Leung, Lester Y.

BACKGROUND: The impact of covert cerebrovascular disease on falls in the general population is not well-known. Here, we determine the time to a first fall following incidentally detected covert cerebrovascular disease during a clinical neuroimaging episode. METHODS: This longitudinal cohort study assessed computed tomography (CT) and magnetic resonance imaging from 2009 to 2019 of patients aged >50 years registered with Kaiser Permanente Southern California which is a healthcare organization combining health plan coverage with coordinated medical services, excluding those with before stroke/dementia. We extracted evidence of incidental covert brain infarcts (CBI) and white matter hyperintensities/hypoattenuation (WMH) from imaging reports using natural language processing. We examined associations of CBI and WMH with falls requiring medical attention, using Cox proportional hazards regression models with adjustment for 12 variables including age, sex, ethnicity multimorbidity, polypharmacy, and incontinence. RESULTS: We assessed 241 050 patients, mean age 64.9 (SD, 10.42) years, 61.3% female, detecting covert cerebrovascular disease in 31.1% over a mean follow-up duration of 3.04 years. A recorded fall occurred in 21.2% (51 239/241 050) during follow-up. On CT, single fall incidence rate/1000 person-years (p-y) was highest in individuals with both CBI and WMH on CT (129.3 falls/1000 p-y [95% CI, 123.4–135.5]), followed by WMH (109.9 falls/1000 p-y [108.0–111.9]). On magnetic resonance imaging, the incidence rate was the highest with both CBI and WMH (76.3 falls/1000 p-y [95% CI, 69.7–83.2]), followed by CBI (71.4 falls/1000 p-y [95% CI, 65.9–77.2]). The adjusted hazard ratio for single index fall in individuals with CBI on CT was 1.13 (95% CI, 1.09–1.17); versus magnetic resonance imaging 1.17 (95% CI, 1.08–1.27). On CT, the risk for single index fall incrementally increased for mild (1.37 [95% CI, 1.32–1.43]), moderate (1.57 [95% CI, 1.48–1.67]), or severe WMH (1.57 [95% CI, 1.45–1.70]). On magnetic resonance imaging, index fall risk similarly increased with increasing WMH severity: mild (1.11 [95% CI, 1.07–1.17]), moderate (1.21 [95% CI, 1.13–1.28]), and severe WMH (1.34 [95% CI, 1.22–1.46]). CONCLUSIONS: In a large population with neuroimaging, CBI and WMH are independently associated with greater risks of an index fall. Increasing severities of WMH are associated incrementally with fall risk across imaging modalities.

Background: Multiple randomized clinical trials failed to show benefit of anticoagulation over antiplatelets in the secondary prevention for embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS). However, the benefit of combination antithrombotic regimens remains unexplored in the same patient population. Methods: This is a subgroup analysis of a multicenter retrospective observational cohort of consecutive adult patients with ESUS (n=27 sites, 2015-2024). Comparisons were made between patients treated with single (SAPT) or dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT), exclusive anticoagulation (AC) (direct oral anticoagulant, vitamin K antagonist, low molecular weight heparin) and combination anticoagulation and antiplatelet therapy initiated within the first 7 days of index stroke. The primary composite outcome of recurrent ischemic stroke, major bleeding, or death was assessed using unadjusted and adjusted Cox proportional hazards regression. Secondary outcomes were individual outcomes of recurrent ischemic stroke, major bleeding, or death. Results: Of the 2201 included patients, 1456 (66.1%) were on SAPT, 527 (23.9%) were on DAPT, 195 (8.8%) were on exclusive AC and 23 (1.0%) were on AC+AP (all of which were on DAPT). Patients treated with AC+AP were older (median 66 years [IQR 51-78]), more likely to have history of hypertension, stroke, hyperlipidemia, PFO and left atrial enlargement. Compared to SAPT, all treatment strategies were associated with similar risk of the primary outcomes in the unadjusted and adjusted cox regression. Similarly, there was no difference in individual outcomes including recurrent stroke, major bleeding and death in the adjusted cox regression. However, there was an increased risk of major bleeding with AC+AP in the unadjusted cox regression (HR 4.0, [95% CI 1.2-12.8], p=0.02) but not in the adjusted model when compared to SAPT. Also, DAPT was associated with lower risk of death than SAPT in the unadjusted model (HR 0.61 [95% CI 0.4-0.8],p=0.005) but not the adjusted model. Additionally, when adjusted by the HASBLED score, there was no difference in major bleeding when AC+AP was compared to SAPT. Conclusion: Over 90% of ESUS patients in this cohort were prescribed SAPT or DAPT. Antithrombotic therapy with DAPT, exclusive AC, or AC+AP was not associated with any lower risk of recurrent ischemic stroke, major bleeding and death compared with SAPT in an unselected cohort of ESUS patients.

Background: It is known that there are discrepancies between insurance status and access to care for a variety of health conditions. In addition, differences have been shown in initial in-hospital management of stroke as well as outcomes in the acute setting. We sought to examine the relationship between insurance status and risk of recurrent stroke, major bleeding or death following an incident cryptogenic stroke. Methods: Patients with cryptogenic stroke included in a multicenter (n=27 sites) retrospective observational cohort and complete insurance status were evaluated for a primary composite outcome of recurrent stroke, major bleeding, or death. Insurance providers were categorized by Private/Veterans Administration, Medicare, Other, and Medicaid/pending/None, with the primary carrier ranked in that order when multiple insurance carriers applied. Descriptive statistics and an adjusted Cox proportional hazards regression were used to associate the primary insurance provider with the composite outcome, and with each unique secondary outcome, adjusting for age, stroke severity, pre-stroke disability, atherosclerotic risk factors, and potential embolic sources (e.g., patent foramen ovale). Results: Of the 2201 patients, 2006 (91.1%) had reported insurance information and were followed for a median of 1.50 years (interquartile range [IQR 0.41 - 2.99y]). The majority of patients were primary Medicare beneficiaries (42.3%), followed by private insurance (36.7%), Medicaid/none (18.1%) and Other (2.9%). Although there were important differences in demographic and neurodiagnostic results across insurance groups, compared to Private/VA beneficiaries, beneficiaries for Medicaid/pending/none had a higher rate of the composite outcome in adjusted regression (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 1.35, 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.07-1.69) which was driven largely by the higher rate of recurrent stroke (adjusted HR 1.33, 95%CI, 1.02-1.73) with no significant difference in rate of major bleeding or death (p>0.05 for both). Conclusions: Independent of age, race, pre-existing disability, and atherosclerotic risk factors, insurance status was independently predictive of recurrent stroke in this diverse cohort of cryptogenic stroke.

Introduction While incidentally discovered covert cerebrovascular diseases (id-CCD) are associated with future stroke, it is not known if patients with id-CCD are prescribed statins. Methods Patients age ≥50 with id-CCD on neuroimaging from 2009 to 2019 with no prior ischaemic stroke, transient ischaemic attack or dementia were identified using natural language processing in a large real-world cohort. Robust Poisson multivariable regression was used to assess statin prescription among patients without prior statins. Results Among 2 41 050 patients, 74 975 patients (31.1%; 4.7% with covert brain infarcts (CBI); 29.0% with white matter disease (WMD)) had id-CCD. 53.5% (95% CI 53.2 to 53.9%) were not on statins within 6 months prior to the scan. Of those, 12.0% (95% CI 11.7 to 12.3%) were prescribed statins in the next 6 months compared with 9.3% (95% CI 9.1 to 9.4%) in those without CCD, a 2.7% (95% CI 2.4 to 3.1%) absolute increase in statin prescription for those with id-CCD. In adjusted analyses, the presence of id-CCD was only associated with minor increases in statin prescription (CBI or WMD (risk ratio (RR) 1.09, 95% CI 1.05 to 1.13), CBI alone (RR 1.34, 95% CI 1.21 to 1.47), WMD alone (RR 1.05, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.09), and CBI and WMD (RR 1.23, 95% CI 1.12 to 1.35)). Discussion Identification of id-CCD is not associated with substantial changes in statin prescription in routine clinical practice.

Background Covert cerebrovascular disease (CCD) has been shown to be associated with dementia in population‐based studies with magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) screening, but dementia risk associated with incidentally discovered CCD is not known. Methods and Results Individuals aged ≥50 years enrolled in the Kaiser Permanente Southern California health system receiving head computed tomography (CT) or MRI for nonstroke indications from 2009 to 2019, without prior ischemic stroke/transient ischemic attack, dementia/Alzheimer disease, or visit reason/scan indication suggestive of cognitive decline or stroke were included. Natural language processing identified incidentally discovered covert brain infarction (id‐CBI) and white matter disease (id‐WMD) on the neuroimage report; white matter disease was characterized as mild, moderate, severe, or undetermined. We estimated risk of dementia associated with id‐CBI and id‐WMD. Among 241 050 qualified individuals, natural language processing identified 69 931 (29.0%) with id‐WMD and 11 328 (4.7%) with id‐CBI. Dementia incidence rates (per 1000 person‐years) were 23.5 (95% CI, 22.9–24.0) for patients with id‐WMD, 29.4 (95% CI, 27.9–31.0) with id‐CBI, and 6.0 (95% CI, 5.8–6.2) without id‐CCD. The association of id‐WMD with future dementia was stronger in younger (aged <70 years) versus older (aged ≥70 years) patients and for CT‐ versus MRI‐discovered lesions. For patients with versus without id‐WMD on CT, the adjusted HR was 2.87 (95% CI, 2.58–3.19) for younger and 1.87 (95% CI, 1.79–1.95) for older patients. For patients with versus without id‐WMD on MRI, the adjusted HR for dementia risk was 2.28 (95% CI, 1.99–2.62) for younger and 1.48 (95% CI, 1.32–1.66) for older patients. The adjusted HR for id‐CBI was 2.02 (95% CI, 1.70–2.41) for younger and 1.22 (95% CI, 1.15–1.30) for older patients for either modality. Dementia risk was strongly correlated with id‐WMD severity; adjusted HRs compared with patients who were negative for id‐WMD by MRI ranged from 1.41 (95% CI, 1.25–1.60) for those with mild disease on MRI to 4.11 (95% CI, 3.58–4.72) for those with severe disease on CT. Conclusions Incidentally discovered CCD is common and associated with a high risk of dementia, representing an opportunity for prevention. The association is strengthened when discovered at younger age, by increasing id‐WMD severity, and when id‐WMD is detected by CT scan rather than MRI.

Objective This study aimed to examine the relationship between covert cerebrovascular disease, comprised of covert brain infarction and white matter disease, discovered incidentally in routine care, and subsequent Parkinson disease. Methods Patients were ≥50 years and received neuroimaging for non‐stroke indications in the Kaiser Permanente Southern California system from 2009 to 2019. Natural language processing identified incidentally discovered covert brain infarction and white matter disease and classified white matter disease severity. The Parkinson disease outcome was defined as 2 ICD diagnosis codes. Results 230,062 patients were included (median follow‐up 3.72 years). A total of 1,941 Parkinson disease cases were identified (median time‐to‐event 2.35 years). Natural language processing identified covert cerebrovascular disease in 70,592 (30.7%) patients, 10,622 (4.6%) with covert brain infarction and 65,814 (28.6%) with white matter disease. After adjustment for known risk factors, white matter disease was associated with Parkinson disease (hazard ratio 1.67 [95%CI, 1.44, 1.93] for patients <70 years and 1.33 [1.18, 1.50] for those ≥70 years). Greater severity of white matter disease was associated with increased incidence of Parkinson disease(/1,000 person‐years), from 1.52 (1.43, 1.61) in patients without white matter disease to 4.90 (3.86, 6.13) in those with severe disease. Findings were robust when more specific definitions of Parkinson disease were used. Covert brain infarction was not associated with Parkinson disease (adjusted hazard ratio = 1.05 [0.88, 1.24]). Interpretation Incidentally discovered white matter disease was associated with subsequent Parkinson disease, an association strengthened with younger age and increased white matter disease severity. Incidentally discovered covert brain infarction did not appear to be associated with subsequent Parkinson disease. ANN NEUROL 2022;92:620–630

Background: Real world studies of silent brain infarction (SBI) and white matter disease (WMD) are impeded by challenges in cohort identification. Natural language processing (NLP) from imaging reports may facilitate future studies. However, electronic health records can be heterogeneous and the process of interpreting neuroimages and generating reports can vary. Understanding knowledge representation and relationships between neuroimages and imaging reports is crucial for using NLP to facilitate disease management and cohort identification. Methods: A balanced sample of head neuroimages (CT, MRI) of patients >50 years without clinical histories of symptomatic stroke, TIA, or dementia were obtained at Mayo Clinic and Tufts Medical Center. A team of 4 radiology residents performed report interpretation (RI) on 1000 reports according to a standardized protocol for the presence of SBIs, the presence of WMD, and WMD grade. A random subsample of 400 was doubly read for interrater reliability. For benchmarking, a team of 4 neuroradiologists directly reviewed and described findings on a subsample of 182 images, each doubly read. We assessed interrater reliability for direct review (DR) and RI, and agreement between these 2 information sources. An NLP algorithm was developed to review and extract findings from 1000 imaging reports. Results: For DR, interrater reliability was moderate for SBIs and WMD (k = 0.53, 95% CI 0.43-0.64 and k = 0.47, 95% CI 0.33-0.61) and good for WMD grade (Spearman 0.71, p<0.001). For RI, interrater reliability for SBIs, WMD and WMD grade was good (k = 0.88, 95% CI 0.80-0.97; k = 0.98, 95% CI 0.97-1.00; and Spearman = 0.985, p<0.001, respectively). Agreement between DR and RI was good for SBIs (k = 0.77, 95% CI 0.67-0.86) and WMD (k = 0.65, 95% CI 0.54-0.77). Spearman rank correlations comparing WMD grade interpretation DR to RI was 0.60 (p<0.001). In identifying the presence of SBIs and WMDs, the accuracy of the NLP algorithm was 0.991 and 0.994, respectively. Conclusion: For the presence of SBI and WMD, and WMD grade, agreement between RI and DR was similar to agreement between 2 neuroradiologists directly reviewing neuroimages. It is highly feasible to use NLP to identify patients with SBIs and WMDs for clinical studies.

Background: White matter disease (WMD) and silent brain infarction (SBI) are known to be risk markers for stroke. Nevertheless, the predictive value of these changes when seen incidentally on routinely-obtained neuroimages is unknown. Methods: In this retrospective cohort study, Kaiser Permanente-Southern California health plan enrollees aged ≥ 50 years old with a brain CT or MRI scan between 2009-2019 and without a prior history of ischemic stroke, transient ischemic attack, or dementia were identified. Natural language processing (NLP) was used to identify patients with SBI and WMD on the index neuroimaging report. We used Cox proportional hazards to estimate the risk of future ischemic stroke associated with the presence of SBI and of WMD, controlling for major stroke risk factors. Results: Among 262,875 individuals receiving brain neuroimaging, 13,154 (5.0%) and 78,330 (29.8%) had SBI and WMD, respectively. The Table below summarizes the crude stroke incidence rates. The crude hazard ratio (HR) was 3.40 (95% CI 3.25-3.56) for SBI and 2.63 (95% CI 2.54-2.71) for WMD. In the multivariable model controlling for all major stroke risk factors, the effect of SBI was found to be stronger in younger versus older patients and for MRI- versus CT-discovered lesions. With MRI, the average adjusted HR over time was 2.95 (95% CI 2.53-3.44) for those < age 65 and 2.15 (95% CI 1.91-2.41) for those ≥ age 65. With CT scan, the average adjusted HR over time was 2.48 (95%CI 2.19-2.81) for those < age 65 and 1.81 (95% CI 1.71-1.91) for those ≥ age 65. The adjusted HR associated with a finding of WMD was 1.76 (95% CI 1.69-1.82) and was not modified by age or imaging modality. The effect of SBI decreased gradually over time, while the effect of WMD remained constant. Conclusion: Incidentally-discovered SBI and WMD are common in patients ≥ age 50 and are associated with substantial increases in the risk of subsequent symptomatic stroke. The findings may represent an opportunity for stroke prevention.