased since the 1970s, but the incidence in young adults (<50 years, named early-onset CRC [eoCRC]) has been increasing. PATIENTS AND METHODS Individual patient data on 13,365 patients with metastatic CRC enrolled between 2000 and 2012 in 17 first-line randomized trials in the Aide et Recherche en Cancérologie Digestive database were pooled. The distribution of demographics, clinicopathologic features, biomarkers, and outcome data were summarized and compared by age groups. Progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were assessed by Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox models stratified by treatment arms within studies, adjusting for potential confounders. Predictive value of age group on clinical outcomes was evaluated by testing interaction effect between treatment and age variables. RESULTS Overall, 2,045 patients with eoCRC (median age, 42.5) and 11,320 patients with average-onset CRC (aoCRC; median age, 63.8) were included in this analysis. Within the eoCRC population, treatment with bevacizumab in addition to chemotherapy improved PFS (9.9 v 6.8 months; hazard ratio [HR], 0.66 [95% CI, 0.54 to 0.80]; P < .0001), which was similar to the findings in aoCRC population (9.4 v 7.3 months; HR, 0.73 [95% CI, 0.67 to 0.80]; P < .001; interaction P = .5415). However, epithelial growth factor receptor inhibitor (EGFRi) did not improve PFS in RAS wild-type (WT) patients with eoCRC who had left-sided primary tumors (8.3 v 8.9 months; HR, 1.20 [95% CI, 0.81 to 1.77]; P = .36), whereas EGFRi significantly improved PFS in the aoCRC population (9.9 v 8.5 months; HR, 0.74 [95% CI, 0.64 to 0.86]; P < .0001; interaction P = .083). CONCLUSION Treatment-naïve patients with metastatic eoCRC appear to derive similar benefit from bevacizumab as patients with aoCRC. However, patients with eoCRC with left-sided RAS/RAF WT tumors did not appear to derive benefit from first-line EGFRi.

AbstractDespite advances in acute myeloid leukemia (AML) treatment, significant unmet medical needs remain. Surrogate end points for overall survival can accelerate the approval of novel therapies. Measurable residual disease (MRD) is a promising surrogate end point candidate, providing a sensitive and quantitative assessment of disease burden. Numerous studies have demonstrated that negative MRD status—across diverse methodologies, assessment timepoints and thresholds, patient subgroups, and clinical settings—independently predicts improved survival. Although MRD can inform therapeutic decisions at the patient level, its formal integration as a primary surrogate end point in regulatory frameworks for clinical trials requires rigorous validation. MRD Partnership and Alliance in AML Clinical Treatment (MPAACT) is a research consortium among industry and academic leaders. MPAACT actively engages with regulatory agencies, health technology assessment bodies, technology vendors, and patient groups to establish a pathway for validating MRD as a surrogate end point in AML clinical trials. For the current article, the authors reviewed the status of MRD assessment, its use in recent clinical trials, current MRD assessment methodologies, standardization, regulatory guidance, statistical approaches, and patient access considerations necessary for MRD to become a surrogate clinical trial end point. The extensive collaboration between MPAACT, global industry, and academic partners—including data sharing and resource integration—underscores the collective commitment to advancing AML therapies. Establishing MRD as a surrogate end point could accelerate the development and approval of innovative treatments, ultimately improving patient outcomes.

LBA3509 Background: Systemic inflammation has been implicated in colon cancer progression. We examined whether intake of a proinflammatory diet is associated with survival among patients (pts) with stage III colon cancer. Methods: This prospective cohort study was nested within a randomized phase III trial of adjuvant therapy in pts with stage III colon cancer who had undergone curative-intent resection. EDIP score – a validated tool to classify the inflammatory nature of diets – was derived as a cumulative exposure using data from food-frequency questionnaires completed within 6 weeks of randomization and 14-16 months (mo) after randomization. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to assess the associations of EDIP with disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS). Results: Of 1625 included pts, the mean (SD) age was 60.9 (10.5) years (yrs). Compared to pts in the lowest EDIP quintile, pts in the highest quintile (a more inflammatory diet) were younger (58.7 ± 10.8 vs 61.3 ± 9.5 yrs old) and more likely to be female (64.0% vs 48.9%) and have worse performance status (ECOG 1-2: 35.7% vs 19.4%). Pts in the highest quintile were less likely to be White (76.6% vs 92.0 %) and more likely to be Black (15.4% vs 3.7%). Baseline aspirin use, assigned chemotherapy (3 mo vs 6 mo), and assigned pharmacotherapy (celecoxib vs placebo) were not significantly different across EDIP quintiles. Compared with pts in the lowest EDIP quintile, pts in the highest quintile had significantly worse OS (multivariable hazard ratio [HR] 1.87, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.26-2.77, P trend =0.01), but not DFS (HR 1.36, 95% CI 0.99-1.86, P trend =0.22). Diet and physical activity jointly influenced OS. Those with lower EDIP scores (quintiles 1-4, 80% of the study population) and higher physical activity (≥9 MET-h/wk) had the best OS (HR 0.37, 95% CI 0.25-0.53) compared with pts in the highest EDIP quintile (20% of the study population) and lower physical activity (<9 MET-h/wk) ( P interaction <0.001). The association between higher EDIP and OS was consistent when analyzed by celecoxib and placebo treatment arms ( P interaction 0.54). The relationship between EDIP and OS did not differ significantly according to aspirin use, with HR 1.60 (95% CI 0.71-3.60) among aspirin users and HR 2.01 (95% CI 1.27-3.16) among aspirin non-users ( P interaction 0.06). Conclusions: Our findings suggest that greater intake of a proinflammatory dietary pattern is associated with worse OS in pts with stage III colon cancer. Regular physical activity may attenuate the association, and further investigation of diet and physical activity intervention is warranted. Support: U10CA180821, U10CA180882, U24CA196171, U10CA180863, CCS 707213, UG1CA233234, U10CA180820, U10CA180868, U10CA180888; https://acknowledgments.alliancefound.org. Pfizer; ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT01150045.

3520 Background: Recent analyses highlight nonhierarchical outcomes using the 8 th Edition AJCC staging system for CC. For instance, the 5-year survival rate for stages I and IIIa patients (pts) closely align. Additionally, tumor deposits (TDs) have been established as significant prognostic indicators. The AJCCCCEP commissioned this study to develop an updated pathological staging system for CC focused specifically on pts without distant metastasis (M0), while retaining the existing stage IV classification. Methods: Individual patient data (IPD) from pts diagnosed with cc (2010- 2017) in the NCDB were divided into training (70%) and internal validation (30%) datasets. External validation used IPD from clinical trials. The primary endpoint was overall survival (OS). Risk classification development for M0 pts incorporated ungrouped data on pathologic T categories, the number of involved regional lymph nodes (LN+), and TD counts. Recursive partitioning and regression tree analyses were applied to construct hierarchical staging levels. Pre-specified criteria required survival probabilities to be consecutive and show clear separations using Kaplan-Meier (KM) estimates with pairwise log-rank test P of < 0.005 for the training and < 0.05 for validation analyses. Results: Data from 281,997 pts (median age 67 years, 50% male, 81% white, 55% T3, 19% T4, 44% N+, 26% M+, and 11% with ≥1 TD) were analyzed, with a median follow-up of 7.3 years. The updated staging system (Table) met pre-specified criteria, with all observed pairwise P < 0.0001 in the development and internal validation sets. KM OS curves displayed a hierarchical separation across all sub-levels after the 1 st year of diagnosis. Consistent results were seen in pts treated with adjuvant chemotherapy in 4 trials (all pair-wise P < 0.0001). Conclusions: The proposed pathological staging system for M0 pts fulfills pre-specified criteria for hierarchical risk stratification, validated both internally and externally, and provides an evidence-based update. Pending review process, the AJCCCCEP will recommend that these changes be made to the Version 9 staging protocol for colon cancer to improve prognostication for CC pts. Stage T, # of LN+, # of TD M % of pts 1y OS (CI), % 3y OS (CI), % 5y OS (CI), % I T1, 0, 0 0 5 96 (95-97) 91 (90-92) 84 (83-86) IIa T2, 0, 0 0 10 95 (94-95) 88 (88-89) 80 (79-81) IIb T1, 0, 1+T1, 1+, 0T2, 0, 1+T2, 1-4, 0T3, 0, 0 0 27 93 (92-93) 84 (84-85) 75 (75-76) IIIa T1, 1+, 1+T2, 1-4, 1+T2, 5+, 0T3, 0, 1+T3, 1-4, 0 0 14 92 (91-92) 80 (80-81) 71 (70-72) IIIb T2, 5+, 1+T3, 1-4, 1+T3, 5+, 0T4a, 0-4, 0T4b, 0-2, 0 0 13 86 (86-87) 69 (68-70) 58 (57-59) IIIc T3, 5+, 1+T4a, 0-4, 1+T4a, 5+, anyT4b, 0-2, 1+T4b, 3+, any 0 5 78 (77-80) 53 (51-54) 40 (38-41) IVa Any 1a 19 59 (58-60) 28 (28-29) 17 (16-18) IVb Any 1b 7 43 (42-44) 14 (13-14) 6 (6-7) CI: 95% confidence internal; Peritoneum involvement data were not available before 2018 in NCDB. Thus, IVa/b were based on 7 th Edition.

3504 Background: Among patients with resected node-positive colon cancer, nearly 30% will relapse despite standard adjuvant chemotherapy. Analysis of molecular residual disease (MRD) using circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) may enable risk stratification for tumor recurrence and inform adjuvant treatment decisions. Methods: Postsurgical ctDNA was analyzed in patients with stage III colon carcinoma who participated in a phase 3 trial of adjuvant FOLFOX alone or combined with cetuximab (n = 3084) [NCCTG N0147]. We utilized a tissue-free epigenomic assay for ctDNA detection (Guardant Reveal) with sampling prior to start of adjuvant therapy. Among ctDNA positives, epigenomic tumor fraction (TF) was estimated and ctDNA genotyping was done with Guardant360 (panel of 739 genes). Median follow-up was 6.1 years (yr). Study endpoints included time-to-recurrence (TTR), disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) analyzed by Kaplan–Meier method. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess prognostic utility of ctDNA status adjusting for confounders. Interaction between ctDNA and clinicopathological features were assessed. Results: Among 2260 patients with evaluable ctDNA data, 461 (20.4%) were ctDNA positive.Tumors were significantly associated with higher T, N stage, BRAF V600E , high grade, obstruction/perforation, and worse performance status. Positive vs negative ctDNA was significantly associated with shorter TTR (hazard ratio [HR] 4.33, 95% confidence interval [CI] 3.65-5.13, P < 0.0001), poorer DFS (HR 3.74, CI 3.18-4.39, P < 0.0001] and OS (HR 3.17, CI 2.63-3.83, P < 0.0001), adjusting for covariates and tissue MMR, KRAS and BRAF V600E . ctDNA positive vs negative patients had 3y DFS of 36.4% (95%CI 32.2-41.2%) vs 82.5% (95% CI 80.0-84.4%), respectively. Adverse prognosis was consistent across subgroups (all P < 0.05), with stronger detrimental effects for positive ctDNA in N1 (vs. N2), T1/2 (vs T3 or 4), and mismatch repair deficient tumors [interaction P = 0.0002 to 0.041). Among patients with positive ctDNA, TF in those who recurred/died within 3 yr was double of those who remained recurrence-free ( P = 0.0001). High vs. low ctDNA TF ( > vs ≤ median) further stratified TTR (HR 1.48, CI 1.17-1.88, P = 0.0011), DFS (HR 1.52, CI 1.21-1.92, P = 0.0004) and OS (HR 1.58, CI 1.21-2.07, P = 0.0009), adjusting for confounders. ctDNA positive cases, . Analyses of ctDNA detection by site of recurrence, ctDNA clearance, and genomic variant detection are ongoing. Conclusions: In the largest study evaluating tissue-free epigenomic-based MRD detection, we demonstrate a robust prognostic utility of postsurgical ctDNA. Tumor fraction provided further patient stratification and analysis is ongoing to identify a subgroup based on TF that may be unlikely to clear ctDNA despite adjuvant chemotherapy.

TPS3634 Background: For patients with oligometastatic colorectal cancer (CRC), aggressive local therapy of isolated metastases, particularly in the liver, has been associated with long-term progression-free and overall survival (OS) primarily based on retrospective evidence. However, in patients with limited metastatic CRC that is deemed inoperable or those with additional disease outside of the liver or lungs, the role of local ablative therapies, including microwave ablation (MWA) and stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT), to render patients disease free is less clear. Despite the long history of treating oligometastatic CRC with local therapy, which is largely provider biased, questions remain regarding the benefit of extending the paradigm of metastatic directed therapy to patients with more extensive disease. This trial seeks to use a pragmatic multimodality approach that mirrors the current clinical dilemma. This study is designed to evaluate the safety and efficacy of adding total ablative therapy (TAT) of all sites of disease to standard of care systemic treatment in those with limited metastatic CRC. Methods: A022101/NRG-GI009 is a National Clinical Trials Network randomized phase III study planned to enroll 364 patients with newly diagnosed metastatic CRC (BRAF wild-type, microsatellite stable) without peritoneal metastasis or liver-only disease on baseline imaging. Patients receive first-line systemic therapy for 12-39 weeks. Patients with ≤4 sites of metastatic disease following initial systemic therapy that are amenable to any combination of surgical resection, MWA, and/or SBRT are then randomized 1:1, stratified by number of metastatic organ sites (1-2 vs. 3-4), timing of metastatic disease diagnosis (de novo vs. secondary), and presence of metastatic disease outside the liver/lungs in at least 1 site. Patients in Arm 1 will receive TAT consisting of treatment of all metastatic sites with SBRT, MWA, and/or surgical resection followed by standard of care systemic therapy. Patients in Arm 2 will continue with standard of care systemic therapy alone. The primary endpoint is OS. Secondary endpoints include event-free survival, treatment-related toxicities, and local recurrence with exploratory biomarker analyses. The study needs 346 evaluable patients combined in the 2 arms to demonstrate an improvement in OS with a hazard ratio of 0.7 to provide 80% power with a one-sided alpha of 5%. The trial utilizes a group sequential design with two interim analyses (25% and 50% of events) for futility. The trial activated in January 2023 and recruitment is ongoing. Support: U10CA180821, U10CA180882; https://acknowledgments.alliancefound.org. U10CA180820 (ECOG-ACRIN); U10CA180868 (NRG); U10CA180888 (SWOG); Clinical trial information: NCT05673148 .