Kapa, Suraj

Abstract Background We have demonstrated that a neural network is able to predict a person’s age from the electrocardiogram (ECG) [artificial intelligence (AI) ECG age]. However, some discrepancies were observed between ECG-derived and chronological ages. We assessed whether the difference between AI ECG and chronological age (Age-Gap) represents biological ageing and predicts long-term outcomes. Methods and results We previously developed a convolutional neural network to predict chronological age from ECGs. In this study, we used the network to analyse standard digital 12-lead ECGs in a cohort of 25 144 subjects ≥30 years who had primary care outpatient visits from 1997 to 2003. Subjects with coronary artery disease, stroke, and atrial fibrillation were excluded. We tested whether Age-Gap was correlated with total and cardiovascular mortality. Of 25 144 subjects tested (54% females, 95% Caucasian) followed for 12.4 ± 5.3 years, the mean chronological age was 53.7 ± 11.6 years and ECG-derived age was 54.6 ± 11 years (R2 = 0.79, P < 0.0001). The mean Age-Gap was small at 0.88 ± 7.4 years. Compared to those whose ECG-derived age was within 1 standard deviation (SD) of their chronological age, patients with Age-Gap ≥1 SD had higher all-cause and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality. Conversely, subjects whose Age-Gap was ≤1 SD had lower all-cause and CVD mortality. Results were unchanged after adjusting for CVD risk factors and other survival influencing factors. Conclusion The difference between AI ECG and chronological age is an independent predictor of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. Discrepancies between these possibly reflect disease independent biological ageing.

Background An artificial intelligence algorithm that detects age using the 12‐lead ECG has been suggested to signal “physiologic age.” This study aimed to investigate the association of peripheral microvascular endothelial function (PMEF) as an index of vascular aging, with accelerated physiologic aging gauged by ECG‐derived artificial intelligence–estimated age. Methods and Results This study included 531 patients who underwent ECG and a noninvasive PMEF assessment using reactive hyperemia peripheral arterial tonometry. Abnormal PMEF was defined as reactive hyperemia peripheral arterial tonometry index ≤2.0. Accelerated or delayed physiologic aging was calculated by the Δ age (ECG‐derived artificial intelligence–estimated age minus chronological age), and the association between Δ age and PMEF as well as its impact on composite major adverse cardiovascular events were investigated. Δ age was higher in patients with abnormal PMEF than in patients with normal PMEF (2.3±7.8 versus 0.5±7.7 years; P =0.01). Reactive hyperemia peripheral arterial tonometry index was negatively associated with Δ age after adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors (standardized β coefficient, –0.08; P =0.048). The highest quartile of Δ age was associated with an increased risk of major adverse cardiovascular events compared with the first quartile of Δ age in patients with abnormal PMEF, even after adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors (hazard ratio, 4.72; 95% CI, 1.24–17.91; P =0.02). Conclusions Vascular aging detected by endothelial function is associated with accelerated physiologic aging, as assessed by the artificial intelligence–ECG Δ age. Patients with endothelial dysfunction and the highest quartile of accelerated physiologic aging have a marked increase in risk for cardiovascular events.

Background The prognosis of left ventricular noncompaction (LVNC) remains elusive despite its recognition as a clinical entity for >30 years. We sought to identify clinical and imaging characteristics and risk factors for mortality in patients with LVNC. Methods and Results 339 adults with LVNC seen between 2000 and 2016 were identified. LVNC was defined as end‐systolic noncompacted to compacted myocardial ratio >2 (Jenni criteria) and end‐diastolic trough of trabeculation‐to‐epicardium (X):peak of trabeculation‐to‐epicardium (Y) ratio <0.5 (Chin criteria) by echocardiography; and end‐diastolic noncompacted:compacted ratio >2.3 (Petersen criteria) by magnetic resonance imaging. Median age was 47.4 years, and 46% of patients were female. Left ventricular ejection fraction <50% was present in 57% of patients and isolated apical noncompaction in 48%. During a median follow‐up of 6.3 years, 59 patients died. On multivariable Cox regression analysis, age (hazard ratio [HR] 1.04; 95% CI, 1.02–1.06), left ventricular ejection fraction <50% (HR, 2.37; 95% CI, 1.17–4.80), and noncompaction extending from the apex to the mid or basal segments (HR, 2.11; 95% CI, 1.21–3.68) were associated with all‐cause mortality. Compared with the expected survival for age‐ and sex‐matched US population, patients with LVNC had reduced overall survival ( P <0.001). However, patients with LVNC with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction and patients with isolated apical noncompaction had similar survival to the general population. Conclusions Overall survival is reduced in patients with LVNC compared with the expected survival of age‐ and sex‐matched US population. However, survival rate in those with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction and isolated apical noncompaction was comparable with that of the general population.

Abstract Aims An artificial intelligence-augmented electrocardiogram (AI-ECG) algorithm can identify left ventricular systolic dysfunction (LVSD). We sought to determine whether this AI-ECG algorithm could stratify mortality risk in cardiac intensive care unit (CICU) patients, independent of the presence of LVSD by transthoracic echocardiography (TTE). Methods and results We included 11 266 unique Mayo Clinic CICU patients admitted from 2007 to 2018 who underwent AI-ECG after CICU admission. Left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) data were extracted for patients with a TTE during hospitalization. Hospital mortality was analysed using multivariable logistic regression. Mean age was 68 ± 15 years, including 37% females. Higher AI-ECG probability of LVSD remained associated with higher hospital mortality [adjusted odds ratio (OR) 1.05 per 0.1 higher, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.02–1.08, P = 0.003] after adjustment for LVEF, which itself was inversely related with the risk of hospital mortality (adjusted OR 0.96 per 5% higher, 95% CI 0.93–0.99, P = 0.02). Patients with available LVEF data (n = 8242) were divided based on the presence of predicted (by AI-ECG) vs. observed (by TTE) LVSD (defined as LVEF ≤ 35%), using TTE as the gold standard. A stepwise increase in hospital mortality was observed for patients with a true negative, false positive, false negative, and true positive AI-ECG. Conclusion The AI-ECG prediction of LVSD is associated with hospital mortality in CICU patients, affording risk stratification in addition to that provided by echocardiographic LVEF. Our results emphasize the prognostic value of electrocardiographic patterns reflecting underlying myocardial disease that are recognized by the AI-ECG.

Abstract Background Analysis of a 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) in sinus rhythm by artificial intelligence (AI) has demonstrated to identify the risk of underlying paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (AF) with reasonable accuracy in the overall population. Purpose This study investigates whether AI based ECG analysis can predict new AF development in patients with heart failure and preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) without previous AF history, as well as predict AF burden in patients with AF history. Methods This retrospective cohort study includes 424 patients with HFpEF, consecutively admitted to receive treatment with intravenous diuretics for congestion. A previously validated AI algorithm that provides an AF risk score based on ECG analysis was applied in all subjects. Patients were stratified according to AF history: (1) no history; (2) paroxysmal AF; (3) persistent AF; or (4) permanent AF. In patients without AF history, the impact of AI-predicted AF risk on new AF development was assessed. In patients with previous AF episodes, the relationship between AI-predicted AF risk and AF burden as well as underlying echocardiography substrate was evaluated. Results Eighty-three patients had paroxysmal AF (19.5%), 48 persistent AF (11%), and 121 permanent AF (28.5%). AF patients were older, with lower body mass index and higher heart rate. Lower systolic blood pressure, larger left atrial volume index (LAVI), worse diastolic function, more tricuspid valve regurgitation, and more need for pacing were observed with increasing AF severity. In 172 patients without AF history followed for 979±875 days, 61 developed AF (35%) after a median time of 2,118 days. AI-predicted AF risk was associated with new-onset AF after adjustments for age, gender, systolic blood pressure, body mass index and LAVI [HR (95% CI) = 1.15 (1.04–1.28); P-value=0.007; figure]. Only 5/61 patients who developed AF during follow-up (8.2%) were anticoagulated at baseline. In patients with previous AF, the AI-predicted risk score increased significantly with AF burden (46±25% in paroxysmal AF, 59±22% in persistent AF, and 69±17% in permanent AF; P-value&lt;0.001). The score was weakly but significantly correlated with LAVI (Pearson's r=0.27; P-value&lt;0.001) and right ventricular systolic pressure (Pearson's r=0.30; P-value&lt;0.001). When stratifying patients according to AI-predicted AF risk (0–25% versus 26–50% versus 51–75% versus 76–100%), there was a progressively longer time since onset of the first AF episode [29 months (4–77 months) versus 9 months (0–62 months) versus 38 months (2–88 months) versus 54 months (3–112 months), respectively; P-value=0.046]. Conclusions An AI-predicted AF risk score based on ECG analysis was associated with AF burden in HFpEF patients and did independently predict new-onset AF in those without previous history. Time to new onset of atrial fibrillation Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Foundation. Main funding source(s): Belgian American Educational Foundation (B.A.E.F.); Special Research Fund (BOF) of Hasselt University (Hasselt, Belgium)

Abstract Background We have demonstrated that artificial intelligence interpretation of ECGs (AI-ECG) can estimate an individual's physiologic age and that the gap between AI-ECG and chronologic age (Age-Gap) is associated with increased mortality. We hypothesized that Age-Gap would predict long-term atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) and that Age-Gap would refine the ACC/AHA Pooled Cohort Equations' (PCE) predictive abilities. Methods Using the Rochester Epidemiology Project (REP) we evaluated a community-based cohort of consecutive patients seeking primary care between 1998–2000 and followed through March 2016. Inclusion criteria were age 40–79 and complete data to calculate PCE. We excluded those with known ASCVD, AF, HF or an event within 30 days of baseline.A neural network, trained, validated, and tested in an independent cohort of ∼ 500,000 independent patients, using 10-second digital samples of raw, 12 lead ECGs. PCE was categorized as low&lt;5%, intermediate 5–9.9%, high 10–19.9%, and very high≥20%. The primary endpoint was ASCVD and included fatal and non-fatal myocardial infarction and ischemic stroke; the secondary endpoint also included coronary revascularization [Percutaneous Coronary Intervention (PCI) or Coronary Artery Bypass Graft (CABG)], TIA and Cardiovascular mortality. Events were validated in duplicate. Follow-up was truncated at 10 years for PCE analysis. The association between Age-Gap with ASCVD and expanded ASCVD was assessed with cox proportional hazard models that adjusted for chronological age, sex and risk factors. Models were stratified by PCE risk categories to evaluate the effect of PCE predicted risk. Results We included 24,793 patients (54% women, 95% Caucasian) with mean follow up of 12.6±5.1 years. 2,366 (9.5%) developed ASCVD events and 3,401 (13.7%) the expanded ASCVD. Mean chronologic age was 53.6±11.6 years and the AI-ECG age was 54.5±10.9 years, R2=0.7865, p&lt;0.0001. The mean Age-Gap was 0.87±7.38 years. After adjusting for age and sex, those considered older by ECG, compared to their chronologic age had a higher risk for ASCVD when compared to those with &lt;−2 SD age gap (considered younger by ECG). (Figure 1A), with similar results when using the expanded definition of ASCVD (data not shown). Furthermore, Age-Gap enhanced predicted capabilities of the PCE among those with low 10-year predicted risk (&lt;5%): Age and sex adjusted HR 4.73, 95% CI 1.42–15.74, p-value=0.01 and among those with high predicted risk (&gt;20%) age and sex adjusted HR 6.90, 95% CI 1.98–24.08, p-value=0.0006, when comparing those older to younger by ECG respectively (Figure 1B). Conclusion The difference between physiologic AI-ECG age and chronologic age is associated with long-term ASCVD, and enhances current risk calculators (PCE) ability to identify high and low risk individuals. This may help identify individuals who should or should not be treated with newer, expensive risk-reducing therapies. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Foundation. Main funding source(s): Mayo Clinic

Abstract Background An Artificial intelligence (AI)-enabled algorithm can provide an age estimate from a single standard resting ECG. The gap between AI-estimated age (ECG age) and chronological age (Age-Gap) has been associated with total and cardiovascular mortality. We hypothesized that coronary endothelial dysfunction (CED), an early feature of coronary atherosclerosis, is associated with physiological aging, as measured by ECG age. Purpose The aim of this study is to investigate the association of CED, a potential index of cardiac aging, and AI-estimated physiological aging. Methods 1902 patients with signs and/or symptoms of ischemia and with non-obstructive coronary artery disease (&lt;40% angiographic stenosis) who underwent functional coronary angiography with intracoronary (IC) acetylcholine (Ach) infusions and a resting ECG within one year were included in this analysis. CED was defined as coronary artery constriction [%ΔCoronary artery diameter (CAD) &lt;0] in response to IC Ach. Patients were categorized as CED+ or CED−. The ECG age were calculated by a previously-trained AI algorithm that was built using the Keras framework with Tensorflow backend and Python. The association between ECG-age and Age-Gap, with CED was investigated. Results Average chronological age was 50.9±12.5, ECG age was 54.1±11.6, 1261 (66%) were females. Compared to CED−, the CED+ group had more males and hyperlipidaemia (p&lt;0.05 for both). Age-gap was significantly higher in patients with CED+ (Fig. A). Multiple regression analysis showed that CED+ was associated with Age-gap (standardized β [sβ] coefficient = 0.08, P=0.001) even after adjustment for chronological age (sβ coefficient = 0.07, P=0.001), and even after adjusting for other cardiovascular risk factors like gender and obesity (sβ coefficient = 0.07, P&lt;0.0001). Furthermore, there is a significant gradual increase in vasoconstriction, in response to IC Ach, with increasing Age-gap (Fig. B). Conclusion Abnormal coronary endothelial function is associated with an increased AI-estimated age which could indicate a higher physiological age. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None

Abstract Background Artificial Intelligence (AI) algorithms enabled the detection of patients with paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (PAF) from a single normal sinus rhythm (NSR) ECG. Coronary microvascular dysfunction (CMD) is a precursor for coronary artery disease, which is a known risk factor for AF. Purpose The aim of this study is to examine the probability of PAF, according to AI-enabled algorithm estimation, in patients with CMD. Methods 1858 patients without persistent atrial fibrillation with signs and/or symptoms of ischemia and with non-obstructive CAD (&lt;40% stenosis) who underwent invasive coronary microvascular functional assessment and the ECG closest to the functional assessment were included in this analysis. Patients with coronary flow velocity reserve (CFR) &lt;2 in response to adenosine were labelled as endothelial-independent CMD; % increase in coronary blood flow (%ΔCBF) &lt;50% in response to acetylcholine were labelled as endothelial-dependent CMD. Patients were categorized into 4 groups. G1: Normal (NL) CFR/NL %ΔCBF; G2: Abnormal (ABN) %ΔCBF only; G3: ABN CFR only; G4: ABL CFR & %ΔCBF. The probability of having PAF (%probAF) was calculated by a previously-trained and validated AI algorithm. AF Flag = %probAF &gt;9%; which is a pre-set cut-off found to have the highest accuracy of identifying patients with PAF (Area Under the Curve = 0.87). Results Mean age for patients was 51.2±12.4 and 66.3% were females. 835 (45%) were in G1, 39 (2%) in G2, 911 (49%) in G3, and 73 (4%) in G4. Compared to G1 and G2, G3 and G4 were older, had more diabetes and higher smoking rates (p&lt;0.05 for all). Furthermore, G4 had a significantly higher %probAF compared to other groups (Fig. 1). G4 were also more likely to be flagged by the algorithm as having PAF, even after adjusting for cardiovascular risk factors, with an odds ratio of 1.9 [CI 95% 1.1–3.3; p=0.03]) (Fig. 2). Conclusion Patients with combined CMD have a significantly higher probability of having PAF based on an AI-enabled algorithm. Further research is warranted to know if patients with CMD would benefit from formal AF screening at the time of diagnosis. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None

Abstract Background Diastolic reserve decreases with aging. A recently developed artificial intelligence (AI) algorithm can predict age based on 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) analysis. Purpose This study aims to use a validated AI algorithm to assess cardiac senescence and investigate the impact of obesity on cardiac aging in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF). Methods This retrospective cohort study includes 403 patients with HFpEF, admitted for treatment with intravenous diuretics. ECG age was assessed by a convolutional neural network as previously validated. Patients were stratified according to the presence of obesity (body mass index &gt;30 kg/m2) and ECG age was compared between groups. The relationship between ECG versus calendar age and structural/functional alterations on echocardiography, as well as the risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) development, was evaluated. Results In 253 (63%) obese patients with HFpEF, calendar age was 8 years younger compared with their non-obese counterparts, but ECG age was only 3 years younger. ECG minus calendar age was higher in obese patients (P-value &lt;0.001; figure) and correlated moderately strong with weight, fat free, and fat mass (r=0.35–0.41; P-value &lt;0.001). Older ECG age was correlated with worse diastolic function, but not with left ventricular afterload (table). Calendar age correlated less strongly with diastolic dysfunction (table). ECG age did predict AF development, independently of calendar age, gender, and presence of obesity [HR (95% CI) = 1.31 (1.06–1.63) per 5-year; P-value=0.015]. Conclusions Obesity accelerates cardiac senescence in HFpEF as reflected by more pronounced diastolic dysfunction and a higher AF risk, which was identified from ECG analysis by a validated AI algorithm. Figure 1 Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Foundation. Main funding source(s): Belgian American Educational Foundation (B.A.E.F.); Special Research Fund (BOF) of Hasselt University (Hasselt, Belgium).

Background: Myocardial injury results in release of cardiac troponin (cTn) into the bloodstream, readily detected by high-sensitivity cTn (hs-cTn) assays. A noninvasive, rapid, home-based test to exclude acute myocardial injury at the time of the test and for the next 7 hours would help manage patients with suspected myocardial infarction. Since myocyte injury is associated with ECG changes, we hypothesized an artificial intelligence ECG (AI-ECG) could identify absence of injury. Objective: To train and test an AI-ECG convolutional neural network (CNN) to identify patients using a single ECG who are suspected of myocardial infarction who are low risk, with hs-cTn levels below the 99 th percentile at test time and for the subsequent 7 hours. Methods: A CNN tuned to identify the absence of a hs-cTnT (5 th Gen cTnT Roche Diagnostics) >15ng/L for men and >10ng/L for women was developed. All ECGs were recorded within one hour of the hs-cTnT assay. We used 73,012 ECGs and hs-cTnT pairs from 47,542 unique patients to train the network, 9031 ECGs from 5,811 patients for internal validation to optimize hyperparameters, and 11,904 ECGs with 21,191 hs-cTnT measurements up to 7 hours after the ECG, from 11,904 different patients as a holdout test set. Results: The mean age was 63.9±17.5 years, and 30,348 of the 59,446 patients (51%) were male. 5,852 patients (49.1%) had no elevation of hs-cTnT and 6,052 (50.9%) had an hs-cTnT above the 99 th percentile at baseline or within 7 hours of the test. Of the 11,904 patients in the test set, using a sensitive threshold, the 12 lead AI ECG identified 1037 patients (8.7%) likely to have a low risk for subsequent hs-cTnT increases > 99 th % (AUC 0.86), and the single lead ECG identified 685 patients. Of the 1037 low risk pts, 59 had an hs-cTnT > 99 th percentile within 7 hours. The mean maximum hs-cTnT among the 59 low-risk patients was 53 ng/L ± 92 vs 184 ng/L ± 1474 in the others. None of these low risk patients died within 14 days of the test. Conclusion: Use of the AI ECG to identify patients without cardiac injury at the time of the test and for 7 subsequent hours is feasible. This may permit rapid, point of care, home-based, bloodless, painless testing to exclude cardiac injury, facilitating care and management of patients with suspected ischemia.