Mullan, Aidan F.

INTRODUCTION: Building on prior results, we hypothesized that an electrocardiogram (ECG)-enabled machine learning (ML) model could be used to detect advanced chronic liver disease (CLD). METHODS: A cohort with CLD and 12-lead ECGs was matched with controls from electronic health records. A ML model was trained as a binary classifier. RESULTS: There are 12,930 patients with CLD and 64,577 controls in the cohort. The model's discriminative ability to classify CLD showed an area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve 0.858 (95% confidence interval: 0.850–0.866), and at the chosen threshold, CLD ECGs had 12 times higher odds of being classified as CLD (diagnostic odds ratio 12.33, 95% confidence interval: 11.16–13.63). DISCUSSION: An ECG-enabled ML model affords great promise in identifying advanced CLD in low resource areas.

ImportanceThere is a clear benefit to body armor against firearms; however, it remains unclear how these vests may influence day-to-day patient encounters when worn by emergency medical services (EMS).ObjectiveTo determine the association of ballistic vests worn by EMS clinicians with workplace violence (WPV) and disparities in care among racial and/or ethnic minority patients.Design, Setting, and ParticipantsProspective cohort study of a volunteer-based sample of EMS clinicians at a large, multistate EMS agency encompassing 15 ground sites across the Midwest from April 1, 2023, to March 31, 2024. Data were analyzed from May to June 2024.ExposureExternal ballistic armor being used by a group of self-selected clinicians on every run.Main Outcomes and MeasuresPrevalence and characteristics associated with WPV and with declines of treatment and/or transport compared between crews with 1 or more vested vs no vested members.ResultsA total of 156 of 415 staff (37.6%) opted in to wear the vests, including 77 male participants (49.4%). Prevalence of WPV was higher for vested crews (1.11 vs 0.85 cases per 100 runs; adjusted risk ratio [aRR], 1.28; 95% CI, 1.10 to 1.50; P = .001) and was due to higher rates of verbal abuse. The presence of 1 or more vested crew members increased the likelihood of all patients declining EMS treatment and/or transport; however, effect size was highest among patients with an unknown race and/or ethnicity (2234 [21.1%] vs 2134 [16.5%] patients; aRR, 1.19; 95% CI, 1.10 to 1.27; P < .001), followed by racial and/or ethnic minority patients (708 [16.7%] vs 399 [13.8%] patients; aRR, 1.18; 95% CI, 1.05 to 1.33; P = .01). Analyses of individual minority groups revealed a significant increase only in Black or African American patients declining treatment and/or transport by vested crews (461 [17.6%] vs 223 [13.7%] patients; RR, 1.28; 95% CI, 1.10 to 1.49; P = .002).Conclusions and RelevanceIn this cohort study, vested crews experienced increased prevalence of WPV compared with nonvested crews. Use of vests increased the frequency of all patients declining EMS treatment and/or transport. Among minority groups, there was a significant increase in Black or African American patients declining treatment and/or transport. Agencies should consider benefits and unintended consequences of EMS clinicians wearing body armor.

Objectives: Telemedicine is a growing field, with limited data around its utility supporting pediatric emergency care telephone triage. We instituted telemedicine physician support for nurse telephone triage decisions. When the nursing protocols recommended urgent or emergent care, a telemedicine physician reviewed and modified care urgency if appropriate. Our primary study objectives were to evaluate the proportion of patients who were downgraded to less urgent care and assess for potential harm related to the downgrade in care urgency. Methods: We conducted a retrospective observational cohort study of pediatric telephone calls to the Mayo Clinic Health System nurse triage line that were directed to the emergency department telemedicine physician from January 1, 2019, to December 31, 2019. Electronic medical records of patients whose care urgency was downgraded and presented to medical care within 72 hours of the triage call were reviewed. Results: There were 8559 nurse line calls regarding pediatric patients, 882 of which were referred to the telemedicine physician. Among these, 396/882 (44.9%, 95% confidence interval 41.6–48.3) were downgraded. Of downgraded cases, 198 (50.0%) patients sought care within 72 hours of the original call, of which 193 (97.5%) patients were discharged home from that medical visit and 5 (2.5%) patients required admission. No patients were determined to have suffered harm due to the downgrade of visit urgency. Conclusions: Our data suggests that telemedicine physicians can safely downgrade nurse triage care recommendations for pediatric patients. Most downgraded patients sought outpatient care, avoiding unnecessary utilization of the emergency department without evidence of associated harm.

ABSTRACT Background Morphology and morphometric evaluation of lesions beyond conventional parameters can inform the pathophysiology of chronic kidney disease (CKD). We sought to determine whether the occurrence of glomerulotubular neck stenoses associates with progressive CKD. Methods We evaluated the normal parenchyma from radical nephrectomies removed for tumor between 2000 and 2021 and analyzed cortex for stenoses of the glomerulotubular neck. Stenosis of the glomerulotubular neck is defined a focal narrowing for which the draining tubule has a greater diameter than at the neck. Progressive CKD was defined as dialysis, kidney transplantation, sustained estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <10 mL/min/1.73 m2 or sustained 40% decline from the post-nephrectomy eGFR. Each case of progressive CKD was age- and sex-matched to two controls without progressive CKD. Logistic regression models assessed the risk of progressive CKD with stenotic necks adjusting for other histological features, kidney function and CKD risk factors. Results There were 65 cases with a mean of 255 glomeruli and 130 controls with a mean of 329 glomeruli. Among both cases and controls, 5% of glomeruli showed visible glomerulotubular necks. The proportion of necks that were stenotic was higher in cases than controls (35% vs 11%, P < .0001). Stenotic necks associated with progressive CKD independent of other histologic and clinical characteristics. Conclusion Glomerulotubular neck stenosis is associated with development of progressive CKD.

Importance The role of air pollution in risk and progression of Parkinson disease (PD) is unclear. Objective To assess whether air pollution is associated with increased risk of PD and clinical characteristics of PD. Design, Setting, and Participants This population-based case-control study included patients with PD and matched controls from the Rochester Epidemiology Project from 1998 to 2015. Data were analyzed from January to June 2024. Exposures Mean annual exposure to particulate matter with a diameter of 2.5 µm or less (PM 2.5 ) from 1998 to 2015 and mean annual exposure to nitrogen dioxide (NO 2 ) from 2000 to 2014. Main Outcomes and Measures Outcomes of interest were PD risk, all-cause mortality, presence of tremor-predominant vs akinetic rigid PD, and development of dyskinesia. Models were adjusted for age, sex, race and ethnicity, year of index, and urban vs rural residence. Results A total of 346 patients with PD (median [IQR] age 72 [65-80] years; 216 [62.4%] male) were identified and matched on age and sex with 4813 controls (median [IQR] age, 72 [65-79] years, 2946 [61.2%] male). Greater PM 2.5 exposure was associated with increased PD risk, and this risk was greatest after restricting to populations within metropolitan cores (odds ratio [OR], 1.23; 95% CI, 1.11-1.35) for the top quintile of PM 2.5 exposure compared with the bottom quintile. Greater NO 2 exposure was also associated with increased PD risk when comparing the top quintile with the bottom quintile (OR, 1.13; 95% CI, 1.07-1.19). Air pollution was associated with a 36% increased risk of akinetic rigid presentation (OR per each 1-μg/m 3 increase in PM 2.5 , 1.36; 95% CI, 1.02-1.80). In analyses among patients with PD only, higher PM 2.5 exposure was associated with greater risk for developing dyskinesia (HR per 1-μg/m 3 increase in PM 2.5 , 1.42; 95% CI, 1.17-1.73), as was increased NO 2 exposure (HR per 1 μg/m 3 increase in NO 2 , 1.13; 95% CI, 1.06-1.19). There was no association between PM 2.5 and all-cause mortality among patients with PD. Conclusions and Relevance In this case-control study of air pollution and PD, higher levels of PM 2.5 and NO 2 exposure were associated with increased risk of PD; also, higher levels of PM 2.5 exposure were associated with increased risk of developing akinetic rigid PD and dyskinesia compared with patients with PD exposed to lower levels. These findings suggest that reducing air pollution may reduce risk of PD, modify the PD phenotype, and reduce risk of dyskinesia.

Introduction Individuals ascending to elevations above 2500 m are at risk of developing altitude illness. We sought to establish the incidence and to determine what risk factors, if any, increased the likelihood of developing acute mountain sickness (AMS) in adolescents at Philmont Scout Ranch (PSR) in Cimarron, New Mexico. PSR, with elevations ranging from 2011 to 3792 m, attracts thousands of adolescent participants each year, many of whom arrive from lower elevations with little or no experience ascending to high altitude. Methods We conducted a prospective observational study of adolescent participants aged 14 to 19 years who ascended to a minimum of 3000 m while trekking from June to July 2021. Prior to the start of each participant's trek, pretrek survey data were obtained at PSR's basecamp (2011 m). During the trek at 3048 m, the Lake Louise AMS score was used to diagnose AMS. Results The incidence of AMS in our study was 13.7%. Participants reporting a history of daily headaches had more than four times the risk of developing AMS. A history of gastrointestinal problems carried three times the risk of developing AMS, and a prior history of AMS increased the risk of developing AMS by 44%. Conclusions Our findings enhance our understanding of AMS risk in adolescents and may provide guidance to youth for developing AMS. For individuals with a history of headaches or gastrointestinal problems or a prior history of AMS, there may be an opportunity to reduce the risk of developing AMS.