BACKGROUND: The impact of covert cerebrovascular disease on falls in the general population is not well-known. Here, we determine the time to a first fall following incidentally detected covert cerebrovascular disease during a clinical neuroimaging episode. METHODS: This longitudinal cohort study assessed computed tomography (CT) and magnetic resonance imaging from 2009 to 2019 of patients aged >50 years registered with Kaiser Permanente Southern California which is a healthcare organization combining health plan coverage with coordinated medical services, excluding those with before stroke/dementia. We extracted evidence of incidental covert brain infarcts (CBI) and white matter hyperintensities/hypoattenuation (WMH) from imaging reports using natural language processing. We examined associations of CBI and WMH with falls requiring medical attention, using Cox proportional hazards regression models with adjustment for 12 variables including age, sex, ethnicity multimorbidity, polypharmacy, and incontinence. RESULTS: We assessed 241 050 patients, mean age 64.9 (SD, 10.42) years, 61.3% female, detecting covert cerebrovascular disease in 31.1% over a mean follow-up duration of 3.04 years. A recorded fall occurred in 21.2% (51 239/241 050) during follow-up. On CT, single fall incidence rate/1000 person-years (p-y) was highest in individuals with both CBI and WMH on CT (129.3 falls/1000 p-y [95% CI, 123.4–135.5]), followed by WMH (109.9 falls/1000 p-y [108.0–111.9]). On magnetic resonance imaging, the incidence rate was the highest with both CBI and WMH (76.3 falls/1000 p-y [95% CI, 69.7–83.2]), followed by CBI (71.4 falls/1000 p-y [95% CI, 65.9–77.2]). The adjusted hazard ratio for single index fall in individuals with CBI on CT was 1.13 (95% CI, 1.09–1.17); versus magnetic resonance imaging 1.17 (95% CI, 1.08–1.27). On CT, the risk for single index fall incrementally increased for mild (1.37 [95% CI, 1.32–1.43]), moderate (1.57 [95% CI, 1.48–1.67]), or severe WMH (1.57 [95% CI, 1.45–1.70]). On magnetic resonance imaging, index fall risk similarly increased with increasing WMH severity: mild (1.11 [95% CI, 1.07–1.17]), moderate (1.21 [95% CI, 1.13–1.28]), and severe WMH (1.34 [95% CI, 1.22–1.46]). CONCLUSIONS: In a large population with neuroimaging, CBI and WMH are independently associated with greater risks of an index fall. Increasing severities of WMH are associated incrementally with fall risk across imaging modalities.
Development of Parkinson Disease and Its Relationship with Incidentally Discovered White Matter Disease and Covert Brain Infarction in a Real‐World Cohort
Objective This study aimed to examine the relationship between covert cerebrovascular disease, comprised of covert brain infarction and white matter disease, discovered incidentally in routine care, and subsequent Parkinson disease. Methods Patients were ≥50 years and received neuroimaging for non‐stroke indications in the Kaiser Permanente Southern California system from 2009 to 2019. Natural language processing identified incidentally discovered covert brain infarction and white matter disease and classified white matter disease severity. The Parkinson disease outcome was defined as 2 ICD diagnosis codes. Results 230,062 patients were included (median follow‐up 3.72 years). A total of 1,941 Parkinson disease cases were identified (median time‐to‐event 2.35 years). Natural language processing identified covert cerebrovascular disease in 70,592 (30.7%) patients, 10,622 (4.6%) with covert brain infarction and 65,814 (28.6%) with white matter disease. After adjustment for known risk factors, white matter disease was associated with Parkinson disease (hazard ratio 1.67 [95%CI, 1.44, 1.93] for patients <70 years and 1.33 [1.18, 1.50] for those ≥70 years). Greater severity of white matter disease was associated with increased incidence of Parkinson disease(/1,000 person‐years), from 1.52 (1.43, 1.61) in patients without white matter disease to 4.90 (3.86, 6.13) in those with severe disease. Findings were robust when more specific definitions of Parkinson disease were used. Covert brain infarction was not associated with Parkinson disease (adjusted hazard ratio = 1.05 [0.88, 1.24]). Interpretation Incidentally discovered white matter disease was associated with subsequent Parkinson disease, an association strengthened with younger age and increased white matter disease severity. Incidentally discovered covert brain infarction did not appear to be associated with subsequent Parkinson disease. ANN NEUROL 2022;92:620–630