Wiste, Heather J.

Abstract A workgroup assembled by the Alzheimer’s Association recently described a conceptual framework for Alzheimer’s disease biological staging based on amyloid and tau PET imaging. However, specific tau PET cut points were left to be determined, a step necessary prior to clinical application. We sought to operationalize and evaluate Alzheimer’s disease biological staging by identifying meaningful tau PET cut points to define the four biological stages in a well-characterized participant cohort and describe the features of individuals placed into the different biological stages. The primary analysis included 896 participants in the Mayo Clinic Study of Aging or the Mayo Clinic Alzheimer’s Disease Research Center longitudinal cohorts. A validation cohort consisted of 328 participants in the Alzheimer’s Disease Neuroimaging Initiative. Both cognitively normal and impaired individuals with positive amyloid PET and evaluable tau PET imaging were included. Tau PET cut points were identified with Gaussian mixture models to characterize Alzheimer’s disease biological stage in study participants with different clinical diagnoses and objective degrees of cognitive impairment as measured by Mini-Mental State Examination. A tau PET cut point in the medial temporal region and two cut points in the temporoparietal region were identified to produce, collectively, the four Alzheimer’s disease biological stages described in the revised criteria. Increasing stage was associated with greater likelihood of mild cognitive impairment and dementia diagnosis and worsening cognitive performance on Mini-Mental State Examination and Clinical Dementia Rating Sum of Boxes, a result that was reproduced in the independent Alzheimer’s Disease Neuroimaging Initiative cohort. This study provided empirical validation for the concept of using amyloid PET and tau PET to separate subjects with biomarker-proven Alzheimer’s disease into four biological stages with distinct characteristics.

Objective The objective of this study was to determine the predictive value of amyloid‐positron emission tomography (PET) versus the plasma ratio of phosphorylated tau at threonine 217 (p‐tau217) to non‐phosphorylated tau217 (%p‐tau217) for tau‐PET transitions (T− to T+). The added value of combining plasma amyloid‐β 42 and amyloid‐β 40 (Aβ42/40) and %p‐tau217 into an amyloid probability score (APS2) was also assessed. Methods Mayo Clinic Study of Aging (MCSA) participants had plasma markers measured at via mass spectrometry (MS), an amyloid‐PET scan, and a tau‐PET (meta‐temporal region of interest [ROI]) negative scan (standardized uptake value ratio [SUVR] <1.29) at the index (baseline) date, along with one or more follow‐up tau‐PET scans. The BioFINDER‐2 cohort was used for validation. Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for age, sex, and apolipoprotein ( APOE ) ε4 were used to assess predictors, with scaling to the interquartile range (IQR) for comparability of hazard ratios (HR). Results Among 255 tau‐PET negative MCSA participants (median age: 71.9 years), 37 converted to tau‐PET positive (median follow‐up time: 3.81 years). Higher %p‐tau217 (HR: 1.52 [95% CI: 1.28–1.80]), amyloid‐PET centiloid (HR: 1.47 [95% CI: 1.20–1.79]), and APS2 (HR: 1.62 [95% CI: 1.22–2.16]) predicted tau‐PET conversion. However, Aβ42/40 (HR: 0.94 [95% CI: 0.54–1.66]) was not associated with tau‐PET conversion. In the BioFINDER‐2 cohort (605 tau‐negative, median age: 70.2), 33 converted to tau‐positive (median follow‐up time: 2 years), with higher %p‐tau217 (HR: 1.80 [95% CI: 1.50–2.17]), amyloid‐PET centiloid (HR: 2.29 [95% CI: 1.77–2.97]), and lower Aβ42/40 (HR: 2.38 [95% CI: 1.17–4.83]) predicting conversion. Interpretation In two cohorts, %p‐tau217 was associated with tau‐PET conversion, comparable to amyloid‐PET. APS2 also predicted conversion in the MCSA cohort, whereas Aβ42/40 predicted conversion in the BioFINDER‐2 cohort, which had more individuals with cognitive impairment. ANN NEUROL 2025;98:1249–1260

Abstract INTRODUCTION Plasma biomarkers’ utility for predicting incident mild cognitive impairment (MCI) remains unclear. We evaluated associations of plasma Alzheimer's disease (AD) biomarkers and amyloid positron emission tomography (PET) with transitions from cognitively unimpaired (CU) to MCI in the Mayo Clinic Study of Aging (MCSA) and BioFINDER‐2 studies. METHODS Associations of continuous baseline plasma biomarker levels and amyloid PET Centiloid with progression to MCI, adjusting for age, sex, and education, were evaluated with Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS The study included 381 MCSA and 584 BioFINDER‐2 participants. Amyloid PET and percent phosphorylated to non‐phosphorylated tau217 (%p‐tau217) were strong predictors of progression to MCI in both cohorts: hazard ratios of 1.49 and 1.23 in the MCSA and 1.72 and 1.65 in BioFINDER, respectively. Amyloid beta 42/40 was a significant predictor in BioFINDER‐2 only (hazard ratio 2.20). DISCUSSION Plasma %p‐tau217 was associated with progression from CU to MCI in both cohorts, although differences in biomarker associations may be related to differences in the two cohorts. Highlights Mass‐spectrometry‐based plasma phosphorylated tau217 was associated with cognitively unimpaired to mild cognitive impairment (MCI) progression. Plasma amyloid beta 42/40 was a significant predictor in BioFINDER but not the Mayo Clinic Study of Aging (MCSA). Amyloid positron emission tomography (PET) was the strongest predictor of progression to MCI in the MCSA. Plasma had added value to amyloid PET in BioFINDER but not the MCSA. Biomarker performance may vary with cohort and biomarker measurement differences.

Abstract INTRODUCTION When cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) and positron emission tomography (PET) measurements for amyloid‐beta‐peptide (Aβ) related pathology are discordant, therapeutic decision‐making becomes uncertain. METHODS Using data from patients with mild cognitive impairment ( n = 541) from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative, we examined baseline characteristics and longitudinal clinical outcomes in persons grouped according to normal/abnormal Aβ via concurrent CSF and PET determinations using standard cutpoints. RESULTS Discordant groups for brain Aβ status (CSF+/PET− and CSF−/PET+) each represented about 5% of the mild cognitive impairment (MCI) population. Longitudinally, neither discordant group declined more than the CSF−/PET− group on either a memory measure or the Clinical Dementia Rating Sum of Boxes scores over a median 4 years of observation, while the CSF+/PET+ group exhibited worsening on both measures. DISCUSSION In contrast to the clinical decline observed in the CSF+/PET+ group, persons with MCI and CSF+/PET− or CSF−/PET+ brain amyloid patterns did not exhibit incipient decline. Highlights Discrepant abnormal cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) and positron emission tomography (PET) brain amyloid indicators are uncommon in mild cognitive impairment (MCI). CSF‐PET discrepant persons with MCI tend to have less abnormal values initially. CSF‐PET discrepant persons with MCI have a benign prognosis at 4 years.

Abstract INTRODUCTION Limited data exist on the utility of plasma biomarkers to predict incident abnormal amyloid positron emission tomography (PET). In this study we evaluate the association of plasma Alzheimer's disease (AD) biomarkers with amyloid PET progression among initially amyloid PET negative (A−) individuals. METHODS We included 290 A−, cognitively unimpaired Mayo Clinic Study of Aging participants. We estimated the association of each baseline plasma biomarker with progression from A− to A+ and with rate of amyloid PET change. RESULTS Interquartile range differences in amyloid beta 42/40, percent phosphorylated tau 217 (%p‐tau217), and Amyloid Probability Score 2 were associated with 1.29 ( P = 0.09), 1.38 ( P < 0.001), and 1.20 ( P = 0.05) increases, respectively, in the hazard of progression from A− to A+ and 0.27 ( P = 0.16), 0.50 ( P = 0.007), and 0.28 ( P = 0.15) Centiloid/year increases, respectively, in annual rate of amyloid PET change. DISCUSSION Plasma %p‐tau217 may be a useful screening tool to enrich for participants with increased likelihood of progressing from normal to abnormal amyloid PET in a primary prevention trial. Highlights Plasma phosphorylated tau 217 was associated with amyloid positron emission tomography progression, negative to positive. The associations were weaker for amyloid beta 42/40 and Amyloid Probability Score 2. Age and apolipoprotein E ε4 carriership were also important predictors. These markers may be useful for enrichment of a primary prevention trial.

Abstract INTRODUCTION We investigated the association between alpha‐synuclein (α‐syn) pathology and brain glucose metabolism across the cognitive spectrum of Alzheimer's disease (AD) co‐pathologies. METHODS Fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography (FDG‐PET) data from 829 Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative participants (648 cognitively impaired [CI], 181 unimpaired [CU]) were compared between α‐syn seed amplification assay (SAA) positive and negative groups. Interactions with cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) AD biomarkers were examined. RESULTS SAA+ was associated with widespread hypometabolism among CI individuals, particularly in posterior cortical regions, independent of CSF amyloid and tau levels in the occipital lobes. Regional hypometabolism mediated the effect of α‐syn SAA on disease severity in CI individuals, independent of CSF amyloid and tau levels. There were no influences of SAA on FDG‐PET in CU individuals. DISCUSSION This study supports a model in which α‐syn aggregation influences metabolic dysfunction, which then influences clinical disease severity, independent of AD. SAA+ could help optimize participant selection and outcome measures for clinical trials in AD. Highlights α‐synuclein seed amplification positivity (SAA+) was associated with hypometabolism in cognitively impaired individuals. Hypometabolism mediated the influence of α‐synuclein on disease severity. Occipital hypometabolism in SAA+ was independent of cerebrospinal fluid levels of Alzheimer's disease pathology. These findings can optimize future clinical trials targeting α‐synuclein pathology.

AbstractBackgroundWe recently developed a novel tau‐PET summary measure THETA, capturing regional heterogeneity and identifying tau status, using ground truth visual assessments from a large single‐center cross‐sectional dataset and validated on independent cohorts [1, 2]. In this study, we aimed to evaluate the performance of THETA on longitudinal and histopathology data.MethodWe included longitudinal tau‐PET ([18F]flortaucipir) data from 696 Mayo Clinic Study of Aging (MCSA) and ADRC participants, with histopathology in n = 90. Fig. 1 shows the model that uses regional standard uptake value ratios (SUVR) and a target of binary class of tau positivity for prediction of THETA. This model was applied to predict tau status on each followup scan. Slopes of the meta‐ROIs’ tau SUVRs and THETA were evaluated by diagnostic group and as a function of baseline amyloid SUVR in discordant CU participants (where meta‐ROI and visual assessments did not match at baseline) and in incident‐THETA+ CU participants (whose THETA moved from below to above 1 over serial tau‐PET scans). We evaluated tau measurements as a function of Braak stages for neurofibrillary tangles.ResultLongitudinal plots of meta‐ROIs for diagnostic groups were very similar, but the expanded range of THETA based on visual positivity prediction clearly identified tau positive or tau‐negative scans. In discordant‐CU (n = 97) and incident‐THETA+ CU participants (n = 14 all amyloid positive at follow‐up but only 65% at baseline), the relationship between baseline amyloid and rate of tau increase was stronger for THETA than temporal meta‐ROI (Fig. 2). Separation between baseline and follow‐up was greater for THETA (t‐statistics = 90) compared to temporal meta‐ROI (t‐statistics = 20) (p<0.01) in the incident‐THETA+ CU participants. THETA showed a slightly stronger association with Braak stage than meta‐ROIs (rho = 0.87 vs. ≤0.83, p<0.05), with better separation of clinical diagnoses (Fig. 3).ConclusionTHETA remained clearly negative or positive in MCI and AD, providing consistent information on underlying etiology of impairment at both baseline and follow‐up. Although binary in its construction, THETA both provided separation of values based on tau status and its change correlated with baseline amyloid burden especially in discordant‐CU where tau deposition is not in typical meta‐ROIs. Further work is needed to confirm if THETA captures early tau changes.