McNitt, Scott

Background Sex‐specific risk management may improve outcomes in congenital long QT syndrome (LQTS). We recently developed a prediction score for cardiac events (CEs) and life‐threatening events (LTEs) in postadolescent women with LQTS. In the present study, we aimed to develop personalized risk estimates for the burden of CEs and LTEs in male adolescents with potassium channel‐mediated LQTS. Methods and Results The prognostic model was derived from the LQTS Registry headquartered in Rochester, NY, comprising 611 LQT1 or LQT2 male adolescents from age 10 through 20 years, using the following variables: genotype/mutation location, QTc‐specific thresholds, history of syncope, and β‐blocker therapy. Anderson‐Gill modeling was performed for the end point of CE burden (total number of syncope, aborted cardiac arrest, and appropriate defibrillator shocks). The applicability of the CE prediction model was tested for the end point of the first LTE (excluding syncope and adding sudden cardiac death) using Cox modeling. A total of 270 CEs occurred during follow‐up. The genotype–phenotype risk prediction model identified low‐, intermediate‐, and high‐risk groups, comprising 74%, 14%, and 12% of the study population, respectively. Compared with the low‐risk group, high‐risk male subjects experienced a pronounced 5.2‐fold increased risk of recurrent CEs ( P <0.001), whereas intermediate‐risk patients had a 2.1‐fold ( P =0.004) increased risk . At age 20 years, the low‐, intermediate‐, and high‐risk adolescent male patients had on average 0.3, 0.6, and 1.4 CEs per person, respectively. Corresponding 10‐year adjusted probabilities for a first LTE were 2%, 6%, and 8%. Conclusions Personalized genotype–phenotype risk estimates can be used to guide sex‐specific management in male adolescents with potassium channel‐mediated LQTS.

ImportanceSyncope is the most powerful predictor for subsequent life-threatening events (LTEs) in patients with congenital long QT syndrome (LQTS). Whether distinct syncope triggers are associated with differential subsequent risk of LTEs is unknown.ObjectiveTo evaluate the association between adrenergic (AD)– and nonadrenergic (non–AD)-triggered syncopal events and the risk of subsequent LTEs in patients with LQT types 1 to 3 (LQT1-3).Design, Setting, and ParticipantsThis retrospective cohort study included data from 5 international LQTS registries (Rochester, New York; the Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota; Israel, the Netherlands, and Japan). The study population comprised 2938 patients with genetically confirmed LQT1, LQT2, or LQT3 stemming from a single LQTS-causative variant. Patients were enrolled from July 1979 to July 2021.ExposuresSyncope by AD and non-AD triggers.Main Outcomes and MeasuresThe primary end point was the first occurrence of an LTE. Multivariate Cox regression was used to determine the association of AD- or non–AD-triggered syncope on the risk of subsequent LTE by genotype. Separate analysis was performed in patients with β-blockers.ResultsA total of 2938 patients were included (mean [SD] age at enrollment, 29 [7] years; 1645 [56%] female). In 1331 patients with LQT1, a first syncope occurred in 365 (27%) and was induced mostly with AD triggers (243 [67%]). Syncope preceded 43 subsequent LTEs (68%). Syncopal episodes associated with AD triggers were associated with the highest risk of subsequent LTE (hazard ratio [HR], 7.61; 95% CI, 4.18-14.20; P &amp;lt; .001), whereas the risk associated with syncopal events due to non-AD triggers was statistically nonsignificant (HR, 1.50; 95% CI, 0.21-4.77; P = .97). In 1106 patients with LQT2, a first syncope occurred in 283 (26%) and was associated with AD and non-AD triggers in 106 (37%) and 177 (63%), respectively. Syncope preceded 55 LTEs (56%). Both AD- and non–AD-triggered syncope were associated with a greater than 3-fold increased risk of subsequent LTE (HR, 3.07; 95% CI, 1.66-5.67; P ≤ .001 and HR, 3.45, 95% CI, 1.96-6.06; P ≤ .001, respectively). In contrast, in 501 patients with LQT3, LTE was preceded by a syncopal episode in 7 (12%). In patients with LQT1 and LQT2, treatment with β-blockers following a syncopal event was associated with a significant reduction in the risk of subsequent LTEs. The rate of breakthrough events during treatment with β-blockers was significantly higher among those treated with selective agents vs nonselective agents.Conclusion and RelevanceIn this study, trigger-specific syncope in LQTS patients was associated with differential risk of subsequent LTE and response to β-blocker therapy.

Background We aimed to provide personalized risk estimates for cardiac events (CEs) and life‐threatening events in women with either type 1 or type 2 long QT. Methods and Results The prognostic model was derived from the Rochester Long QT Syndrome Registry, comprising 767 women with type 1 long QT (n=404) and type 2 long QT (n=363) from age 15 through 60 years. The risk prediction model included the following variables: genotype/mutation location, QTc‐specific thresholds, history of syncope, and β‐blocker therapy. A model was developed with the end point of CEs (syncope, aborted cardiac arrest, or long QT syndrome–related sudden cardiac death), and was applied with the end point of life‐threatening events (aborted cardiac arrest, sudden cardiac death, or appropriate defibrillator shocks). External validation was performed with data from the Mayo Clinic Genetic Heart Rhythm Clinic (N=467; type 1 long QT [n=286] and type 2 long QT [n=181]). The cumulative follow‐up duration among the 767 enrolled women was 22 243 patient‐years, during which 323 patients (42%) experienced ≥1 CE. Based on genotype‐phenotype data, we identified 3 risk groups with 10‐year projected rates of CEs ranging from 15%, 29%, to 51%. The corresponding 10‐year projected rates of life‐threatening events were 2%, 5%, and 14%. C statistics for the prediction model for the 2 respective end points were 0.68 (95% CI 0.65–0.71) and 0.71 (95% CI 0.66–0.76). Corresponding C statistics for the model in the external validation Mayo Clinic cohort were 0.65 (95% CI 0.60–0.70) and 0.77 (95% CI 0.70–0.84). Conclusions This is the first risk prediction model that provides absolute risk estimates for CEs and life‐threatening events in women with type 1 or type 2 long QT based on personalized genotype‐phenotype data. The projected risk estimates can be used to guide female‐specific management in long QT syndrome.

Background—Current clinical diagnosis of long-QT syndrome (LQTS) includes genetic testing of family members of mutation-positive patients. The present study was designed to assess the clinical course of individuals who are found negative for the LQTS-causing mutation in their families.Methods and Results—Multivariate Cox proportional hazards model was used to assess the risk for cardiac events (comprising syncope, aborted cardiac arrest [ACA], or sudden cardiac death [SCD]) from birth through age 40 years among 1828 subjects from the LQTS Registry who were found negative for their family LQTS-causing mutation. The median QTc of study subjects was 423 ms (interquartile range, 402–442 ms). The cumulative probability of a first syncope through age 40 years was 15%. However, only 2 patients (0.1%) had ACA, and none died suddenly during follow-up. Independent risk factors for syncope in genotype-negative subjects included female sex (hazard ratio [HR], 1.60;P=0.002), prolonged QTc (HR=1.63 per 100 ms increment,P=0.02), family history of ACA or SCD (HR=1.89,P=0.002), and LQT2 versus LQT1 family mutation (HR=1.41,P=0.03). Subgroup analysis showed that the presence of theK897Tpolymorphism in the LQT2 gene in an affected family was associated with an 11-fold (P=0.001) increase in the risk of recurrent syncope in genotype-negative subjects.Conclusions—Our findings suggest that cardiac events among genotype-negative family members of LQTS patients are dominated by nonfatal syncopal episodes without occurrence of sudden cardiac death. The risk for nonfatal events in this population may be mediated by the presence of common polymorphisms in LQTS genes.

Background—Women with congenital long-QT syndrome experience an increased risk for cardiac events after the onset of adolescence that is more pronounced among carriers of the LQT2 genotype. We hypothesized that the hormonal changes associated with menopause may affect clinical risk in this population.Methods and Results—We used a repeated-events analysis to evaluate the risk for recurrent syncope during the menopause transition and postmenopausal periods (5 years before and after the age at onset of menopause, respectively) among 282 LQT1 (n=151) and LQT2 (n=131) women enrolled in the Long-QT Syndrome Registry. Multivariate analysis showed that the risk for recurrent syncope (n=150) among LQT2 women was significantly increased during both menopause transition (hazard ratio, 3.38;P=0.005) and the postmenopausal period (hazard ratio, 8.10;P<0.001) compared with the reproductive period. The risk increase was evident among women who did or did not receive estrogen therapy. In contrast, among LQT1 women, the onset of menopause was associated with a reduction in the risk for recurrent syncope (hazard ratio, 0.19;P=0.05;P=0.02 for genotype-by-menopause interaction). Only 22 women (8%) experienced aborted cardiac arrest or sudden cardiac death during follow-up. The frequency of aborted cardiac arrest/sudden cardiac death showed a similar genotype-specific association with the onset of menopause.Conclusions—The onset of menopause is associated with a significant increase in the risk of cardiac events (dominated by recurrent episodes of syncope) in LQT2 women, suggesting that careful follow-up and continued long-term therapy are warranted in this population.

Background— Previous studies that assessed the risk of life-threatening cardiac events in patients with congenital long-QT syndrome (LQTS) have focused mainly on the first 4 decades of life, whereas the clinical course of this inherited cardiac disorder in the older population has not been studied. Methods and Results— The risk of aborted cardiac arrest or death from age 41 though 75 years was assessed in 2759 subjects from the International LQTS Registry, categorized into electrocardiographically affected (corrected QT interval [QTc] ≥470 ms), borderline (QTc 440 to 469 ms), and unaffected (QTc <440 ms) subgroups. The affected versus unaffected adjusted hazard ratio for aborted cardiac arrest or death was 2.65 ( P <0.001) in the age range of 41 to 60 years and 1.23 ( P =0.31) in the age range of 61 to 75 years. The clinical course of study subjects displayed gender differences: Affected LQTS women experienced a significantly higher cumulative event rate (26%) than borderline (16%) and unaffected (12%) women ( P =0.001), whereas event rates were similar among the 3 respective subgroups of men (29%, 26%, and 27%; P =0.16). Recent syncope (<2 years in the past) was the predominant risk factor in affected subjects (hazard ratio 9.92, P <0.001), and the LQT3 genotype was identified as the most powerful predictor of outcome in a subset of 871 study subjects who were genetically tested for a known LQTS mutation (hazard ratio 4.76, P =0.02). Conclusions— LQTS subjects maintain a high risk for life-threatening cardiac events after age 40 years. The phenotypic expression of affected subjects is influenced by age-specific factors related to gender, clinical history, and the LQTS genotype.

Background— The congenital long-QT syndrome (LQTS) is an important cause of sudden cardiac death in children without structural heart disease. However, specific risk factors for life-threatening cardiac events in children with this genetic disorder have not been identified. Methods and Results— Cox proportional-hazards regression modeling was used to identify risk factors for aborted cardiac arrest or sudden cardiac death in 3015 LQTS children from the International LQTS Registry who were followed up from 1 through 12 years of age. The cumulative probability of the combined end point was significantly higher in boys (5%) than in girls (1%; P <0.001). Risk factors for cardiac arrest or sudden cardiac death during childhood included corrected QT interval [QTc] duration >500 ms (hazard ratio [HR]; 2.72; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.50 to 4.92; P =0.001) and prior syncope (recent syncope [<2 years]: HR, 6.16; 95% CI 3.41 to 11.15; P <0.001; remote syncope [≥2 years]: HR, 2.67; 95% CI, 1.22 to 5.85; P =0.01) in boys, whereas prior syncope was the only significant risk factor among girls (recent syncope: HR, 27.82; 95% CI, 9.72 to 79.60; P <0.001; remote syncope: HR, 12.04; 95% CI, 3.79 to 38.26; P <0.001). β-Blocker therapy was associated with a significant 53% reduction in the risk of cardiac arrest or sudden cardiac death ( P =0.01). Conclusions— LQTS boys experience a significantly higher rate of fatal or near-fatal cardiac events than girls during childhood. A QTc duration >500 ms and a history of prior syncope identify risk in boys, whereas prior syncope is the only significant risk factor among girls. β-Blocker therapy is associated with a significant reduction in the risk of life-threatening cardiac events during childhood.